Sub-national opinion polling for the next Spanish general election
In the run up to the next Spanish general election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in autonomous communities and constituencies in Spain during the term of the 14th Cortes Generales. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 10 November 2019, to the present day.
Voting intention estimates refer mainly to a hypothetical Congress of Deputies election. Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.
Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections are displayed below the percentages in a smaller font.
Autonomous communities
Asturias
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SyM Consulting[1][2] | 27–31 Dec 2020 | 1,276 | 64.7 | 30.3 2/3 |
23.9 2 |
13.9 1 |
20.5 1/2 |
6.5 0 |
6.4 |
November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | N/A | 58.1 | 33.3 3 |
23.2 2 |
16.0 1 |
15.9 1 |
6.7 0 |
10.1 |
Castile and León
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sigma Dos/RTVCyL[3] | 2–9 Dec 2020 | 3,300 | ? | 36.2 | 30.6 | 15.4 | 7.3 | 6.8 | 5.6 |
Sigma Dos/RTVCyL[4] | 14–19 May 2020 | 1,200 | ? | 34.8 | 32.1 | 11.7 | 9.2 | 7.3 | 2.7 |
November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | N/A | 66.6 | 31.6 13 |
31.3 12 |
16.6 6 |
9.3 0 |
7.6 0 |
0.3 |
Catalonia
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GESOP/CEO[5] | 13 Oct–7 Nov 2020 | 2,000 | 68 | 23.9 15 |
21.7 12/13 |
12.5 6 |
– | 8.4 3 |
5.3 1/2 |
6.7 2 |
4.6 1 |
12.2 7/8 |
1.5 0 |
2.2 |
GESOP/CEO[6] | 29 Sep–9 Oct 2020 | 1,500 | 68 | 22.7 14/15 |
21.9 12 |
12.9 6/7 |
13.7 9 |
8.0 3 |
4.7 1 |
7.1 2 |
4.7 1 |
– | – | 0.8 |
GESOP/CEO[7] | 25 Jun–21 Jul 2020 | 2,000 | 68 | 22.1 13 |
21.5 12 |
14.3 7 |
13.4 8 |
7.8 2/3 |
5.9 2 |
6.6 2 |
5.0 1/2 |
– | – | 0.6 |
GESOP/CEO[8] | 10 Feb–9 Mar 2020 | 2,000 | 68 | 22.9 13/14 |
21.7 12 |
14.6 7 |
12.7 7/8 |
8.6 3 |
5.8 2 |
6.8 2 |
3.3 1 |
– | – | 1.2 |
GESOP/CEO[9] | 14 Nov–5 Dec 2019 | 1,500 | 68 | 23.2 14 |
19.6 11 |
14.3 6/7 |
13.8 8 |
8.1 3 |
7.2 2/3 |
6.8 2 |
3.7 1 |
– | – | 3.6 |
November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | N/A | 69.4 | 22.6 13 |
20.5 12 |
14.2 7 |
13.7 8 |
7.4 2 |
6.4 2 |
6.3 2 |
5.6 2 |
– | – | 2.1 |
Galicia
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | EC | Lead | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[10] | 1–7 Oct 2020 | 1,223 | ? | 33.9 10 |
28.2 9 |
10.3 2 |
12.3 2 |
– | – | 5.7 |
2020 regional election | 12 Jul 2020 | N/A | 49.0 | 48.0 13 |
19.4 4 |
3.9 0 |
23.8 6 |
2.0 0 |
0.8 0 |
24.2 |
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[11] | 15–22 Jan 2020 | 1,223 | ? | 32.0 10 |
30.2 10 |
12.6 2 |
9.6 1 |
7.6 0 |
3.1 0 |
1.8 |
November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | N/A | 55.9 | 31.9 10 |
31.3 10 |
12.7 2 |
8.1 1 |
7.8 0 |
4.4 0 |
0.6 |
Madrid
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GAD3/ABC[12] | 18 May–5 Jun 2020 | ? | ? | ? 11 |
? 12 |
? 5 |
? 4 |
? 4 |
? 1 |
? |
November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | N/A | 70.6 | 26.9 10 |
24.9 10 |
18.3 7 |
13.0 5 |
9.1 3 |
5.7 2 |
2.0 |
Murcia
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Murcia Electoral[13][14] | 29 Jul–5 Aug 2020 | 1,841 | ? | 28.7 3 |
27.5 3 |
22.9 3 |
8.8 1 |
6.6 0 |
1.9 0 |
– | 0.3 0 |
1.2 |
Murcia Electoral[15][16][17] | 2–9 Jun 2020 | 1,721 | ? | 30.3 4 |
26.8 3 |
21.6 2 |
9.6 1 |
7.5 0 |
1.2 0 |
0.9 0 |
0.4 0 |
3.5 |
November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | N/A | 68.0 | 28.0 3 |
26.5 3 |
24.8 3 |
8.9 1 |
7.4 0 |
1.9 0 |
1.0 0 |
0.3 0 |
1.5 |
Valencian Community
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[18] | 16–20 Nov 2020 | ? | ? | 26.0– 27.0 |
22.0– 24.0 |
20.0– 21.0 |
12.0– 13.0 |
7.0– 8.0 |
8.0– 9.0 |
3.0– 4.0 |
Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario[19] | 17–19 Jun 2020 | ? | 64.3 | 25.8 9 |
28.1 10 |
18.7 6 |
14.9 5 |
6.7 1 |
4.4 1 |
2.3 |
November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | N/A | 69.8 | 27.6 10 |
23.0 8 |
18.5 7 |
13.4 4 |
7.7 2 |
7.0 1 |
4.6 |
Constituencies
Alicante
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario[19] | 17–19 Jun 2020 | ? | ? | 26.5 4 |
29.1 4 |
19.7 2 |
13.8 2 |
6.6 0 |
2.9 0 |
2.6 |
November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | N/A | 67.4 | 28.2 4 |
24.3 3 |
19.7 3 |
12.7 1 |
8.1 1 |
4.2 0 |
3.9 |
Asturias
Castellón
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario[19] | 17–19 Jun 2020 | ? | ? | 26.3 1 |
28.6 2 |
18.7 1 |
14.9 1 |
6.3 0 |
3.9 0 |
2.3 |
November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | N/A | 70.7 | 28.6 2 |
23.8 1 |
18.6 1 |
13.3 1 |
6.9 0 |
6.2 0 |
4.8 |
Ceuta
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | MDyC | Lead | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SyM Consulting[20][21] | 9–12 Dec 2020 | 652 | 50.0 | 36.5 1 |
22.7 0 |
27.4 0 |
6.5 0 |
2.2 0 |
– | 9.1 |
November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | N/A | 54.0 | 35.2 1 |
31.3 0 |
22.3 0 |
3.9 0 |
3.4 0 |
2.5 0 |
3.9 |
Madrid
Murcia
Pontevedra
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | EC | Lead | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[10] | 1–7 Oct 2020 | ? | ? | 26.3 2 |
? 3 |
? 1 |
13.2 1 |
– | – | ? |
2020 regional election | 12 Jul 2020 | N/A | 50.4 | 23.1 2 |
42.4 3 |
4.6 0 |
24.7 2 |
2.0 0 |
1.1 0 |
17.7 |
November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | N/A | 58.5 | 31.8 3 |
29.1 3 |
15.5 1 |
7.5 0 |
7.3 0 |
4.6 0 |
2.7 |
Valencia
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario[19] | 17–19 Jun 2020 | ? | ? | 25.1 4 |
27.3 4 |
18.1 3 |
15.6 2 |
5.5 1 |
6.9 1 |
2.2 |
November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | N/A | 71.2 | 27.0 4 |
22.1 4 |
17.7 3 |
13.8 2 |
8.8 1 |
7.7 1 |
4.9 |
References
- "Estimación Diciembre 2020. Principado de Asturias. Generales 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 8 January 2021.
- "ASTURIAS (Congreso). Encuesta SyM Consulting 08/01/2021: UNIDAS PODEMOS 13,9% (1), PSOE 30,3% (2/3), Cs 6,5%, PP-FORO 23,9% (2), VOX 20,5% (1/2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 8 January 2021.
- "El PP ganaría las elecciones generales en Castilla y León con el 36,2% de los votos". RTVCyL (in Spanish). 17 December 2020.
- "El PP ganaría las elecciones generales en Castilla y León con un 34,8% de los votos". RTVCyL (in Spanish). 28 May 2020.
- "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política. 3a onada 2020" (PDF). CEO (in Catalan). 20 November 2020.
- "Enquesta Sociopolítica. 2020" (PDF). CEO (in Catalan). 23 October 2020.
- "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política. 2a onada 2020" (PDF). CEO (in Catalan). 31 July 2020.
- "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política. 1a onada 2020" (PDF). CEO (in Catalan). 20 March 2020.
- "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política. 3a onada 2019" (PDF). CEO (in Catalan). 20 December 2019.
- "El BNG arrebataría un escaño al PSOE en Pontevedra en las generales". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 12 October 2020.
- "La opinión sobre el Gobierno divide a los gallegos en dos bloques empatados". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 25 January 2020.
- "El PP recupera la primera posición en Madrid". ABC (in Spanish). 8 June 2020.
- "Barómetro Región de Murcia. Elecciones Generales. Agosto de 2020" (PDF). Murcia Electoral (in Spanish). 8 August 2020.
- "Vox repetiría como partido más votado en la Región, aunque pierde fuerza". La Opinión de Murcia (in Spanish). 8 August 2020.
- "Vox volvería a ganar ampliando más su distancia". Murcia Electoral (in Spanish). 22 June 2020.
- "Barómetro Región de Murcia. Elecciones Generales. Junio de 2020" (PDF). Murcia Electoral (in Spanish). 10 June 2020.
- "Vox volvería a ganar unas elecciones generales en la Región de Murcia". La Razón (in Spanish). 22 June 2020.
- "Encuesta generales CV: el PSOE gana, el PP mejora y Vox sigue fuerte". ESdiario (in Spanish). 23 November 2020.
- "Sondeo ESdiario: el PP recupera la primera plaza en la Comunitat". ESdiario (in Spanish). 21 June 2020.
- "Estimación oleada generales Diciembre 2020 Ceuta. Congreso 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 21 December 2020.
- "CEUTA (Congreso). Encuesta SyM Consulting 21/12/2020: UNIDAS PODEMOS 6,5%, PSOE 22,7%, Cs 2,2%, PP 27,4%, VOX 36,5% (1)". Electograph (in Spanish). 21 December 2020.