2010 Christchurch mayoral election

The 2010 Christchurch mayoral election is part of the 2010 New Zealand local elections. On 9 October 2010, elections were held for the Mayor of Christchurch plus other local government roles. Incumbent Bob Parker was re-elected.

2010 Christchurch mayoral election
9 October 2010[1]
Turnout51.68%
 
Candidate Bob Parker Jim Anderton
Party Independent Independent
Popular vote 70,193 53,604
Percentage 53.42 40.79
Mayor before election

Bob Parker

 Elected Mayor

Bob Parker

Local government elections

On 9 October 2010, elections were held for the position of mayor of Christchurch, for 13 councillors representing the 7 wards of the Christchurch City Council, for the city's community board representatives, and for the Canterbury District Health Board. This time, there were no elections for the Canterbury Regional Council, as the government, following the release of the "Creech Report", chose to appoint a panel of commissioners to replace the elected councillors. The commissioners are headed by Margaret Bazley.[2]

Local authority elections are held throughout New Zealand triennially and are conducted by postal vote.[3]

Timeline

Nominations opened for candidates to formally register with the returning officer on 23 July 2010.[3] Nominations closed on 20 August 2010. Voting documents were delivered on 17 September 2010.

Under section 10 of the Local Electoral Act 2001,[4] a "general election of members of every local authority or community board must be held on the second Saturday in October in every third year" from the date the Act came into effect in 2001, meaning 9 October 2010. On election day, voting closed at 12 noon.

Candidates

Declared candidates

Candidates who have publicly declared that they would contest the mayoralty are so far the incumbent Bob Parker (who announced that he would want a second term back in 2009), and Peter Wakeman.[5]

Jim Anderton announced on 6 May that he would contest the mayoralty. In becoming successful, Jim Anderton had previously stated he would not give up his Wigram electorate seat as to avoid a by-election, citing costs associated with a by-election.[6] However, he has now stated that he would give up his parliamentary seat if elected in order to focus on Christchurch in the aftermath of the 2010 Canterbury earthquake.[7]

Nathan Ryan announced that he would stand as an independent candidate for the Christchurch mayoralty, as well as standing for the city council and the community board in the Hagley-Ferrymead ward. Ryan had previously contested the 2007 election.[8]

Declared not to stand

Initially, Liz Gordon was a candidate for the Christchurch Mayoralty. Following Anderton's candidacy announcement, she confirmed that she would not be pulling out of the race.[9] However, on 19 July she reversed her previous decision stating: "If I stayed in the race, I think it (the vote) could have ended up going to Bob Parker and that's the last thing I want". This is based on her belief that if she remained in the candidacy for mayor the left vote would be split, mostly due to her claim of polling at around 10% for the majority of the campaign.[10] In comparison, the UMR research published in June 2010 had her polling at 4%.[11]

Kerry Burke, former MP and speaker of the house, and lately councillor for ECan, was discussed as a likely contender.[12] On 3 June 2010, he announced that he would back Anderton's desire for the mayoralty, and that he himself would seek election for Christchurch City Council in the Spreydon-Heathcote ward.[13]

Before the end of 2009, Jo Kane was considering standing for the Christchurch mayoralty. She is a former deputy mayor for Waimakariri District Council, and lately councillor for ECan.[14] Kane announced in June 2010 that she will contest the Waimakariri mayoralty.[15] Other Waimakariri candidates include long-serving Waimakariri councillor David Ayers (also a former Deputy Mayor), current Mayor Ron Keating and Peter Wakeman, who is also contesting the Christchurch mayoralty.

Opinion polls

The 4 September 2010 Canterbury earthquake can be seen as having a major impact on this mayoral election. Anderton led the two polls prior to it but has fallen behind since then. 88% of people believed that Parker had handled the response very well.[16]

Source Date (published) Anderton Parker Others Undecided Margin of Error Surveyed
UMR Research[11][17] 27 May to 7 June 2010 (14 June 2010) 46% 21% 11% 22% ±5.2% n = 500
Press[18] (28 August) 50% 31% 1% 18% ±4.0% n = 600
UMR Research[16] (29 September 2010) 41% 55% - - ±5.2% n = 361
Press[19] 24 to 29 September 2010 (2 October 2010) 20% 36% 1% 44% ±5.2% n = 400

Results

Incumbent Bob Parker was re-elected with an increased majority.[20]

2010 Christchurch mayoralty election[1]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
A Positive Future Bob Parker 70,193 53.42 +7.97
The People's Mayor Jim Anderton 53,604 40.79
Nathan Ryan 1,884 1.43
Our Water Our City Rik Tindall 1,330 1.01
Independent Brad Maxwell 1,048 0.80
Blair for Mayor Blair Anderson 862 0.66 -0.21
Bob Tomkins 508 0.39
Independent Kayne Harrison 457 0.35
Brian Steer 415 0.32
Byron Clark 309 0.24 -0.46
Kieran Gallagher-Power 290 0.22
peterwakeman.org Peter Wakeman 281 0.21 -1.59
Economic Euthenics Michael Hansen 170 0.13 -0.09
51st State Party of NZ Paulus Telfer 58 0.04 -0.24

Voting statistics

Participation in local elections has been falling for years. In the 2010 local election, 51.68% of registered voters cast their vote, which is significantly higher than the low of 2004, and the increased interest was caused by the recent earthquake. The following table shows the voting statistics since the 1989 local elections:[21][22]

1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010
Electors on rolls200,915208,533215,621223,832227,793235,930251,173[nb 1]
Voters121,680105,982107,450116,511110,06891,027102,495[nb 2]
Percentage voted60.56%50.82%49.83%52.05%48.32%38.58%40.81%51.68%

Table footnotes:

  1. Roll data not provided
  2. Voter numbers not provided

See also

References
  1. Sullivan, Clare (14 October 2010). "2010 Triennial Elections" (PDF). Christchurch City Council. Archived from the original (PDF) on 4 March 2016. Retrieved 19 August 2013.
  2. "Commissioners needed to fix Canterbury water". NZ Government. 30 March 2010. Archived from the original on 1 April 2010. Retrieved 30 March 2010.
  3. "Council elections". Christchurch City Council. Retrieved 21 April 2010.
  4. "Triennial general election". New Zealand Legislation. Retrieved 21 April 2010.
  5. Conway, Glenn (20 April 2010). "Gordon to enter race". Christchurch: The Press. pp. A2. Retrieved 20 April 2010.
  6. "Jim Anderton won't give up seat if elected mayor". Christchurch: Stuff. 9 May 2010. Retrieved 11 May 2010.
  7. "Anderton: Parker should not be judged on nine days". TVNZ. 13 September 2010. Retrieved 14 September 2010.
  8. "Mayor claims Left is conspiring to oust him". The Timaru Herald. 20 July 2010. Retrieved 20 July 2010.
  9. "Gordon still in race". The Press. 11 May 2010. p. A4. Retrieved 21 February 2015.
  10. Conway, Glenn (20 July 2010). "Gordon out of Christchurch mayoralty race". Manawatu Standard. Retrieved 20 July 2010.
  11. "Mayoralty SurveyChristchurch City Council" (PDF). Wellington: UMR Research. June 2010. Archived from the original (PDF) on 24 July 2011. Retrieved 20 July 2010.
  12. CONWAY, GLENN. "Burke for mayor?". The Press. Retrieved 21 April 2010.
  13. Conway, Glenn (4 June 2010). "Burke backs Anderton". The Press. Retrieved 8 June 2010.
  14. GORMAN, Paul (19 December 2009). "Kane ponders challenge for mayoralty". The Press. Retrieved 21 April 2010.
  15. "ECan councillor seeks Waimakariri mayoralty". The Press. Christchurch. 23 June 2010. p. A2. Retrieved 23 June 2010.
  16. Tracy Watkins (29 September 2010). "Post-quake Christchurch poll shock". The Press. Retrieved 1 November 2010.
  17. "Anderton Leading Parker In Race" (Press release). UMR Research Ltd. 14 June 2010.
  18. Glenn Conway (2 October 2010). "Parker has big lead over rivals". The Press. Retrieved 28 August 2010.
  19. Conway, Glenn (28 August 2010). "Anderton leads in mayoral race". The Press. Retrieved 7 November 2010.
  20. "Parker re-elected in Christchurch". The Press. 9 October 2010. Retrieved 10 October 2010.
  21. Robertson, Max (18 October 2007). "Report of the Electoral Officer" (PDF). Christchurch City Council. Archived from the original (PDF) on 17 October 2008. Retrieved 19 August 2013.
  22. Sullivan, Clare (14 October 2010). "Declaration of Results of Election" (PDF). Christchurch City Council. Archived from the original (PDF) on 22 October 2013. Retrieved 12 January 2014.
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