Opinion polling for the June 2015 Turkish general election

In the leadup to the June 2015 general election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The results tend to vary widely, as described in opinion polls in Turkey.

Election poll results

Graphical summary

Opinion polling for the 2015 general election

Poll results

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. (Note that, pre 2015 results only indicate the last date of the survey's fieldwork, and not the whole interval.) If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. For the highest percentage figure in each polling survey, the background is shaded in the leading party's colour. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

2015

  Light red denotes polls that were released after the polling ban came into effect, thereby violating Turkish electoral law.

Date	Pollster	Sample	AKP	CHP	MHP	HDP	ANAPAR	Others	Lead
7 Jun	Election results Domestic vote only	–	40.7	25.1	16.5	13.0	0.1	4.6	15.6
2 Jun	Gezici[1][2]	4,860	38.5	28.5	16.5	12.5	–	3.0	10.0
30 May – 1 Jun	ORC[3]	3,850	46.0	25.3	15.5	9.0	–	4.2	20.7
30 – 31 May	Konda[4]	3,543	41.0	27.8	14.8	12.6	–	3.8	13.2
28 May	A pre-election ban on opinion polling comes into effect, ten days before polling day[5]
27 May	ANAR[6]	–	40.5	26.0	17.0	11.0	–	5.5	14.5
27 May	Aksoy[7]	–	42.6	26.2	16.2	10.6	–	4.2	16.4
18 – 26 May	MAK[8]	2,155	43.6	24.9	16.4	9.9	–	5.2	18.7
25 May	SONAR[9]	3,000	41.0	26.0	18.1	10.4	–	4.5	15.0
23 – 24 May	Gezici[10]	4,860	39.3	28.5	17.2	12.4	–	2.6	10.8
21 – 24 May	Andy-Ar[11]	4,166	41.9	25.8	16.0	10.7	–	5.6	16.1
18 – 24 May	KamuAR[12]	5,223	35.3	27.9	23.1	7.7	–	6.0	7.4
16 – 24 May	Denge[13]	11,859	44.6	25.5	16.1	10.5	–	3.3	19.1
17 – 23 May	Politics[14]	4,200	45.2	26.3	15.4	9.6	–	3.5	18.9
11 – 22 May	SAMER[15]	4,150	43.3	27.1	15.3	11.3	–	3.0	16.2
15 – 21 May	Vera[16]	1,509	43.5	27.1	16.0	9.6	–	3.9	16.4
21 May	Konda[17]	–	40.5	28.7	14.4	11.5	–	4.9	11.8
15 – 20 May	AKAM[18]	2,164	38.9	28.1	17.6	11.8	–	3.6	10.8
8 – 11 May	MetroPoll[19]	2,976	42.8	27.0	17.1	9.2	–	3.9	15.8
9 – 10 May	Gezici[20][21]	4,860	38.2	30.1	17.1	10.5	–	4.1	8.1
6 – 7 May	CHP[22]	1,618	39.3	28.1	17.8	10.3	–	4.6	11.2
4 – 7 May	ORC[23]	2,450	47.5	23.9	15.0	8.1	–	5.5	23.6
3 – 7 May	Denge[24]	5,073	45.6	25.5	15.1	9.5	–	4.3	20.1
2 – 7 May	Benenson SG[25]	–	39.0	31.6	14.7	10.5	–	4.2	7.4
30 Apr–7 May	Konsensus[26]	1,500	43.9	26.7	15.8	9.7	–	3.9	17.2
1 – 5 May	AKAM[27]	2,262	38.3	27.3	18.1	11.8	–	4.5	11.0
3 May	The Nationalist Movement Party (MHP) announces their manifesto
24 – 27 Apr	AKAM[28]	3,214	38.1	28.1	17.8	12.6	–	3.4	10.0
20 – 27 Apr	KamuAR[29]	4,382	36.2	26.7	22.4	6.7	–	8.0	9.5
20 – 26 Apr	Gezici[30]	4,860	38.1	28.5	18.0	11.0	–	4.4	9.6
18 – 25 Apr	SONAR[31]	3,086	43.0	26.1	17.2	9.6	–	4.1	16.9
18 – 25 Apr	MAK[32][33]	5,400	45.15	24.79	15.25	9.15	–	5.66	20.36
21 Apr	The Peoples' Democratic Party (HDP) announces their manifesto
18 – 21 Apr	MetroPoll[34]	2,824	42.5	26.4	17.6	10.2	–	3.3	16.1
19 Apr	The Republican People's Party (CHP) announces their manifesto
11–17 Apr	AKAM[35]	5,160	40.7	25.5	18.0	11.4	–	4.4	15.2
15 Apr	The Justice and Development Party (AKP) announces their manifesto
9–13 Apr	ORC[36]	4,200	48.3	23.7	14.4	8.9	–	4.7	24.6
9–12 Apr	Gezici[37]	–	39.2	28.1	16.9	11.3	–	4.6	11.1
12 Apr	MetroPoll[38]	2,500	41.7	27.7	17.4	10.4	–	2.8	14.0
4 Apr	Andy-Ar[39]	–	43.7	23.5	17.6	10.4	–	4.8	20.2
4 Apr	GENAR[39]	–	47.7	25.0	13.5	10.9	–	2.9	22.7
30 Mar	Denge[40]	–	47.0	26.0	14.6	8.8	–	3.6	21.0
18–24 Mar	ORC[41]	3,178	50.3	23.0	14.1	8.6	–	4.0	27.3
16 Mar	MAK[42]	5,000	47.7	25.3	14.2	9.2	–	3.7	22.4
12–21 Mar	KamuAR[43]	8,173	35.6	27.2	21.8	7.2	–	8.2	8.4
7–8 Mar	Gezici[44]	4,860	39.3	29.6	17.7	11.4	–	2.0	9.7
4–7 Mar	SONAR[45]	3,000	40.0	27.1	18.0	10.1	–	4.8	12.9
4–7 Mar	ORC[46]	3,160	50.0	23.2	13.5	8.4	–	4.9	26.8
27 Feb	GENAR[47][48]	5,202	47.7	25.1	13.4	8.9	–	4.9	22.6
15 Feb	The Workers' Party (İP) is succeeded by the Patriotic Party (VP)
14–15 Feb	Gezici[49][50][51]	3,840	39.1	28.7	18.1	9.5	0.1	4.5	10.7
11–14 Feb	Metropoll[52]	2,694	43.1	27.0	16.4	9.8	–	3.7	16.1
10–14 Feb	ORC[53][54]	4,650	49.8	23.0	13.9	8.9	–	4.4	26.8
3–8 Feb	Andy-AR[55]	2,263	45.2	25.6	16.5	9.2	–	3.5	19.6
3–8 Feb	MAK[56]	5,454	47.6	24.8	14.3	8.0	–	5.3	22.8
Jan	KONDA[57][58]	?	45.4	23.3	15.1	10.6	–	5.6	22.1
26 Jan	MPs Ercan Cengiz and Birgül Ayman Güler both resign from the CHP, with Cengiz joining the Centre Party
19–23 Jan	Pollmark[59]	5,000	49.4	23.5	15.0	8.0	–	4.1	25.9
17–20 Jan	Metropoll[60][61]	2,759	44.9	26.9	14.6	9.3	–	4.3	18.0
15–19 Jan	ORC[62][63]	1,720	48.6	23.3	13.5	8.2	–	6.4	25.3
17–18 Jan	Gezici[64]	3,600	39.8	29.6	17.3	7.3	0.4	5.6	10.2
12 Jan	SONAR[65]	3,000	38.1	27.8	17.6	8.2	3.9	4.4	10.3
5–10 Jan	MAK[66][67][68]	5,400	48.4	25.4	14.0	6.8	–	5.2	23.0
1–10 Jan	TÜSİAR[69]	4,153	51.4	22.6	14.2	8.0	–	3.8	28.8
Date	Pollster	Sample							Lead
			AKP	CHP	MHP	HDP	ANAPAR	Others

2014

Date	Pollster	Sample	AKP	CHP	MHP	HDP	ANAPAR	Others	Lead
Dec	KONDA[57]	?	47.5	25.0	14.9	8.0	–	4.6	22.5
24–31 Dec	ANAR[70]	5,190	47.0	25.0	14.0	7.8	–	6.2	22.0
15–20 Dec	ORC[71]	3,860	49.4	23.0	13.1	7.9	–	6.6	26.4
4–14 Dec	KHU[72][note 1]	1,000	47.1	26.2	16.0	10.2	–	0.6	20.9
14 Dec	KamuAR[73][74]	4,177	38.5	27.1	21.6	6.7	–	6.1	12.1
4–8 Dec	GENAR[75]	5,115	48.2	25.0	14.1	9.0	–	3.7	23.2
1–5 Dec	MAK[76][77]	10,800	50.0	25.1	15.0	4.5	–	5.4	24.9
1 Dec 2014	ORC[77][78]	3,100	48.5	23.1	13.7	8.0	–	6.7	25.4
28 Nov 2014	SONAR[79]	3,025	37.17	27.01	17.13	6.69	8.04	3.96	10.16
14 Nov 2014	Ankara MP Emine Ülker Tarhan resigns from the CHP and establishes the Anatolia Party (ANAPAR)
3 Nov 2014	MAK[80]	10,800	51.1	25.6	14.1	5.3		3.9	25.5
25 Oct 2014	Gezici[81]	5,292	43.3	28.7	18.5	–		–	14.6
25 Oct 2014	ORC[82]	11,353	47.3	24.6	13.5	8.3		6.3	23.7
24 Oct 2014	Optimar[83]	5,200	50.6	24.7	14.5	6.8		3.4	25.9
23 Oct 2014	Gezici[84]	3,292	41.4	27.4	19.7	8.1		3.4	14.0
22 Oct 2014	MetroPoll[85]	2,752	47.5	26.7	15.7	8.3		1.8	20.8
20 Oct 2014	Andy-Ar[86]	2,037	46.4	24.8	14.3	8.8		5.7	21.6
14 Oct 2014	Pollmark[87]	5,071	50.4	24.4	13.1	8.0		4.1	26.0
23 Sep 2014	Optimar[83]	5,200	50.6	24.7	14.5	6.8		3.4	25.9
20 Sep 2014	Ankara MP Emrehan Halıcı resigns from the CHP and establishes the Electronic Democracy Party (eP)
15 Sep 2014	ANAR[88]	5,200	51.7	24.7	12.1	8.3		3.2	27.0
10 Sep 2014	ORC[89]	2,312	47.4	24.3	15.0	9.5		3.8	23.1
28 Aug 2014	Ahmet Davutoğlu is elected AKP leader and becomes the 26th Prime Minister of Turkey
19 Aug 2014	Andy-Ar[90]	1,897	45.6	24.3	16.8	9.0		4.3	21.3
14 Aug 2014	MetroPoll[91]	–	44.1	26.0	16.0	–		–	18.1
13 Aug 2014	ORC[92]	2,750	47.1	25.0	14.2	10.2		3.5	22.1
10 Aug 2014	Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is elected President with 51.79% of the vote
22 Jul 2014	TÜSİAR[93]	4,123	50.1	27.3	14.2	6.1		2.3	22.8
17 Jul 2014	Andy-AR[94]	3,216	48.8	25.2	15.2	6.5		4.3	23.6
28 Apr 2014	MAK[95]	10,440	50.1	23.0	14.0	6.5		6.5	27.1
30 May 2014	Gezici[96]	3,292	44.5	27.5	18.6	8.1		1.3	17.0
6 May 2014	ORC[97]	5,100	49.1	24.8	16.3	6.8		3.0	24.3
30 Mar 2014	2014 local elections	–	42.9	26.3	17.8	6.3		6.7	16.6
18 Mar 2014	SONAR[98][99]	15,948	39.0	30.0	–	–		–	9.0
17 Mar 2014	AKP[100]	–	29.7	33.3	21.3	7.6		8.1	3.6
28 Feb 2014	Gezici[101]	5,292	39.7	31.4	18.2	7.1		3.6	8.3
Date	Pollster	Sample							Lead
			AKP	CHP	MHP	HDP	ANAPAR	Others

2013

Date	Pollster	Sample	AKP	CHP	MHP	HDP	ANAPAR	Others	Lead
17 Dec 2013	A ₺100bn government corruption scandal occurs and Fethullah Gülen withdraws support from the AKP
22 Sep 2013	Gezici[102]	5,292	42.5	27.3	18.1	9.5		2.6	15.2
1 Sep 2013	ORC[103][104]	3,100	49.2	26.5	14.9	6.4		3.0	22.7
24 Jun 2013	Konsensus[105]	1,500	47.1	30.9	14.6	4.6		2.8	16.2
30 May 2013	Protests break out against the alleged authoritarianism of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's government
13 Apr 2013	Gezici[106]	2,646	44.1	27.5	17.2	9.2		2.0	16.6
6 Apr 2013	GENAR[107]	3,000	50.2	25.2	13.7	6.4		4.5	25.0
1 Jan 2013	O&A[108]	2,614	44.6	30.2	15.8	5.3		4.1	14.4
Date	Pollster	Sample							Lead
			AKP	CHP	MHP	HDP	ANAPAR	Others

2012

Date	Pollster	Sample	AKP	CHP	MHP	HDP	ANAPAR	Others	Lead
30 Dec 2012	ORC[109]	–	48.2	27.4	14.1	5.5		4.8	20.8
12 Dec 2012	Konsensus[110]	1,501	50.7	27.7	12.8	6.4		2.4	23.0
24 Nov 2012	Gezici[111][112]	8,460	45.9	26.1	17.1	7.9		3.0	19.8
15 Nov 2012	SONAR[113]	2,220	47.3	25.2	15.2	7.1		5.2	22.1
12 Oct 2012	GENAR[114]	–	51.2	26.5	12.4	7.3		2.6	24.7
6 Sep 2012	Gezici[115][116]	6,460	46.3	26.4	17.7	–		–	25.6
27 Aug 2012	Andy-Ar[117][118]	3,251	49.7	20.7	17.1	8.5		3.9	29.0
11 Jul 2012	SDE[119]	2,155	49.0	25.9	14.1	6.3		4.7	23.1
30 May 2012	ORC[120]	5,000	51.7	24.7	12.4	7.0		4.2	27.0
31 Apr 2012	ORC[121]	5,670	54.7	19.3	15.8	6.5		3.7	35.4
13 Apr 2012	GENAR[122]	2,220	51.3	25.7	13.2	5.1		4.7	25.6
30 Mar 2012	ORC[123]	5,000	55.2	19.0	14.4	6.1		5.3	36.2
3 Mar 2012	Konsensus[124]	1,505	51.7	27.7	13.3	5.6		1.7	24.0
Date	Pollster	Sample							Lead
			AKP	CHP	MHP	HDP	ANAPAR	Others

2011

Date	Pollster	Sample	AKP	CHP	MHP	HDP	ANAPAR	Others	Lead
19 Dec 2011	SONAR[125][126]	3,000	54.8	19.5	16.1	6.2		3.3	35.3
18 Dec 2011	Konsensus[127]	1,500	50.2	27.1	12.0	5.8		4.9	23.1
12 Jun 2011	2011 election	–	49.83	25.98	13.01	5.67[128]		11.18	23.85
Date	Pollster	Sample							Lead
			AKP	CHP	MHP	HDP	ANAPAR	Others

Parliamentary seat predictions

Date	Pollster	Sample	AKP	CHP	MHP	HDP	Majority	Notes
7 June	Election results	–	258 / 550	132 / 550	80 / 550	80 / 550	Hung
?	Metropoll[129]	–	260 / 550	142 / 550	81 / 550	67 / 550	Hung	Poll applied to election simulator in http://secimharitasi.com/milletvekili-dagilimi-hesapla
2 – 3 June	A&G Research[130]	2,976	265 / 550	138 / 550	78 / 550	69 / 550	Hung	Poll applied to election simulator in http://secimharitasi.com/milletvekili-dagilimi-hesapla
2 June	Gezici[1]	4,860	242 / 550	151 / 550	85 / 550	72 / 550	Hung	Poll applied to election simulator in http://secimharitasi.com/milletvekili-dagilimi-hesapla
2 June	SONAR[131]	–	257 / 550	134 / 550	100 / 550	59 / 550	Hung	Poll applied to election simulator in http://secimharitasi.com/milletvekili-dagilimi-hesapla
30 – 31 May	KONDA[4]	3,543	261 / 550	144 / 550	73 / 550	72 / 550	Hung	Poll applied to election simulator in http://secimharitasi.com/milletvekili-dagilimi-hesapla
27 May	ANAR[6]	–	263 / 550	136 / 550	89 / 550	62 / 550	Hung	Poll applied to election simulator in http://secimharitasi.com/milletvekili-dagilimi-hesapla
25 May	SONAR[9]	3,000	257 / 550	134 / 550	100 / 550	59 / 550	Hung	Poll applied to election simulator in http://secimharitasi.com/milletvekili-dagilimi-hesapla
23 – 24 May	Gezici[10]	4,860	257 / 550	134 / 550	86 / 550	70 / 550	Hung	Poll applied to election simulator in http://secimharitasi.com/milletvekili-dagilimi-hesapla
21 – 24 May	Andy-Ar[11]	4,166	271 / 550	136 / 550	83 / 550	60 / 550	Hung	Poll applied to election simulator in http://secimharitasi.com/milletvekili-dagilimi-hesapla
21 May	Konda[132]	–	260 / 550	149 / 550	71 / 550	70 / 550	Hung	Poll applied to election simulator in http://secimharitasi.com/milletvekili-dagilimi-hesapla
9 – 10 May	Gezici[133]	1,500	236 / 550	163 / 550	92 / 550	59 / 550	Hung	Poll applied to election simulator in http://secimharitasi.com/milletvekili-dagilimi-hesapla
6 – 7 May	CHP[22]	1,618	232 / 550	151 / 550	104 / 550	63 / 550	Hung
30 Apr–7 May	Konsensus[134]	1,500	277 / 550	138 / 550	75 / 550	60 / 550	4	If the HDP surpasses the 10% threshold
			331 / 550	142 / 550	77 / 550	0 / 550	112	If the HDP falls below the 10% threshold
24–27 Apr 2015	AKAM[135]	3,124	238 / 550	142 / 550	100 / 550	68 / 550	Hung
11–17 Apr 2015	AKAM[33][136]	5,160	262 / 550	133 / 550	88 / 550	67 / 550	Hung	Predicts 2 independent MPs (Hakan Şükür and Cemal Kaya)
12 Apr 2015	MetroPoll[137]	2,500	261 / 550	141 / 550	90 / 550	58 / 550	Hung
24 Mar 2015	ORC[138]	3,176	375 / 550	125 / 550	50 / 550	0 / 550	200	Two-thirds majority
11 Mar 2015	SONAR[139][140]	3,000	243 / 550	133 / 550	116 / 550	58 / 550	Hung	If the HDP surpasses the 10% threshold
			274 / 550	148 / 550	128 / 550	0 / 550	Hung	If the HDP falls below the 10% threshold
8 Mar 2015	Gezici[141]	4,860	229 / 550	146 / 550	118 / 550	57 / 550	Hung
12 Jun 2011	2011 election	–	327 / 550	135 / 550	53 / 550	35 / 550	104
Date	Pollster	Sample					Majority	Notes
			AKP	CHP	MHP	BDP

Diaspora

Turkish expats living abroad will have the ability to vote for the first time in a Turkish general election. The following table shows the results of polls conducted in different countries amongst Turkish expat voters.

Date	Country	Pollster	Sample	AKP	CHP	MHP	HDP	ANAPAR	Others	Lead
8–31 May 2015	Overseas results[142]		–	50.4	15.9	9.1	21.4	0.1	3.1	29.0
18–26 May 2015	Germany  France  Netherlands  Belgium  Austria	MAK[8]	1,381 294 240 130 110	58.5	14.0	8.5	12.0	–	7.0	44.5
4–12 April 2015	Germany	Ethno-Forschung[143]	3,000	60.8	10.1	11.9	17.2	–	0.0	43.6
Date	Country	Pollster	Sample							Lead
				AKP	CHP	MHP	HDP	ANAPAR	Others

Polling on other issues

A range of opinion polling regarding several contemporary issues which may affect voter choice has also been conducted by several organisations. The results of these are listed below. Please note that some opinion polls may offer different means of wording questions, or may offer different options.

Government corruption scandal

The following table shows opinion polling for whether the 17–25 December 2014 corruption scandal is seen to be a genuine corruption probe, or a plot against the government.

Date	Pollster	Sample	Corruption investigation	Coup plot	Both	Don't know
14 Dec 2014	KHU[72]	1,000	38.4	35.6	–	1.3
21 Jan 2014	MetroPoll[74][144]	1,545	42.2	24.0	24.9	8.9

New presidential palace

The following table lists opinions on the construction of a new presidential palace, which has raised controversy due to its size, cost, location and legality.

Date	Pollster	Sample	Approve	Disapprove	Don't know
14 Dec 2014	KHU[72]	1,000	37.5	48.0	14.5
14 Dec 2014	KamuAR[73][74]	4,177	23.8	71.7	4.5
30 Nov 2014	MetroPoll[145]	2,780	35.2	57.1	7.7

System of government

The AKP government support a presidential system of government as opposed to the current parliamentary system. Should they win above 330 seats in the next parliament, they have voiced intentions to place several proposed constitutional changes to a referendum, which may include the issue of which government system is used in Turkey. The following polls show the support for parliamentary, presidential and semi-presidential systems.

Date	Pollster	Sample	Parliamentary	Presidential	Semi-presidential	Other/Don't know
23 February 2015	Gezici[146]	3,480	76.8	23.2	–	–
3 February 2015	A&G[147][148]	–	70.0	30.0	–	–
14 Dec 2014	KHU[72]	1,000	79.3	12.6	4.7	3.1
August 2014	MetroPOLL[149]	–	42.2	34.3	–	23.5
May 2014	MetroPOLL[149]	–	45.8	33.6	–	20.5
May 2014	MetroPOLL[149]	–	45.8	33.6	–	20.5
August 2013	MetroPOLL[149]	–	43.8	40.1	–	21.1
20 Jul 2013	Bilgesam[150]	2,570	67.9	32.1	–	–
June 2013	MetroPOLL[149]	–	42.9	30.9	–	26.2
April 2013	MetroPOLL[149]	–	39.8	35.2	–	25.0
11 Mar 2013	Varyans[151]	5,068	56.5	27.6	11.4	4.5
December 2012	MetroPOLL[149]	–	44.2	36.9	–	18.9
24 Nov 2012	Gezici[111][112]	8,460	57.4	42.6	–	–
15 Nov 2012	SONAR[113]	2,220	52.5	26.8	–	20.7
June 2012	MetroPOLL[149]	–	37.7	43.2	–	19.1
February 2011	A&G[152]	2,516	56.3	16.0	0.8	26.9

Economy

The following table lists opinions on how well the government have managed the Turkish economy.

Date	Pollster	Sample	Approve	Disapprove	Don't know
14 Dec 2014	KHU[72]	1,000	30.0	44.4	25.6
30 Nov 2014	MetroPoll[145]	2,780	40.2	54.4	5.5
31 Jul 2014	Pew[153]	1,001	50.0	46.0	4.0
30 Mar 2012	ORC[123]	5,000	71.6	28.4	–

Syrian Civil War

Being one of the hardest hit countries in terms of refugees due to the Syrian Civil War, the Turkish government's policy on Syrian refugees has created controversy, especially in the Hatay Province on the Turkish-Syrian border. The following table shows opinion polling on the support of the government in terms of their policy on Syria.

Date	Pollster	Sample	Approve	Disapprove	Don't know
14 Dec 2014	KHU[72]	1,000	21.6	53.7	24.7
30 Nov 2014	MetroPoll[145]	2,780	28.2	66.8	4.9
24 Nov 2012	Gezici[111][112]	8,460	30.9	69.1	–
6 Sep 2012	Gezici[115][116]	6,460	36.0	64.0	–
27 Aug 2012	Andy-Ar[154]	3,251	18.3	67.1	14.6

Foreign policy

The following table shows opinion polling for the approval of the government's foreign policy.

Date	Pollster	Sample	Approve	Disapprove	Don't know
14 Dec 2014	KHU[72]	1,000	32.6	41.4	26.0
14 Jul 2014	MetroPoll[155]	2,268	28.0	57.7	7.4
1 Sep 2013	ORC[103][156]	3,100	59.2	30.2	10.4
30 Mar 2012	ORC[123]	5,000	61.2	38.8	–

PKK peace process

The government began a peace process with Kurdish separatist militants in 2013, with the PKK militant organisation beginning a withdrawal of insurgents as a result. However, numerous casualties despite the ceasefire as well as the unclear terms of the ceasefire have generated controversy. The following table shows opinion polling on the approval of the government's solution process.

Date	Pollster	Sample	Approve	Disapprove	Partially	Don't know
25 Dec 2014	ORC[157]	3,860	59.5	40.5	–	–
14 Dec 2014	KHU[72]	1,000	25.0	47.7	27.3	–
14 Dec 2014	KamuAR[73][74]	4,177	29.6	51.7	13.9	4.8
30 Nov 2014	MetroPoll[145]	2,780	29.1	61.4	–	9.6
6 Sep 2012	Gezici[115][116]	6,460	40.7	59.3	–	–

Judicial independence

Following the 2013 government corruption scandal and the subsequent crackdown by the government on the judiciary, the independence of the judiciary has been a key issue of concern for the political opposition and the European Union. The following table shows opinion polling on whether or not the judiciary is independent.

Date	Pollster	Sample	Independent	Not independent	Don't know
14 Dec 2014	KHU[72]	1,000	24.2	58.7	17.1
14 Dec 2014	KamuAR[73][74]	4,177	27.5	47.2	25.3
28 Feb 2014	Gezici[101]	5,292	27.2	72.8	–

Alevi rights

Alevi Muslims are the main religious minority in Turkey. The table below shows opinion polling on whether Alevi citizens should have greater rights, such as granting official status to their place of worship, the Cemevi.

Date	Pollster	Sample	Approve	Disapprove	Don't know
14 Dec 2014	KamuAR[73][74]	4,177	58.3	15.4	26.3

Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant and Kobanî

The following table shows the approval for the government's policy on tackling the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant in Iraq and Syria. This particularly centres around the situation in the border town of Kobanî, where Turkish inaction caused deadly protests, as well as the government's permission for Kurdish Peshmerga forces to cross Turkish territory to fight in Kobanî.

Date	Pollster	Sample	Approve	Disapprove	Don't know
14 Dec 2014	KHU[72]	1,000	19.1	51.6	29.3
14 Dec 2014	KamuAR[73][74]	4,177	24.0	52.9	23.1

Workers' rights

The following table shows opinion polling for whether workers' rights are sufficient. This issue rose to prominence after 301 miners were killed in Soma, Manisa after a mine collapsed. Subsequent deaths in the construction and mining sector have also caused debate on workers' rights in Turkey, which are rated amongst the worst in the world.

Date	Pollster	Sample	Sufficient	Insufficient	Don't know
14 Dec 2014	KHU[72]	1,000	24.0	52.9	23.1
14 Dec 2014	KamuAR[73][74]	4,177	7.2	89.0	3.8

Gezi protests

The following table shows opinion polling for the protests that took place in the summer of 2013 against the construction plan of a shopping mall in Taksim Gezi Park.

Date	Pollster	Sample	Approve	Disapprove	Don't know
31 Jul 2014	Pew[153]	1,001	49,0	40,0	11,0

Leadership approval ratings

The following tables show the approval ratings for key politicians in Turkey, most of whom will be seeking re-election in the 2015 general election. The tick icon indicates approval, the X icon indicates disapproval, while N/O indicates no opinion.

Date Pollster Sample size Apr 2015 BSG[158] – 25 Dec 2014 ORC[157] 3,860 14 Dec 2014 KHU[72] 1,000 5 Dec 2014 MAK[159] 10,800 30 Nov 2014 MetroPoll[145] 2,780 25 Jun 2014 Konsensus[160] 1,500 23 Feb 2014 Konsensus[161] 1,504 12 Dec 2012 Konsensus[110] 1,501 11 Jul 2012 SDE[119] 2,155

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan N/O 42 56 2 57.4 37.0 5.6 43.5 35.9 20.6 70.5 19.5 10.0 45.6 50.2 4.2 52 42 7 44.2 47.5 8.3 46.9 43.9 9.2 52.5 41.3 6.2

Ahmet Davutoğlu N/O 40 58 2 50.5 44.2 5.3 33.8 42.2 24.0 48.5 21.5 30.0 43.3 49.6 7.1 – – – – – – – – – – – –

Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu N/O – – – – – – 13.0 70.2 16.8 21.1 – – 18.9 76.8 4.2 23 70 8 32.4 56.1 11.5 27.5 – – 29.5 63.0 7.5

Devlet Bahçeli N/O – – – – – – 9.8 70.4 19.8 9.0 – – 15.8 79.5 4.6 23 66 11 19.3 67.9 12.8 – – – – – –

Selahattin Demirtaş N/O – – – – – – 17.2 73.0 9.8 5.0 – – 11.8 82.1 6.0 13 83 4 15.0 77.2 7.8 – – – – 79.7 –

See also

• Opinion polls in Turkey

References

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1. Poll identifies 10.6% of respondents as non-voters.