Opinion polling for the next Estonian parliamentary election

In the run up to the next Estonian parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Estonia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 3 March 2019.

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's color. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded.

Graphical summary

Local regression of polls conducted.

Polling results

2021

Polling firm	Fieldwork Date	Sample size	Ref	Kesk	EKRE	I	SDE	E200	Green	Others	Lead	Gov.	Opp.
Norstat	26 Jan–1 Feb	≥1,000	32.3	18.6	17.1	5.1	7.7	15.4	2.5	1.3	13.7	50.9	47.8
	26 Jan		Kaja Kallas' cabinet is formed by the Reform Party and Centre Party
Norstat	18–25 Jan	≥1,000	31.6	20.7	19.2	5.2	5.1	15.0	2.4	0.8	10.9	45.1	54.1
Turu-uuringute AS	12–21 Jan	1008	27	20	17	6	8	14	3	5	7	43	57
Norstat	12–18 Jan	≥1,000	28.7	21.8	16.3	7.0	7.5	14.2	2.7	1.8	6.9	45.1	53.1
Kantar Emor	14–19 Jan	1,219	27	19	14	8	9	17	4	1	8	41	58
	14 Jan		Jüri Ratas' second cabinet is dissolved
Norstat	05–11 Jan	≥1,000	29.5	20.9	15.1	5.2	8.7	15.2	1.9	3.5	8.6	41.2	55.3
Norstat	29 Dec–04 Jan	≥1,000	29.6	22.1	14.7	5.5	8.8	15.2	2.0	2.1	7.5	42.3	55.6

2020

Polling firm	Fieldwork Date	Sample size	Ref	Kesk	EKRE	I	SDE	E200	Green	TULE	Others	Lead	Gov.	Opp.
Norstat	16–21 Dec	≥1,000	28.1	20.9	15.9	7.4	6.4	17.3	2.1	—	1.9	7.2	44.2	53.9
Norstat	09–14 Dec	≥1,000	26.4	21.5	14.2	5.9	8.6	18.1	3.1	—	2.2	4.9	41.6	56.2
Kantar Emor	03–09 Dec	1,151	27	16	17	7	9	18	5	1	—	9	40	60
Norstat	1–7 Dec	≥1,000	31.2	21.4	13.2	5.5	8.1	15.4	1.7	—	3.5	9.8	40.1	59.9
Turu-uuringute AS	27 Nov–7 Dec	881	21	25	14	5	9	20	3	1	2	4	44	54
Norstat	24–30 Nov	≥1,000	28.8	22.8	14.7	4.9	6.6	15.3	3.6	1.1	2.2	6.0	42.4	55.4
Norstat	17–23 Nov	≥1,000	29.6	21.0	13.1	6.5	9.4	14.8	3.0	0.4	2.2	8.6	40.6	57.2
Kantar Emor	13–18 Nov	1,281	28	17	16	6	10	18	3	2	—	10	39	61
Norstat	11–16 Nov	≥1,000	33.7	19.6	14.6	6.0	8.3	13.4	2.3	0.6	1.5	14.1	40.2	58.3
Norstat	3–9 Nov	≥1,000	29.7	24.5	16.5	4.5	9.1	11.4	2.9	0.4	1.0	5.2	45.5	53.5
Turu-uuringute AS	30 Oct–9 Nov	854	23	24	15	6	10	13	4	1	4	1	45	51
Norstat	27 Oct–2 Nov	≥1,000	31.5	21.0	18.2	4.9	7.2	10.1	2.5	0.3	4.3	10.5	44.1	51.6
Norstat	22–26 Oct	≥1,000	35.1	20.3	14.2	6.9	8.6	8.9	3.1	0.6	2.3	14.8	41.4	56.3
Norstat	14–20 Oct	≥1,000	29.4	25.0	17.2	6.1	9.1	9.3	2.1	0.6	1.2	4.4	48.3	50.5
Turu-uuringute AS	1–15 Oct	873	26	27	18	5	9	7	3	1	4	1	50	45
Kantar Emor	8–14 Oct	1,268	33	17	15	5	11	13	3	2	1	16	37	62
Norstat	6–13 Oct	≥1,000	32.2	22.3	18.1	4.4	9.0	7.7	3.5	0.6	2.2	9.9	44.8	53.0
Norstat	28 Sep–05 Oct	≥1,000	35.1	21.2	15.7	5.7	9.6	8.1	2.2	1.4	1.0	13.9	42.6	56.4
Norstat	23–28 Sep	≥1,000	31.4	22.8	17.0	4.2	12.1	5.8	3.0	0.5	3.3	8.6	44	52.7
Kantar Emor	17–23 Sep	1,089	32	18	13	6	12	13	3	2	1	14	37	62
Norstat	15–21 Sep	≥1,000	34.7	21.6	14.3	4.8	8.2	8.1	3.2	1.4	3.7	13.1	40.7	55.6
Turu-uuringute AS	07–17 Sep	1,010	27	24	16	5	11	9	3	3	—	3	45	55
Norstat	9–15 Sep	≥1,000	32.5	22.5	13.8	5.8	9.1	9.7	2.5	1.4	2.7	10.0	42.1	55.2
Norstat	2–9 Sep	≥1,000	33.3	26.2	15.5	4.6	8.3	8.4	2.0	0.8	0.9	7.1	46.3	52.8
Norstat	25–31 Aug	≥1,000	33.0	24.5	16.2	4.0	8.8	7.6	3.3	1.2	1.4	8.5	44.7	53.9
	20 Aug		The Biodiversity Party and the Estonian Free Party merge to form the Estonian Party of the Future
Polling firm	Fieldwork Date	Sample size	Ref	Kesk	EKRE	I	SDE	E200	Green	EVA	Others	Lead	Gov.	Opp.
Norstat	17–25 Aug	≥1,000	35.5	20.9	16.1	5.8	6.7	9.9	1.3	0.7	3.1	14.6	42.8	54.1
Turu-uuringute AS	12–24 Aug	1,003	23	26	20	5	10	9	2	0	1	3	51	48
Kantar Emor	13–19 Aug	1,268	30	17	17	5	13	14	2	1	3	13	39	58
Norstat	10–17 Aug	≥1,000	33.0	22.9	15.4	6.1	9.8	7.9	2.3	0.6	2.0	7.1	44.4	53.6
Norstat	4–10 Aug	≥1,000	32.1	19.4	19.0	6.2	8.4	9.4	1.2	1.1	3.2	12.7	44.6	52.2
Norstat	27 Jul–3 Aug	≥1,000	33.0	22.5	18.4	5.9	8.8	6.8	2.6	0.9	1.1	10.5	46.8	52.1
Norstat	21–28 Jul	≥1,000	31.2	24.1	18.6	6.4	8.7	6.8	2.2	0.6	1.4	7.1	49.1	49.5
Kantar Emor	16–22 Jul	1,125	31	17	18	6	9	14	3	0	2	13	41	57
Norstat	14–20 Jul	≥1,000	34.0	23.5	16.8	5.6	8.7	6.9	2.3	0.3	1.9	10.5	45.9	52.2
Norstat	7–13 Jul	≥1,000	32.3	23.2	15.8	4.4	10.2	7.5	2.2	0.4	4.0	9.1	43.4	52.6
Norstat	29 Jun–06 Jul	≥1,000	32.1	22.9	14.8	6.1	9.2	9.6	2.5	0.6	2.2	9.2	43.8	54
Norstat	16–22 Jun	≥1,000	30.3	26.1	16.0	5.9	9.3	9.2	1.3	0.9	1.2	4.2	48	51
Norstat	9–16 Jun	≥1,000	31.7	27.0	16.3	5.9	7.6	7.4	2.4	0.4	1.3	4.7	49.2	49.5
Turu-uuringute AS	9–15 Jun	1,004	33	27	16	3	8	9	2	0	1	6	46	55
Kantar Emor	Jun	1,268	28	19	19	5	10	13	3	0	3	9	43	54
Norstat	1–8 Jun	≥1,000	30.3	22.8	20.3	4.7	7.6	7.2	3.4	0.4	3.3	7.5	47.8	48.9
Norstat	25 May–1 Jun	≥1,000	30.8	24.5	16.7	5.6	9.3	7.7	1.4	0.3	3.7	6.3	46.8	49.5
Norstat	18–25 May	≥1,000	32.4	27.1	12.4	6.3	7.4	7.3	3.8	0.4	2.9	5.3	45.8	51.3
Kantar Emor	14–20 May	1,268	24	20	22	4	12	14	2	0	2	2	46	52
Norstat	12–18 May	≥1,000	30.8	26.0	16.7	4.6	7.3	8.5	2.0	1.1	3.0	4.8	47.3	49.7
Turu-uuringute AS	7–15 May	1,004	30	27	15	6	7	8	2	0	1	3	48	51
Norstat	06–12 May	≥1,000	29.1	25.0	18.0	5.9	8.3	8.2	2.3	0.2	3.8	4.1	48.9	48.3
Norstat	24 Apr–05 May	≥1,000	29.8	23.8	19.2	4.6	9.3	8.6	2.7	0.8	1.2	6.0	47.6	51.2
Norstat	21–27 Apr	≥1,000	29.3	27.8	18.1	5.3	8.1	6.2	2.1	0.7	3.0	1.5	51.2	45.8
Kantar Emor	20–22 Apr	1,280	30	18	19	4	10	14	3	2	3	12	42	55
Norstat	15–20 Apr	≥1,000	34.6	22.3	18.1	5.2	8.2	6.5	2.3	0.2	2.4	12.3	45.6	52.0
Norstat	7–14 Apr	≥1,000	32.9	23.5	16.3	6.3	8.0	8.4	1.8	0.4	2.4	9.4	46.1	51.5
Turu-uuringute AS	6–7 Apr	1,000	27	24	17	7	8	11	2	1	3	3	48	49
Norstat	31 Mar–6 Apr	≥1,000	33.5	25.7	14.1	5.1	7.6	8.0	2.1	0.7	3.2	7.8	44.9	51.9
Norstat	24–30 Mar	≥1,000	29.7	30.4	15.9	4.1	6.8	7.7	2.2	0.5	2.7	0.7	50.4	46.9
Norstat	18–23 Mar	≥1,000	29.6	26.1	16.9	5.4	8.6	7.2	3.2	0.3	2.7	3.5	48.4	48.9
Kantar Emor	12–18 Mar	1,118	29	17	21	4	12	13	3	−	2	8	42	56
Norstat	10–16 Mar	≥1,000	30.7	26.2	16.5	6.3	7.2	9.4	1.8	0.2	1.7	4.5	49.0	49.7
Turu-uuringute AS	6–16 Mar	1,056	26	22	20	6	9	12	3	1	1	4	48	51
Norstat	04–9 Mar	≥1,000	29.5	21.6	16.9	6.1	10.5	8.9	2.8	0.5	3.2	7.9	44.6	52.2
Norstat	26 Feb–2 Mar	≥1,000	33.2	24.2	16.3	5.8	7.0	6.6	2.5	0.7	3.3	9.0	46.3	50.4
Norstat	19–26 Feb	≥1,000	33.2	19.3	18.4	6.9	10.2	7.5	2.1	0.5	1.9	13.9	44.6	53.5
Kantar Emor	1–22 Feb	—	31	18	17	4	12	14	3	−	1	13	39	60
Norstat	13–18 Feb	≥1,000	30.9	22.4	18.0	6.0	7.9	9.8	3.0	0.7	1.3	8.5	46.4	52.3
Turu-uuringute AS	6–17 Feb	808	25	24	16	5	10	9	2	−	1	1	45	54
Norstat	04–11 Feb	≥1,000	33.8	20.0	17.5	7.3	6.7	9.2	3.3	0.5	1.8	13.8	44.8	53.4
Norstat	28 Jan–3 Feb	≥1,000	35.1	20.8	15.6	5.9	10.2	8.5	2.7	0.3	1.0	14.3	42.3	56.7
Norstat	23–27 Jan	≥1,000	35.9	19.3	12.7	6.0	10.7	8.5	4.1	0.4	2.4	16.6	38.0	59.6
Kantar Emor	1–31 Jan	—	30	17	16	8	14	9	3	1	2	13	41	57
Turu-uuringute AS	17–27 Jan	808	25	24	18	7	10	8	3	1	1	1	49	50
Norstat	16–24 Jan	≥1,000	35.0	22.8	14.6	5.6	9.3	7.2	2.9	1.1	1.4	12.2	43.0	55.6
Norstat	8–14 Jan	≥1,000	32.2	24.3	12.9	8.4	8.5	7.0	3.5	0.6	2.2	7.9	45.6	52.2
Norstat	3–7 Jan	≥1,000	34.1	23.6	15.8	6.3	8.2	7.3	2.6	0.6	1.5	10.5	45.7	52.8

2019

Polling firm	Fieldwork Date	Sample size	Ref	Kesk	EKRE	I	SDE	E200	Green	EVA	Others	Lead	Gov.	Opp.
Norstat	18–23 Dec	≥1,000	30.3	22.0	16.1	5.9	11.9	7.2	3.4	0.9	2.4	8.3	44.0	53.6
Norstat	11–17 Dec	≥1,000	34.3	22.5	13.5	5.4	11.8	6.8	3.2	0.1	2.4	11.8	41.4	56.2
Kantar Emor	5–12 Dec	1,407	34.8	17.9	15.6	6.3	13.7	7.7	2	—	2	9.2	39.8	58.2
Norstat	2–9 Dec	≥1,000	35.4	21.1	16.3	6.0	9.0	6.6	3.2	0.4	1.9	14.3	43.4	54.7
Turu-uuringute AS	28 Nov–9 Dec	1,014	29	25	17	5	10	5	3	1	5	4	47	48
Norstat	25–29 Nov	≥1,000	36.4	23.5	11.9	8.1	10.4	2.9	3.8	0.5	2.3	12.9	43.5	53.6
Norstat	18–25 Nov	≥1,000	36.1	24.0	12.2	6.8	9.8	5.0	3.5	0.5	2.1	12.1	43.0	54.9
Norstat	11–15 Nov	≥1,000	35.4	26.1	12.6	7.2	9.5	3.8	1.7	0.1	3.8	9.3	45.9	50.3
Kantar Emor	7–13 Nov	1,407	27.7	16.2	18.5	6.2	16.2	9.5	4	1	1.7	9.2	40.9	57.4
Turu-uuringute AS	31 Oct–12 Nov	1,019	30	23	17	5	11	7	2	1	1	7	45.0	54
Norstat	5–11 Nov	≥1,000	32.6	24.3	17.5	6.5	10.9	3.4	3.5	0.2	1.0	8.3	48.3	50.7
Norstat	28 Oct–5 Nov	≥1,000	36.2	22.9	15.8	5.8	8.2	5.0	3.2	0.8	1.8	13.3	44.5	53.7
Norstat	22–28 Oct	≥1,000	36.1	23.4	17.7	5.5	6.3	5.1	2.9	0.6	2.0	12.7	46.6	51.4
Norstat	15–21 Oct	≥1,000	36.3	23.4	15.6	6.6	7.4	4.5	2.7	0.3	2.9	14.9	45.6	51.5
Kantar Emor	10–16 Oct	1,182	32.5	17.6	16.6	6.2	12.4	9.4	2.9	—	1.7	14.9	40.4	57.9
Norstat	9–14 Oct	≥1,000	30.7	25.8	17.6	7.1	8.3	5,6	2.3	0.4	1.4	4.9	50.5	48.1
Turu-uuringute AS	3–13 Oct	1,040	32	22	17	6	9	7	3	1	—	10	45.0	54.0
Norstat	1–8 Oct	≥1,000	35.6	22.2	15.2	6.5	9.2	6.1	2.4	0.6	2.1	13.4	43.9	54.0
Norstat	25–30 Sep	≥1,000	32.7	24.3	15.6	7.4	8.3	6.2	2.8	0.6	2.1	8.4	47.3	50.6
Norstat	18–23 Sep	≥1,000	37.1	20.7	18.3	5.4	8.6	4.2	3.4	0.6	1.8	17.0	44.4	53.8
Kantar Emor	11–19 Sep	1,161	32.8	16.5	18.4	7.0	11.0	7.5	5	—	1	14.4	41.9	57.5
Norstat	10–17 Sep	≥1,000	33.5	24.0	17.0	7.2	6.4	5.2	3.7	0.1	2.3	13.5	48.2	49.5
Turu-uuringute AS	5–16 Sep	1,040	32	21	19	6	9	5	2	1	1	11	45.0	53.0
Norstat	3–9 Sep	≥1,000	33.9	23.7	15.1	7.8	9.1	5.0	2.6	0.6	2.1	10.2	46.6	50.8
Norstat	27 Aug–2 Sep	≥1,000	35.9	24.6	14.8	6.5	9.3	4.8	1.3	0.2	2.6	11.3	45.9	51.5
Norstat	21–26 Aug	≥1,000	34.3	23.7	15.2	6.2	9.0	4.5	2.6	0.8	3.6	10.6	45.1	51.3
Kantar Emor	15–21 Aug	1,161	36.8	16.0	17.6	4.8	13.0	6.9	—	—	—	19.2	43.3	56.7
Turu-uuringute AS	9–20 Aug	1,000	34	22	16	7	8	5	3	1	1	12	45.0	54.0
Norstat	13–19 Aug	≥1,000	33.9	23.0	16.9	7.1	10.9	4.1	1.8	0.7	1.7	10.9	47.0	51.7
Norstat	5–12 Aug	≥1,000	33.5	22.0	16.4	9.1	10.0	3.5	3.9	0.3	1.1	11.5	47.5	51.2
Norstat	30 Jul–5 Aug	≥1,000	41.0	18.9	12.7	8.8	8.1	4.2	2.8	0.8	3.0	22.1	40.1	56.9
Norstat	22–30 Jul	≥1,000	36.2	17.8	17.7	7.1	12.0	4.0	1.9	0.6	2.6	18.4	42.6	54.8
Kantar Emor	18–24 Jul	1,305	34.5	15.3	19.4	6.8	10.8	7.9	—	—	—	15.1	41.5	53.2
Norstat	15–22 Jul	≥1,000	39.1	18.3	16.6	7.7	7.6	4.4	2.7	0.2	3.6	20.8	42.6	54.0
Norstat	8–15 Jul	≥1,000	37.7	16.4	15.8	11.0	8.7	4.0	2.7	1.1	2.7	21.3	43.2	54.2
Norstat	2–8 Jul	≥1,000	31.9	22.3	18.0	8.2	11.0	4.3	2.5	0.9	1.0	9.6	48.5	50.6
Norstat	26 Jun–1 Jul	≥1,000	34.3	20.8	17.5	9.2	9.8	5.3	2.1	0.2	0.7	13.5	47.5	51.7
Norstat	11–19 Jun	≥1,000	37.7	20.2	15.2	5.6	13.6	4.0	1.7	0.3	1.6	17.5	41.0	57.3
Kantar Emor	6–13 Jun	1,129	36.0	14.7	16.7	6.9	12.8	8.3	3.0	0	1.0	19.3	38.3	60.1
Norstat	4–11 Jun	≥1,000	30.3	21.4	19.1	8.7	9.4	5.8	2.6	1.4	1.0	8.9	49.2	49.5
Turu-uuringute AS	28 May–10 Jun	1,000	32	19	18	9	11	4	1	1	1	13	46	49
Norstat	27 May–3 Jun	≥1,000	30	23	19	8	12	3	3	0	1	7	50	48
Norstat	20–27 May	≥1,000	33.0	19.5	16.8	10.4	11.7	4.6	2.4	0.4	1.1	13.5	46.7	52.1
	26 May		2019 European Parliament election in Estonia
Kantar Emor	20–23 May	1,390	30.6	14.7	15.0	7.9	12.1	11.8	—	—	—	15.6	37.6	54.4
Norstat	14–20 May	≥1,000	28.6	21.5	22.0	8.8	9.4	5.3	2.2	0.7	1.5	6.6	52.3	46.2
Turu-uuringute AS	2–15 May	2,037	27	20	17	10	10	8	3	1	1	7	47	49
Norstat	6–13 May	≥1,000	31.8	19.4	16.2	8.0	12.2	5.1	4.5	0.3	2.0	12.4	43.6	53.9
Kantar Emor	7–9 May	1,271	33.5	15.3	16.9	6.1	12.9	11.5	-		3.8	16.6	38.3	57.9
Norstat	29 Apr–7 May	≥1,000	35.6	19.9	15.0	8.3	10.8	6.0	2.5	0.5	1.6	15.7	43.2	55.4
Norstat	22–29 Apr	≥1,000	33.6	18.5	19.1	7.6	8.5	7.2	3.4	0.3	1.9	14.5	45.2	53.0
	24 Apr		The Jüri Ratas' second cabinet is formed by the Centre, EKRE and Pro Patria.
Norstat	15–22 Apr	≥1,000	32	20.1	20.1	9.2	8.4	5.4	2.6	0.7	0.7	11.9	49.4	49.1
Kantar Emor	10–15 Apr	1,000	32.3	17	15.4	8.5	11.4	10.3	2.7	1.1	-	15.3	40.9	57.8
Norstat	8–15 Apr	1,000	34.6	19.4	18	7.3	10.1	5.9	2.5	0.3	1.6	16	44.7	53.4
Norstat	18 Mar–15 Apr	4,014	33.0	20.6	17.9	9.4	9.2	5.8	2.3	–	1.8	12.4	47.9	50.3
Norstat	1–8 Apr	1,000	33.4	22.5	14.8	11.6	8.0	4.8	3.0	0.5	1.3	10.9	48.9	49.7
Norstat	25–29 Mar	1,000	32.5	20.5	19.1	9.0	10.1	5.5	1.7	0.6	1.0	12.0	48.6	50.4
Norstat	18–24 Mar	1,000	31.9	19.5	18.8	8.9	9.3	7.2	2.1	0.9	1.5	12.4	47.2	51.4
Kantar Emor	14–21 Mar	1,214	32	17	18	7	11	10	3	0.3	1.7	14.0	42.0	56.3
Turu-uuringute AS	5–18 Mar	1,004	27	24	21	11	9	5	1	1	1	3.0	56.0	43.0
Norstat	11–15 Mar	1,000	36.9	19.4	12.6	11.2	9.0	6.5	1.7	0.6	2.1	17.5	43.2	54.7
Kantar Emor	12–13 Mar	752	30	19.4	18.1	7.3	12.5	8.5	1.7	0.6	2.2	10.6	44.8	53.3
Norstat	5–11 Mar	1,000	31.9	21.2	18.1	11.4	9.1	4.4	1.7	1.1	1.2	10.7	50.7	48.2
Election Results	3 Mar	N/A	28.9	23.1	17.8	11.4	9.8	4.4	1.8	1.2	1.6	5.7	52.3	46.1
			34	26	19	12	10	0	0	0		8.0	57	44

References