Opinion polling for the next Slovak parliamentary election

In the run up to the next Slovak parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Slovakia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 29 February 2020, to the present day. The next paraliamentary election is scheduled to be held 24 February 2024, though it may be held earlier if a snap election is called.

Party vote

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty. Agencies FOCUS and AKO can be considered as more trusted and reputable agencies because of their membership in the Slovak Association of Research Agencies and ESOMAR.

Graphical summary of the opinion polls conducted by all agencies

Date	Polling firm	Sample size	OĽaNO [lower-alpha 1]	Smer– SD	Sme Rodina	Kotlebovci– ĽSNS[lower-alpha 2]	PS-SPOLU[lower-alpha 3]		SaS	Za ľudí	KDH	MKÖ-MKS[lower-alpha 4]			SNS	Dobrá voľba	Vlasť	Most– Híd	Hlas– SD	Lead
							PS	SPOLU				SMK-MKP	MF[lower-alpha 5]	Ö-S[lower-alpha 6]
12-19 Jan 2021	Focus[1]	1005	10.1%	9.1%	5.1%	9.7%	5.2%	1%	13.3%	4.2%	4.4%	3.3%	-	-	2.8%	2.1%	2.4%	2%	24.3%	11%
17-19 Dec 2020	AKO[2]	1000	14.2%	9%	5.7%	5.7%	6.5%	0.5%	16.2%	4.7%	4.7%	1.3%	0.5%	1.3%	1.6%	1.4%	2.5%	0.9%	22.8%	6.6%
8-14 Dec 2020	Focus[3]	1000	11%	9.8%	5.4%	8.2%	6%	0.4%	15.8%	4.4%	4.9%	3.3%	–	0.8%	2.7%	2.1%	2.1%	2%	20.1%	5.1%
18–25 Nov 2020	Focus[4]	1,004	14%	9.5%	6.1%	9.6%	5.9%	1%	12.1%	4.1%	5.1%	3.3%	–	0.5%	2.2%	2.8%	2.4%	2.1%	19.1%	5.1%
6–11 Nov 2020	Median SK[5]	1,018	16.6%	6.3%	5.8%	6.9%	7.3%	1.5%	12.5%	4.1%	4.4%	3.2%	–	–	2.4%	2.3%	1.5%	1.6%	20.3%	3.7%
21–26 Oct 2020	Actly[6]	1,000	14.7%[lower-alpha 7]	10.8%	6.8%	6.2%	5.5%	1.1%	11.2%	2.9%	4.8%	1.6%	–	–	2.9%	2.0%	0.6%	0.6%	26.5%	11.8%
7–15 Oct 2020	Focus[7]	1,014	15.1%	10.5%	7.3%	9.8%	5.4%	0.3%	10.7%	4.8%	5.2%	3.2%	–	0.4%	2.1%	2.1%	1.6%	2.4%	18.7%	3.6%
1–9 Oct 2020	AKO[8]	1,000	15.3%	8.3%	8.8%	8.5%	6.2%	1.8%	13.4%	4.2%	3.0%	2.4%	0.3%	0.2%	2.4%	2.8%	1.0%	1.9%	18.8%	3.5%
14–18 Sep 2020	Median SK[9]	1,007	17.0%	9.1%	8.7%	8.8%	6.6%	1.3%	11.9%	3.4%	4.2%	2.3%	–	–	2.5%	1.8%	2.5%	–	16.9%	0.1%
26 Aug–2 Sep 2020	Focus[10]	1,022	18.4%	10.9%	9.1%	8.5%	5.9%	0.6%	9.9%	3.9%	4.5%	3.1%	–	0.7%	3.0%	1.9%	1.3%	1.7%	16.2%	2.2%
7–17 Jul 2020	AKO[11]	1,000	23.5%	10.7%	6.4%	7.9%	5.2%	2.2%	9.4%	4.0%	3.0%	2.5%	–	–	1.4%	2.6%	2.7%	1.0%	16.7%	6.8%
17–24 Jun 2020	Focus[12]	1,009	21.2%	19.0%	12.8%	9.6%	6.2%	0.8%	9.2%	3.6%	4.6%	3.7%	0.3%	0.5%	2.1%	2.4%	2.2%	1.5%	–	2.2%
			20.3%	9.5%	9.6%	8.3%	5.9%	0.8%	8.8%	3.5%	4.0%	3.4%	0.3%	0.5%	1.3%	0.8%	2.0%	1.4%	19.3%[lower-alpha 8]	1.0%
14–21 May 2020	Focus[13][14]	1,011	22.9%	21.6%	11.2%	9.7%	6.5%	0.2%	8.0%	4.3%	4.8%	4.2%	–	–	1.4%	2.0%	1.3%	1.5%	–	1.3%
			21.8%	9.6%[lower-alpha 9]	8.8%	8.0%	5.5%		7.1%	4.2%	4.5%	3.9%	–	–	0.9%	1.4%	1.1%	1.1%	21.4%[lower-alpha 9]	0.4%
15–19 Apr 2020	Focus[15]	1,016	24.4%	21.8%	11.5%	9.2%	7.6%		6.8%	3.2%	4.5%	2.8%	–	–	1.6%	1.1%	2.3%	1.8%	–	2.6%
14–17 Apr 2020	AKO[16]	1,000	29.9%	18.3%	10.0%	6.4%	6.9%	0.9%	9.7%	3.0%	3.7%	4.4%			2.2%	2.2%	1.9%	0.6%	N/A	11.6%
18–21 Mar 2020	Focus[15]	1,023	23.3%	21.6%	11.5%	7.3%	5.9%		5.8%	5.2%	4.1%	3.5%			3.4%	2.4%	3.1%	1.3%	N/A	1.7%
29 February 2020	2020 elections		25.0%	18.3%	8.2%	8.0%	7.0%		6.2%	5.8%	4.7%	3.9%			3.2%	3.1%	2.9%	2.1%	N/A	6.7%
																				Lead
			OĽaNO [lower-alpha 1]	Smer– SD	Sme Rodina	Kotlebovci– ĽSNS[lower-alpha 2]	PS	SPOLU	SaS	Za ľudí	KDH	SMK-MKP	MF[lower-alpha 5]	Ö-S[lower-alpha 6]	SNS	Dobrá voľba	Vlasť	Most–Híd	Hlas– SD
							PS-SPOLU[lower-alpha 3]					MKÖ-MKS[lower-alpha 4]

Seat projections

Date	Polling firm	OĽaNO[lower-alpha 1]	Smer–SD	Sme Rodina	Kotlebovci– ĽSNS[lower-alpha 2]	PS-SPOLU[lower-alpha 3]		SaS	Za ľudí	KDH	MKÖ-MKS[lower-alpha 4]			SNS	Dobrá voľba	Vlasť	Most–Híd	Hlas– SD	Govt.	Opp.
						PS	SPOLU				SMK-MKP	MF[lower-alpha 5]	Ö-S[lower-alpha 6]
17-19 Dec 2020	AKO[2]	26	17	11	11	12	–	30	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	43	67	83
8-14 Dec 2020	Focus[3]	21	19	10	16	12	–	31	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	41	62	88
18–25 Nov 2020	Focus[4]	26	18	11	18	11	–	22	–	9	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	35	59	91
7–15 Oct 2020	Focus[7]	27	19	13	18	10	–	20	–	9	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	34	60	90
1–9 Oct 2020	AKO[8]	29	16	17	16	12	–	25	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	35	71	79
26 Aug–2 Sept 2020	Focus[10]	35	21	17	16	11	–	19	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	31	71	79
7–17 Jul 2020	AKO[11]	44	20	12	15	10	–	18	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	31	74	76
17–24 June 2020	Focus[12]	41	37	25	18	12	–	17	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	N/A	83	67
		37	17	18	15	11	–	16	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	36	71	79
14–21 May 2020	Focus[13][14]	43	41	21	18	12	–	15	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	N/A	79	71
		40	17	16	15	10	–	13	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	39	69	81
15–19 Apr 2020	Focus[15]	45	40	21	17	14		13	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	N/A	79	71
14–17 Apr 2020	AKO[16]	56	34	18	12	12	–	18	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	N/A	92	58
18–21 Mar 2020	Focus	47	43	23	15	–		12	10	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	N/A	92	58
29 February 2020	2020 elections	53	38	17	17	–		13	12	–	–			–	–	–	–	N/A	95	55
Date	Polling firm																		Govt.	Opp.
		OĽaNO [lower-alpha 1]	Smer–SD	Sme Rodina	Kotlebovci– ĽSNS[lower-alpha 2]	PS	SPOLU	SaS	Za ľudí	KDH	SMK-MKP	MF[lower-alpha 5]	Ö-S[lower-alpha 6]	SNS	Dobrá voľba	Vlasť	Most–Híd	Hlas– SD
						PS-SPOLU[lower-alpha 3]					MKÖ-MKS[lower-alpha 4]

Notes

1. OĽaNO ran a common list in last election with NOVA, Kresťanská únia, and ZMENA ZDOLA under its name and it's polled as one party.
2. K-ĽSNS ran a common list in last election with KDŽP-Aliancia za Slovensko, Národná Koalícia, Doma Dobre, and Priama Demokracia under its name.
3. Progressive Slovakia and SPOLU ran a common list in last election.
4. SMK ran a common list in last elections with Maďarské Forum, and Maďarská Spolupatričnosť under name MKO-MKS.
5. Magyar fórum-Maďarské forúm
6. Összefogás-Spolupatričnosť
7. OĽaNO-NOVA - 14.7%, KÚ - 1.1%
8. As Peter Pellegrini's New Party in Scenario that new party of Prime Minister Peter Pellegrini is founded.
9. Scenario: Former Prime Minister Peter Pellegrini leaves Smer-SD and founds new party.

References

1. https://dennikn.sk/2238820/focus-hlas-sa-splha-k-25-percentam-olano-ma-10-percent-spor-premiera-so-sulikom-uz-pripravil-o-preferencie-aj-sas/?ref=tit1
2. https://ako.sk/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/ag.AKO-VOLEBNE-PREF-DECEMBER-2020.pdf
3. https://www.focus-research.sk/files/n276_Volebne%20preferencie%20politickych%20stran_december%202020.pdf
4. "Prieskum: Z konfliktu SaS a OĽaNO ťaží Sulík, rastie aj Pellegriniho Hlas". SME.sk (in Slovak). 29 November 2020. Retrieved 29 November 2020.
5. https://domov.sme.sk/c/22535266/prieskum-volby-by-vyhral-hlas-lsns-aj-smeru-preferencie-klesaju.html?ref=njct
6. https://www.ta3.com/clanok/1195764/do-parlamentu-by-sa-dostalo-sedem-stran-ukazal-prieskum.html
7. https://www.focus-research.sk/files/n274_Volebne%20preferencie%20politickych%20stran_oktober%202020.pdf
8. https://slovensko.hnonline.sk/2229557-prieskum-pellegriniho-hlas-prvykrat-predbehol-olano-vyrazne-rastie-sas
9. https://www.tvnoviny.sk/domace/2007850_prieskum-pellegriniho-strana-hlas-uz-dobehla-olano
10. https://www.focus-research.sk/files/n273_Volebn%C3%A9%20preferencie%20politick%C3%BDch%20str%C3%A1n%20august-september%202020.pdf
11. https://ako.sk/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/ag.AKO_VOLEBNE_PREF_JUL_2020.pdf
12. https://www.tvnoviny.sk/na-telo/2000971_s-pellegrinim-aj-bez-neho-exkluzivny-prieskum-ukazuje-ako-by-nova-strana-zamiesala-preferenciami
13. http://www.focus-research.sk/files/n271_Volebne%20preferencie%20politickych%20stran_maj%202020.pdf
14. https://dennikn.sk/1913435/prieskum-focusu-pellegriniho-strana-by-predbehla-smer-a-tesne-by-sa-dotiahla-na-olano/?ref=tit1
15. http://www.focus-research.sk/files/n270_Volebne%20preferencie%20politickych%20stran_april%202020.pdf
16. https://ako.sk/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/ag.AKO-VOLEBN%C3%89_PREF_APRIL-2020_.pdf