Bald–hairy

Bald–hairy (Russian: лысый–волосатый) is a common joke in Russian political discourse, referring to the empirical rule of the state leaders' succession defined as a change of a bald or balding leader to a hairy one and vice versa. This consistent pattern can be traced back until as early as 1825, when Nicholas I succeeded his late brother Alexander as the Russian Emperor. Nicholas I's son Alexander II formed the first "bald–hairy" pair of the sequence with his father.

In Soviet times (for rulers after Lenin), the rule applies to the General (First) Secretaries of the Central Committee. In relation to the Chairmen of the All-Russian Central Executive Committee and later to the Chairmen of the Presidium of the Supreme Soviet of the USSR, nominally the first persons of the state, its effect is not traced.

The current "bald–hairy" pair of Russian rulers are the balding Vladimir Putin and the hairy Dmitry Medvedev (who has a full head of hair). Putin was the president from 2000 until 2008; Medvedev held the post until 2012, whereupon Putin became president again.[1]

Pattern

The bald–hairy joke is that there is, apparently, a strict rule applying to Russia's politics for the latest two centuries. A bald (or obviously balding) state leader is succeeded by a non-bald ("hairy") one, and vice versa. While this pattern is most likely a coincidence, it has held true since 1825 (with the possible exception of Georgy Malenkov, who was Premier of the Soviet Union from 1953 to 1955, but not First Secretary and at no point an uncontested leader), starting from Nicholas I. However, some newsreel film of Joseph Stalin at the Potsdam Conference showed that he was in the early stages of balding.[2]

Bald leaders Portrait Hairy leaders Portrait
Nicholas I
(1825–1855)		 Alexander II
(1855–1881)
Alexander III
(1881–1894)		 Nicholas II
(1894–1917)
Georgy Lvov
(1917)		 Alexander Kerensky
(1917)
Vladimir Lenin
(1917–1924)		 Joseph Stalin
(1924–1953)
Nikita Khrushchev
(1953–1964)		 Leonid Brezhnev
(1964–1982)
Yuri Andropov
(1982–1984)		 Konstantin Chernenko
(1984–1985)
Mikhail Gorbachev
(1985–1991)		 Boris Yeltsin
(1991–1999)
Vladimir Putin
(2000–2008)		 Dmitry Medvedev
(2008–2012)
Vladimir Putin
(2012–present)


Some time after the death of hairy Stalin, the actual leader of the USSR was the head of government, Georgy Malenkov, who was also hairy and did not fit into the pattern. However, in the first months after the death of Stalin and before arrest, the greatest power was held by Minister of Internal Affairs Lavrenty Beria, who was bald.

Additionally, on the 5th of November 1996 Viktor Chernomyrdin was temporarily appointed as the official head of state while Yeltsin was undergoing a difficult surgery. He may be counted as being preceded and followed by Yeltsin, and is bald. A similar situation with Gennady Yanaev. During the August coup, he actually headed the USSR for 3 days as the Acting President. He was hairy, and his predecessor and successor Gorbachev was bald.

Thus, the only exception to the rule was Alexander Rutskoy. During the constitutional crisis in 1993, as a "hairy", he countered, "hairy" Yeltsin.

Usage

The pattern is believed to have become well known during the period of Leonid Brezhnev's leadership. In the middle of the 1990s some humorously predicted that bald Gennady Zyuganov would "inevitably" win the 1996 presidential election and thus replace non-bald Boris Yeltsin. In modern Russia the pattern is a frequent subject for jokes and cartoons.[3] It is often used in political journalism:

"Bald, hairy, bald, hairy, bald, hairy - that's how we elect our leaders," my St Petersburg friend quips when I ask if she voted in the presidential elections. "Think about it: Lenin was bald, Stalin was hairy; Krushchev was bald, Brezhnev was hairy; Gorbachev was bald, Yeltsin was hairy - and Putin is practically bald. Medvedev had to win."[4]

Other patterns in Russian rulers' successions

Man–woman

From 1682 to 1801 there was a strict "man–woman" sequence on the Russian throne: Peter I the Great, Catherine I, Peter II, Anna, Ivan VI, Elizabeth, Peter III, Catherine II the Great, Paul. Emperor Paul changed the rules of succession to the throne so that only men could rule the country, and the "man–woman" interchange was terminated. If Tsarina Sophia (a sister of Peter I and Ivan V and a powerful regent during their minority), is counted as a de facto ruler, then the sequence could be traced from 1676, when another of Sophia's brothers, Feodor III, succeeded to the throne.[2]

Killed–died

A different sequence is related to the character of death of the Russian monarchs and can be traced from 1730 to 1825 and separately from 1825 to 1917: Anna died, Ivan VI was killed, Elizabeth died, Peter III was killed, Catherine the Great died, Paul was killed, Alexander I died. After an interruption of the sequence, when Nicholas I suppressed the revolt of Decembrists who threatened to kill him and his family, the sequence resumed when Nicholas I's son Alexander II was killed, Alexander III died, and Nicholas II was killed. However, Nicholas's designated successor Michael II was never confirmed as Emperor, and soon after the Russian Revolution of 1917, was executed by revolutionaries.

"Bald" and "Hairy" the prime ministers

A similar pattern has been observed among the Prime Ministers since 1999: "Hairy" Sergei Stepashin, "bald" Vladimir Putin, "hairy" Mikhail Kasyanov, "bald" Mikhail Fradkov, "hairy" Viktor Zubkov, "bald" Vladimir Putin, "hairy" Dmitry Medvedev, "bald" Mikhail Mishustin.

This theory is valid only if you exclude the acting Prime Ministers.

See also

Sources

References
  1. Krulwich, Robert (10 September 2008). "Baldness Pattern: A New Cold War Analysis". WBUR. Retrieved 21 October 2013.
  2. V. Skachko (April 11–17, 2008). Мистика и власть (in Russian). Kievskiy Telegraf.
  3. "Череда правителей России (закономерность истории): Александр II — лысый Николай ... Анекдоты из России" (in Russian). 24 April 2004.
  4. Catriona Bass (7 March 2008). "Russian politics: the bald truth". The Times.
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