2021 Salvadoran legislative election
Legislative elections will be held in El Salvador in 2021 to elect the 84 members of the Legislative Assembly and 262 mayors.[1]
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All 84 seats in the Legislative Assembly 43 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Map template of the election. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Electoral system
The 84 members of the Legislative Assembly are elected by open list proportional representation from 14 multi-member constituencies based on the departments, with seats allocated using the largest remainder method.[2]
Parties
Parliamentary parties
Name | Ideology | Leader | 2018 result | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes (%) | Seats | |||||
ARENA | Nationalist Republican | National conservatism | Erick Salguero | 41.72% | 37 / 84 | |
FMLN | Farabundo Martí | Socialism | Óscar Ortiz | 24.54% | 23 / 84 | |
GANA | Grand Alliance | Conservatism | Andrés Rovira | 11.45% | 10 / 84 | |
PCN | National Coalition | Nationalism | Manuel Rodriguez | 10.87% | 9 / 84 | |
PDC | Christian Democratic | Christian democracy | Rodolfo Parker | 5.11% | 3 / 84 | |
CD | Democratic Change | Social democracy | Douglas Avilés | 0.94% | 1 / 84 | |
Non-parliamentary parties
Name | Ideology | Leader | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
V | Let's go | Centrism | Josué Alvarado | |
N | New Ideas | Conservatism | Nayib Bukele | |
NT | Our Time | Humanism | John Tennant Wright Sol | |
DS | Salvadoran Democracy | Humanism | Adolfo Salume Artiñano |
Retiring MPs
Ten incumbents did not run for re-election in 2021. Those incumbents are:
Party | Retirements | Department | Term | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Nationalist Republican Alliance | Norman Quijano | San Salvador | May 1, 2018 – April 30, 2021 | |
Milena Mayorga | ||||
Patricia Valdivieso | May 1, 2015 – April 30, 2021 | |||
Alejandrina Castro | May 1, 2012 – April 30, 2021 | |||
Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front | Karina Sosa | |||
Nationalist Republican Alliance | Gustavo Escalante | La Libertad | ||
Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front | Manuel Flores | |||
Audelia López | Chalatenango | |||
Margarita López | Santa Ana | |||
Rodolfo Martínez | San Miguel |
Opinion polls
The following table lists estimates of intention to vote nationwide. Refusals are generally excluded from those of the party's vote, while the wording of the questions and the treatment of the answers "I don't know" and those that do not intend to vote may vary among the voting organizations. When available, seating projections are shown below the percentages in a smaller source.
Graphical summary
Voting intention estimates
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Lead | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CEC-UFG | 13–17 Jan 2021 | – | 64.7 | 7.1 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 57.6 | |
CID-Gallup | 16 Dec 2020 | – | 70 60 |
6 10 |
5 2 |
9 6 |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 61 | |
CEOP-FUNDAUNGO | 17 Nov–5 Dec 2020 | 2,159 | 60.3 | 4.9 | 2.7 | 4.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | – | 0.3 | 0.5 | 55.4 | |
IUDOP | 10-24 Nov 2020 | 911 | 69.7 58 |
4.9 5 |
6.5 4 |
3.3 2 |
0.3 1 |
– | – | 0.3 1 |
0.3 1 |
44.8 | |
CIPSECA | 20–25 Oct 2020 | – | 59 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 2.4 | – | 0.2 | 0.2 | 45.0 | |
UFG | 14 Sep 2020 | – | 48 | 4.3 | 3.3 | 6.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 41.9 | |
TResearch | 23–27 Jul 2020 | 1,000 | 70.4 | 5 | 4.4 | 3.1 | – | – | – | 1.7 | 0.8 | 65.4 | |
CID-Gallup | 16 Jan 2020 | – | 37 | 10 | 3 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 27 | |
CEC-UFG | 7–11 Jan 2020 | 1,292 | 48.2 | 5.9 | 2.6 | 3.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | – | 0.2 | 0.1 | 42.3 | |
IUDOP-UCA | 22 Nov–3 Dec 2019 | 1,265 | 42.4 | 6.9 | 5.2 | 3.7 | – | – | – | – | – | 35.5 | |
CID-Gallup | 19 Sep 2019 | 1,206 | 35 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 1 | – | – | – | – | 27 | |
UFG Datos | 1–5 Sep 2019 | 1,500 | 38.7 | 9 | 3.9 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | – | 0.2 | 0.4 | 29.7 | |
LPG Datos | 21–26 Aug 2019 | 1,520 | 32.4 | 9.3 | 5.1 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 | – | – | 23.1 | |
2019 presidential election | 3 Feb 2019 | 2,733,178 | – | 31.7 | 14.4 | 53.1 | – | – | – | 0.7 | – | 21.4 | |
CID-Gallup | 29 Sep 2018 | – | – | 22 | 13 | 39 | 4 | 3 | – | – | – | 17 | |
IUDOP-UCA | 22 May 2018 | 1,263 | 38.5 | 30 | 8.9 | 1 | – | – | – | – | – | 8.5 | |
2018 legislative election | 4 Mar 2018 | 2,318,754 | – | 41.7 | 24.5 | 11.4 | 10.8 | 5.1 | 0.9 | – | – | 17.2 | |
Conduct
Controversial discussion between Olivo and Bukele
The Magistrate of the Supreme Electoral Tribunal, Julio Olivo Granadino, has declared himself an opponent of the Government of the President, Nayib Bukele.[3] For this new magistracy in the TSE, Olivo was the first candidate of the preselection proposed by the FMLN. His appointment to said institution faced a lawsuit of unconstitutionality, presented by the constitutional lawyer Salvador Enrique Anaya.
New Ideas candidates refused registration
Through its social networks, the New Ideas political party denounced that the Electoral Board (JED), of the Supreme Electoral Tribunal (TSE), in Cabañas refused to register its candidates so that they could participate in the elections.[4]
References
- Big Victory Comes With Big Expectations for El Salvador’s Young New President World Politics Review, 11 February 2019
- El Salvador Election Passport
- "TSE Magistrate, Julio Olivo declares himself a political opponent of the Government of Nayib Bukele". diariolahuella.com. Retrieved 26 October 2020.
- "They denounce that the Departmental Electoral Board of the TSE in Cabañas does not want to register candidates from New Ideas". diariolahuella.com. Retrieved 17 November 2020.