2021 Newfoundland and Labrador general election

The 2021 Newfoundland and Labrador general election will be held on February 13, 2021 to elect members of the 50th General Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador.[1]

2021 Newfoundland and Labrador general election
February 13, 2021
All 40 seats in the 50th House of Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador
21 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Leader Andrew Furey Ches Crosbie Alison Coffin
Party Liberal Progressive Conservative New Democratic
Leader since August 3, 2020 April 28, 2018 March 5, 2019
Leader's seat Humber-Gros Morne Windsor Lake St. John's East-Quidi Vidi
Last election 20 seats, 43.9% 15 seats, 42.6% 3 seats, 6.3%
Current seats 19 15 3
Seats needed 2 6 18
Incumbent Premier

Andrew Furey
Liberal

The writs of election were issued by Lieutenant Governor Judy Foote on January 15, 2021, after a request was made by Premier Andrew Furey.[1]

Under the province's fixed election date law, the vote was tentatively scheduled for October 10, 2023. However, a caveat in the law mandates that an election must be held within one year of a new Premier assuming office. Premier Furey assumed the role on August 19, 2020.[1]

Party standings
 Summary of the House of Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador election results
Party Party leader Candidates Seats Popular vote
2019 Dissol. 2021 Change # % % Change
Liberal Andrew Furey 40 20 19
Progressive Conservative Ches Crosbie 40 15 15
New Democratic Alison Coffin 33 3 3
NL Alliance Graydon Pelley 6 0 0
  Independents 8 2 3
Total 127 40 40 40 - 100%  

Incumbents not running for reelection

The following MHAs had announced that they would not be running in this provincial election:

Liberal

Progressive Conservative

Timeline
Changes in seats held (2019 – present)
Seat Before Change
Date Member Party Reason Date Member Party
Humber-Gros Morne September 7, 2020[5] Dwight Ball █ Liberal Resignation October 6, 2020[6] Andrew Furey █ Liberal
Lake Melville November 10, 2020[7] Perry Trimper █ Liberal Resigned from caucus[lower-alpha 1] █ Independent
  1. over his comments regarding Innu/Inuit in his district

2019

  • May 16, 2019 – The Liberal Party of Newfoundland and Labrador wins 20 of the 40 seats in the House of Assembly during the general election, re-electing Premier Dwight Ball but forcing the Liberals to form a minority government. This is the first time the province elected a minority government since 1971.[8]
  • May 30, 2019 - Premier Ball's cabinet is sworn in; all ministers maintain their previous portfolios with the exception of MHA Warr entering cabinet.[9][10]
  • September 13, 2019 - Minister Trimper resigns from cabinet after comments critical of the Innu Nation were left on the voicemail of an Innu Nation staffer and publicly revealed.[11]
  • September 13, 2019 - MHA Bragg is appointed Minister of Municipal Affairs and Environment replacing Trimper.[12]
  • December 5, 2019 - The House of Assembly votes to reprimand Minister Chris Mitchelmore for his hiring of Carla Foote at The Rooms despite her lack of qualifications and her political connections to the Liberals. The House of Assembly orders that Mitchelmore apologize to the Board of Directors of The Rooms and to the House of Assembly and also be suspended two-week without pay.[13]

2020

  • April 4, 2020 - Service NL Minister Sherry Gambin-Walsh was removed from cabinet as the RCMP launched a criminal investigation into allegations that she leaked cabinet documents.[16][17]
  • July 16, 2020 - The Progressive Conservatives begin opening up nominations in anticipation of an upcoming provincial election.[18]
  • July 21, 2020 - The NL Alliance open nominations in all forty districts.[19]
  • August 3, 2020 - Andrew Furey is elected leader of the Liberal Party.[20]
  • August 19, 2020 - Furey is formally sworn in as Premier, along with a new provincial cabinet.[21] MHAs Bennett, Loveless, and Stoodley enter cabinet.
  • September 7, 2020 - Dwight Ball resigns as MHA for Humber-Gros Morne.[22]
  • September 9, 2020 - The RCMP disclose that Sherry Gambin-Walsh broke cabinet confidentiality by leaking information to Paul Didham, a senior police officer with the Royal Newfoundland Constabulary. The RCMP did not lay criminal charges against Gambin-Walsh because no one benefited from the information; however Premier Furey did not reappoint her to cabinet.[23][24]
  • September 14, 2020 - The Liberals open nominations for a general election.[25]
  • October 2, 2020 - At their annual convention, the Progressive Conservatives vote against conducting a review of Ches Crosbie's leadership.
  • October 6, 2020 - Liberal candidate, Premier Andrew Furey, is elected in the Humber-Gros Morne by-election.

2021

  • January 15, 2021 - Premier Furey asks Lieutenant Governor Judy Foote to dissolve the House of Assembly for a general provincial election, scheduled for February 13, 2021.[1]
  • January 17, 2021 - The Progressive Conservatives become the first of the four registered parties to nominate a slate of 40 candidates.[27]
  • January 21, 2021 - The Liberals become the second of the four registered parties to nominate a slate of 40 candidates.[28]
  • January 22, 2021 - NL Alliance leader Graydon Pelley suspends his campaign due to an emergency surgery that left him in an extensive recovery period.[29]
  • January 23, 2021 - Deadline for candidates to be nominated.[30]
  • February 6, 2021 - Advance polls are scheduled to be open from 8:00 AM (NST) to 8:00 PM (NST).[30]
  • February 13, 2021 - Election day. Polls are scheduled to be open from 8:00 AM (NST) to 8:00 PM (NST).[30]

Campaign

Party platforms

At the start of the campaign, Liberal leader Andrew Furey framed the election around the economy, by focusing on the provincial debt, the oil industry, and government spending.[1] There are $55M worth of expenses proposed.[31]

With a similar focus on the economy, PC leader Ches Crosbie emphasized the importance of creating jobs through infrastructure projects, eliminating regulations, and cutting taxes.[1] Meanwhile, NDP leader Alison Coffin centred her priorities on health care and affordable living.[1]

Initial election call and reaction

Prior to the election being called, the provincial government made a series of announcements involving new spending programs and reached agreements with several unions.[1] The timing of these announcements received disapproval from the PCs.[1] The Liberals were also criticized by the PCs and NDP for calling an election during the winter and the COVID-19 pandemic.[1] Both of the opposition parties suggested that the Liberals should have waited until recommendations were made by the premier's economic recovery team, which was scheduled to release an interim report at the end of February and a final report at the end of April.[1] Despite their criticism, the PCs and NDP indicated that they were prepared for the election.[1]

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic

Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, Elections NL issued lengthy guidelines for candidates, with parties placing a larger emphasis on social media rather than door-to-door canvassing, large rallies or visits to seniors' homes.[1] In order to avoid crowds on election day, Elections NL focused efforts on voting by mail and scheduled the election on a Saturday for the first time in the province's history.[1] Additionally, the Liberals did not allow members of the media on the party's campaign bus, citing "COVID-19 protocols".[1]

Early voting has increased.[32]

Issues

Sexism and misogyny has affected women candidates on the campaign trail.[33]

Candidates by district
  • Names in boldface type represent party leaders.
  • † represents that the incumbent is not running again.
  • § represents that the incumbent was defeated for nomination.
  • ₰ represents that the incumbent ran in another district and lost the nomination
  • ‡ represents that the incumbent is running in a different district.

St. John's
Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Liberal PC NDPOther
Mount Scio
 Sarah Stoodley[34] Damian Follett[35][36] Sheilagh O'Leary[37][38] Larry Borne (Independent)[39]
Andrea Newbury (NL Alliance)[40]		 Sarah Stoodley
St. John's Centre
 Gemma Hickey[41][42] Robyn LeGrow[43] Jim Dinn[44] Jim Dinn
St. John's East-Quidi Vidi
 John Abbott[45][46] Vaughn Hammond[27] Alison Coffin[44] Alison Coffin
St. John's West
 Siobhan Coady[47] Kristina Ennis[36] Brenda Walsh[48] Siobhan Coady
Virginia Waters-Pleasantville Bernard Davis[47] Victor Lawlor[49] Jenn Deon[48] Bernard Davis
Waterford Valley Tom Osborne[50] Michael Holden[51] Peter Young[52] Tom Osborne
Windsor Lake John Hogan[53] Ches Crosbie[54] Tomás Shea[55] Ches Crosbie

St. John's suburbs
Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Liberal PC NDP NL AllianceOther
Cape St. Francis Peter Whittle[56] Joedy Wall[57] Phyllis Fleming[52] Ryan Lane[58] Kevin Parsons†
Conception Bay East – Bell Island Lynn Hammond[56] David Brazil[59] Gavin Will[60] David Brazil
Conception Bay South Shelley Moores[61] Barry Petten[62] Andrew Lovell[52] Warrick Butler[63] Barry Petten
Mount Pearl North Lucy Stoyles[56] Jim Lester[64] Jennifer McCreath[52] William Neville[65] Jim Lester
Mount Pearl-Southlands Karla Hayward[56] Cindy Grant[52] Cara Winsor-Hehir[52] Paul Lane (Independent)[66] Paul Lane
Topsail-Paradise Ken Carter[67] Paul Dinn[68] Kathleen Burt[69] Paul Dinn

Avalon Peninsula
Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Liberal PC NDPOther
Carbonear-Trinity-Bay de Verde Steve Crocker[47] Frank Butt[70] Matthew Smith[52] Edward Thomas Cole (Independent)[39] Steve Crocker
Ferryland Cheryl O’Brien[56] Loyola O'Driscoll[71] Paul Murphy[52] Loyola O'Driscoll
Harbour Grace-Port de Grave Pam Parsons[72] Roy Sparkes[36] Dion Hynes[52] Pam Parsons
Harbour Main George Murphy[56] Helen Conway-Ottenheimer[73] Anthony Chadwick[52] Helen Conway-Ottenheimer
Placentia-St. Mary's Sherry Gambin-Walsh[74] Calvin Manning[75] Clem Whittle (NL Alliance)[76] Sherry Gambin-Walsh

Eastern Newfoundland
Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Liberal PC NDPOther
Bonavista Christine Gill[28] Craig Pardy[62] Timothy Whey[52] Neil King (Independent)[77] Craig Pardy
Burin-Grand Bank Paul Pike[78] Fred Dodge[79] Alvin Banfield[52] Carol Anne Haley†
Placentia West-Bellevue Sam Synard[80] Jeff Dwyer[64] Carolyn Davis[52] Jeff Dwyer
Terra Nova Steve Denty[81][80] Lloyd Parrott[82] Anne Marie Anonsen[83] Lloyd Parrott

Central Newfoundland
Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Liberal PC NDP
Baie Verte-Green Bay Brian Warr[80] Lin Paddock[52] Brian Warr
Exploits Rodney Mercer[84] Pleaman Forsey[85] Pleaman Forsey
Fogo Island-Cape Freels Derrick Bragg[86] Sue Collins[49] Jim Gill[52] Derrick Bragg
Fortune Bay-Cape La Hune Elvis Loveless[87] Charlene Walsh[52] Noel Joe[60] Elvis Loveless
Gander John Haggie[88] Jamie Harnum[27] Dawn Lahey[52] John Haggie
Grand Falls-Windsor-Buchans Deborah Ball[67] Chris Tibbs[52] Holly Pike[52] Chris Tibbs
Lewisporte-Twillingate Derek Bennett[72] Rhonda Simms[89] Derek Bennett

Western Newfoundland
Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Liberal PC NDPOther
Burgeo-La Poile Andrew Parsons[47] Ethan Wheeler-Park[90] Judy Vanta[52] Andrew Parsons
Corner Brook Gerry Byrne[91] Tom Stewart[92] [lower-alpha 1][93] Gerry Byrne
Humber-Gros Morne Andrew Furey[94] Jim Goudie[95] Sheina Lerman[52] [lower-alpha 2][29] Andrew Furey
Humber-Bay of Islands Stelman Flynn[67] Robert Marche[96] Eddie Joyce (Independent)[52] Eddie Joyce
St. Barbe-L'Anse aux Meadows Krista Howell[67] Sheila Fitzgerald[27] John McClusky[52] Ford Mitchelmore (Independent)[39] Chris Mitchelmore†
St. George's-Humber Scott Reid[72] Gary Bishop[97] Melissa Samms[98] Shane Snook (NL Alliance)[99] Scott Reid
Stephenville-Port au Port Kevin Aylward[100] Tony Wakeham[68] Jamie Ruby[52] Tony Wakeham

Labrador
Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Liberal PC NDPOther
Cartwright-L'Anse au Clair Lisa Dempster[47] Joshua Nolan[96] Lisa Dempster
Labrador West Wayne Button[101] Nick McGrath[102] Jordan Brown[44] Jordan Brown
Lake Melville Michelle Baikie[103] Shannon Tobin[104] Amy Norman[105] Andrew Abbass (Independent)[106]
Perry Trimper (Independent)[7][lower-alpha 3]		 Perry Trimper
Torngat Mountains Devon Ryan[107] Lela Evans[108] Patricia Johnson-Castle[52] Lela Evans

Notes
  1. Graham Downey-Sutton was originally the New Democratic candidate, but later withdrew from the race due to difficulties with Coffin's non-committal stance as to whether the Corner Brook Acute Care Hospital should receive a PET scanner.
  2. Graydon Pelley was originally the NL Alliance candidate, but later withdrew following an emergency surgery that left him in an extended recovery period.
  3. Perry Trimper was originally the Liberal candidate, but later withdrew following his comments about homeless Innu/Inuit in his district. He is now running as an independent.

Opinion polls
Voting Intentions in Newfoundland and Labrador since the 2019 Election
Polling Firm Final Day of Polling Link Liberal PC NDP NLA
Mainstreet Research January 29, 2021 [109] 62 26 9 1
MQO Research December 23, 2020 [110] 65 22 11 0
Narrative Research December 3, 2020 [111] 58 26 13 –
Angus Reid November 30, 2020 [112] 50 39 8 –
MQO Research September 2, 2020 [113] 53 33 11 1
Narrative Research August 18, 2020 [114] 61 21 15 –
Angus Reid June 8, 2020 [115] 48 35 12 –
Narrative Research May 26, 2020 [116] 60 26 13 –
Narrative Research February 23, 2020 [117] 37 35 26 –
Narrative Research November 22, 2019 [118] 42 33 24 –
Narrative Research August 25, 2019 [119] 42 32 24 –
MQO Research July 31, 2019 [120] 50 34 13 1
Election 2019 May 16, 2019 – 43.9 42.6 6.3 2.4

References
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  71. "NOMINATIONS CLOSE IN THE DISTRICT OF FERRYLAND". Progressive Conservative Party of Newfoundland and Labrador. Retrieved August 19, 2020.
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  89. "NOMINATIONS CLOSE IN THE DISTRICT OF LEWISPORTE - TWILLINGATE". Progressive Conservative Party of Newfoundland and Labrador. Retrieved January 15, 2020.
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  91. Newfoundland and Labrador Liberal Party [@nlliberals] (September 25, 2020). "@Gerry_Byrne will be the official Liberal Candidate for the District of Corner Brook in the next general election!" (Tweet). Retrieved September 26, 2020 – via Twitter.
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  97. @PCPartyNL (January 15, 2021). "Gary Bishop to be PC Candidate in the District of St. George's – Humber" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
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  99. NL Alliance [@alliance_nl] (January 21, 2021). "At the closing of nominations, NL Alliance Executive would like to announce that Shane Snook will be representing the District of St. George's-Humber in the upcoming general election" (Tweet). Retrieved January 22, 2021 – via Twitter.
  100. Peter Cowan [@PeterCBC] (January 15, 2021). "Here's a blast from the past, Kevin Aylward is running in Stephenville Port au Port for the Liberals. He was an MHA from 1985-2003. He was Liberal leader for the 2011 election but couldn't win his own seat" (Tweet). Retrieved January 15, 2021 – via Twitter.
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  105. Newfoundland and Labrador New Democratic Party [@NLNDP] (January 6, 2021). "AMY NORMAN RUNS FOR THE NDP IN LAKE MELVILLE" (Tweet). Retrieved January 8, 2021 – via Twitter.
  106. Andrew Abbass [@ParadigmSlip] (January 15, 2021). "In the process of completing the nomination papers for the Lake Melville district. I will be running as an Independent" (Tweet). Retrieved January 15, 2021 – via Twitter.
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  108. Equal Voice NL [@EqualVoiceNL] (January 13, 2021). "In the district of Torngat Mountains, @LelaEvansNL is representing the @PCPartyNL" (Tweet). Retrieved January 15, 2021 – via Twitter.
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