Brandon East

Brandon East is a provincial electoral division in the Canadian province of Manitoba. It encompasses half of the City of Brandon, the other half being represented in Brandon West.

Brandon East

Manitoba electoral district
Provincial electoral district
Legislature	Legislative Assembly of Manitoba
MLA	Len Isleifson Progressive Conservative
District created	1968
First contested	1969
Last contested	2019
Demographics
Census subdivision(s)	Brandon

Historical riding

The original riding of Brandon East existed from 1886 to 1888, when the City of Brandon was divided into two electoral districts for the first time. The city was re-established as a single riding in 1888.

Current riding

The modern riding of Brandon East was created in 1968, when the City of Brandon was again divided into two separate ridings. It has formally existed since the provincial election of 1969.

The riding borders on Brandon West to the west, and by Minnedosa in all other directions. Brandon itself is the second-largest city in Manitoba (after Winnipeg), and is located in the southwestern region of the province.

Brandon East's population in 1996 was 19,850. In 1999, the average family income was $40,233, and the unemployment rate was 8.60%. The service sector accounts for 19% of the riding's industry, followed by retail trade at 15% and health and social services at 14%. Eleven per cent of the riding's residents are aboriginal.

Brandon East had been held by the New Democratic Party since its creation. This changed at the 2016 election, at which time Progressive Conservative candidate Len Isleifson defeated the NDP incumbent Drew Caldwell.

At the 2015 federal elections, according to Elections Canada data, Brandon East voted heavily Liberal.[1] A provincial riding opinion poll in December 2015 showed Brandon East to be a Conservative/Liberal marginal with the NDP trailing a poor third.[2]

List of provincial representatives

Assembly	Years	Member		Party
6th	1886-1888		James A. Smart	Liberal
Riding abolished until from 1888-1969
29th	1969-1973		Len Evans	New Democratic
30th	1973-1977
31st	1977-1981
32nd	1981-1986
33rd	1986-1988
34th	1988-1990
35th	1990-1995
36th	1995-1999
37th	1999-2003		Drew Caldwell
38th	2003-2007
39th	2007-2011
40th	2011-2016
41st	2016–2019		Len Isleifson	Progressive Conservative
42nd	2019-present

Opinion polls

Polling Firm	Last Date of Polling	Link	NDP	PC	Liberal	Green	Other
Probe Research Inc	December 19, 2015	PDF	18	41	38		3
Probe Research Inc	January, 2015	PDF	28	40	26		6

Election Results

2019 Manitoba general election
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Progressive Conservative	Len Isleifson	3,272	51.3%	-0.86	$36,318.38
	New Democratic	Lonnie Patterson	2,311	36.2%	+0.17	$18,637.37
	Liberal	Kim Longstreet	788	12.5%	+0.70	$3,151.46
Total valid votes/Expense Limit			6,529	100.0	–	$47,973
Source: Elections Manitoba[3][4][5]

2016 Manitoba general election
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Progressive Conservative	Len Isleifson	3,669	52.16	+13.61	$36,772.89
	New Democratic	Drew Caldwell	2,534	36.03	-18.92	$12,132.70
	Liberal	Vanessa Hamilton	830	11.80	+7.82	$2,810.27
Total valid votes/Expense limit			7,033	100.0		$
Eligible voters			–
Source: Elections Manitoba[6][7][8]

2011 Manitoba general election
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	New Democratic	Drew Caldwell	3,864	54.95		$14,503.88
	Progressive Conservative	Mike Waddell	2,711	38.55		$26,300.48
	Liberal	Shaun Cameron	280	3.98		$1,479.21
	Green	Vanda Fleury	177	2.52		$0.00
Total valid votes			7,032	100.00
Rejected and declined votes			35	0.50
Turnout			7,067	53.12
Electors on the lists			13,305
Source: Elections Manitoba[9]

[10]

2007 Manitoba general election
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	New Democratic	Drew Caldwell	3,760	53.95	−8.09	$19,216.70
	Progressive Conservative	Mike Waddell	2,655	38.10	+5.46	$26,503.06
	Liberal	Cheryl Burke	554	7.95	+3.56	$5,462.24
Total valid votes			6,969	100.00
Rejected and declined votes			31
Turnout			7,000	58.72	+6.06
Electors on the lists			11,921
Source: Elections Manitoba[11]

[12]

2003 Manitoba general election
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	New Democratic	Drew Caldwell	3,870	62.04	+0.76	$14,549.00
	Progressive Conservative	Greg Dinsdale	2,036	32.64	+6.30	$13,316.52
	Liberal	Scott Brigden	274	4.39	−1.35	$1,771.36
	Communist	Lisa Gallagher	58	0.93		$436.91
Total valid votes			6,238	100.00
Rejected and declined ballots			26
Turnout			6,264	52.66	−11.69
Electors on the lists			11,895

[13]

1999 Manitoba general election
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	New Democratic	Drew Caldwell	4,840	61.28		$18,137.00
	Progressive Conservative	Marty Snelling	2,080	26.34		$25,283.41
	Independent	Don Jessiman	525	6.65		$1,040.69
	Liberal	Peter Logan	453	5.74	–	$4,017.07
Total valid votes			7,898	100.00
Rejected and declined ballots			57
Turnout			7,955	64.35
Electors on the lists			12,362

[14]

References

1. CBC "2015 federal election: How did your Manitoba neighbours vote?" 2 March 2016
2. Probe Research, December 2015
3. "Election Candidate And Registered Party Election Expense Limits - Final Expense Limit" (PDF). Elections Manitoba. Elections Manitoba. Retrieved 2 March 2020.
4. "Summary of Votes Received: 42nd General Election" (PDF). Elections Manitoba. Elections Manitoba. Retrieved 2 March 2020.
5. "Candidate Election Returns". Elections Manitoba. Elections Manitoba. Retrieved 2 March 2020.
6. "Candidates: 41st General Election". Elections Manitoba. 29 March 2016. Retrieved 31 March 2016.
7. "41ST GENERAL ELECTION, APRIL 19, 2016 - OFFICIAL RESULTS". Elections Manitoba. 12 April 2016. Retrieved 10 November 2016.
8. "Election Returns: 41st General Election". Elections Manitoba. 2016. Retrieved 11 September 2018.
9. "Election Returns: 40th General Election". Elections Manitoba. 2011. Retrieved 11 September 2018.
10. "Results of 40th General Election, 2011". Elections Manitoba. Retrieved 2013-12-03.
11. "Election Returns: 39th General Election". Elections Manitoba. 2007. Retrieved 11 September 2018.
12. "Results of 39th General Election, 2007". Elections Manitoba. Retrieved 2013-12-03.
13. "Brandon East — Official Results — 2003 Provincial General Election". Elections Manitoba. 2003-06-03. Archived from the original on 2012-03-01. Retrieved 2013-12-03.
14. "Results of 37th General Election, 1999". Elections Manitoba. Retrieved 2013-12-03.