List of target seats in the 2019 United Kingdom general election

The 2019 United Kingdom general election was held on 12 December 2019. These were the target seats for each of the political parties, according to results from the previous election in 2017.[1]

List by party

Conservative

Conservative target seats[2]
Rank	Constituency	Winning party 2017		Swing required	Winning party 2019
1	Perth and North Perthshire		SNP	0.02%		SNP
2	Kensington		Labour	0.03%		Conservative
3	Dudley North		Labour	0.03%		Conservative
4	Newcastle-under-Lyme		Labour	0.03%		Conservative
5	Crewe and Nantwich		Labour	0.04%		Conservative
6	Canterbury		Labour	0.16%		Labour
7	Barrow and Furness		Labour	0.22%		Conservative
8	Keighley		Labour	0.24%		Conservative
9	Lanark and Hamilton East		SNP	0.26%		SNP
10	Ashfield		Labour	0.44%		Conservative
11	Stroud		Labour	0.54%		Conservative
12	Bishop Auckland		Labour	0.58%		Conservative
13	Peterborough		Labour	0.64%		Conservative
14	Oxford West and Abingdon		Liberal Democrats	0.68%		Liberal Democrats
15	Westmorland and Lonsdale		Liberal Democrats	0.75%		Liberal Democrats
16	Colne Valley		Labour	0.76%		Conservative
17	Ipswich		Labour	0.81%		Conservative
18	Bedford		Labour	0.81%		Labour
19	Stockton South		Labour	0.82%		Conservative
20	Edinburgh South West		SNP	1.11%		SNP

Labour

Labour target seats[3]
Rank	Constituency	Winning party 2017		Swing required	Winning party 2019
1	Southampton Itchen		Conservative	0.03%		Conservative
2	Glasgow South West		SNP	0.08%		SNP
3	Glasgow East		SNP	0.10%		SNP
4	Arfon		Plaid Cymru	0.16%		Plaid Cymru
5	Airdrie and Shotts		SNP	0.26%		SNP
6	Pudsey		Conservative	0.31%		Conservative
7	Hastings and Rye		Conservative	0.32%		Conservative
8	Chipping Barnet		Conservative	0.32%		Conservative
9	Thurrock		Conservative	0.34%		Conservative
10	Lanark and Hamilton East		SNP	0.36%		SNP
11	Preseli Pembrokeshire		Conservative	0.37%		Conservative
12	Motherwell and Wishaw		SNP	0.38%		SNP
13	Inverclyde		SNP	0.49%		SNP
14	Calder Valley		Conservative	0.52%		Conservative
15	Norwich North		Conservative	0.55%		Conservative
16	Broxtowe		Conservative	0.78%		Conservative
17	Stoke-on-Trent South		Conservative	0.80%		Conservative
18	Telford		Conservative	0.81%		Conservative
19	Dunfermline and West Fife		SNP	0.83%		SNP
20	Bolton West		Conservative	0.92%		Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Lib Dem target seats[4]
Rank	Constituency	Winning party 2017		Swing required	Winning party 2019
1	North East Fife		SNP	0.00%		Liberal Democrats
2	Richmond Park		Conservative	0.04%		Liberal Democrats
3	Ceredigion		Plaid Cymru	0.13%		Plaid Cymru
4	St Ives		Conservative	0.30%		Conservative
5	Sheffield Hallam		Labour	1.86%		Labour
6	Cheltenham		Conservative	2.25%		Conservative
7	North Devon		Conservative	3.89%		Conservative
8	Cheadle		Conservative	4.13%		Conservative
9	Leeds North West		Labour	4.56%		Labour
10	Lewes		Conservative	5.08%		Conservative

SNP

SNP target seats[5]
Rank	Constituency	Winning party 2017		Swing required	Winning party 2019
1	Stirling		Conservative	0.15%		SNP
2	Rutherglen and Hamilton West		Labour	0.26%		SNP
3	Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath		Labour	0.28%		SNP
4	Glasgow North East		Labour	0.38%		SNP
5	Midlothian		Labour	0.98%		SNP
6	Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill		Labour	1.76%		SNP
7	Gordon		Conservative	2.43%		SNP
8	East Lothian		Labour	2.76%		SNP
9	Edinburgh West		Liberal Democrats	2.83%		Liberal Democrats
10	Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock		Conservative	3.00%		SNP

Plaid Cymru

Plaid Cymru targets[6]
Rank	Constituency	Winning party 2017		Swing required	Winning party 2019
1	Ynys Môn		Labour	7.23%		Conservative
2	Llanelli		Labour	17.62%		Labour
3	Blaenau Gwent		Labour	18.38%		Labour
4	Caerphilly		Labour	20.01%		Labour
5	Rhondda		Labour	20.87%		Labour

Brexit Party

Brexit Party target seats[7]
Rank	Constituency	Winning party 2017		Swing required	Winning party 2019
1	Hartlepool		Labour	n/a		Labour

Green Party of England and Wales

Green Party target seats[8]
Rank	Constituency	Winning party 2017		Swing required	Winning party 2019
1	Bristol West		Labour	26.5%		Labour

Democratic Unionist Party

Democratic Unionist Party target seats[9]
Rank	Constituency	Winning party 2017		Swing required	Winning party 2019
1	North Down		Independent	1.6%		Alliance

Ulster Unionist Party

Ulster Unionist Party target seats[10][11]
Rank	Constituency	Winning party 2017		Swing required	Winning party 2019
1	Fermanagh and South Tyrone		Sinn Féin	0.8%		Sinn Féin
2	South Antrim		DUP	3.7%		DUP

SDLP

Social Democratic and Labour Party target seats[12][13]
Rank	Constituency	Winning party 2017		Swing required	Winning party 2019
1	Belfast South		DUP	2.3%		SDLP
2	South Down		Sinn Féin	2.4%		Sinn Féin

Sinn Féin

Sinn Féin target seats[14]
Rank	Constituency	Winning party 2017		Swing required	Winning party 2019
1	Belfast North		DUP	2.3%		Sinn Féin

References

1. Barnes, Peter; Jeavans, Christine (13 November 2019). "Where are the seats that could turn the election?" – via www.bbc.co.uk.
2. "Conservative Target Seats 2019 - Election Polling". www.electionpolling.co.uk. Retrieved 11 November 2019.
3. "Labour Target Seats 2019 - Election Polling". www.electionpolling.co.uk. Retrieved 11 November 2019.
4. "Liberal Democrat Target Seats 2019 - Election Polling". www.electionpolling.co.uk. Retrieved 11 November 2019.
5. "SNP Target Seats 2019 - Election Polling". www.electionpolling.co.uk. Retrieved 11 November 2019.
6. "Plaid Cymru Target Seats 2019". www.electionpolling.co.uk. Retrieved 11 November 2019.
7. Proctor, Kate; Perraudin, Frances (5 December 2019). "Farage hits out at three MEPs who quit Brexit party to back Tories" – via www.theguardian.com.
8. Drennan, Sue (2 December 2019). "Bristol West: What you need to know for the 2019 General Election". The Bristol Cable.
9. "DUP targetting North Down seat in December election". 11 November 2019 – via www.rte.ie. Cite journal requires |journal= (help)
10. "Upper Bann constituency profile: Five-party target but two-party choice?". 26 November 2019 – via www.bbc.com.
11. "The Northern Ireland seats where Brexit and tactical votes will be a gamechanger". inews.co.uk. 8 November 2019.
12. "South Belfast constituency profile: The DUP seat most under threat". 22 November 2019 – via www.bbc.com.
13. McGrath, Dominic. "Here's a list of MPs elected in Northern Ireland". TheJournal.ie.
14. "A seat-by-seat guide to the general election in Northern Ireland". The Independent. 4 December 2019.