Opinion polling for the 2016 Slovak parliamentary election

In the run up to the 2016 Slovak parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Slovakia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 5 March 2016, to the present day.

Party vote

Date Polling firm Sample size Smer-SD SIEŤ KDH Most–Híd OĽaNO SNS SMK-MKP SaS NOVA SDKÚ-DS Others Lead
10 Feb-14 Feb MVK[1] 1,136 32.5% 14.5% 9.0% 7.0% 5.0% 10.5% 5.0% 4.0% w.OĽaNO 1.0% 11.7% 18.0%
6 Feb-14 Feb Polis[2] 1,670 38.4% 10.4% 6.6% 9.2% 6.8% 9.1% 4.0% 5.2% w.OĽaNO 1.3% 9.0% 28.0%
6 Feb-14 Feb Focus[3] 1,005 34.6% 14.0% 7.0% 8.2% 6.1% 8.7% 3.5% 5.5% w.OĽaNO 1.0% 8.9% 20.6%
31 Jan-7 Feb Focus[4] 1,000 34.1% 13.7% 7.5% 8.0% 6.4% 8.1% 3.6% 5.1% w.OĽaNO 1.7% 11.8% 20.4%
22-31 Jan Focus[5] 1,009 36.3% 13.0% 7.1% 7.7% 6.4% 7.3% 3.8% 5.5% w.OĽaNO 1.7% 11.2% 23.3%
22-28 Jan MVK[6] 1,148 32.1% 14.6% 8.2% 6.0% 5.9% 10.1% 5.1% 3.4% w.OĽaNO 1.6% 13.0% 17.5%
11-14 Jan AKO[7] 1,000 40.7% 8.1% 5.6% 7.9% 5.7% 7.4% N/A 6.2% w.OĽaNO N/A 18.4% 33.9%
28 Dec-8 Jan MVK[8] 1,089 34.5% 14.7% 8.6% 6.5% 5.0% 10.1% 5.1% 3.4% w.OĽaNO 2.0% 10.1% 19.8%
2016
24 Nov-1 Dec AKO[9] 1,000 42.2% 8.3% 7.9% 10.4% 5.7% 9.7% N/A 6.2% w.OĽaNO N/A 9.6% 31.8%
14-21 Nov MVK[10] 1,270 36.0% 14.9% 10.1% 6.7% 6.6% 6.8% 4.4% 3.7% w.OĽaNO 2.8% 6.4% 21.1%
8–14 Nov Polis[11] 1,305 40.1% 12.6% 7.7% 7.8% 6.6% 8.5% 5.3% 4.0% w.OĽaNO 2.8% 4.6% 27.5%
3-11 Nov Focus 1,034 39.0% 12.9% 7.7% 7.0% 6.6% 6.0% 4.1% 5.2% w.OĽaNO 3.0% 8.5% 28.1%
14 Oct-11 Nov Median 1,217 40.8% 8.9% 8.1% 7.1% 8.0% 6.3% 4.2% 5.7% w.OĽaNO 3.2% 7.7% 31.1%
29 Oct–4 Nov AKO[12] 1,000 41.0% 9.7% 6.3% 9.9% 5.6% 8.2% 3.4% 5.0% w.OĽaNO 3.9% 7.0% 31.1%
6-14 Oct Focus 1,032 39.1% 12.6% 7.1% 7.3% 6.7% 6.1% 4.2% 5.2% w.OĽaNO 2.8% 8.9% 26.5%
26 Sep–2 Oct MVK[13] 1,085 40.0% 8.3% 10.8% 6.9% 4.3% 7.6% 5.0% 3.7% w.OĽaNO 1.7% 11.7% 29.2%
1-9 Sep Focus 1,031 37.7% 11.4% 8.2% 7.1% 8.0% 6.4% 4.1% 5.4% w.OĽaNO 2.2% 9.5% 26.3%
20 Jul–16 Aug Median 1,031 39.9% 8.3% 9.3% 6.8% 6.6% 7.6% 4.6% 4.8% w.OĽaNO 3.5% 8.6% 30.6%
28 Jul–4 Aug Focus 1,017 34.6% 11.9% 8.8% 7.5% 8.1% 7.0% 4.2% 5.1% w.OĽaNO 2.2% 10.6% 22.7%
22–29 Jul Median 1,031 38.4% 10.2% 9.0% 5.6% 7.8% 8.0% 3.7% 4.7% w.OĽaNO 3.7% 7.9% 28.2%
12–18 Jul Polis Slovakia[14] 1,463 35.0% 12.1% 7.9% 8.1% 8.9% 8.3% 5.1% 4.5% w.OĽaNO 1.8% 8.3% 22.9%
8–14 Jun Polis Slovakia[15] 1,469 34.8% 11.8% 8.4% 8.8% 6.9% 8.1% 5.0% 4.3% 3.0% 1.4% 7.5% 23.0%
2–10 Jun Focus 1,018 35.3% 10.9% 9.5% 7.8% 7.7% 6.4% 4.3% 4.6% 2.5% 2.4% 8.6% 24.4%
5–13 May Focus 1,067 33.2% 10.7% 9.4% 7.4% 7.8% 7.3% 5.4% 5.0% 2.4% 2.3% 9.1% 22.5%
4–11 May Polis Slovakia[16] 1,402 35.3% 10.8% 8.3% 8.4% 7.9% 8.0% 5.5% 3.9% 2.4% 2.0% 7.7% 24.5%
11–18 Apr Polis Slovakia[17] 1,417 34.7% 10.1% 10.5% 8.7% 7.2% 6.8% 5.2% 4.0% 2.4% 2.5% 7.9% 24.2%
31 Mar–8 Apr Focus 1,027 37.4% 10.9% 9.9% 7.2% 7.0% 5.7% 4.0% 5.3% 2.3% 3.2% 7.1% 26.5%
20–27 Mar eCall Slovakia[18] 1,266 35.6% 12.6% 8.3% 9.9% 7.5% 6.4% 3.8% 5.1% 2.6% 3.2% 5.0% 23%
17–23 Mar Polis Slovakia[19] 1 448 37.7% 9.3% 8.0% 8.0% 8.8% 6.2% 4.7% 3.8% 2.8% 2.2% 8.5% 28.4%
3–10 MarMVK[20][21]1,10638.8%7.8%11.5%7.1%7.7%5.1%5.4%2.6%2.0%3.5%8.5%27.3%
9–18 FebPolis Slovakia[22]1,47236.8%10.1%7.3%8.6%6.7%7.2%4.6%4.2%3.1%3.1%8.3%26.7%
27 Jan–3 FebFocus1,01035.5%11%10.9%7%6%5.7%4.6%4.4%3.3%2.8%8.8%24.5%
12–18 JanPolis Slovakia[23]1,41037.4%11.3%7.9%7.9%7.7%5.7%5.7%3.9%2.4%2.5%7.6%26.1%
2015
1–7 Dec Polis Slovakia[24] 1,463 38.3% 11.9% 8.2% 7.8% 8.4% 5.2% 5.1% 3.9% 2.4% 3.1% 5.7% 26.4%
1–7 NovMVK[25]1,12538.8%11.9%12.2%6.2%6.9%3.9%4.5%3.7%3.1%3.9%4.9%26.6%
4 AugFocus1,05136.8%10.6%9.7%7.1%7.8%3.8%5.2%4.2%3.2%4.9%8.5%26.2%
31 JulPolis Slovakia[26]1,12835.8%16.4%7.7%8.3%5.5%4.0%6.0%3.8%2.9%3.9%5.7%19.4%
1 JulPolis Slovakia[27]1,32235.3%17.2%7.9%7.8%4.9%3.9%6.0%3.9%3.0%4.8%5.3%18.1%
23 JunFocus1,02532.2%15.8%9.3%5.0%7.6%2.4%5.1%5.5%3.4%5.1%8.1%16.4%
2 JunPolis Slovakia[28]1,60336.4%Did not exist8.1%7.6%6.2%3.9%5.7%4.3%3.4%4.7%4.3%21.0%
24 MayEuropean elections576,43724.1%13.2%5.8%7.5%3.6%6.5%6.7%6.8%7.8%16.9%11.1%
20 MayFocus1,03734.6%9.9%5.1%5.3%4.3%5.0%4.1%4.9%5.3%24.5%24.7%
19 MayMedian99842.2%7.9%5.4%10.5%4.7%4.7%6.7%4.1%7.7%6.2%31.7%
6 MayPolis Slovakia[29]1,25038.3%7.0%7.9%7.7%3.8%6.3%3.8%2.9%5.0%17.3%30.4%
22–28 MarPolis Slovakia[30]1,52141.5%9.2%7.7%9.0%3.7%6.5%4.8%3.7%5.8%8.1%32.3%
1–5 MarPolis Slovakia[31]1,52139.0%7.8%7.7%8.5%--6.5%-8.9%21.6%30.1%
27 Jan–5 FebFocus1,05138.1%12.7%6.2%8.0%3.3%5.9%5.4%4.0%7.2%12.3%25.4%
15–21 JanMVK[32]1,10638.1%9.5%5.9%9.2%2.9%5.5%3.9%5.1%8.9%12.2%28.6%
2014
2013
10 Mar 2012 2012 elections 2,553,726 44.4% Did not exist 8.8% 6.9% 8.6% 4.6% 4.3% 5.9% Did not exist 6.1% 10.0% 35.6%

Notes

    References

    1. http://www.teraz.sk/slovensko/parlament-sedem-stran-prieskum/182428-clanok.html
    2. http://www.topky.sk/cl/1000869/1528117/Predvolebny-prieskum-posiela-do-parlamentu-sedem-stran--Velky-presun-sil-na-pravici
    3. http://domov.sme.sk/c/20098383/prieskum-focus-smer-nestupa-potreboval-by-koalicneho-partnera.html
    4. https://dennikn.sk/367642/prieskum-focusu-smer-mierne-klesa-stupa-sns-sas-parlamente/
    5. http://www.electograph.com/2016/02/slovakia-january-2016-focus-poll.html
    6. http://domov.sme.sk/c/20086523/v-parlamente-by-bolo-sedem-stran.html
    7. "PRIESKUM: Do parlamentu by sa dostalo sedem strán, KDH by prešlo tesne". Teraz.sk. Retrieved 2016-01-16.
    8. "Voľby by vyhral Smer, nemohol by však vládnuť sám". dennikn.sk. Retrieved 2016-01-13.
    9. "Smer by získal polovicu kresiel v parlamente". Webnoviny.sk. Retrieved 2015-12-02.
    10. http://spravy.pravda.sk/parlamentne-volby-2016/clanok/375435-prieskum-do-parlamentu-by-sa-dostalo-pat-stran-volby-by-vyhral-smer/
    11. "Popularity of Smer and SNS up, Polis poll shows". The Slovak Spectator. 2015-11-24. Retrieved 2015-11-25.
    12. "Prieskum: Voľby by vyhral Smer so ziskom 41 percent". Pravda.sk (in Slovak). 2015-11-05. Retrieved 2015-11-05.
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    14. "PRIESKUM: Voľby by vyhral Smer, kto by sa ešte dostal do parlamentu?". pluska.sk (in Slovak). 2015-05-15. Retrieved 2015-08-14.
    15. "Oproti máju Smer klesá, poslancov by mal už len 62". topky.sk (in Slovak). 2015-05-15. Retrieved 2015-08-14.
    16. "KDH stráca voličov, SDKÚ, SaS a NOVA by v parlamente chýbali". Webnoviny.sk (in Slovak). 2015-05-15. Retrieved 2015-05-20.
    17. "Polis Smeru nameral najnižšie preferencie za 14 mesiacov, aj pre Váhostav". SME.sk (in Slovak). 2015-04-23. Retrieved 2015-05-20.
    18. "KDH skončilo pod Mostom, liberáli zo SaS majú na mále". Webnoviny.sk (in Slovak). 2015-03-27. Retrieved 2015-05-20.
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    20. "Procházkova Sieť padla. V prieskume sa objavili nové pravicové strany". HNonline.sk (in Slovak). 2015-03-17. Retrieved 2015-03-17.
    21. "Sieť drops in MVK poll". The Slovak Spectator. 2015-03-17. Retrieved 2015-03-18.
    22. "Smer by nevládol sám, voliči SDKÚ prešli k Procházkovi". Webnoviny.sk (in Slovak). 2015-02-23. Retrieved 2015-03-04.
    23. "Prieskum Polis: Smer stagnuje, mohol by vládnuť s SNS". SME.sk (in Slovak). 2015-01-22. Retrieved 2015-03-06.
    24. "Polis: Smer má pod 40 percent, v parlamente aj SMK a SNS". TA3 (in Slovak). 2014-12-09. Retrieved 2015-03-17.
    25. "MVK poll shows SDKÚ and SaS out of parliament". The Slovak Spectator. 2014-11-19. Retrieved 2015-03-17.
    26. "Polis: Sieť sa pred nahrávkou držala, SDKÚ ďalej klesá". SME.sk (in Slovak). 2014-07-31. Retrieved 2015-03-11.
    27. "Polis: Smer klesá, Procházka stúpa, Obyčajní a SDKÚ sú na hrane". SME.sk (in Slovak). 2014-07-01. Retrieved 2015-03-11.
    28. "Poll: Sieť would take 24.6 percent of OĽaNO's 2012 voters". The Slovak Spectator. 2014-06-05. Retrieved 2015-03-11.
    29. "Sieť has voter support, poll shows". The Slovak Spectator. 2014-05-12. Retrieved 2015-03-11.
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    31. "Polis Poll: Fico the most and least trusted politician in Slovakia". The Slovak Spectator. 2014-03-07. Retrieved 2015-03-18.
    32. "Šokujúci prieskum: Kotlebova strana by sa dostala do parlamentu!". topky.sk (in Slovak). 2014-01-28. Retrieved 2015-03-19.
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