Opinion polling for the 2016 Slovak parliamentary election
In the run up to the 2016 Slovak parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Slovakia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.
The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 5 March 2016, to the present day.
Party vote
Date | Polling firm | Sample size | Smer-SD | SIEŤ | KDH | Most–Híd | OĽaNO | SNS | SMK-MKP | SaS | NOVA | SDKÚ-DS | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 Feb-14 Feb | MVK[1] | 1,136 | 32.5% | 14.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 10.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | w.OĽaNO | 1.0% | 11.7% | 18.0% |
6 Feb-14 Feb | Polis[2] | 1,670 | 38.4% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | w.OĽaNO | 1.3% | 9.0% | 28.0% |
6 Feb-14 Feb | Focus[3] | 1,005 | 34.6% | 14.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | w.OĽaNO | 1.0% | 8.9% | 20.6% |
31 Jan-7 Feb | Focus[4] | 1,000 | 34.1% | 13.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | w.OĽaNO | 1.7% | 11.8% | 20.4% |
22-31 Jan | Focus[5] | 1,009 | 36.3% | 13.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | w.OĽaNO | 1.7% | 11.2% | 23.3% |
22-28 Jan | MVK[6] | 1,148 | 32.1% | 14.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | w.OĽaNO | 1.6% | 13.0% | 17.5% |
11-14 Jan | AKO[7] | 1,000 | 40.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | N/A | 6.2% | w.OĽaNO | N/A | 18.4% | 33.9% |
28 Dec-8 Jan | MVK[8] | 1,089 | 34.5% | 14.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | w.OĽaNO | 2.0% | 10.1% | 19.8% |
2016 | ||||||||||||||
24 Nov-1 Dec | AKO[9] | 1,000 | 42.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 9.7% | N/A | 6.2% | w.OĽaNO | N/A | 9.6% | 31.8% |
14-21 Nov | MVK[10] | 1,270 | 36.0% | 14.9% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | w.OĽaNO | 2.8% | 6.4% | 21.1% |
8–14 Nov | Polis[11] | 1,305 | 40.1% | 12.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | w.OĽaNO | 2.8% | 4.6% | 27.5% |
3-11 Nov | Focus | 1,034 | 39.0% | 12.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | w.OĽaNO | 3.0% | 8.5% | 28.1% |
14 Oct-11 Nov | Median | 1,217 | 40.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | w.OĽaNO | 3.2% | 7.7% | 31.1% |
29 Oct–4 Nov | AKO[12] | 1,000 | 41.0% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | w.OĽaNO | 3.9% | 7.0% | 31.1% |
6-14 Oct | Focus | 1,032 | 39.1% | 12.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | w.OĽaNO | 2.8% | 8.9% | 26.5% |
26 Sep–2 Oct | MVK[13] | 1,085 | 40.0% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | w.OĽaNO | 1.7% | 11.7% | 29.2% |
1-9 Sep | Focus | 1,031 | 37.7% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | w.OĽaNO | 2.2% | 9.5% | 26.3% |
20 Jul–16 Aug | Median | 1,031 | 39.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | w.OĽaNO | 3.5% | 8.6% | 30.6% |
28 Jul–4 Aug | Focus | 1,017 | 34.6% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | w.OĽaNO | 2.2% | 10.6% | 22.7% |
22–29 Jul | Median | 1,031 | 38.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | w.OĽaNO | 3.7% | 7.9% | 28.2% |
12–18 Jul | Polis Slovakia[14] | 1,463 | 35.0% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | w.OĽaNO | 1.8% | 8.3% | 22.9% |
8–14 Jun | Polis Slovakia[15] | 1,469 | 34.8% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 7.5% | 23.0% |
2–10 Jun | Focus | 1,018 | 35.3% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 8.6% | 24.4% |
5–13 May | Focus | 1,067 | 33.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 9.1% | 22.5% |
4–11 May | Polis Slovakia[16] | 1,402 | 35.3% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 7.7% | 24.5% |
11–18 Apr | Polis Slovakia[17] | 1,417 | 34.7% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 7.9% | 24.2% |
31 Mar–8 Apr | Focus | 1,027 | 37.4% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 7.1% | 26.5% |
20–27 Mar | eCall Slovakia[18] | 1,266 | 35.6% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 23% |
17–23 Mar | Polis Slovakia[19] | 1 448 | 37.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 8.5% | 28.4% |
3–10 Mar | MVK[20][21] | 1,106 | 38.8% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 8.5% | 27.3% |
9–18 Feb | Polis Slovakia[22] | 1,472 | 36.8% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 8.3% | 26.7% |
27 Jan–3 Feb | Focus | 1,010 | 35.5% | 11% | 10.9% | 7% | 6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 8.8% | 24.5% |
12–18 Jan | Polis Slovakia[23] | 1,410 | 37.4% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 7.6% | 26.1% |
2015 | ||||||||||||||
1–7 Dec | Polis Slovakia[24] | 1,463 | 38.3% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 26.4% |
1–7 Nov | MVK[25] | 1,125 | 38.8% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 26.6% |
4 Aug | Focus | 1,051 | 36.8% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 26.2% |
31 Jul | Polis Slovakia[26] | 1,128 | 35.8% | 16.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 19.4% |
1 Jul | Polis Slovakia[27] | 1,322 | 35.3% | 17.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 18.1% |
23 Jun | Focus | 1,025 | 32.2% | 15.8% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 16.4% |
2 Jun | Polis Slovakia[28] | 1,603 | 36.4% | Did not exist | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 21.0% |
24 May | European elections | 576,437 | 24.1% | 13.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 16.9% | 11.1% | |
20 May | Focus | 1,037 | 34.6% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 24.5% | 24.7% | |
19 May | Median | 998 | 42.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 10.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 31.7% | |
6 May | Polis Slovakia[29] | 1,250 | 38.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 17.3% | 30.4% | |
22–28 Mar | Polis Slovakia[30] | 1,521 | 41.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 32.3% | |
1–5 Mar | Polis Slovakia[31] | 1,521 | 39.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | - | - | 6.5% | - | 8.9% | 21.6% | 30.1% | |
27 Jan–5 Feb | Focus | 1,051 | 38.1% | 12.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 25.4% | |
15–21 Jan | MVK[32] | 1,106 | 38.1% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 28.6% | |
2014 | ||||||||||||||
2013 | ||||||||||||||
10 Mar 2012 | 2012 elections | 2,553,726 | 44.4% | Did not exist | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | Did not exist | 6.1% | 10.0% | 35.6% |
Notes
References
- http://www.teraz.sk/slovensko/parlament-sedem-stran-prieskum/182428-clanok.html
- http://www.topky.sk/cl/1000869/1528117/Predvolebny-prieskum-posiela-do-parlamentu-sedem-stran--Velky-presun-sil-na-pravici
- http://domov.sme.sk/c/20098383/prieskum-focus-smer-nestupa-potreboval-by-koalicneho-partnera.html
- https://dennikn.sk/367642/prieskum-focusu-smer-mierne-klesa-stupa-sns-sas-parlamente/
- http://www.electograph.com/2016/02/slovakia-january-2016-focus-poll.html
- http://domov.sme.sk/c/20086523/v-parlamente-by-bolo-sedem-stran.html
- "PRIESKUM: Do parlamentu by sa dostalo sedem strán, KDH by prešlo tesne". Teraz.sk. Retrieved 2016-01-16.
- "Voľby by vyhral Smer, nemohol by však vládnuť sám". dennikn.sk. Retrieved 2016-01-13.
- "Smer by získal polovicu kresiel v parlamente". Webnoviny.sk. Retrieved 2015-12-02.
- http://spravy.pravda.sk/parlamentne-volby-2016/clanok/375435-prieskum-do-parlamentu-by-sa-dostalo-pat-stran-volby-by-vyhral-smer/
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- "Šokujúci prieskum: Kotlebova strana by sa dostala do parlamentu!". topky.sk (in Slovak). 2014-01-28. Retrieved 2015-03-19.
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