2018 Tripura Legislative Assembly election
The 2018 Tripura Legislative Assembly election was held on 18 February for 59 of the state's 60 constituencies.[2] The counting of votes took place on 3 March 2018. With 43% of the vote, the BJP secured a majority of seats (36) and subsequently formed the government with Biplab Kumar Deb as Chief Minister. The former governing Left Front alliance while receiving 42.7% of the vote secured only 16 seats.
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60 seats in the Tripura Legislative Assembly 31 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Turnout | 91.38% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Background
The term of the Tripura Legislative Assembly ended on 6 March 2018.[3] Having governed Tripura since the 1998 election, the ruling Left Front alliance, under Chief Minister Manik Sarkar, sought re-election. Meanwhile, the region in general had been under the political control of the Communist Party for 25 years prior to the election, leading to the region being dubbed a "red holdout".[4]
Their primary challengers came in the form of the Bharatiya Janata Party, which under the leadership of Narendra Modi was the governing party of India on a national level.[5] The BJP is a nationalist, rightist party, whose policies directly oppose those of the Communists.[6] However, the party claimed no seats, and a mere 1.5% of the vote, in the region's previous election.[7] Despite the relatively small size of Tripura, the election took on additional significance on a national level as it was an acid test to gauge the successes of the BJP ahead of next year's general election,[8] and a chance to strip the communists, the party's "primary ideological enemy", of its stronghold.[4]
Prior to the election, a number of workers of the BJP were murdered. The BJP alleged that the murders were committed by CPI(M) members, which the party denies.[9][10][11]
Schedule
The Election Commission of India announced that the Legislative Assembly elections in Tripura will be held on 18 February 2018 and the results will be announced on 3 March 2018.[12]
| Event | Date | Day |
| Date for nominations | 24 Jan 2018 | Wednesday |
| Last date for filing nominations | 31 Jan 2018 | Wednesday |
| Date for scrutiny of nominations | 1 Feb 2018 | Thursday |
| Last date for withdrawal of candidatures | 3 Feb 2018 | Saturday |
| Date of poll | 18 Feb 2018 | Sunday |
| Date of counting | 3 Mar 2018 | Saturday |
| Date before which the election shall be completed | 5 Mar 2018 | Monday |
Electoral process changes
VVPAT-fitted EVMs was used in entire Tripura state in all polling stations in the 2018 elections, which was the first time that the entire state saw the implementation of VVPAT.[13]
The election took place in a single phase on 18 February 2018 with 89.8% voter turnout.[14] The results will be announced on 3 March 2018.
Contesting parties
297 candidates registered to contest the election.
| Party | Symbol | Alliance | Seats contested | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPM) |  |
Left Front | 57 | |
| Communist Party of India (CPI) |  |
Left Front | 1 | |
| Revolutionary Socialist Party (RSP) | Left Front | 1 | ||
| All India Forward Bloc (AIFB) | Left Front | 1 | ||
| Indian National Congress (INC) |  |
UPA | 59 | |
| Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) |  |
NDA | 51 | |
| Indigenous Peoples Front of Tripura (IPFT) |  |
NDA | 9 | |
| Independents (IND) | 27 | |||
| Indigenous Nationalist Party of Twipra (INPT) | 15 | |||
| Tripura People's Party | 7 | |||
| Amra Bangali | 23 | |||
| All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) | 24 | |||
| Socialist Unity Centre of India (Communist) | 5 | |||
| Tipraland State Party | 9 | |||
| Communist Party of India (Marxist–Leninist) Liberation | 5 | |||
| North East India Development Party | 1 | |||
| Pragatishil Amara Bangali Samaj | 1 | |||
| I.P.F.T Tiprahaa (Independent) | 1 | |||
| Total | 297 | |||
Campaign
The other major force in the election was the Indian National Congress, who had taken 36.5% of the popular vote in the region in 2013.[15] They are also, on a wider scale, the largest force in opposing Modi and the BJP in parliament. As such, Rahul Gandhi, in his capacity as the party's leader, campaigned in the region.[16] They were determined to prevent the BJP from seizing control on the region, as such an outcome would represent the "demise of the Left".[17]
Exit Polls
| Polling firm | Date published | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BJP+ | CPI(M)+ | INC | Others | ||
| JanKiBaat-NewsX[18] | 27 January 2018 | 35-45 | 14-23 | - | - |
| CVoter[18] | 27 January 2018 | 24-32 | 26-34 | 0-2 | - |
| AxisMyIndia[18] | 27 January 2018 | 44-50 | 9-15 | - | 0-3 |
| Dinraat[19] | 27 January 2018 | 10-19 | 40-49 | ||
Results
The incumbent Left Front government was defeated after 25 years of office out of which Manik Sarkar served for about 20 years, with the Bharatiya Janata Party and Indigenous Peoples Front of Tripura winning a large majority of seats. The Indian National Congress, which was the second largest party in the 2013 election, lost all its seats and most of its vote share.
Results by party
| Parties and coalitions | Popular vote | Seats | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | ±pp | Contested | Won | +/− | |||
| Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) | 10,25,673 | 43.59% | 51 | 36 |  36 | |||
| Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPM) | 9,93,605 | 42.22% | 57 | 16 |  33 | |||
| Indigenous Peoples Front of Tripura (IPFT) | 1,73,603 | 7.38% | 9 | 8 | 8 | |||
| Indian National Congress (INC) | 42,100 | 1.79% | 59 | 0 | 10 | |||
| Communist Party of India (CPI) | 19,352 | 0.82% | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
| Revolutionary Socialist Party (RSP) | 17,568 | 0.75% | 1 | 0 |  | |||
| Indigenous Nationalist Party of Twipra (INPT) | 16,940 | 0.72% | 15 | 0 | | |||
| All India Forward Bloc (AIFB) | 13,115 | 0.56% | 1 | 0 | | |||
| All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) | 6,989 | 0.3% | 24 | 0 | | |||
| Independents (IND) | 25 | 0 | | |||||
| Other parties and coalitions | 0 | | ||||||
| None of the Above (NOTA) | 24,220 | 1.03% | ||||||
| Total | 23,53,246 | 100.00 | 60 | ±0 | ||||
| Valid votes | ||||||||
| Invalid votes | ||||||||
| Votes cast / turnout | ||||||||
| Abstentions | ||||||||
| Registered voters | ||||||||
Winners by constituency
Reactions
The BJP chose Biplab Kumar Deb to be the next Chief Minister. He said: "I am ready to take the responsibility. I will not run away from taking the responsibility. I have already been given a bigger responsibility, the party's state presidentship, which I have been fulfilling to the best of my ability. People responded favourably to our call 'Chalo Paltai' (let's change)." He claimed that having the same party in the central government and at the state level "helps in faster development." He further called for restraint in post-electoral violence: "We do not believe in the politics of vengeance and hatred, so we appeal to the people to maintain peace and calm." In addition he asserted that "the word development does not exist in the dictionary of the CPI-M. Our government will provide good governance and time-bound implementation of all developmental works."[20]
Former Chief Minister of Kerala and senior CPI(M) leader V. S. Achuthanandan called for the party's leadership to ally with "secular forces" to defeat the Sangh Parivar: "The country is facing serious challenges. The Congress, which had ruled for decades in the post-independence period, has become weaker now. He supported party General Secretary Sitaram Yechury's call for an "understanding" with the INC as "a tactical move with secular forces was necessary." The party's provincial minister claimed that the BJP had "misused" money and power at the central government in winning the election and that the "challenge to the democracy and the national integrity." Another CPM figure M. V. Jayarajan, private secretary to Kerala Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan, claimed that the INC voters and leaders were moving towards the BJP and that the result should "not be viewed lightly and all the patriots in the country have the responsibility to check and isolate any effort of the communal forces gaining strength in the country. Politburo member M. A. Baby said that while the result was "unexpected", he did "respect the verdict of the people." He added: "However, there is a decline of 6-7 per cent vote share of the Left front. It's a concern...how the erosion has taken place and why this happened will be dispassionately examined by the party in Tripura and the national leadership."[21]
- Media
It was suggested that in order to defeat the BJP, other opposition parties would have to unite.[22]
Charilam bypoll
Polling for the seat of Charilam was postponed to 12 March 2018 after the death of Communist Party of India (Marxist) incumbent candidate Ramendra Narayan Debbarma. The CPI(M) withdrew their candidate for the bypoll claiming that there was an increase in violence. This claim was refuted by BJP National Secretary Ram Madhav, who termed it as "bogus", and an attempt by the CPI(M) to hide their defeat.[23]
Despite this, the CPI(M) candidate continued to be present on the ballot paper, and subsequently lost their deposit.[24][25]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BJP | Jishnu Deb Burman | 26,580 | 90.81 | ||
| CPI (M) | Palash Debbarma | 1030 | 3.51 | ||
| INC | Arjun Debbarma | 775 | 2.64 | ||
| INPT | Uma Shankar Debbarma | 685 | 2.34 | ||
| Independent | Jyotilal Debbarma | 198 | 0.67 | N/A | |
| Majority | 25,550 | 87.29 | 25550 | ||
| Turnout | |||||
| Registered electors | |||||
| BJP gain from CPI (M) | Swing | ||||
References
- "Tripura Election 2018". Elections.in.
- "Tripura Assembly Election 2018 LIVE: 78.56% Turnout Till 9 PM, Left Front's 25-Year-Long Run Faces BJP Challenge". NDTV. Retrieved 18 February 2018.
- "Upcoming Elections in India". Retrieved 13 March 2017.
- "Conquest of Tripura".
- "Tripura polls: Communist cadres getting feel of competition from new foe BJP". United News of India. Retrieved 4 March 2018.
- Banerjee 2005, p. 3118.
- "Tripura election results 2018: Full list of winners". The Indian Express. 3 March 2018. Retrieved 31 December 2018.
- "Modi ends communists' 25-year rule in provincial vote".
- "Tripura: Booth president found dead, BJP alleges 12 murders by CPM". 12 February 2018. Retrieved 7 June 2018.
- "BJP worker hacked to death in poll-bound Tripura". Retrieved 7 June 2018.
- Saikia, Arunabh. "In poll-bound Tripura, the BJP accuses the Left of Kerala-style political killings". Retrieved 7 June 2018.
- "Legislative Assembly Elections 2018: Election Commission announces poll dates for Meghalaya, Tripura and Nagaland - Republic World". Republic World. Archived from the original on 18 January 2018. Retrieved 18 January 2018.
- "VVPAT training in Tripura".
- "त्रिपुरा विधानसभा चुनाव में 89.8 प्रतिशत मतदान". NDTV. 19 February 2018. Retrieved 20 February 2018.
- "What really helped BJP win Tripura". The Times of India.
- Ali, Syed Sajjad (16 February 2018). "Cong. committed to Tripura" – via www.thehindu.com.
- "Strong Left necessary for India: Congress leader Jairam Ramesh". 4 March 2018.
- "Exit polls predict BJP may win Tripura, consolidate position in Meghalaya and Nagaland". Times of India. Retrieved 27 January 2018.
- PTI (1 March 2018). "Tripura awaits election results as exit polls fail to give clear picture". Live Mint. Retrieved 1 March 2018.
- "Gym instructor-turned-politician Biplab Kumar Deb likely to be Tripura CM - Rediff.com India News". www.rediff.com.
- "Defeat in Tripura should be viewed with seriousness: CPM".
- "What lessons the Tripura elections verdict holds for the Left". www.dailyo.in.
- "Left making lame attempt to hide loss in Tripura: Ram Madhav - Republic World". Retrieved 7 June 2018.
- "BJP wins Tripura's Charilam assembly contested by Deputy CM after post-poll violence delayed counting - Latest News & Updates at Daily News & Analysis". 15 March 2018. Retrieved 7 June 2018.
- http://ceotripura.nic.in/Docs/Form20_AC19.pdf
- "Polling underway in Charilam Assembly seat in Tripura". India Today. Retrieved 7 June 2018.