1994 Northern Territory general election

A general election was held in the Northern Territory on Saturday 4 June 1994, and was won by the incumbent Country Liberal Party (CLP). Marshall Perron continued as Chief Minister.

1994 Northern Territory general election

4 June 1994
All 25 seats of the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly 13 seats needed for a majority
Turnout	80.7 ( 0.9 pp)
Leader Marshall Perron Brian Ede Party Country Liberal Labor Leader since 14 July 1988 2 November 1990 Leader's seat Fannie Bay Stuart Last election 14 seats 9 seats Seats won 17 seats 7 seats Seat change 3 2 Percentage 51.9% 41.4% Swing 3.1 4.8
Chief Minister before election Marshall Perron Country Liberal Elected Chief Minister Marshall Perron Country Liberal

Independent Noel Padgham-Purich retained her seat of Nelson while Independent Denis Collins lost his seat of Greatorex to the CLP.

Retiring MPs

Country Liberal

• Nick Dondas MLA (Casuarina)
• Roger Vale MLA (Braitling)

Results

↓ 

17	1	7
CLP	Ind	Labour

Northern Territory general election, 4 June 1994[1] Legislative Assembly << 1990–1997 >>
Enrolled voters		95,007
Votes cast		76,638		Turnout	80.7%	-0.9%
Informal votes		2,917		Informal	3.8%	+0.7%
Summary of votes by party
Party		Primary votes	%	Swing	Seats	Change
	Country Liberal	38,266	51.9%	+3.1%	17	+3
	Labor	30,507	41.4%	+4.7%	7	–2
	Independent	4,338	5.9%	–0.8%	1	–1
	Greens	552	0.8%	–2.2%	0	± 0
	Democrats	58	0.1%	+0.1%	0	± 0
Total		73,721			25
Two-party-preferred
	Country Liberal	41,485	56.3%	–0.7
	Labor	32,236	43.7%	+0.7

Popular vote Country Liberal   51.91% Labor   41.38% Others   0.83% Independents   5.88%

Two-party-preferred vote Country Liberal   56.30% Labor   43.70%

Seats Country Liberal   68.00% Labor   28.00% Independents   4.00%

Candidates

Sitting members are in bold. Successful candidates are highlighted in the relevant colour.

Electorate	Held by	Labor candidate	CLP candidate	Other candidates
Arafura	Labor	Maurice Rioli	Lothar Siebert	Colin Newton (Ind)
Araluen	CLP	Mescal Yates	Eric Poole
Arnhem	Labor	Wes Lanhupuy	Veronica Januschka
Barkly	Labor	Maggie Hickey	Paul Ruger	Geoffrey Freeman (Ind)
Braitling	CLP	Charles Carter	Loraine Braham
Brennan	CLP	Geoffrey Carter	Denis Burke	Max Ortmann (Ind)
Casuarina	CLP	Clare Martin	Peter Adamson
Fannie Bay	CLP	Sue Bradley	Marshall Perron
Goyder	CLP	Jamie Johnson	Terry McCarthy	Gerry Wood (Ind)
Greatorex	Independent	Kerrie Nelson	Richard Lim	Denis Collins (Ind)
Jingili	CLP	Ted Warren	Rick Setter
Karama	CLP	John Tobin	Mick Palmer	Christopher Inskip (Ind) Goncalo Pinto (Dem)
Katherine	CLP	Gabriela Maynard	Mike Reed
Leanyer	CLP	Cossimo Russo	Fred Finch
MacDonnell	Labor	Neil Bell	Pamela Waudby
Millner	Labor	Ken Parish	Phil Mitchell	Ilana Eldridge (Grn)
Nelson	Independent	Wayne Connop	Chris Lugg	Noel Padgham-Purich (Ind)
Nhulunbuy	Labor	Syd Stirling	Michael O'Shea
Nightcliff	CLP	Paul Henderson	Stephen Hatton	Robert Adams (Dem)
Palmerston	CLP	Kevin Diflo	Barry Coulter	David Elliott (Ind)
Port Darwin	CLP	Rodney Haritos	Shane Stone	Andrea Jones (Grn)
Sanderson	CLP	Denise Horvath	Daryl Manzie
Stuart	Labor	Brian Ede	John Bohning
Victoria River	Labor	Gary Cartwright	Tim Baldwin	John Noble (Ind)
Wanguri	Labor	John Bailey	Steve Balch

Seats changing hands

Seat	Pre-1994				Swing	Post-1994
	Party		Member	Margin		Margin	Member	Party
Greatorex		Independent	Denis Collins	2.5	14.8	12.3	Richard Lim	Country Liberal
Millner		Labor	Ken Parish	6.7	7.9	1.2	Phil Mitchell	Country Liberal
Victoria River		Labor	Gary Cartwright	1.5	5.9	4.4	Tim Baldwin	Country Liberal

Post-election pendulum

The following pendulum is known as the Mackerras Pendulum, invented by psephologist Malcolm Mackerras. The pendulum works by lining up all of the seats held in the Legislative Assembly according to the percentage point margin they are held by on a two-party-preferred basis. This is also known as the swing required for the seat to change hands. Given a uniform swing to the opposition or government parties, the number of seats that change hands can be predicted.

COUNTRY LIBERAL SEATS
Marginal
Millner	Phil Mitchell	CLP	1.2
Jingili	Rick Setter	CLP	4.3
Karama	Mick Palmer	CLP	4.3
Victoria River	Tim Baldwin	CLP	4.4
Casuarina	Peter Adamson	CLP	5.4
Fairly safe
Fannie Bay	Marshall Perron	CLP	7.9
Sanderson	Daryl Manzie	CLP	7.1
Nightcliff	Stephen Hatton	CLP	9.6
Safe
Leanyer	Fred Finch	CLP	10.1
Brennan	Denis Burke	CLP	11.9
Greatorex	Richard Lim	CLP	12.3
Port Darwin	Shane Stone	CLP	12.7
Palmerston	Barry Coulter	CLP	12.9
Goyder	Terry McCarthy	CLP	15.8
Very safe
Araluen	Eric Poole	CLP	20.1
Katherine	Mike Reed	CLP	20.6
Braitling	Loraine Braham	CLP	21.0

LABOR SEATS
Marginal
Barkly	Maggie Hickey	ALP	1.6
Wanguri	John Bailey	ALP	1.6
Stuart	Brian Ede	ALP	1.8
Nhulunbuy	Syd Stirling	ALP	4.6
Fairly safe
Safe
Arafura	Maurice Rioli	ALP	15.3
Macdonnell	Neil Bell	ALP	15.9
Very safe
Arnhem	Wes Lanhupuy	ALP	24.5
INDEPENDENT SEATS
Nelson	Noel Padgham-Purich	IND	3.1 v CLP

References

1. Wade-Marshall, Dean Jaensch, Deborah (1994). The 1994 elections in the Northern Territory : a statistical analysis. Darwin: North Australia Research Unit. ISBN 0949094137.