Opinion polling for the 2019 Ukrainian presidential election

In the run up to the 2019 Ukrainian presidential election, various organisations carrIed out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Ukraine. The results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these polls are from the previous presidential election to 31 March 2019. On 26 November 2018, Ukraine's parliament set the presidential vote for 31 March 2019.[1][2]

First round

Graphical summaries

Exit polls

Pollster Title Polling stations Margin
of error
[1]
Sample
size
[2]
Zelensky
SP
Poroshenko
Ind.
Razumkov Centre, Foundation "Democratic Initiatives" & KIIS National Exit Poll 2019 300 ± 3.0 pp 13,000 73.2 25.3
TSN Ukrainian Exit Poll for 31 March 2019 600 ± 0.7 pp 20,000 72.7 27.3
Global Management Association, The Independent All-Ukrainian exit poll New Image Marketing Group 500 ± 1.7 pp 16,000 73.7 26.3
PPI Exit-poll PPI 11.100 586,677 75.2 23.1
Pollster Title Polling stations Margin
of error
[1]
Sample
size
[2]
Zelensky
SP
Poroshenko
Ind.
Tymoshenko
FA
Boyko
Ind.
Hrytsenko
GP
Lyashko
RP
Vilkul
OB-PDP
Smeshko
Ind.
Koshul.
Svoboda
Shevch.
UKROP
Decided[3]
TSN Ukrainian Exit Poll for 31 March 2019 600 ± 0.7 pp 20,000 30.1 18.5 14.0 9.1 7.6 5.0 3.7 6.6
SM, 112 Chanel, NewsOne, SORA, UISR Ukrainian Exit Poll for 31 March 2019 500 ± 2.1 pp 26,548 30.9 18.8 13.7 10.0 7.4 4.2 3.3 6.6 2.0 0.5
Razumkov Centre, Foundation "Democratic Initiatives" & KIIS National Exit Poll 2019 400 ± 2.5 pp 19,431 30.6 17.8 14.2 9.7 7.1 4.7 4.0 6.5 1.7 0.5
SOCIS SOCIS Exit Poll 430 ± 0.8 pp 15,405 29.3 19.2 13.8 9.2 7.9 4.6 3.3 6.7 2.3 0.6

2019

Pollster Date Margin
of error
[1]
Sample
size
[2]
Zelensky
SP
Tymoshenko
FA
Poroshenko
Ind.
Boyko
Ind.
Hrytsenko
GP
Lyashko
RP
Vilkul
OB-PDP
Smeshko
Ind.
Koshul.
Svoboda
Shevch.
UKROP
Decided[4]
Rating 22.03.19 – 27.03.19 ± 1.8 pp 3,000 26.6 17.2 17.2 9.5 9.8 5.4 4.0 3.5 1.9 0.9 77
Razumkov Centre 21.03.19 – 26.03.19 ± 2.3 pp 2,017 24.8 14.8 22.1 10.0 8.2 6.0 4.6 3.7 1.5 1.5 75
Foundation "Democratic Initiatives", KIIS 20.03.19 – 26.03.19 ± 3.7 pp 1,600 27.6 12.8 18.2 11.1 8.4 5.2 4.0 4.4 1.7 0.5 64
IAP 19.03.19 – 26.03.19 ± 2.2 pp 2,000 29.0 18.7 16.5 12.6 8.9 4.3 3.2 1.8 1.5 1.1 71
UICI, SM 18.03.19 – 26.03.19 ± 1.7 pp 4,040 29.1 16.0 15.3 8.4 9.0 5.7 6.1 2.9 1.9 1.6 68
Info Sapiens for Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research 16.03.19 – 25.03.19 ± 4.0 pp 1,075 27 15 19 11 10 4 2 3 1 81
BDM 16.03.19 – 23.03.19 ± 1.6 pp 5,013 25.7 18.8 12.7 7.6 11.3 5.2 8.6 1.5 - 2.5 70
KIIS 14.03.19 – 22.03.19 ± 3.3 pp 2,004 32.1 12.5 17.1 10.4 6.9 5.2 5.7 4.4 1.2 0.7
Found UP 18.03.19 – 20.03.19 ± 3.0 pp 1,486 18.9 17.2 15.9 7.9 9.2 10.6 9.1 - - - 73
UCI, SM 11.03.19 – 18.03.19 ± 2.2 pp 2,047 29.4 17.2 14.9 10.4 10.7 5.8 4.9 2.1 1.8 -
SC of M.Dragomanov 09.03.19 – 18.03.19 ± 2.3 pp 1,800 20.5 12.1 17.3 8.4 7.7 5.5 3.7 4.3 3.5 2.1 75
PPI 16.03.19 – 17.03.19 ± 1.5pp 164,590 34.0 12.9 14.2 11.1 6.1 6.6 4.6 2.1 1.3 1.3 80
IAP 08.03.19 – 16.03.19 ± 2.2 pp 2,016 26.5 18.6 17.1 13.8 8.8 4.8 2.8 1.2 1.4 1.5 63
Rating 09.03.19 – 15.03.19 ± 2.0 pp 2,500 24.9 18.8 17.4 10.2 9.4 5.8 3.5 3.1 2.2 1.3 6
16.03.2019 - Taruta withdraws to support Tymoshenko[5]
Total
Rating
Razumkov Centre
KIIS
05.03.19 – 14.03.19 ± 0.8 pp 15,000 27.7 16.6 16.4 8.4 9.7 5.3 4.0 3.7 1.6 1.3 68
26.6 17.3 16.1 8.3 10.0 5.7 3.9 3.5 - - -
26.2 16.8 16.8 7.8 10.6 5.2 4.3 3.6 - - -
31.4 15.8 16.5 9.3 8.6 5.3 3.8 4.1 - - -
SOCIS, Yanus 09.03.19 – 14.03.19 ± 2.1 pp 2,000 29.6 13.8 19.2 10.0 9.0 5.9 3.1 2.8 1.4 1.5 62
BDM 08.03.19 – 13.03.19 ± 2.2 pp 2,016 25.9 17.9 13.3 6.1 9.8 6.2 7.9 1.0 0.8 3.3 66
USP 07.03.19 – 13.03.19 ± 2.2 pp 2,000 24.9 19.0 17.3 9.0 10.6 5.4 3.1 2.5 1.2 2.0 76
SOFIA 04.03.19 – 11.03.19 ± 2.2 pp 2,014 23.1 14.7 12.4 12.0 7.4 4.5 2.1 2.4 1.6 1.4
Found UP 04.03.19 – 10.03.19 ± 1.5 pp 3,986 23.5 15.9 15.8 8.2 9.1 10.5 9.1 3.5 - - 61
SOCIS 05.03.19 – 10.03.19 ± 2.1 pp 2,000 27.7 14.8 19.6 9.6 8.2 4.8 2.8 3.4 2.3 1.6 56.4
Rating 01.03.19 – 07.03.19 ± 1.5 pp 5,000 24.7 18.3 16.8 9.9 10.3 5.7 2.7 3.3 1.4 1.3
Info Sapiens for Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research 23.02.19 – 04.03.19 ± 3.6 pp 1,308 24 13 20 8 8 6
Pollster Date Margin
of error
[1]
Sample
size
[2]
Zelensky
SP
Tymoshenko
FA
Poroshenko
Ind.
Boyko
Ind.
Hrytsenko
GP
Lyashko
RP
Sadovyi
OS
Vilkul
OB-PDP
Murayev
"Ours"
Shevch.
UKROP
Smeshko
Ind.
Koshul.
Svoboda
Decided[6]
07.03.2019 - Dobrodomov withdraws to support Hrytsenko[7]
07.03.2019 - Kryvonos withdraws to support Poroshenko[8]
07.03.2019 - Murayev withdraws to support Vilkul[9]
03.03.2019 - Hnap withdraws to support Hrytsenko[10]
01.03.2019 - Sadovyi withdraws to support Hrytsenko[11]
UCI, SM 20.02.19 – 01.03.19 ± 2.1 pp 2,197 25.2 16.9 17.5 9.3 7.2 4.4 3.0 2.3 3.9 2.2 2.6 1.1
Rating 19.02.19 – 28.02.19 ± 2.0 pp 2,500 25.1 16.2 16.6 11.3 7.7 5.6 3.0 1.5 2.5 1.8 2.5 1.7
IAP 18.02.19 – 27.02.19 ± 2.2 pp 2,022 25.2 17.9 15.4 13.8 7.0 4.9 2.6 2.6 2.6 1.7 1.3 1.3 64
Sofia 20.02.19 – 26.02.19 ± 2.2 pp 2,012 22.9 19.3 15.1 14.0 8.0 5.4 2.6 2.1 3.1 2.4 1.0 65
UCI, SM 16.02.19 – 23.02.19 ± 2.2 pp 2,047 27.3 18.8 18.2 10.9 8.8 6.1 4.0 2.6 3.9 1.7 2.4 0.8 63
BDM 14.02.19 – 19.02.19 ± 2.2 pp 2,074 20.0 17.8 12.0 6.4 7.1 8.6 3.9 5.7 4.5 4.8 2.3 1.9 66
SOCIS 08.02.19 – 18.02.19 ± 2.1 pp 2,000 24.7 15.9 19.2 10.7 6.9 6.5 3.3 1.1 1.8 3.9 2.7 0.9 64
PPI 16.02.19 ± 0.5 pp 46,227 30.1 15.4 15.2 10.5 4.9 5.9 3.1 2.3 1.7 1.8 1.2 75
Sociopolis 08.02.19 – 15.02.19 ± 2.0 pp 2,409 25.1 15.4 14.6 10.3 8.2 5.9 2.3 2.0 2.7 1.8 1.6 - 64
Razumkov Centre 07.02.19 – 14.02.19 ± 2.3 pp 2,016 19.0 13.8 16.8 7.1 7.3 4.8 2.2 1.8 1.7 1.6 2.2 0.9 74
KIIS 31.01.19 – 10.02.19 ± 3.3 pp 2,007 26.9 15.8 17.7 9.8 6.1 6.6 2.3 1.6 2.9 2.2 2.4 1.3 60
Found UP 28.01.19 – 10.02.19 ± 1.5 pp 4,851 18.2 15.2 15.6 7.2 6.1 12.2 3.1 7.4 3.2 3.2 - 48
Pollster Date Margin
of error
[1]
Sample
size
[2]
Zelensky
SP
Tymoshenko
FA
Poroshenko
Ind.
Boyko
Ind.
Hrytsenko
GP
Lyashko
RP
Vilkul
OB-PDP
Sadovyi
OS
Murayev
"Ours"
Shevch.
UKROP
Vakarchuk
Ind.
Koshul.
Svoboda
Smeshko
Ind.
Decided[12]
08.02.2019 - CEC finishes registering candidates[13]
Info Sapiens for Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research 01.02.19 – 07.02.19 ± 2.3 pp 1,759 28 15 18 9 8 6 2 3 1 1 1 1 -
BDM 01.02.19 – 06.02.19 ± 1.6 pp 4,073 17.0 21.3 10.8 4.5 8.9 9.7 5.7 3.8 5.4 4.6 - 1.8 1.8 63
SC of M.Dragomanov 25.01.19 – 02.02.19 ± 2.3 pp 1,800 18.2 14.5 17.2 8.4 5.2 4.5 3.7 3.9 3.5 2.1 2.7 0.5 2 73
Found UP 18.01.19 – 31.01.19 ± 2.5 pp 5,520 18.5 17.1 16.9 8.4 6.9 11.9 8.7 2.0 2.3 2.1 - 54
Rating, Info Sapiens, SM 19.01.19 – 30.01.19 ± 1.0 pp 10,000 21.9 19.2 14.8 10.4 8.4 6.5 1.8 2.4 3.4 2.2 - 1.0 63
USP 27.01.19 – 29.01.19 ± 2.0 pp 2,500 17.6 20.2 11.9 12.8 9.4 7.2 3.9 3.6 3.2 3.2 - 2.3 71
SOCIS, KIIS, Razumkov Centre 16.01.19 – 29.01.19 ± 0.9 pp 11,000 23.0 15.7 16.4 9.3 8.1 6.7 2.4 3.4 2.7 3.5 - 1.3 66
Rating 16.01.19 – 24.01.19 ± 1.3 pp 6,000 19.0 18.2 15.1 10.0 8.5 7.0 2.6 2.7 3.6 2.9 2.4 1.5 62
29.01.2019 - Poroshenko announces he will seek re-election[14]
28.01.2019 - Vakarchuk declines to participate in election[15]
IAP 17.01.19 – 25.01.19 ± 2.2 pp 2,004 12.6 20.2 11.9 11.9 10.7 9.0 - 4.7 2.4 4.1 - - 61
Active Group 18.01.19 – 22.01.19 ± 2.2 pp 5,000 20.5 20.8 14.4 4.8 6.8 7.6 5.0 3.8 2.8 2.1 2.5 1.9 54
SC of M.Dragomanov 10.01.19 – 17.01.19 ± 2.3 pp 1,800 9.4 17.4 17.1 5.4 5.3 10.1 2.6 5.1 0.9 3.8 2.7 0.6 68
BDM 03.01.19 – 14.01.19 ± 2.2 pp 2,123 13.6 22.6 10.3 4.7 9.3 9.5 5.6 3.5 5.9 3.9 3.6 2.0 61

2018

After Kerch Strait incident
Pollster Date Margin
of error
[1]
Sample
size
[2]
Tymoshenko
FA
Zelensky
SP
Poroshenko
BPP-S
Boyko
OP-FL
Hrytsenko
GP
Lyashko
RP
Vakarchuk
Ind.
Sadovyi
OS
Murayev
"Ours"
Shevch.
UKROP
Vilkul
OB
Koshul.
Svoboda
Decided[16]
31.12.2018 - Presidential campaign begins[17]
IAP 26.12.18 – 04.01.19 ± 2.2 pp 2,016 19.3 12.9 11.3 11.6 11.1 9.1 - 4.5 2.9 4.2 2.8 63
Found UP 17.12.18 – 04.01.19 ± 2.5 pp 5,312 18.1 12.8 15.1 6.2 8.1 13.5 3.2 2.2 4.8 3.0 6.3 1.6 69
Rating for IRI 13.12.18 – 27.12.18 ± 2.0 pp 2,400 19 13 13 11 10 8 3 3 4 5 - 1 53
UCI, SM 16.12.18 – 22.12.18 ± 2.2 pp 2,045 18.6 15.0 10.7 11.8 11.2 8.3 4.6 4.7 5.4 4.2 1.9 0.6 57
KIIS 30.11.18 – 14.12.18 ± 2.2 pp 2,034 18.4 17.0 10.9 9.9 8.6 11.2 4.3 2.7 3.7 5.1 1.6 0.3 62
21.4 21.9 11.8 14.2 12.4 13.0 sup.Hryts. sup.Hryts. sup.Boyko sup.Zel. sup.Boyko 1.0
21.9 21.9 12.1 14.5 sup.Vakar. 14.0 10.1 sup.Vakar. sup.Boyko sup.Zel. sup.Boyko 0.4
21.7 23.3 11.8 14.9 sup.Sadovyi 14.0 sup.Sadovyi 8.7 sup.Boyko sup.Zel. sup.Boyko 0.7
SOCIS 16.12.18 – 25.12.18 ± 2.2 pp 2,003 19.3 12.5 14.4 8.1 9.6 9.5 4.1 4.6 3.4 5.5 1.5 1.3 62
SOFIA 16.12.18 – 25.12.18 ± 2.3 pp 2,017 20.3 13.6 11.2 13.1 9.5 7.6 3.7 3.5 4.8 4.0 2.4 0.2 64
DI & Razumkov Centre 19.12.18 – 25.12.18 ± 2.3 pp 2,017 19.0 11.5 15.5 9.8 8.0 7.8 3.4 3.0 3.8 3.7 2.3 0.9 59
SC of M.Dragomanov 12.12.18 – 21.12.18 ± 2.3 pp 1,800 17.3 11.9 14.4 6.4 7.1 5.6 5.1 2.7 2.3 3.7 - -
Rating 16.11.18 – 10.12.18 ± 0.5 pp 40,000 20.8 13.4 11.1 9.6 7.8 6.6 4.6 2.8 4.5 4.2 - 1.2 61
IAP, Socioprognoz 07.12.18 – 18.12.18 ± 2.3 pp 2,022 24.5 - 13.1 13.1 12.7 10.8 - 6.4 3.4 4.3 - - 61
Fond UP 10.12.18 – 18.12.18 ± 2.5 pp 5,488 17.3 12.0 14.0 7.3 10.4 13.2 3.1 2.1 5.3 3.0 6.9 1.6 60
BDM 01.12.18 – 13.12.18 ±1.6 pp 4,053 21.8 11.8 8.3 6.2 8.5 7.8 6.5 3.8 6.5 4.0 4.7 2.5 62
UCI, SM 01.12.18 – 10.12.18 ± 2.1 pp 2,198 20.7 12.3 11.3 11.6 12.0 8.5 3.9 5.7 6.4 4.1 1.8 0.8 75
23.5 - 13.5 15.2 14.1 10.1 - 7.3 7.1 - 2.4 67
KIIS 23.11.18 – 03.12.18 ± 3.3 pp 2,000 21.2 14.6 11.6 11.0 8.2 8.7 3.8 2.2 4.1 3.9 1.6 0.9 56
Fond UP 01.11.18 – 30.11.18 ± 2.5 pp 4,512 19.5 9.6 14.3 9.1 7.8 12.6 4.0 2.8 6.8 3.0 4.5 0.6 60
BURI 26.11.18 – 01.12.18 ± 2.2 pp 2,020 18.1 8.7 14.5 17.9 7.6 8.0 6.6 2.3 - 2.2 4.5 2.9 65
Rating 29.09.18 – 14.10.18 ± 2.0 pp 2,400 21 12 12 9 11 6 6 3 3 1 - 65
USF 11.18 ± 2.0 pp 2,500 22.4 11.8 10.5 4.5 10.8 7.5 - 3.6 6.2 3.3 - -
In 2018
Pollster Date
Tymoshenko
FA
Hrytsenko
GP
Boyko
Ind.
Vakarchuk
Ind.
Zelensky
SP
Poroshenko
BPP-S
Lyashko
RP
Rabinovich
FL
Sadovyi
OS
Tyahnybok
Svoboda
Murayev
"Ours"
Taruta
"Osnova"
Nalyv.
"Justice"
Bezsm.
ind.
Vilkul
ind.
Decided[18]
Before Kerch Strait incident
Sociopolis 08.11.18 – 16.11.18 21.8 9.1 9.1 7.3 13.9 9.2 5.9 5.3 3.4 1.2 4.7 1.2 1.1 2.1 - 67
Sofia 19.11.18 – 22.11.18 20.3 9.0 17.6 7.3 9.9 10.3 6.7 - 3.9 1.5 3.5 1.0 1.1 0.6 1.9 57
SC of M.Dragomanov 27.10.18 – 04.11.18 20.1 9.6 8.8 6.8 13.3 15.1 7.2 3.6 3.1 4.9 - - - - 50
BDM 01.11.18 – 13.11.18 17.2 6.8 8.1 6.5 8.9 9.5 7.2 3.8 4.0 2.7 5.1 2.2 2.2 1.3 2.7 62
KIIS, Rating, Razumkov Centre 16.10.18 – 02.11.18 20.7 9.9 8.7 5.5 11.4 10.3 7.6 3.7 2.9 0.7[19] 5.1 1.3 1.4 1.4 - 64
Rating for IRI 29.09.18 – 14.10.18 20 11 10 5 12 12 6 6 3 3 - 1 1 1 1 50
BURI 25.10.18 – 31.10.18 16.3 7.2 11.4 5.6 7.3 12.3 6.6 7.6 2.3 - - - - - 70
KIIS, Rating, UICI, SM 18.09.18 – 16.10.18 18.9 9.9 9.8 7.0 10.7 9.9 8.0 4.9 3.5 2.6 - 1.2 1.0 0.9 70
Practics of Government 10.18 21 10 7 6 12 13 6 7 4 2 3 - - - 70
Active Group 19.10.18 – 22.10.18 21.4 9.0 5.8 7.4 13.8 12.4 6.4 3.3 4.0 2.1 3.1 1.9 2.1 1.4 1.9 59
UIoPO 02.10.18 – 15.10.18 22.2 7.2 8.0 - - 17.6 7.9 3.7 3.9 - - - - - 59
Active Group 05.10.18 – 07.10.18 19.4 15.8 4.2 6.1 11.0 14.1 8.8 4.3 4.7 0.5 5.2 1.5 - - 59
BDM 01.10.18 – 11.10.18 16.0 6.4 7.3 4.3 8.7 9.2 8.4 4.8 2.8 2.6 6.9 2.0 2.5 0.8 3.1 61
Sofia 27.09.18 – 06.10.18 18.6 9.8 16.8 9.5 7.8 11.9 6.2 - 3.7 2.5 5.3 0.7 0.8 0.6 54
19.4 10.0 10.7 9.6 8.1 11.3 7.4 5.9 3.7 2.6 3.4 0.9 0.9 0.7 55
PPI 29.09.18 17.9 6.2 7.6 8.8 14.0 9.9 5.7 3.2 1.8 1.5 - 0.7 0.7 1.2 1.8 71
KIIS 08.09.18 – 23.09.18 19.3 10.9 8.1 8.4 11.8 11.9 6.7 7.5 4.2 1.6 - 1.0 0.5 1.0 52
KIIS (NDI) 07.18 20 12 10 8 9 11 6 4 - - - - - 47
Rating 10.09.18 – 18.09.18 20.2 10.1 8.7 7.6 11.9 10.4 8.0 8.3 3.7 2.9 - 1.8 1.7 1.1 64
IAP, UCI, SM 11.09.18 – 18.09.18 18.0 10.4 7.6 8.7 8.5 9.9 7.6 8.8 4.1 3.2 - 0.8 1.1 0.4 56
BDM 27.08.18 – 12.09.18 22.8 8.1 17.0 9.3 10.2 9.8 9.1 - [20] 1.5 - 2.3 2.1 - 54
SOCIS, KIIS & Razumkov Centre 30.08.18 – 09.09.18 19.1 11.1 10.6 11.3 11.7 12.5 7.7 6.4 3.3 2.4 - - - - 58
DI & Razumkov Centre 16.08.18 – 22.08.18 22.5 9.7 7.8 7.0 8.3 9.4 7.3 8.6 3.2 1.9 - 0.7 1.3 1.0 62
Seetaerget 26.07.18 – 17.08.18 17.9 13.8 11.2 9.1 9.8 6.2 3.4 1.7 - - 3.9 - 53
BDM 02.07.18 – 16.07.18 18.6 9.3 12.9 - 12.2 8.7 8.9 [21] 5.2 2.1 4.3 3.5 2.1 1.6 57
GFK 03.07.18 – 22.07.18 23.1 15.5 10.7 8.8 1.4 8.1 10.4 8.5 2.9 1.7 2.0 - - 1.0 41
BURI 25.07.18 – 31.07.18 17.9 16.5 14.0 - - 14.2 12.8 15.1 4.2 5.4 - - - - 57
UCI, SM 17.07.18 – 27.07.18 20.3 14.8 12.3 - - 8.3 10.3 8.0 4.7 4.1 - - - - 51
Rating 20.07.18 – 03.08.18 17.7 10.7 8.9 8.0 8.0 8.3 8.5 5.9 2.3 2.1 - 0.9 1.9 1.7 62
BDM 12.07.18 – 25.07.18 16.9 11.5 11.0 7.2 9.7 7.4 9.6 3.2 4.7 2.6 6.1 2.0 - 1.3 56
Practics of Government 31.05.18 – 01.07.18 16 14 6 9 11 13 5 5 - 4 - - - - 55
IAP, UCI, SM 07.07.18 – 11.07.18 20.5 13.1 10.9 - - 9.4 6.8 10.9 4.6 4.3 - - 1.2 54
BDM 27.06.18 – 10.07.18 16.4 11.6 11.8 9.6 8.7 6.8 9.4 5.9 3.9 3.3 - 2.0 - 1.7 55
18.8 13.7 19.4 10.5 9.7 7.7 11.1 - 5.3 3.8 - - - - 50
Rating 22.06.18 – 05.07.18 17.1 9.7 8.9 6.8 8.5 7.8 8.1 3.7 2.2 2.6 4.2 1.5 - 1.2 51
Gfk 30.06.18 – 08.07.18 18 11 9 11 12 9 9 6 2 2 2 2 - 2 56
Sofia 18.06.18 – 29.06.18 16.2 10.5 12.1 9.2 10.2 11.7 10.0 6.7 5.5 3.8 - - - - 57
16.6 10.6 15.9 9.3 10.9 11.7 10.5 -[22] 5.5 3.8 - - - - 56
Pollster Date
Tymoshenko
FA
Boyko
OB
Poroshenko
BPP-S
Lyashko
RP
Groysman
BPP-S
Sadovyi
OS
Rabinovich
FL
Savchenko
Hrytsenko
GP
Tyahnybok
Svoboda
Vakarchuk
ind
Zelensky
SP
Decided[23]
Rating 14.06.18 – 24.06.18 15.9 10.5 8.6 8.6 - 3.4 7.6 - 11.7 2.8 8.6 9.3 52
KIIS 7.06.18 – 21.06.18 19.5 10.2 8.5 10.7 - 2.4 7.5 - 12.6 2.7 7.4 8.3 48
21.8 10.6 10.5 13.2 - 3.9 8.4 - 16.0 2.6 - - 39
BDM 2.06.18 – 14.06.18 17 13 10 9 - 6 6 - 9 4 9 7 55
SOCIS 11.05.18 – 22.05.18 13.7 8.3 12.4 7.1 - 4.1 5.0 - 10.4 3.0 10.8 9.8 69
DI & Razumkov Centre 19.05.18 – 25.05.18 19.4 12.3 11.1 10.8 3.2 5.1 8.0 1.3 13.7 4.4 8.2 7.3 52
BDM 12.05.18 – 24.05.18 20.7 21.9 8.4 12.1 5.3 - - 11.9 3.3 8.0 5.7 49
18.1 8.9 7.0 10.8 3.8 4.0 11.0 2.3 7.9 6.3 52
Sofia 19.04.18 – 30.04.18 15.4 13.7 13.3 10.8 - 6.6 7.3 2.3 11.9 3.5 9.2 - 61
KIIS 05.04.18 – 19.04.18 16.1 8.6 12.2 12.2 3.3 8.8 - 12.7 - 9.6 10.8 49
BDM 19.04.18 – 04.05.18 18.3 7.6 8.4 10.7 4.7 3.7 - 2.9 8.9 2.7 7.0 4.5 51
Socis 19.04.18 – 25.04.18 17.2 12.6 15.3 9.5 - 4.5 8.9 - 14.9 2.5 13.4 51
Rating 10.04.18 – 22.04.18 16.7 11.1 10.9 9.9 3.9 7.6 - 12.8 2.1 10.8 9.8 51
Socis, Yanus 01.04.18 – 14.04.18 16 10 15 9 - 7 8 - 17 3 16 51
BDM 01.04.18 – 14.04.18 24 11 10 11 - 9 - 6 5 4 58
BURI 19.03.18 – 30.03.18 12.2 5.7 11.6 8 6.4 4.4 9.1 6.7 6.1 8.6
Sofia 02.03.18 – 13.03.18 21 14 14 10 - 6 9 1 11 6 52
BDM 02.03.18 – 13.03.18 21 11 10 11 5 9 11 4 6 3 52
IAP, UCI, SM 06.03.18 – 18.03.18 23 12 15 11 - 8 12 - 12 4 43
KIIS 21.02.18 – 28.02.18 25 10 10 16 4 5 10 - 13 4 39

2017

In 2017
Pollster Date
Tymoshenko
FA
Boyko
OB
Poroshenko
BPP-S
Lyashko
RP
Groysman
BPP-S
Sadovyi
OS
Rabinovich
FL
Savchenko
Hrytsenko
GP
Tyahnybok
Svoboda
Vakarchuk
independent
Decided[24]
Rating 12.12.17 — 28.12.17 18.7 11.7 15.6 8.7 - 6.4 8.3 - 9.7 3.9 - 54
DI & Razumkov Centre 15.12.17 — 19.12.17 17.4 7.9 15.2 9.6 4.4 7.0 11.7 1.8 11.6 4.2
Rating 22.11.17 — 30.11.17 15.8 7.0 13.8 8.0 4.6 4.6 8.4 8.3 4.7 9.6 54
Sofia 01.12.17 — 10.12.17 18.4 13.4 18.8 6.8 - 6.3 9.7 - 9.0 2.9 11.6 68
KIIS 02.12.17 — 14.12.17 20.5 9.5 16.9 9.2 3.6 8.5 7.8 - 12.8 3.2 - 38
SOCIS, Rating, Razumkov Centre, KIIS 28.10.17 — 14.11.17 14.4 9.3 16.1 7.5 - 5.0 7.9 - 9.3 3.0 12.1 61
SOCIS 05.10.17 — 11.10.17 13.5 8.6 16.9 9.5 5.3 8.7 1.4 9.3 - 14.8 62
Sofia 05.10.17 — 13.10.17 18.0 13.3 13.9 7.4 2.2 6.9 7.3 0.8 8.8 3.4 3.8 56
Razumkov Centre 06.10.17 — 11.10.17 10.1 8.2 16.8 7.6 4.9 4.8 7.1 1.0 8.6 3.6 8.0 62
Sofia 04.09.17 —13.09.17 18.1 15.0 17.1 8.8 1.5 7.2 8.3 - 7.1 4.1 3.7 54
"Social Monitoring" & Yaremenko 20.08.17 —29.08.17 18.5 12.1 15.6 11.1 3.9 6.1 12.1 1.6 8.6 4.9 60
Rating 19.05.17 —25.05.17 15.2 8.5 11.6 8.5 2.4 6.6 7.8 1.8 7.2 3.9 3.8 67
Sofia 26.05.17 —01.06.17 14.0 13.1 13.4 9.5 - 5.7 7.8 2.3 8.4 3.5 5.7 62
Rating for FOCUS 22.05.17 —31.05.17 20.5 13.9 16.5 13.2 - 10.3 14.1 - 13.8 5.4 59
Rating 12.05.17 — 20.05.17 15.0 10.2 12.0 9.6 - 7.6 10.1 1.3 10.1 4.8 64
SOCIS 04.17 16 8 18 14 - 8 17 - 14 6 12 50
Razumkov Centre 21.04.17 — 26.04.17 12.5 7.7 13.5 10.3 4.5 5.8 10.6 3.2 11.8 3.8 62
Active Group 24.02.17 — 03.03.17 17.0 9.5 14.5 9.9 - 7.2 10.3 - 8.4 - -

2016

In 2016
Pollster Date
Tymoshenko
Poroshenko
Sadovyi
Savchenko
Boyko
Saakashvili
Lyashko
Hrytsenko
Tyahnybok
Groysman
Rabinovich
Decided[25]
2016
DI & Razumkov Centre 16.12.16 — 20.12.16 13.7 14.6 5.5 3.3 10.3 - 7.5 8.9 1.8 5.2 6.3 63
Rating 08.12.16 — 18.12.16 17.7 13.5 8.4 1.8 10.4 - 8.8 8.1 4.9 - 7.3 61
KIIS 03.12.16 — 12.12.16 18.1 12.5 5.5 2.7 11.9 - 8.3 7.5 4.4 1.6 9.3 56
UICI Social monitoring 24.11.16 — 02.12.16 18.7 18.7 10.2 0.5 11.9 1.5 10.0 7.8 5.4 3.7 10.3 59
Rating, SOCIS 24.11.16 — 02.12.16 14.6 14.7 6.8 2.4 10 - 9.2 7.8 3.1 - 9.2 66
Rating 10.11.16 — 17.11.16 17.7 14.3 7.3 2.4 10.2 - 9.9 8.2 4.5 - 7.5 60
KIIS 04.11.16 — 13.11.16 24 17.9 6.8 - 9.1 - 9.6 9.8 4.1 - 10.6 50
Razumkov Centre 04.11.16 — 09.11.16 13.8 19.4 6.8 - 11.3 - 7.2 5.9 3.3 3.8 - 62
CSI Sofia 26.08.16 - 05.09.16 16.9 15.4 8.7 - 15.0 5.4 9.7 7.8 3.8 58.5
Rating 18.08.16 — 23.08.16 17.7 10.7 8.9 5.6 11.5 - 9.8 7.5 4.3 60.5
Socio Stream AG 09.06.16-27.06.16 15.8 14.1 6.8 9.8 10.3 2.6 7.7 6.8 3.4 - 11.1 57
Gfk Ukraine 13.06.16-28.06.16 22 14 12 - 16 - 16 12 2 - - 50
SOFIA 29.06.16–08.07.16 16.1 13.3 9.5 12.9 15.8 7.2 7.5 5 2.8 0.7 55

2015

In 2015
Pollster Date
Tymoshenko
Poroshenko
Sadovyi
Boyko
Lyashko
Hrytsenko
Yarosh
Tihipko
Symonenko
Tyahnybok
Yatsenyuk
Klitschko
Decided[26] Other
2016
КМІС 20.05.16–02.06.16 24.3 14 12.9 11.8 12.5 9.8 2.6 3.9 39.8 8.1
КМІС 20.05.16–12.06.16 21.0 13.5 10.9 8.4 14.6 12.7 4.0 2.9 53 11.9
КМІС[27] 23.02.16–08.03.16 22.6 16.2 10.4 8.8 11.2 8.4 4 4 2.2 3.6 54.7 6.5
КМІС[28] 05.02.16–16.02.16 17.1 22.8 10.7 9.6 11.5 8.8 6.5 3.2 1.3 2.9 39.8 6.8
Rating[29] 14.01.16–22.01.16 13.6 22.3 12.4 10.4 5.4 5.5 3.1 3.5 6.1 1.0 63.0 16.8
2015
Rating[30] 03.10.15–12.10.15 15.5 25.5 9.0 12.4 6.6 6.0 4.4 3.3 4.2 0.7 65.8 12.3
КМІС[31] 17.09.15–27.09.15 20.5 25.3 8.6 8.8 7.7 8.1 7.9 2.4 54.1 10.7
КМІС[32] 27.06.15–09.07.15 25.6 26.9 7.9 4.4 8.5 8.5 5.7 2.2 2.4 1.3 54.3  6.7
Rating[33] 03.06.15–13.06.15 13.1 31.6 8.4 7.5 6.2 7.6 4.8 2.5 2.7 2.0 58.1 13.6
КМІС[34] 19.05.15–29.05.15 17.0 32.0 9.0 3.5 9.9 6.5 3.9 3.9 1.0 2.8 41.1  10.4
Razumkov Centre[35] 06.03.15 –12.03.15 6.1 31.8 10.7 6.2 6.1 5.9 4.2 3.6 4.3 1.8 4.7 0.8 61  13.8
КМІС[36] 26.02.15–11.03.15 11.6 35.2 11.4 2.8 7.7 7.1 5.0 2.4 1.6 2.5 5.2 63  7.4
2014
SOCIS 09.14 7 53 11 8 6 3 3
08.14 6 50 15 9 6 3 4
07.14 7 49 16 6 6 3 3
2014 elections 25.05.2014  12.81  54.70 0.19  8.32  5.48  0.70  5.23  1.51  1.16  60.3
2010 elections 17.01.2010  25.05  1.2  13.06  3.6  1.4 6.96 66.7

Second round

Poll Date Poroshenko Zelensky Hard to say /

against all

Will not vote
KMIC 9.04.19 – 14.04.19 17 48.4 28.3 6.3
Edison Research 11.04.19 – 13.04.19 30.9 55.1 11.6 2.3
Rating 5.04.19 – 10.04.19 20.8 51.0 17.8 10.3
Before the First round
SORA, СоцМоніторинг, УІСД 31.03.19 19.8 49.4 19.2 11.6
Razumkov Centre 21.03.19 – 26.03.19 22.7 36.5 31.2 9.6
Fama 16.03.19 – 22.03.19 19.2 40.1 23.5 17.2
КМІС 14.03.19 – 22.03.19 17.6 43.0 27.6 11.8
УІСД, СоцМоніторинг 11.03.19 – 18.03.19 18.2 41 18.2 22.5
Rating 9.03.19 – 15.03.19 19 39 19 23
Rating, КМІС, Razumkov Centre 5.03.19 – 14.03.19 18 39 20 23
Rating 19.02.19 – 28.02.19 24 42 15 19
УІСД, СоцМоніторинг[37] 16.02.19 – 23.02.19 20.5 38.1 16.0 25.4
Razumkov Centre 7.02.19 — 14.02.19 19.1 32.2 37.5 11.2
КМІС 31.01.19 — 10.02.19 18.1 39.6 29.4 12.9
DI & Razumkov Centre 19.12.18 – 25.12.18 17 22
КМІС 23.11.18 – 03.12.18 12 28
КМІС, Rating, Razumkov Centre 16.10.18 – 02.11.18 15 28
Pairs
Pollster Date
Zelensky
SP
Tymoshenko
FA
Poroshenko
Ind.
Boyko
Ind.
Hrytsenko
GP
Sociopolis 08.02.19 – 15.02.19
39 18
23 25
28 21
37 20
18 28
25 26
42 18
36 22
28 19
PPI 18.02.19
55 42
57 44
52 47
66 33
69 30
70 30
Razumkov Centre 07.02.19 – 14.02.19
22 20
28 18
32 19
Pairs
Pollster Date
Zelensky
SP
Tymoshenko
FA
Poroshenko
BPP-S
Boyko
Ind.
Hrytsenko
GP
Other
KIIS 31.01.19 – 10.02.19 27 19
40 18
36 22
25 21
23 20
29 16
Rating 16.01.19 – 24.01.19 29 18
29 24
34 20
33 17
28 18
23 21
Rating 13.12.18 – 27.12.18 26 13
23 24
29 14
Pairs
Pollster Date
Tymoshenko
FA
Hrytsenko
GP
Boyko
OB
Vakarchuk
ind
Zelensky
SP
Poroshenko
BPP-S
Other
BDM 03.01.19 – 14.01.19 26 12
26 24
25 17
27 14
26 16
30 13
26 11
DI & Razumkov Centre 19.12.18 – 25.12.18 22 17
20 21
22 16
20 21
22 15
14 20
24 12
Rating 16.11.18 – 10.12.18 29 15
29 16
26 21
25 26
KIIS 23.11.18 – 03.12.18 23 12
19 15
21 20
24 15
23 19
24 11
22 23
28 12
Sociopolis 08.11.18 – 16.11.18 19 30
23 15
28 19
16 25
28 12
26 24
22 27
26 12
26 21
32 13
25 28
27 12
BDM 01.11.18 – 13.11.18 25 12
15 16
21 16
25 16
24 11
12 26
22 18
22 14
15 25
KIIS, Rating, Razumkov Centre 16.10.18 – 02.11.18 29 14
29 16
27 20
26 23
20 17
26 14
28 15
KIIS, Rating, UICI, SM 18.09.18 – 16.10.18 33 14
25 27
31 15
20 20
30 17
31 16
Active Group 19.10.18 – 22.10.18 27 18
29 11
27 23
29 21
26 21
15 21
29 18
25 17
25 18
12 29
14 26
25 13
13 25
20 26
21 21
Pairs
Pollster Date
Tymoshenko
FA
Poroshenko
BPP-S
Boyko
OP
Hrytsenko
CP
PPI 29.09.18 63 37
66 34
44 56
BDM 27.08.18 – 12.09.18 18 16
20 17
13 16
19 10
BDM 02.08.18 – 16.08.18 20 17
19 22
18 20
23 13
Gfk 30.06.18 – 08.07.18 20 9
20 12
16 20
7 26
10 23
11 16
BDM 12.05.18 – 24.05.18 15 28
18 22
23 25
23 20
26 21
27 13
Sofia 19.04.18 – 30.04.18 33 28
27 32
32 23
KIIS 05.04.18 – 19.04.18 23 12
BDM 01.04.18 – 14.04.18 30 16
28 16
Rating 12.12.17 — 28.12.17 30 23
Rating 22.11.17 — 30.11.17 27 21
Rating 19.05.17 —25.05.17 36 28
28 26
32 24
Rating 10.11.16 — 17.11.16 23 17
30 15
27 16
Rating 06.16 20 15
Rating 10.15 19 25

Regional polls

Donetsk Oblast

Pollster Date Margin
of error
[1]
Sample
size
[2]
Boyko
Ind.
Zelensky
SP
Tymoshenko
FA
Poroshenko
Ind.
Lyashko
RP
Vilkul
OB-PDP
Hrytsenko
GP
Smeshko
Ind.
Decided[38]
Seetarget 28.02.19 – 07.03.19 ± 3.5 pp 804 35.3 26.1 8.5 7.7 5.2 3.7 2.2 0.7 47
Seetarget 02.02.19 – 10.02.19 ± 3.5 pp 807 30.9 27.9 5.9 15.5 2.1 2.7 4.5 0.6 58

Luhansk Oblast

Pollster Date Margin
of error
[1]
Sample
size
[2]
Boyko
Ind.
Zelensky
SP
Tymoshenko
FA
Poroshenko
Ind.
Lyashko
RP
Vilkul
OB-PDP
Hrytsenko
GP
Smeshko
Ind.
Decided[39]
Seetarget 07.03.19 – 13.03.19 ± 4.2 pp 602 43.0 25.2 8.1 4.7 6.2 3.0 4.2 0.8 51
Seetarget 28.02.19 – 07.03.19 ± 3.5 pp 800 49.4 25.7 7.1 5.5 4.7 0.4 2.4 1.2 49

Kharkiv Oblast

Pollster Date Margin
of error
[1]
Sample
size
[2]
Boyko
Ind.
Zelensky
SP
Tymoshenko
FA
Poroshenko
Ind.
Hrytsenko
GP
Lyashko
RP
Vilkul
OB-PDP
Smeshko
Ind.
Decided[40]
Seetarget 22.02.19 – 01.03.19 ± 3.5 pp 801 28.3 21.2 12.7 7.9 7.3 3.2 1.9 1.9 33
Seetarget 03.02.19 – 13.02.19 ± 3.5 pp 802 29.2 20.1 11.4 8.7 7.4 3.4 2.1 1.0 33

Kyiv Oblast

Pollster Date Margin
of error
[1]
Sample
size
[2]
Zelensky
SP
Tymoshenko
FA
Poroshenko
Ind.
Hrytsenko
GP
Boyko
Ind.
Lyashko
RP
Smeshko
Ind.
Vilkul
OB-PDP
Decided[41]
Seetarget 01.03.19 – 07.03.19 ± 3.5 pp 807 25.1 18.2 17.9 8.2 6.9 4.8 2.8 1.4 78

Odessa Oblast

Pollster Date Margin
of error
[1]
Sample
size
[2]
Boyko
Ind.
Zelensky
SP
Tymoshenko
FA
Poroshenko
Ind.
Hrytsenko
GP
Lyashko
RP
Vilkul
OB-PDP
Smeshko
Ind.
Decided[42]
Seetarget 01.03.19 – 07.03.19 ± 3.5 pp 805 25.7 24.9 15.8 7.3 6.8 6.1 2.0 0.3 28
Seetarget 02.02.19 – 10.02.19 ± 3.5 pp 804 24.7 24.2 19.6 7.4 3.0 6.8 2.1 0.0 33

Lviv Oblast

Pollster Date Margin
of error
[1]
Sample
size
[2]
Poroshenko
Ind.
Zelensky
SP
Tymoshenko
FA
Hrytsenko
GP
Lyashko
RP
Boyko
Ind.
Vilkul
OB-PDP
Smeshko
Ind.
Decided[43]
Seetarget 18.02.19 – 25.02.19 ± 3.5 pp 803 27.9 15.4 14.8 10.0 3.7 2.9 0.3 1.6 27

See also

References

  1. Ukraine's parliament sets presidential vote date for March 31, UNIAN (26 November 2018)
    Ukraine Declares Martial Law in Regions Bordering Russia and Unrecognized Transnistria, Hromadske.TV (26 November 2018)
  2. "Ukraine Formally Sets Date For Presidential Election". RadioFreeEurope/RadioLiberty. Retrieved 2018-11-28.
  3. Proportion of voters who have decided which candidate to vote for
  4. Proportion of voters who have decided which candidate to vote for
  5. https://lb.ua/news/2019/03/16/422158_taruta_zayavil_podderzhke_timoshenko.html
  6. Proportion of voters who have decided which candidate to vote for
  7. "Dobrodomov Withdrew His Candidacy In Favor Gritsenko". 24-my.info. Retrieved 2019-03-07.
  8. "Three presidential candidates drop out of race". Kyiv Post. Retrieved 2019-03-07.
  9. "Two more men aboard: Dobrodomov, Murayev stop running for presidency". 112.international. Retrieved 2019-03-07.
  10. "Sadovyi withdraws from presidential race in favor of Hrytsenko". www.unian.info. Retrieved 2019-03-01.
  11. "Sadovyi withdraws from presidential race in favor of Hrytsenko". www.unian.info. Retrieved 2019-03-11.
  12. Proportion of voters who have decided which candidate to vote for
  13. "CEC registers 44 candidates in Ukraine's presidential election". www.ukrinform.net. Retrieved 2019-02-11.
  14. "Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko Says He Will Seek Reelection In March". RadioFreeEurope/RadioLiberty. Retrieved 2019-01-29.
  15. "Vakarchuk says he is not going to run for president of Ukraine in 2019". Interfax-Ukraine. Retrieved 2019-01-29.
  16. Proportion of voters who have decided which candidate to vote for
  17. "Presidential election campaign officially starts in Ukraine". Interfax-Ukraine. Retrieved 2019-01-29.
  18. Proportion of voters who have decided which candidate to vote for
  19. Ruslan Koshulynskyi
  20. Oksana Syroyid - 3.1
  21. Viktor Medvedchuk 2.3%
  22. support Yuriy Boyko
  23. Proportion of voters who have decided which candidate to vote for
  24. Proportion of voters who have decided which candidate to vote for
  25. Proportion of voters who have decided which candidate to vote for
  26. Proportion of voters who have decided which candidate to vote for
  27. Електоральні та суспільні настрої населення
  28. Соціально-політична ситуація в Україні: Жовтень 2015 року
  29. Соціально-політична ситуація в Україні: Вересень 2015 року
  30. Соціально-політична ситуація в Україні: Липень 2015 року
  31. Електоральні настрої населення України, червень 2015
  32. Електоральні настрої населення України, травень 2015
  33. "Squashy Studios – Games with a squish!". www.squashysoftware.com. Retrieved 2019-04-12.
  34. Соціально-політична ситуація в Україні: Березень 2015 року
  35. Відсотки з прес-релізу перераховано серед тих, хто має намір голосувати
  36. Proportion of voters who have decided which candidate to vote for
  37. Proportion of voters who have decided which candidate to vote for
  38. Proportion of voters who have decided which candidate to vote for
  39. Proportion of voters who have decided which candidate to vote for
  40. Proportion of voters who have decided which candidate to vote for
  41. Proportion of voters who have decided which candidate to vote for
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