Opinion polling for the 2019 United Kingdom general election
Prior to the 2019 United Kingdom general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Most of the pollsters listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. Opinion polling about attitudes to the leaders of various political parties can be found in a separate article.
Opinion polling for UK general elections |
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2010 election |
Opinion polls |
2015 election |
Opinion polls • Leadership approval |
2017 election |
Opinion polls |
2019 election |
Opinion polls • Leadership approval |
Next election |
Opinion polls • Leadership approval |
The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 8 June 2017, to the 2019 general election. The election was held on 12 December 2019.
Most opinion polls do not cover Northern Ireland, since its 18 seats were not contested by the political parties standing for election in the rest of the United Kingdom.
Graphical summaries
The chart below depicts opinion polls conducted for the next United Kingdom general election using a 15-poll moving average. As discussed below, most of these polls do not include Northern Ireland. The larger circles at the end represent the actual results of the election.
National poll results
Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. Most pollsters only include responses from within Great Britain, excluding Northern Ireland. However, some, such as Survation, do include Northern Ireland. The table below indicates whether a poll is Great Britain (GB)-only or United Kingdom (UK)-wide.
The campaigning period officially began on 6 November 2019.[1]
The various polls use a variety of methodologies. For example, in Kantar and Ipsos MORI polls, Change UK and the Brexit Party were spontaneous responses and not prompted by the pollster.[2][3] In YouGov polls before June 2019, only the Conservatives, Labour, and Liberal Democrats were prompted, the names of other parties being listed when "other" was selected.[4] YouGov polls conducted since June 2019 prompt for both the Greens and the Brexit Party, alongside the earlier list.[5] BMG polls also use two-stage questions in which the Conservatives, Labour, Liberal Democrats, the Brexit Party, the Greens, SNP, and Plaid Cymru are included on the initial prompt and the remaining parties provided after "another party" is selected. Prior to August 2019, BMG did not prompt the Brexit Party and the Greens initially.[6]
As the parties standing for each seat became known (including the 11 November announcement that the Brexit Party would not be contesting the 317 seats won by the Conservatives in 2017) the major pollsters began listing only those standing in a respondent's constituency as options.[7]
2019
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Area | Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | SNP | Plaid Cymru | Green | Brexit | UKIP | Change UK | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec | UK | – | 43.6% | 32.1% | 11.6% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 3.1% | 11.5% |
GB | 44.7% | 33.0% | 11.8% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 11.7% | |||
Survation | 10–11 Dec | GB | 2,395 | 45% | 34% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 3% | – | – | 1% | 11% |
Panelbase | 10–11 Dec | GB | 3,174 | 43% | 34% | 11% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 4% | – | – | – | 9% |
Opinium | 10–11 Dec | GB | 3,005 | 45% | 33% | 12% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 2% | – | – | 1% | 12% |
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 9–11 Dec | GB | 2,213 | 44% | 33% | 12% | – | – | 3% | 2% | – | – | 6% | 11% |
Deltapoll | 9–11 Dec | GB | 1,818 | 45% | 35% | 10% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 4% | – | – | 0% | 10% |
Kantar | 9–11 Dec | GB | 2,815 | 44% | 32% | 13% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 3% | – | – | 1% | 12% |
BMG/The Independent | 6–11 Dec | GB | 1,660 | 41% | 32% | 14% | – | – | 3% | 4% | – | – | 6% | 9% |
SavantaComRes/The Daily Telegraph | 9–10 Dec | GB | 2,051 | 41% | 36% | 12% | 4% | – | 2% | 3% | – | – | 2% | 5% |
Number Cruncher Politics/Bloomberg | 8–10 Dec | GB | 1,009 | 43% | 33% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 3% | – | – | 1% | 10% |
YouGov (MRP) | 4–10 Dec | GB | 105,612 | 43% | 34% | 12% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 3% | – | – | 2% | 9% |
FocalData (MRP) | 27 Nov–10 Dec | GB | 21,213 | 42% | 34% | 14% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 3% | – | – | 1% | 8% |
ICM Research/Reuters | 6–9 Dec | GB | 2,011 | 42% | 36% | 12% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | – | 1% | 6% |
SavantaComRes/Remain United[lower-alpha 1] | 6–8 Dec | GB | 6,073 | 43% | 36% | 12% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 3% | – | – | 1% | 7% |
Qriously | 5–8 Dec | UK | 2,222 | 43% | 30% | 12% | 2% | – | 4% | 3% | – | – | 5% | 13% |
Survation/Good Morning Britain | 5–7 Dec | UK | 1,012 | 45% | 31% | 11% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 4% | – | – | 3% | 14% |
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday | 5–7 Dec | GB | 1,533 | 44% | 33% | 11% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 1% | – | 1% | 11% |
YouGov/The Sunday Times | 5–6 Dec | GB | 1,680 | 43% | 33% | 13% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 3% | – | – | 1% | 10% |
BMG/The Independent | 4–6 Dec | GB | 1,542 | 41% | 32% | 14% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 9% |
Opinium/The Observer | 4–6 Dec | GB | 2,002 | 46% | 31% | 13% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 3% | – | – | 1% | 15% |
Panelbase | 4–6 Dec | GB | 2,033 | 43% | 34% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 3% | – | – | 0% | 9% |
SavantaComRes/The Sunday Telegraph | 4–5 Dec | GB | 2,034 | 41% | 33% | 12% | 4% | – | 2% | 3% | – | – | 5% | 8% |
SavantaComRes/Remain United[lower-alpha 1] | 2–5 Dec | GB | 2,005 | 42% | 36% | 11% | 3% | – | 2% | 4% | – | – | 1% | 6% |
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 2–4 Dec | GB | 1,545 | 44% | 32% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 2% | – | – | 1% | 12% |
SavantaComRes/The Daily Telegraph | 2–3 Dec | GB | 2,041 | 42% | 32% | 12% | 4% | – | 2% | 3% | – | – | 5% | 10% |
YouGov/The Times/Sky News | 2–3 Dec | GB | 1,699 | 42% | 33% | 12% | 5% | 0% | 4% | 4% | – | – | 1% | 9% |
ICM Research | 29 Nov–2 Dec | GB | 2,029 | 42% | 35% | 13% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 3% | – | – | 1% | 7% |
Kantar | 28 Nov–2 Dec | GB | 1,096 | 44% | 32% | 15% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | – | – | 1% | 12% |
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday | 28–30 Nov | GB | 1,528 | 45% | 32% | 15% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 0% | – | 0% | 13% |
Survation/Good Morning Britain | 26–30 Nov | UK | 1,065 | 42% | 33% | 11% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 3% | – | – | 3% | 9% |
YouGov/The Sunday Times | 28–29 Nov | GB | 1,680 | 43% | 34% | 13% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 2% | – | – | 1% | 9% |
Opinium/The Observer | 27–29 Nov | GB | 2,018 | 46% | 31% | 13% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 2% | – | – | 2% | 15% |
BMG/The Independent | 27–29 Nov | GB | 1,663 | 39% | 33% | 13% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 6% |
SavantaComRes/The Sunday Telegraph | 27–28 Nov | GB | 2,025 | 43% | 33% | 13% | 3% | – | 3% | 4% | – | – | 1% | 10% |
Panelbase | 27–28 Nov | GB | 2,010 | 42% | 34% | 13% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 4% | – | – | 1% | 8% |
SavantaComRes/The Daily Telegraph | 25–26 Nov | GB | 2,034 | 41% | 34% | 13% | 3% | – | 2% | 5% | – | – | 1% | 7% |
YouGov/The Times/Sky News | 25–26 Nov | GB | 1,678 | 43% | 32% | 13% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 4% | – | – | 1% | 11% |
ICM Research | 22–25 Nov | GB | 2,004 | 41% | 34% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 0% | – | 1% | 7% |
Kantar | 21–25 Nov | GB | 1,097 | 43% | 32% | 14% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 3% | – | – | 0% | 11% |
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday | 21–23 Nov | GB | 1,519 | 43% | 30% | 16% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 3% | – | – | 0% | 13% |
Survation/Good Morning Britain | 20–23 Nov | UK | 1,010 | 41% | 30% | 15% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 5% | – | – | 4% | 11% |
YouGov/The Sunday Times | 21–22 Nov | GB | 1,677 | 42% | 30% | 16% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 3% | – | – | 1% | 12% |
Opinium/The Observer | 20–22 Nov | GB | 2,003 | 47% | 28% | 12% | 5% | 0% | 3% | 3% | – | – | 2% | 19% |
Panelbase | 20–22 Nov | GB | 2,028 | 42% | 32% | 14% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 3% | – | – | 2% | 10% |
SavantaComRes/Sunday Express | 20–21 Nov | GB | 2,038 | 42% | 32% | 15% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 5% | – | – | 1% | 10% |
BMG | 19–21 Nov | GB | 1,663 | 41% | 28% | 18% | 2% | 0% | 5% | 3% | – | – | 1% | 13% |
YouGov | 12–20 Nov | GB | 11,277 | 43% | 29% | 15% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 4% | – | – | 2% | 14% |
SavantaComRes/The Daily Telegraph | 18–19 Nov | GB | 1,628 | 42% | 31% | 15% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 5% | – | – | 1% | 11% |
YouGov/The Times | 18–19 Nov | GB | 1,606 | 42% | 30% | 15% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 4% | – | – | 1% | 12% |
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 15–19 Nov | GB | 1,128 | 44% | 28% | 16% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 3% | – | – | 1% | 16% |
YouGov | 17–18 Nov | GB | 1,634 | 43% | 29% | 15% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 3% | – | – | 3% | 14% |
ICM Research | 15–18 Nov | GB | 2,010 | 42% | 32% | 13% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 5% | – | – | 2% | 10% |
Kantar | 14–18 Nov | GB | 1,176 | 45% | 27% | 16% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 2% | – | – | 1% | 18% |
Survation/Good Morning Britain | 14–16 Nov | UK | 1,010 | 42% | 28% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 5% | – | – | 4% | 14% |
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday | 14–16 Nov | GB | 1,526 | 45% | 30% | 11% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 15% |
Nominations for candidates close (final candidates announced) | ||||||||||||||
YouGov/The Sunday Times | 14–15 Nov | GB | 1,670 | 45% | 28% | 15% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 4% | – | – | 2% | 17% |
Opinium/The Observer | 13–15 Nov | GB | 2,008 | 44% | 28% | 14% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 6% | – | – | 0% | 16% |
BMG/The Independent | 12–15 Nov | GB | 1,506 | 37% | 29% | 16% | 2% | 0% | 5% | 9% | – | – | 0% | 8% |
SavantaComRes/The Sunday Telegraph | 13–14 Nov | GB | 2,052 | 41% | 33% | 14% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 5% | – | – | 1% | 8% |
Panelbase | 13–14 Nov | GB | 1,021 | 43% | 30% | 15% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 5% | – | – | 0% | 13% |
SavantaComRes/The Daily Telegraph | 11–12 Nov | GB | 2,022 | 40% | 30% | 16% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 7% | – | – | 1% | 10% |
YouGov/The Times/Sky News | 11–12 Nov | GB | 1,619 | 42% | 28% | 15% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 4% | – | – | 4% | 14% |
ICM Research | 8–11 Nov | GB | 2,035 | 39% | 31% | 15% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 8% | – | – | 2% | 8% |
Kantar | 7–11 Nov | GB | 1,165 | 37% | 27% | 17% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
ComRes/Britain Elects | 8–10 Nov | GB | 2,014 | 37% | 29% | 17% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 9% | – | – | 1% | 8% |
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday | 6–9 Nov | GB | 1,518 | 41% | 29% | 16% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 12% |
YouGov/The Sunday Times | 7–8 Nov | GB | 1,598 | 39% | 26% | 17% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 10% | – | – | 0% | 13% |
Survation | 6–8 Nov | UK | 2,037 | 35% | 29% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 10% | – | – | 3% | 6% |
Opinium/The Observer | 6–8 Nov | GB | 2,001 | 41% | 29% | 15% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 6% | – | – | 0% | 12% |
Panelbase | 6–8 Nov | GB | 1,046 | 40% | 30% | 15% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 8% | – | – | 0% | 10% |
BMG/The Independent | 5–8 Nov | GB | 1,504 | 37% | 29% | 16% | 2% | 0% | 7% | 9% | – | – | 0% | 8% |
YouGov/The Times/Sky | 5–6 Nov | GB | 1,667 | 36% | 25% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 11% | – | – | 1% | 11% |
Parliament dissolved and official campaign period begins | ||||||||||||||
ComRes/Remain United | 30 Oct–5 Nov | GB | 6,097 | 36% | 29% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
YouGov/The Times | 1–4 Nov | GB | 3,284 | 38% | 25% | 16% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
ICM Research/Reuters | 1–4 Nov | GB | 2,047 | 38% | 31% | 15% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday | 31 Oct–2 Nov | GB | 1,500 | 40% | 28% | 14% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 11% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 12% |
Opinium/The Observer | 30 Oct–1 Nov | GB | 2,004 | 42% | 26% | 16% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 16% |
YouGov/The Sunday Times | 30 Oct–1 Nov | GB | 1,834 | 39% | 27% | 16% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 12% |
ComRes/Sunday Express | 30–31 Oct | GB | 2,032 | 36% | 28% | 17% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 8% |
ORB/The Sunday Telegraph | 30–31 Oct | GB | 2,025 | 36% | 28% | 14% | 5% | 0% | 4% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 8% |
Panelbase | 30–31 Oct | GB | 1,008 | 40% | 29% | 14% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 11% |
The House of Commons votes for an early general election | ||||||||||||||
YouGov/The Times | 29–30 Oct | GB | 1,750 | 36% | 21% | 18% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 15% |
Survation/Daily Mail | 29–30 Oct | UK | 1,010 | 34% | 26% | 19% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 8% |
Richard Braine resigns as leader of UKIP[8] | ||||||||||||||
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 25–28 Oct | GB | 1,007 | 41% | 24% | 20% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
YouGov | 17–28 Oct | GB | 11,590 | 36% | 22% | 19% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
YouGov/The Times | 24–25 Oct | GB | 1,672 | 36% | 23% | 18% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
Opinium/The Observer | 23–25 Oct | GB | 2,001 | 40% | 24% | 15% | 5% | 0% | 3% | 10% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 16% |
YouGov/The Times | 20–21 Oct | GB | 1,689 | 37% | 22% | 19% | 3% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 15% |
Deltapoll | 18–21 Oct | GB | 2,017 | 37% | 24% | 19% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
Panelbase | 17–18 Oct | GB | 1,008 | 36% | 27% | 17% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
Survation/Daily Mail | 17–18 Oct | UK | 1,025 | 32% | 24% | 21% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 8% |
ComRes/Britain Elects | 16–17 Oct | GB | 2,067 | 33% | 29% | 18% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Opinium/The Observer | 15–17 Oct | GB | 2,001 | 37% | 24% | 16% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 13% |
YouGov/The Times | 14–15 Oct | GB | 1,625 | 37% | 22% | 18% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 15% |
Kantar | 10–15 Oct | GB | 1,184 | 39% | 25% | 18% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 14% |
Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 9–11 Oct | GB | 2,013 | 33% | 30% | 17% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
ComRes/Daily Express | 9–10 Oct | GB | 2,018 | 33% | 27% | 18% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 6% |
YouGov/The Times | 8–9 Oct | GB | 1,616 | 35% | 22% | 20% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 12% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 13% |
ICM Research/Represent Us | 4–7 Oct | GB | 2,013 | 35% | 29% | 16% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 6% |
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph | 4–6 Oct | GB | 2,006 | 33% | 27% | 19% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 13% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 6% |
Opinium/The Observer | 3–4 Oct | GB | 2,006 | 38% | 23% | 15% | 5% | 0% | 4% | 12% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 15% |
BMG/The Independent | 1–4 Oct | GB | 1,514 | 31% | 26% | 20% | 3% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
YouGov/The Times | 30 Sep–1 Oct | GB | 1,623 | 34% | 21% | 23% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 11% |
YouGov/The Sunday Times | 26–27 Sep | GB | 1,623 | 33% | 22% | 21% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 11% |
Opinium/The Observer | 25–27 Sep | GB | 2,007 | 36% | 24% | 20% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 12% |
Survation/Daily Mail | 25 Sep | UK | 1,011 | 27% | 24% | 22% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 16% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 3% |
YouGov/The Times | 24–25 Sep | GB | 1,635 | 33% | 22% | 22% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
YouGov/People's Vote | 19–20 Sep | GB | 2,006 | 30% | 23% | 22% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
Opinium/The Observer | 19–20 Sep | GB | 2,004 | 37% | 22% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 15% |
ComRes/Britain Elects | 18–19 Sep | GB | 2,050 | 29% | 27% | 20% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 13% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% |
YouGov/The Times | 17–18 Sep | GB | 1,608 | 32% | 21% | 23% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 9% |
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 13–16 Sep | GB | 1,006 | 33% | 24% | 23% | 4% | 4% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 9% | |
Opinium/The Observer | 11–13 Sep | GB | 2,002 | 37% | 25% | 16% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 13% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 12% |
ComRes/Sunday Express | 11–12 Sep | GB | 2,057 | 28% | 27% | 20% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% |
YouGov/The Times | 9–10 Sep | GB | 1,676 | 32% | 23% | 19% | 4% | 0% | 7% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 9% |
Kantar | 5–9 Sep | GB | 1,144 | 38% | 24% | 20% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 14% |
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph | 6–8 Sep | GB | 2,016 | 30% | 29% | 17% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% |
Deltapoll/The Sun on Sunday | 5–7 Sep | GB | 2,049 | 31% | 28% | 17% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
YouGov/The Sunday Times | 5–6 Sep | GB | 1,676 | 35% | 21% | 19% | 4% | 0% | 7% | 12% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 14% |
Panelbase | 5–6 Sep | GB | 1,013 | 31% | 28% | 19% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 15% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Survation/Daily Mail | 5–6 Sep | UK | 1,006 | 29% | 24% | 18% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 5% |
ComRes/Britain Elects | 4–6 Sep | GB | 2,009 | 31% | 27% | 20% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 13% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
Opinium/The Observer | 4–6 Sep | GB | 2,009 | 35% | 25% | 17% | 5% | 0% | 3% | 13% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 10% |
BMG/The Independent | 3–6 Sep | GB | 1,504 | 31% | 27% | 19% | 3% | 0% | 6% | 13% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Hanbury Strategy | 3–4 Sep | GB | 995 | 33% | 26% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 7%[lower-alpha 2] |
YouGov/The Times | 2–3 Sep | GB | 1,639 | 35% | 25% | 16% | 4% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
ICM Research/Represent Us | 30 Aug–3 Sep | GB | 2,041 | 37% | 30% | 16% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday | 29–31 Aug | GB | 2,028 | 35% | 24% | 18% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 11% |
Survation/Daily Mail | 29–30 Aug | UK | 1,020 | 31% | 24% | 21% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 7% |
YouGov | 28–29 Aug | GB | 1,867 | 33% | 22% | 21% | 4% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 11% |
YouGov/The Times | 27–28 Aug | GB | 2,006 | 34% | 22% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 8% | 13% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 12% |
YouGov/The Sunday Times | 22–23 Aug | GB | 2,019 | 33% | 21% | 19% | 4% | 1% | 7% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 12% |
Opinium/The Observer | 21–23 Aug | GB | 2,005 | 32% | 26% | 15% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 16% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 6% |
YouGov/The Times | 20–21 Aug | GB | 1,687 | 32% | 22% | 20% | 4% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 10% |
Kantar | 15–19 Aug | GB | 1,133 | 42% | 28% | 15% | 5% | 0% | 3% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 14% |
YouGov/The Times | 13–14 Aug | GB | 1,625 | 30% | 21% | 20% | 4% | 1% | 8% | 14% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 9% |
BMG/The Independent | 7–12 Aug | GB | 1,515 | 31% | 25% | 19% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 12% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 6% |
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph | 9–11 Aug | GB | 2,011 | 31% | 27% | 16% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 16% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 4% |
Survation | 6–11 Aug | UK | 2,040 | 28% | 24% | 21% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 15% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 4% |
Richard Braine becomes leader of UKIP[9] | ||||||||||||||
Opinium/The Observer | 8–9 Aug | GB | 2,003 | 31% | 28% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
YouGov/The Times | 5–6 Aug | GB | 1,628 | 31% | 22% | 21% | 4% | 0% | 7% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 9% |
Brecon and Radnorshire by-election[10] | ||||||||||||||
YouGov/The Times | 29–30 Jul | GB | 2,066 | 32% | 22% | 19% | 4% | 1% | 8% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 10% |
Ipsos MORI | 26–30 Jul | GB | 1,007 | 34% | 24% | 20% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 10% |
ComRes/Britain Elects | 26–28 Jul | GB | 2,004 | 29% | 30% | 16% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 15% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% |
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday | 25–27 Jul | GB | 2,001 | 30% | 25% | 18% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 5% |
YouGov/The Sunday Times | 25–26 Jul | GB | 1,697 | 31% | 21% | 20% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 10% |
Opinium/The Observer | 24–26 Jul | GB | 2,006 | 30% | 28% | 16% | 5% | 1% | 5% | 15% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 2% |
ComRes/Sunday Express | 24–25 Jul | GB | 2,029 | 28% | 27% | 19% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 16% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
YouGov/The Times | 23–24 Jul | GB | 1,715 | 25% | 19% | 23% | 4% | 1% | 9% | 17% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 2% |
Boris Johnson becomes leader of the Conservative Party, and Prime Minister the next day | ||||||||||||||
Jo Swinson becomes leader of the Liberal Democrats[11] | ||||||||||||||
YouGov/The Times | 16–17 Jul | GB | 1,749 | 25% | 21% | 20% | 4% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
ComRes/Britain Elects | 15–16 Jul | GB | 2,038 | 25% | 28% | 17% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 19% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% |
ComRes/Sunday Express | 10–11 Jul | GB | 1,791 | 24% | 28% | 15% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 20% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% |
Survation | 10–11 Jul | GB | 1,012 | 23% | 29% | 19% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 20% | – | – | 1% | 6% |
YouGov/The Times | 9–10 Jul | GB | 1,671 | 24% | 20% | 19% | 5% | 1% | 9% | 21% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 3% |
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph | 5–7 Jul | GB | 2,010 | 25% | 28% | 16% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 19% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 3% |
Opinium/The Observer | 3–5 Jul | GB | 2,002 | 23% | 25% | 15% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 22% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% |
BMG/The Independent | 2–5 Jul | GB | 1,532 | 28% | 27% | 18% | 2% | 1% | 6% | 14% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 1% |
YouGov/The Times | 2–3 Jul | GB | 1,605 | 24% | 18% | 20% | 4% | 1% | 9% | 23% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
YouGov/The Times | 24–25 Jun | GB | 2,059 | 22% | 20% | 19% | 4% | 1% | 10% | 22% | 1% | 0% | 1% | Tie |
Ipsos MORI | 21–25 Jun | GB | 1,043 | 26% | 24% | 22% | 4% | 1% | 8% | 12% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
Opinium/The Observer | 19–20 Jun | GB | 2,009 | 20% | 26% | 16% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 23% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% |
Survation/The Mail on Sunday | 19–20 Jun | GB | 2,016 | 24% | 26% | 18% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 20% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
YouGov/The Times | 18–19 Jun | GB | 1,641 | 20% | 20% | 21% | 4% | 1% | 9% | 23% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
YouGov/The Sunday Times | 13–14 Jun | GB | 1,672 | 21% | 21% | 19% | 3% | 1% | 9% | 24% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 3% |
YouGov/The Times | 9–10 Jun | GB | 1,702 | 17% | 19% | 22% | 4% | 1% | 8% | 26% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph | 7–9 Jun | GB | 2,017 | 23% | 27% | 17% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 22% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
BMG/The Independent | 4–7 Jun | GB | 1,520 | 26% | 27% | 17% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 18% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Peterborough by-election[10] | ||||||||||||||
YouGov/The Times | 5–6 Jun | GB | 1,670 | 18% | 20% | 20% | 5% | 0% | 9% | 26% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
YouGov | 4–5 Jun | GB | 1,663 | 18% | 19% | 22% | 4% | 0% | 9% | 25% | 0% | – | 3% | 3% |
Anna Soubry becomes leader of Change UK after six of its MPs leave the party[12] | ||||||||||||||
YouGov | 31 May–1 Jun | GB | 1,644 | 18% | 19% | 23% | 5% | 0% | 10% | 23% | – | – | 2% | Tie |
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday | 29–30 May | GB | 2,449 | 20% | 26% | 16% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 24% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 2% |
Opinium/The Observer | 28–30 May | GB | 2,005 | 17% | 22% | 16% | 4% | 1% | 11% | 26% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
YouGov/The Times | 28–29 May | GB | 1,763 | 19% | 19% | 24% | 6% | 8% | 22% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | |
European Parliament election[13] | ||||||||||||||
Survation/Daily Mail | 22 May | UK | 2,029 | 28% | 33% | 13% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 12% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 5% |
Number Cruncher Politics | 18–21 May | GB | 1,005 | 27% | 31% | 15% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 4% |
Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 14–21 May | GB | 2,033 | 21% | 31% | 13% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 19% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 10% |
Opinium | 17–20 May | GB | 2,005 | 22% | 26% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 25% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 1% |
Survation/Daily Mail | 17 May | UK | 1,000 | 27% | 32% | 13% | 5% | 0% | 3% | 13% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 5% |
YouGov/Best for Britain/Hope Not Hate | 8–17 May | GB | 9,260 | 24% | 24% | 18% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 18% | 2% | 2% | 1% | Tie |
Opinium/The Observer | 14–16 May | GB | 2,009 | 22% | 29% | 11% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 24% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 5% |
YouGov/The Times | 13–14 May | GB | 1,655 | 25% | 25% | 16% | 5% | 7% | 18% | 2% | 2% | 1% | Tie | |
Ipsos MORI | 10–14 May | GB | 1,072 | 25% | 27% | 15% | 4% | 1% | 7% | 16% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
Hanbury Strategy/Politico | 9–13 May | GB | 2,000 | 21% | 30% | 13% | 4% | – | 5% | 19% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 9% |
Kantar | 9–13 May | GB | 1,152 | 25% | 34% | 15% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 9% |
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph | 10–12 May | GB | 2,028 | 20% | 27% | 13% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 20% | 4% | 6% | 1% | 7% |
Opinium/The Observer | 8–10 May | GB | 2,004 | 22% | 28% | 11% | 4% | 0% | 6% | 21% | 4% | 4% | 0% | 6% |
BMG/The Independent | 7–10 May | GB | 1,541 | 27% | 30% | 18% | 2% | 0% | 6% | 10% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 3% |
ComRes/Brexit Express | 9 May | GB | 2,034 | 19% | 27% | 14% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 20% | 3% | 7% | 1% | 7% |
YouGov/The Times | 8–9 May | GB | 2,212 | 24% | 24% | 16% | 5% | 7% | 18% | 2% | 2% | 1% | Tie | |
Opinium/People's Vote | 3–7 May | GB | 2,000 | 25% | 30% | 11% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 5% |
Local elections in England and Northern Ireland[14][15] | ||||||||||||||
YouGov | 29–30 Apr | GB | 1,630 | 29% | 29% | 13% | 4% | 5% | 15% | 2% | 3% | 1% | Tie | |
YouGov/The Times | 23–24 Apr | GB | 1,787 | 27% | 30% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 14% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 3% | |
Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 18–24 Apr | GB | 2,030 | 27% | 36% | 8% | 4% | – | 3% | 13% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 9% |
Opinium/The Observer | 21–23 Apr | GB | 2,004 | 26% | 33% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 17% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 7% |
ORB/The Daily Telegraph | 16–17 Apr | UK | 1,546 | 26% | 29% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 5% | 5% | 4%[lower-alpha 3] | 3% |
YouGov/The Times | 16–17 Apr | GB | 1,755 | 29% | 30% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 12% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | |
ComRes/Brexit Express | 16 Apr | GB | 1,061 | 23% | 33% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 14% | 5% | 9% | 1% | 10% |
Opinium/The Observer | 9–12 Apr | GB | 2,007 | 29% | 36% | 8% | 5% | 1% | 4% | – | 11% | – | 6% | 7% |
YouGov/The Times | 10–11 Apr | GB | 1,843 | 28% | 32% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 4% | |
Hanbury Strategy/Open Europe | 5–8 Apr | GB | 2,000 | 31% | 40% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 5% | – | 8% | – | 4% | 9% |
Kantar | 4–8 Apr | GB | 1,172 | 32% | 35% | 11% | 5% | 1% | 4% | – | 7% | – | 6% | 3% |
Survation | 3–8 Apr | E+W | 6,062 | 37% | 41% | 10% | – | 1% | 2% | – | 7% | 1% | 2% | 4% |
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph | 5–7 Apr | GB | 2,018 | 32% | 32% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 3% | – | 9% | 9% | 3% | Tie |
BMG/The Independent | 2–5 Apr | GB | 1,500 | 29% | 31% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 1% | 2% |
35% | 34% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 5% | – | 6% | – | 3% | 1% | ||||
Newport West by-election[10] | ||||||||||||||
YouGov/The Times | 2–3 Apr | GB | 1,771 | 32% | 31% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 7% | – | 3% | 1% | |
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday | 28–30 Mar | GB | 1,010 | 32% | 35% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 6% | 9% | 1% | 3% |
36% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 3% | – | 7% | – | 3% | 5% | ||||
Opinium/The Observer | 28–29 Mar | GB | 2,008 | 35% | 35% | 9% | 4% | 0% | 5% | – | 9% | – | 3% | Tie |
YouGov/The Times | 24–25 Mar | GB | 2,110 | 36% | 33% | 11% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | – | 2% | 3% | |
ComRes/Leave Means Leave | 22–24 Mar | GB | 2,030 | 33% | 33% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 3% | – | 7% | 9% | 3% | Tie |
Opinium/The Observer | 20–22 Mar | GB | 2,002 | 36% | 35% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 4% | – | 9% | – | 3% | 1% |
ComRes/Daily Express | 20–21 Mar | GB | 2,063 | 34% | 35% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 4% | – | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
Ipsos MORI | 15–19 Mar | GB | 1,050 | 38% | 34% | 8% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 4% |
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph | 15–17 Mar | GB | 2,033 | 34% | 35% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 3% | – | 6% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
Survation/Daily Mail | 15 Mar | UK | 1,007 | 35% | 39% | 10% | 3% | 0% | – | – | – | – | 12% | 4% |
YouGov/People's Vote | 14–15 Mar | GB | 1,823 | 35% | 33% | 11% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 21% | 2% |
YouGov/The Times | 14–15 Mar | GB | 1,756 | 35% | 31% | 12% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 6% | – | 2% | 4% | |
Opinium/The Observer | 13–15 Mar | GB | 2,003 | 35% | 35% | 7% | 5% | 0% | 4% | – | 8% | 4% | 2% | Tie |
12–15 Mar | GB | 2,008 | 38% | 34% | 8% | 5% | 1% | 3% | – | 8% | – | 3% | 4% | |
Kantar | 7–11 Mar | GB | 1,152 | 41% | 31% | 8% | 5% | 0% | 6% | – | 6% | – | 2% | 10% |
BMG/The Independent | 4–8 Mar | GB | 1,510 | 37% | 31% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 5% | – | 6% | 5% | 1% | 6% |
39% | 34% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 4% | – | 5% | – | 2% | 5% | ||||
ComRes/Brexit Express | 4–5 Mar | GB | 2,042 | 36% | 34% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 3% | – | 6% | 8% | 2% | 2% |
YouGov/The Times | 3–4 Mar | GB | 2,172 | 40% | 31% | 11% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | – | 3% | 9% | |
Opinium/The Observer | 26 Feb–1 Mar | GB | 2,004 | 37% | 33% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 4% | – | 7% | 5% | 2% | 4% |
GB | 2,003 | 40% | 34% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 3% | – | 7% | – | 3% | 6% | ||
YouGov/The Times | 22–23 Feb | GB | 1,672 | 41% | 30% | 10% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 5% | – | 3% | 11% | |
36% | 23% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | 18% | 16% | 13% | ||||
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday | 21–23 Feb | GB | 1,027 | 39% | 31% | 5% | 5% | 0% | 3% | – | 4% | 11% | 1% | 8% |
43% | 36% | 6% | 4% | 0% | 3% | – | 5% | – | 2% | 7% | ||||
Opinium/The Observer | 20–22 Feb | GB | 2,008 | 40% | 32% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 4% | – | 7% | 6% | 2% | 8% |
Sky Data | 19 Feb | UK | 1,034 | 32% | 26% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 4% | – | 6% | 10% | 7% | 6% |
YouGov/The Times | 18–19 Feb | GB | 1,861 | 38% | 26% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | 14% | 15% | 12% |
YouGov/The Times | 41% | 33% | 10% | 5% | 4% | – | 4% | – | 3% | 8% | ||||
Survation/Daily Mail | 18 Feb | UK | 1,023 | 40% | 36% | 10% | 3% | – | 2% | – | 5% | – | 5% | 4% |
Eight Labour MPs, soon joined by three Conservatives, quit their party to form Change UK[16] | ||||||||||||||
Opinium/The Observer | 13–15 Feb | GB | 2,005 | 37% | 37% | 8% | 4% | 0% | 4% | – | 7% | – | 2% | Tie |
Kantar | 7–11 Feb | GB | 1,145 | 40% | 35% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 4% | – | 3% | – | 3% | 5% |
BMG | 4–8 Feb | GB | 1,503 | 38% | 35% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 5% | – | 5% | – | 1% | 3% |
YouGov/The Times | 2–7 Feb | GB | 40,119 | 39% | 34% | 11% | 3% | 1% | 4% | – | 5% | – | 2% | 5% |
The Brexit Party is registered with the Electoral Commission[17] | ||||||||||||||
Ipsos MORI | 1–5 Feb | GB | 1,005 | 38% | 38% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 3% | – | 4% | – | 3% | Tie |
YouGov/The Times | 3–4 Feb | GB | 1,851 | 41% | 34% | 10% | 4% | 0% | 4% | – | 4% | – | 2% | 7% |
Opinium/The Observer | 30 Jan–1 Feb | GB | 2,008 | 41% | 34% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 4% | – | 7% | – | 1% | 7% |
Survation/Daily Mail | 30 Jan | UK | 1,029 | 38% | 39% | 9% | 3% | 0% | 2% | – | 4% | – | 4% | 1% |
Opinium/People's Vote | 23–25 Jan | GB | 2,001 | 40% | 36% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 4% | – | 7% | – | 1% | 4% |
ICM | 16–18 Jan | GB | 2,046 | 39% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 0% | 3% | – | 5% | – | 1% | 1% |
Opinium/The Observer | 16–18 Jan | GB | 2,006 | 37% | 40% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 4% | – | 7% | – | 1% | 3% |
ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Sunday Express | 16–17 Jan | GB | 2,031 | 38% | 37% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 3% | – | 6% | – | 1% | 1% |
Number Cruncher Politics | 10–17 Jan | UK | 1,030 | 41% | 39% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 2% | – | 4% | – | 1% | 2% |
ComRes/Daily Express | 14–15 Jan | GB | 2,010 | 37% | 39% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 3% | – | 7% | – | 1% | 2% |
YouGov/The Times | 13–14 Jan | GB | 1,701 | 39% | 34% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 4% | – | 6% | – | 1% | 1% |
Kantar | 10–14 Jan | GB | 1,106 | 35% | 38% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 4% | – | 6% | – | 3% | 3% |
Survation/Daily Mail | 10–11 Jan | UK | 1,013 | 38% | 41% | 10% | 3% | 0% | 2% | – | 4% | – | 3% | 3% |
BMG/The Independent | 8–11 Jan | GB | 1,514 | 36% | 36% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 5% | – | 6% | – | 1% | Tie |
YouGov/The Times | 6–7 Jan | GB | 1,656 | 41% | 35% | 11% | 4% | 0% | 3% | – | 4% | – | 1% | 6% |
YouGov/People's Vote | 21 Dec–4 Jan | UK | 25,537 | 40% | 34% | 10% | 4% | 0% | 4% | – | 4% | – | 2% | 6% |
2018
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Area | Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | SNP | Plaid Cymru | UKIP | Green | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Opinium/The Observer | 18–20 Dec | GB | 2,000 | 39% | 39% | 6% | 4% | 0% | 6% | 4% | 1% | Tie |
YouGov/The Times | 16–17 Dec | GB | 1,660 | 41% | 39% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 2% | |
YouGov/Hope Not Hate | 14–15 Dec | GB | 1,660 | 38% | 35% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 3% | |
Opinium/The Observer | 13–14 Dec | GB | 2,016 | 38% | 39% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
YouGov/People's Vote | 12–14 Dec | GB | 5,043 | 40% | 36% | 10% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 4% | |
Populus/Best for Britain | 10–11 Dec | GB | 2,002 | 37% | 40% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 3% |
YouGov | 9–10 Dec | GB | 2,008 | 39% | 38% | 9% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 1% | |
YouGov/The Sunday Times | 6–7 Dec | GB | 1,652 | 38% | 37% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 1% | |
BMG/The Independent | 4–7 Dec | GB | 1,508 | 37% | 38% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
Kantar | 5–6 Dec | GB | 1,178 | 38% | 38% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 5% | 1% | Tie |
Ipsos MORI | 30 Nov–5 Dec | GB | 1,049 | 38% | 38% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 1% | Tie |
YouGov/The Times | 3–4 Dec | GB | 1,624 | 40% | 38% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 2% | |
ComRes/Daily Express | 30 Nov–2 Dec | GB | 2,035 | 37% | 39% | 9% | 3% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 2% |
YouGov/The Times | 26–27 Nov | GB | 1,737 | 40% | 35% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 5% | |
YouGov/The Times | 18–19 Nov | GB | 1,671 | 39% | 36% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 3% | |
ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Sunday Express | 14–15 Nov | GB | 2,000 | 36% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 4% |
Opinium/The Observer | 14–15 Nov | GB | 2,003 | 36% | 39% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 3% |
Kantar | 8–12 Nov | GB | 1,147 | 40% | 39% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
BMG/The Independent | 6–9 Nov | GB | 1,506 | 36% | 37% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
Panelbase/Constitutional Commission | 2–7 Nov | GB | 2,016 | 40% | 40% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 3% | – | Tie |
YouGov/The Times | 4–5 Nov | GB | 1,637 | 41% | 37% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 4% | |
Survation/Channel 4 | 20 Oct–2 Nov | UK | 20,090 | 39% | 40% | 8% | 3% | – | 3% | 2% | 3% | 1% |
YouGov/The Times | 29–30 Oct | GB | 1,648 | 41% | 39% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 2% | |
ICM | 26–28 Oct | GB | 2,048 | 40% | 38% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 2% |
Deltapoll/Daily Mirror | 24–26 Oct | GB | 1,017 | 43% | 40% | 6% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 3% |
YouGov/The Times | 22–23 Oct | GB | 1,802 | 41% | 36% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 1%[lower-alpha 4] | 5% | |
Ipsos MORI | 19–22 Oct | GB | 1,044 | 39% | 37% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 5% | 0% | 2% |
YouGov/The Times | 14–15 Oct | GB | 1,649 | 41% | 36% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 5% | |
Kantar | 11–15 Oct | GB | 1,128 | 41% | 36% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 5% |
Opinium/The Observer | 11–12 Oct | GB | 2,010 | 41% | 37% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 4% |
Survation | 10 Oct | UK | 1,009 | 40% | 39% | 7% | 4% | – | 6% | – | 5% | 1% |
YouGov/The Times | 8–9 Oct | GB | 1,647 | 41% | 37% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2%[lower-alpha 5] | 4% | |
BMG/The Independent | 3–5 Oct | GB | 1,503 | 38% | 39% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 0% | 1% |
Opinium/The Observer | 3–5 Oct | GB | 2,007 | 39% | 39% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | Tie |
YouGov/The Times | 30 Sep–1 Oct | GB | 1,607 | 42% | 36% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 2%[lower-alpha 4] | 6% | |
BMG/HuffPost UK | 28–29 Sep | GB | 1,203 | 35% | 40% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 5% |
Adam Price officially becomes leader of Plaid Cymru[18] | ||||||||||||
Opinium/The Observer | 26–28 Sep | GB | 2,008 | 39% | 36% | 9% | 4% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 3% |
ComRes/Daily Express | 26–27 Sep | GB | 2,036 | 39% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
YouGov/The Times | 24–25 Sep | GB | 1,625 | 42% | 36% | 11% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 6% | |
ICM/The Guardian | 21–24 Sep | GB | 2,006 | 41% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 1% |
BMG/HuffPost UK | 21–22 Sep | GB | 1,006 | 38% | 38% | 10% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 4% | 0% | Tie |
Opinium/The Observer | 18–20 Sep | GB | 2,003 | 37% | 39% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
YouGov/The Times | 18–19 Sep | GB | 2,509 | 40% | 36% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 4% | |
Ipsos MORI | 14–18 Sep | GB | 1,070 | 39% | 37% | 13% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 2% |
YouGov/The Times | 12–13 Sep | GB | 1,620 | 40% | 36% | 11% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 4% | |
Opinium/The Observer | 11–13 Sep | GB | 2,011 | 39% | 38% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
Kantar | 6–10 Sep | GB | 1,119 | 40% | 35% | 10% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 5% |
ICM/The Guardian | 7–9 Sep | GB | 2,051 | 42% | 39% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
Survation/Daily Mail | 7 Sep | UK | 1,039 | 38% | 37% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 1% |
BMG/The Independent | 4–7 Sep | GB | 1,533 | 37% | 38% | 11% | 2% | 1% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
Jonathan Bartley and Siân Berry become co-leaders of the Green Party[19] | ||||||||||||
YouGov/The Times | 3–4 Sep | GB | 1,883 | 39% | 35% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 4% | |
Survation | 31 Aug–1 Sep | UK | 1,017 | 37% | 41% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 4% |
YouGov/The Times | 28–29 Aug | GB | 1,664 | 39% | 37% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 2%[lower-alpha 4] | 2% | |
YouGov/The Times | 20–21 Aug | GB | 1,697 | 40% | 37% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 2%[lower-alpha 4] | 3% | |
ICM/The Guardian | 17–19 Aug | GB | 2,021 | 40% | 40% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 6% | 2% | 1% | Tie |
Opinium/The Observer | 14–17 Aug | GB | 2,003 | 39% | 38% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
Deltapoll/The Sun on Sunday | 14–16 Aug | GB | 1,904 | 37% | 40% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 3% |
YouGov/The Times | 13–14 Aug | GB | 1,660 | 41% | 38% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 3% | |
Kantar | 9–13 Aug | GB | 1,119 | 40% | 39% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
Number Cruncher Politics | 9–13 Aug | UK | 1,036 | 38% | 40% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
BMG/The Independent | 6–10 Aug | GB | 1,481 | 37% | 39% | 10% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 5% | 0% | 2% |
YouGov/The Times | 8–9 Aug | GB | 1,675 | 39% | 35% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 4% | |
ICM/The Guardian | 3–5 Aug | GB | 2,049 | 39% | 40% | 7% | 4% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 0% | 1% |
YouGov/The Times | 30–31 Jul | GB | 1,718 | 38% | 38% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 1% | Tie | |
Ipsos MORI | 20–24 Jul | GB | 1,023 | 38% | 38% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | Tie |
YouGov/The Times | 22–23 Jul | GB | 1,650 | 38% | 38% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 0% | Tie | |
ICM/The Guardian | 20–22 Jul | GB | 2,010 | 40% | 41% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
YouGov/The Sunday Times | 19–20 Jul | GB | 1,668 | 38% | 39% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% | |
YouGov/The Times | 16–17 Jul | GB | 1,657 | 36% | 41% | 9% | 4% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 5% | |
Deltapoll/The Sun on Sunday | 12–14 Jul | GB | 1,484 | 37% | 42% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 5% |
Opinium/The Observer | 10–13 Jul | GB | 2,005 | 36% | 40% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 4% |
YouGov/The Times | 10–11 Jul | GB | 1,732 | 37% | 39% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 2% | |
YouGov/The Times | 8–9 Jul | GB | 1,669 | 39% | 39% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 1% | Tie | |
ICM/The Guardian | 6–9 Jul | GB | 2,013 | 41% | 39% | 9% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 2% |
Kantar | 5–9 Jul | GB | 1,086 | 40% | 38% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
Survation/The Mail on Sunday | 7 Jul | UK | 1,007 | 38% | 40% | 10% | 3% | 1% | – | – | 8% | 2% |
BMG/The Independent | 3–5 Jul | GB | 1,511 | 39% | 37% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 2% |
YouGov/The Times | 3–4 Jul | GB | 1,641 | 41% | 40% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | |
Ipsos MORI | 22–27 Jun | GB | 1,026 | 41% | 38% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 3% |
YouGov/The Times | 25–26 Jun | GB | 1,645 | 42% | 37% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 5% | |
ICM/The Guardian | 22–24 Jun | GB | 2,013 | 41% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
Survation/Good Morning Britain | 19–20 Jun | UK | 1,022 | 41% | 38% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
YouGov/The Times | 18–19 Jun | GB | 1,606 | 42% | 40% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 2% | |
Lewisham East by-election[10] | ||||||||||||
YouGov/The Times | 11–12 Jun | GB | 1,638 | 42% | 39% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% | |
ICM/The Guardian | 8–10 Jun | GB | 2,021 | 42% | 40% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 2% |
BMG/The Independent | 5–8 Jun | GB | 1,490 | 38% | 41% | 11% | 2% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
Opinium/The Observer | 5–7 Jun | GB | 2,005 | 42% | 40% | 7% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
YouGov/The Times | 4–5 Jun | GB | 1,619 | 44% | 37% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 7% | |
Survation | 31 May–4 Jun | UK | 2,012 | 41% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% |
Deltapoll/The Sun on Sunday | 30 May–1 Jun | GB | 1,013 | 41% | 41% | 6% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 2% | 1% | Tie |
YouGov/The Times | 28–29 May | GB | 1,670 | 42% | 39% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% | |
ICM/The Guardian | 25–29 May | GB | 2,002 | 43% | 40% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
Ipsos MORI | 18–22 May | GB | 1,015 | 40% | 40% | 7% | 5% | 0% | 2% | 5% | 0% | Tie |
YouGov/The Times | 20–21 May | GB | 1,660 | 42% | 38% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 4% | |
ComRes/We, The People | 16–17 May | GB | 2,045 | 41% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 1% | Tie |
Opinium/The Observer | 15–16 May | GB | 2,009 | 43% | 39% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 4% |
YouGov/The Times | 13–14 May | GB | 1,634 | 43% | 38% | 9% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 5% | |
ICM/The Guardian | 11–13 May | GB | 2,050 | 43% | 40% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 3% |
Survation | 8–10 May | UK | 1,585 | 41% | 40% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
YouGov/The Times | 8–9 May | GB | 1,648 | 43% | 38% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 5% | |
BMG/The Independent | 1–4 May | GB | 1,441 | 39% | 39% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 1% | Tie |
English local and mayoral elections and West Tyrone by-election[20][10] | ||||||||||||
YouGov/The Times | 30 Apr–1 May | GB | 1,585 | 42% | 38% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 4% | |
ComRes/Daily Express | 27–29 Apr | GB | 2,030 | 40% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 3% | 1% | Tie |
ICM/The Guardian | 27–29 Apr | GB | 2,026 | 42% | 39% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 3% |
YouGov/The Times | 24–25 Apr | GB | 1,668 | 43% | 38% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 5% | |
Ipsos MORI | 20–24 Apr | GB | 1,004 | 41% | 40% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
YouGov/The Times | 16–17 Apr | GB | 1,631 | 43% | 38% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 5% | |
Survation/The Mail on Sunday | 14 Apr | UK | 2,060 | 40% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 3% | Tie |
Gerard Batten officially becomes leader of the UK Independence Party[21] | ||||||||||||
BMG | 11–13 Apr | GB | 1,500 | 39% | 38% | 11% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
ComRes/Sunday Express | 11–12 Apr | GB | 2,038 | 40% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
Opinium/The Observer | 10–12 Apr | GB | 2,008 | 40% | 40% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 1% | Tie |
YouGov/The Times | 9–10 Apr | GB | 1,639 | 40% | 40% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | Tie | |
ICM/The Guardian | 6–8 Apr | GB | 2,012 | 42% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 1% |
YouGov/The Times | 4–5 Apr | GB | 1,662 | 42% | 41% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | |
Number Cruncher Politics | 27 Mar–5 Apr | UK | 1,037 | 43% | 38% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 5% |
YouGov/The Times | 26–27 Mar | GB | 1,659 | 43% | 39% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 4% | |
ICM/The Guardian | 16–18 Mar | GB | 2,013 | 44% | 41% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
BMG | 13–16 Mar | GB | 2,065 | 38% | 40% | 10% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 2% |
YouGov/The Times | 14–15 Mar | GB | 1,986 | 42% | 39% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 3% | |
Opinium/The Observer | 13–15 Mar | GB | 2,001 | 42% | 40% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 2% |
Survation/GMB | 7–8 Mar | UK | 1,038 | 37% | 44% | 9% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 7% |
Ipsos MORI | 2–7 Mar | GB | 1,012 | 43% | 42% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 1% |
YouGov/The Times | 5–6 Mar | GB | 1,641 | 41% | 43% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | |
ICM/The Guardian | 2–4 Mar | GB | 2,030 | 43% | 42% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 1% |
YouGov/The Times | 26–27 Feb | GB | 1,622 | 41% | 42% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | |
YouGov/The Times | 19–20 Feb | GB | 1,650 | 40% | 42% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 2% | |
ICM/The Guardian | 16–19 Feb | GB | 2,027 | 42% | 43% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 1% |
YouGov/The Times | 12–13 Feb | GB | 1,639 | 40% | 41% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | |
Kantar | 6–12 Feb | GB | 2,448 | 39% | 39% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 2% | Tie |
BMG | 6–9 Feb | GB | 1,507 | 40% | 40% | 8% | 2% | 0% | 5% | 4% | 1% | Tie |
Opinium/The Observer | 6–8 Feb | GB | 2,002 | 42% | 39% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
YouGov/The Times | 5–6 Feb | GB | 2,000 | 43% | 39% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 4% | |
ICM/The Guardian | 2–4 Feb | GB | 2,021 | 41% | 40% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
YouGov/The Times | 28–29 Jan | GB | 1,669 | 42% | 42% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 1% | Tie | |
Survation | 26–29 Jan | UK | 1,059 | 40% | 43% | 8% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 3% |
Ipsos MORI | 19–23 Jan | GB | 1,031 | 39% | 42% | 9% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
ICM/The Guardian | 10–19 Jan | GB | 5,075 | 41% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 0% | Tie |
YouGov/The Times | 16–17 Jan | GB | 1,672 | 41% | 42% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 1% | |
ICM/The Guardian | 12–14 Jan | GB | 2,027 | 40% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 1% |
Opinium/The Observer | 11–12 Jan | GB | 2,008 | 40% | 40% | 6% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 3% | 1% | Tie |
BMG | 9–12 Jan | GB | 1,513 | 40% | 41% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
YouGov/The Times | 7–8 Jan | GB | 1,663 | 40% | 41% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 1% |
2017
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Area | Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | SNP | Plaid Cymru | UKIP | Green | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov/The Times | 19–20 Dec | GB | 1,610 | 40% | 42% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 2% | |
ICM/The Sun on Sunday | 12–14 Dec | GB | 2,004 | 41% | 42% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 1% |
Opinium/The Observer | 12–14 Dec | GB | 2,005 | 39% | 41% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
YouGov/The Times | 10–11 Dec | GB | 1,680 | 42% | 41% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 2%[lower-alpha 4] | 1% | |
ICM/The Guardian | 8–10 Dec | GB | 2,006 | 42% | 40% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 2% |
BMG/The Independent | 5–8 Dec | GB | 1,509 | 37% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 3% |
YouGov/The Times | 4–5 Dec | GB | 1,638 | 40% | 41% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2%[lower-alpha 4] | 1% | |
Survation/The Mail on Sunday | 30 Nov–1 Dec | UK | 1,003 | 37% | 45% | 6% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 8% |
ICM/The Sun on Sunday | 29 Nov–1 Dec | GB | 2,050 | 40% | 41% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 1% |
Ipsos MORI | 24–28 Nov | GB | 1,003 | 37% | 39% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 2% |
ICM/The Guardian | 24–26 Nov | GB | 2,029 | 41% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 3% | 0% | Tie |
YouGov/The Times | 22–23 Nov | GB | 1,644 | 39% | 41% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 2% | |
YouGov/The Times | 19–20 Nov | GB | 1,677 | 40% | 43% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 3% | |
Kantar | 14–20 Nov | GB | 2,437 | 42% | 38% | 9% | 2% | 0% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 4% |
BMG | 14–17 Nov | GB | 1,507 | 40% | 41% | 8% | – | – | 4% | – | 7% | 1% |
Opinium/The Observer | 14–16 Nov | GB | 2,032 | 40% | 42% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 2% |
ICM/The Guardian | 10–12 Nov | GB | 2,010 | 41% | 41% | 7% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 0% | Tie |
YouGov/The Times | 7–8 Nov | GB | 2,012 | 40% | 43% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 3% | |
Ipsos MORI | 27 Oct–1 Nov | GB | 1,052 | 38% | 40% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 2% |
YouGov/The Times | 23–24 Oct | GB | 1,637 | 41% | 43% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 2% | |
ICM/The Guardian | 20–23 Oct | GB | 2,022 | 42% | 42% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 0% | Tie |
BMG | 17–20 Oct | GB | 1,506 | 37% | 42% | 10% | – | – | 4% | – | 7% | 5% |
YouGov/The Times | 18–19 Oct | GB | 1,648 | 40% | 42% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 2% | |
YouGov/The Times | 10–11 Oct | GB | 1,680 | 39% | 42% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 3% | |
ICM/The Guardian | 6–8 Oct | GB | 2,052 | 41% | 41% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 0% | Tie |
Opinium/The Observer | 4–6 Oct | GB | 2,009 | 40% | 42% | 5% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
Survation | 4–5 Oct | UK | 2,047 | 38% | 44% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 6% |
YouGov/The Times | 4–5 Oct | GB | 1,615 | 40% | 42% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 2% | |
Henry Bolton officially becomes leader of the UK Independence Party[22] | ||||||||||||
BMG/The Independent | 26–29 Sep | GB | 1,910 | 37% | 42% | 10% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 5% |
ICM/The Guardian | 22–24 Sep | GB | 1,968 | 40% | 42% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
YouGov/The Times | 22–24 Sep | GB | 1,716 | 39% | 43% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 4% | |
Survation/The Mail on Sunday | 22 Sep | UK | 1,174 | 38% | 42% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 4% |
Opinium/The Observer | 19–22 Sep | GB | 2,004 | 42% | 40% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
Survation/LabourList | 15–20 Sep | UK | 1,614 | 40% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
Ipsos MORI | 15–18 Sep | GB | 1,023 | 40% | 44% | 9% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 4% |
BMG/The Independent | 12–15 Sep | GB | 1,447 | 39% | 38% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
Opinium/The Observer | 12–15 Sep | GB | 2,009 | 41% | 41% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 0% | Tie |
YouGov/The Times | 12–13 Sep | GB | 1,660 | 41% | 42% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | |
ICM/The Guardian | 8–10 Sep | GB | 2,052 | 42% | 42% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 0% | Tie |
Survation/The Mail on Sunday | 31 Aug–1 Sep | UK | 1,046 | 38% | 43% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 4% | – | 3% | 5% |
YouGov/The Times | 30–31 Aug | GB | 1,658 | 41% | 42% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 1% | |
ICM/The Guardian | 25–28 Aug | GB | 1,972 | 42% | 42% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 0% | Tie |
YouGov/The Times | 21–22 Aug | GB | 1,664 | 41% | 42% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 1% | |
Opinium/The Observer | 15–18 Aug | GB | 2,006 | 40% | 43% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
BMG/The Independent | 7–11 Aug | GB | 1,512 | 42% | 39% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
YouGov/The Times | 31 Jul–1 Aug | GB | 1,665 | 41% | 44% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 3% | |
Vince Cable officially becomes leader of the Liberal Democrats[23] | ||||||||||||
YouGov/The Times | 18–19 Jul | GB | 1,593 | 41% | 43% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 2% | |
Ipsos MORI | 14–18 Jul | GB | 1,071 | 41% | 42% | 9% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
ICM/The Guardian | 14–16 Jul | GB | 2,046 | 42% | 43% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 1% |
Survation/The Mail on Sunday | 14–15 Jul | UK | 1,024 | 39% | 41% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
BMG | 11–14 Jul | GB | 1,518 | 37% | 42% | 10% | – | – | 4% | – | 7% | 5% |
Opinium/The Observer | 11–14 Jul | GB | 2,013 | 41% | 43% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 2% |
YouGov/The Times | 10–11 Jul | GB | 1,700 | 40% | 45% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 5% | |
YouGov/The Times | 5–6 Jul | GB | 1,648 | 38% | 46% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 8% | |
ICM/The Guardian | 30 Jun–3 Jul | GB | 2,044 | 41% | 43% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 2% |
Survation | 28–30 Jun | UK | 1,017 | 41% | 40% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 6%[lower-alpha 6] | 1% |
Opinium/The Observer | 27–29 Jun | GB | 2,010 | 39% | 45% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 6% |
Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 16–21 Jun | GB | 5,481 | 41% | 46% | 6% | 3% | <1% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 5% |
Survation/Good Morning Britain | 16–17 Jun | UK | 1,005 | 41% | 44% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 3%[lower-alpha 7] | 3% |
Survation/The Mail on Sunday | 10 Jun | UK | 1,036 | 39% | 45% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 3% | – | 2% | 6% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun | GB | – | 43.4% | 41.0% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.4% |
UK | 42.3% | 40.0% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
Seat predictions
Most polls are reported in terms of the overall popular vote share, and the pollsters do not typically project how these shares would equate to numbers of seats in the House of Commons. Other organisations including Electoral Calculus make rolling projections based on an aggregate of publicly available polls.
A small number of large polls have been carried out in order to run multilevel regression and poststratification (MRP) models, which output predictions for each constituency.[24]
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Con | Lab | SNP | Lib Dem | DUP | SF | Plaid Cymru | Green | Alliance | SDLP | Brexit | Other | Majority |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
General Election Result | 12 Dec 2019 | 365 | 202 | 48 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 80 |
BBC Exit Poll | 12 Dec 2019 | 368 | 191 | 55 | 13 | N/A | N/A | 3 | 1 | N/A | N/A | 0 | 19 | 86 |
Electoral Calculus | 4–11 Dec 2019 | 351 | 224 | 41 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 52 |
FocalData (MRP) | 27 Nov–10 Dec 2019 | 337 | 235 | 41 | 14 | N/A | N/A | 3 | 1 | N/A | N/A | 0 | 1 | 24 |
YouGov (MRP) | 4–10 Dec 2019 | 339 | 231 | 41 | 15 | N/A | N/A | 4 | 1 | N/A | N/A | 0 | 1 | 28 |
Electoral Calculus | 4–9 Dec 2019 | 349 | 226 | 41 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 48 |
Savanta ComRes/Remain United | 6–8 Dec 2019 | 340 | 233 | 45 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 30 |
Electoral Calculus | 2–7 Dec 2019 | 348 | 225 | 41 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 46 |
Datapraxis/YouGov | 7 Dec 2019 | 344 | 221 | 47 | 14 | N/A | N/A | 4 | 1 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 38 |
Electoral Calculus | 28 Nov–4 Dec 2019 | 335 | 233 | 44 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
Electoral Calculus | 26 Nov–3 Dec 2019 | 339 | 229 | 44 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 |
Electoral Calculus | 26–30 Nov 2019 | 342 | 225 | 45 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 |
Electoral Calculus | 21–28 Nov 2019 | 336 | 231 | 45 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 |
Electoral Calculus | 20–26 Nov 2019 | 331 | 235 | 45 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
YouGov (MRP) | 20–26 Nov 2019 | 359 | 211 | 43 | 13 | N/A | N/A | 4 | 1 | N/A | N/A | 0 | 1 | 68 |
Electoral Calculus | 19–26 Nov 2019 | 342 | 225 | 41 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 |
Datapraxis/YouGov | 26 Nov 2019 | 349 | 216 | 49 | 14 | N/A | N/A | 5 | 1 | N/A | N/A | 0 | 0 | 48 |
Electoral Calculus | 19–23 Nov 2019 | 365 | 202 | 41 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 80 |
Electoral Calculus | 12–19 Nov 2019 | 361 | 201 | 46 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 72 |
Seats at start of campaign period[lower-alpha 8] | 6 Nov 2019 | 298 | 243 | 35 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | – | 31 | −54 |
Focaldata | 1–25 Sep 2019 | 364 | 189 | 52 | 23 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 78 |
YouGov (MRP) | 2–7 Feb 2019 | 321 | 250 | 39 | 16 | N/A | N/A | 4 | 1 | N/A | N/A | – | 1 | −8 |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | 317 | 262 | 35 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | −16 |
Nations and Regions polling
Scotland
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
SNP | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | UKIP | Change UK | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 45.0% | 25.1% | 18.6% | 9.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | – | 0.5% | 0.1% | 19.9% |
Survation/The Courier | 10–11 Dec 2019 | 1,012 | 43% | 28% | 20% | 7% | 1% | – | – | 1% | – | 15% |
YouGov (MRP) | 4–10 Dec 2019 | [25] | 41% | 27% | 20% | 10% | 1% | – | – | 1% | – | 14% |
Panelbase/Sunday Times | 3–6 Dec 2019 | 1,020 | 39% | 29% | 21% | 10% | 1% | – | – | 0% | 0% | 10% |
YouGov/The Times | 29 Nov–3 Dec 2019 | 1,002 | 44% | 28% | 15% | 12% | 1% | – | – | 0% | 0% | 16% |
Ipsos MORI/STV | 19–25 Nov 2019 | 1,046 | 44% | 26% | 16% | 11% | 2% | – | – | <1% | – | 18% |
Panelbase/Sunday Times | 20–22 Nov 2019 | 1,009 | 40% | 28% | 20% | 11% | <1% | – | – | <1% | <1% | 12% |
Nominations for candidates close (final candidates announced) | ||||||||||||
Parliament dissolved and official campaign period begins | ||||||||||||
YouGov | 23–25 Oct 2019 | 1,060 | 42% | 22% | 12% | 13% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 20% |
Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 9–11 Oct 2019 | 1,003 | 39% | 21% | 19% | 13% | 2% | – | – | 5% | – | 18% |
YouGov/The Times | 30 Aug–3 Sep 2019 | 1,059 | 43% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 23% |
Ruth Davidson resigns as leader of the Scottish Conservative Party[26] | ||||||||||||
Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 18–20 Jun 2019 | 1,024 | 38% | 18% | 17% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 9% | – | 20% |
Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 14–17 May 2019 | 1,021 | 38% | 18% | 19% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 9% | <1% | 19% |
YouGov/The Times | 24–26 Apr 2019 | 1,029 | 43% | 20% | 17% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 23% |
Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 18–24 Apr 2019 | 1,018 | 38% | 22% | 21% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | <1% | 16% |
Survation/Scotland in Union | 18–23 Apr 2019 | 1,012 | 41% | 22% | 24% | 8% | – | – | – | – | 5% | 17% |
Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland | 28 Feb–6 Mar 2019 | 1,002 | 37% | 27% | 22% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 2% | – | <1% | 10% |
Survation/Scottish Daily Mail | 1–4 Mar 2019 | 1,011 | 40% | 24% | 23% | 8% | – | – | – | – | 4% | 16% |
Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 30 Nov–5 Dec 2018 | 1,028 | 37% | 26% | 26% | 6% | 2% | 2% | – | – | <1% | 11% |
Survation/Scotland in Union | 9–13 Nov 2018 | 1,013 | 39% | 26% | 24% | 8% | – | – | – | – | 3% | 13% |
Panelbase/Constitutional Commission | 2–7 Nov 2018 | 1,050 | 37% | 28% | 25% | 7% | 2% | 2% | – | – | 3% | 9% |
Survation/Channel 4 | 20 Oct–2 Nov 2018 | 1,734 | 40% | 27% | 23% | 7% | 1% | 1% | – | – | 1% | 13% |
Survation/Daily Record | 18–21 Oct 2018 | 1,017 | 36% | 27% | 26% | 7% | 1% | – | – | – | 1% | 9% |
Survation/SNP | 3–5 Oct 2018 | 1,013 | 37% | 28% | 26% | 6% | – | – | – | – | 2% | 9% |
Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 28 Sep–4 Oct 2018 | 1,024 | 38% | 27% | 24% | 6% | 2% | 2% | – | – | <1% | 11% |
Survation/The Sunday Post | 28 Sep–2 Oct 2018 | 1,036 | 41% | 26% | 24% | 7% | – | – | – | – | 3% | 15% |
Survation/Daily Record | 5–10 Jul 2018 | 1,004 | 42% | 24% | 23% | 8% | – | – | – | – | 3% | 18% |
Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland | 21–26 Jun 2018 | 1,018 | 38% | 27% | 25% | 7% | 2% | <1% | – | – | <1% | 11% |
Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 8–13 Jun 2018 | 1,021 | 38% | 27% | 27% | 6% | 2% | <1% | – | – | <1% | 11% |
YouGov/The Times | 1–5 Jun 2018 | 1,075 | 40% | 27% | 23% | 7% | 2% | 1% | – | – | 1% | 13% |
Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 23–28 Mar 2018 | 1,037 | 36% | 28% | 27% | 6% | 2% | 1% | – | – | <1% | 8% |
Ipsos MORI/STV | 5–11 Mar 2018 | 1,050 | 39% | 25% | 26% | 6% | 4% | 0% | – | – | 0% | 13% |
Survation/Daily Record | 24–28 Jan 2018 | 1,029 | 39% | 24% | 27% | 7% | – | – | – | – | 3% | 12% |
YouGov/The Times | 12–16 Jan 2018 | 1,002 | 36% | 23% | 28% | 6% | 3% | 3% | – | – | 0% | 8% |
Survation/The Sunday Post | 1–5 Dec 2017 | 1,006 | 38% | 24% | 29% | 7% | – | – | – | – | 3% | 9% |
Survation/Daily Record | 27–30 Nov 2017 | 1,017 | 37% | 25% | 28% | 7% | – | – | – | – | 3% | 9% |
Richard Leonard officially becomes leader of the Scottish Labour Party[27] | ||||||||||||
YouGov/The Times | 2–5 Oct 2017 | 1,135 | 40% | 23% | 30% | 5% | 1% | 1% | – | – | 0% | 10% |
Survation/Scottish Daily Mail | 8–12 Sep 2017 | 1,016 | 39% | 26% | 26% | 7% | – | – | – | – | 2% | 13% |
Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 31 Aug–7 Sep 2017 | 1,021 | 41% | 27% | 24% | 6% | 2% | – | – | – | – | 14% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 36.9% | 28.6% | 27.1% | 6.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | – | – | 0.3% | 8.3% |
Wales
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Lab | Con | Plaid Cymru | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Change UK | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 40.9% | 36.1% | 9.9% | 6.0% | - | 1.0% | – | 5.4% | 0.7% | 4.8% |
YouGov (MRP) | 4-10 Dec 2019 | 43% | 34% | 10% | 5% | – | 1% | – | 6% | 1% | 9% | |
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 6–9 Dec 2019 | 1,020 | 40% | 37% | 10% | 6% | – | 1% | – | 5% | 1% | 3% |
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 22–25 Nov 2019 | 1,116 | 38% | 32% | 11% | 9% | – | 1% | – | 8% | 1% | 6% |
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 31 Oct–4 Nov 2019 | 1,136 | 29% | 28% | 12% | 12% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 15% | 1% | 1% |
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 10–14 Oct 2019 | 1,071 | 25% | 29% | 12% | 16% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 14% | 1% | 4% |
Brecon and Radnorshire by-election[10] | ||||||||||||
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 23–28 July 2019 | 1,071 | 22% | 24% | 15% | 16% | – | 3% | – | 18% | 1% | 2% |
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 16–20 May 2019 | 1,009 | 25% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 23% | 2% | 2% |
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 2–5 Apr 2019 | 1,025 | 33% | 26% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 7% |
Newport West by-election[10] | ||||||||||||
ICM/BBC Wales | 7–23 Feb 2019 | 1,000 | 42% | 33% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | – | – | 2% | 9% |
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 19–22 Feb 2019 | 1,025 | 35% | 29% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 3% | – | – | 4% | 6% |
Sky Data/Cardiff University | 7–14 Dec 2018 | 1,014 | 45% | 32% | 14% | 3% | 4% | 2% | – | – | 1% | 13% |
Mark Drakeford becomes leader of Welsh Labour and First Minister[28][29] | ||||||||||||
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 4–7 Dec 2018 | 1,024 | 43% | 31% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 3% | – | – | 1% | 12% |
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 30 Oct–2 Nov 2018 | 1,031 | 42% | 33% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | – | – | 1% | 9% |
Survation/Channel 4 | 20 Oct–2 Nov 2018 | 1,177 | 47% | 30% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 2% | – | – | 0% | 17% |
Adam Price becomes leader of Plaid Cymru[18] | ||||||||||||
Paul Davies becomes leader of the Welsh Conservatives[30] | ||||||||||||
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 28 Jun–2 Jul 2018 | 1,031 | 44% | 31% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 2% | – | – | 1% | 13% |
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 12–15 Mar 2018 | 1,015 | 46% | 33% | 11% | 4% | 4% | 2% | – | – | 1% | 13% |
ICM/BBC Wales | 8–25 Feb 2018 | 1,001 | 49% | 32% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | – | – | 0% | 17% |
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 21–24 Nov 2017 | 1,016 | 47% | 31% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 2% | – | – | 1% | 16% |
Jane Dodds becomes leader of the Welsh Liberal Democrats[31] | ||||||||||||
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 4–7 Sep 2017 | 1,011 | 50% | 32% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | – | – | 1% | 18% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 48.9% | 33.6% | 10.4% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | – | – | 0.2% | 15.4% |
Northern Ireland
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
DUP | SF | SDLP | UUP | Alliance | Green | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 30.6% | 22.8% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 16.8% | 0.2% | 3.1%[32] | 7.8% |
Lucid Talk/Remain United | 27–30 Nov 2019 | 2,422 | 30% | 25% | 13% | 11% | 16% | 0% | 5% | 5% |
Steve Aiken officially becomes leader of the Ulster Unionist Party | ||||||||||
Lucid Talk/Remain United | 30 Oct–1 Nov 2019 | 2,386 | 28% | 24% | 14% | 9% | 16% | 1% | 8% [lower-alpha 9] | 4% |
Lucid Talk | 9–12 Aug 2019 | 2,302 | 29% | 25% | 8% | 9% | 21% | 1% | 7% | 4% |
Clare Bailey officially becomes leader of NI Green Party | ||||||||||
Survation/Channel 4 | 20 Oct–2 Nov 2018 | 555 | 31% | 27% | 11% | 15% | 12% | – | 4% | 4% |
West Tyrone by-election[10] | ||||||||||
Mary Lou McDonald becomes leader of Sinn Féin[33] | ||||||||||
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 36.0% | 29.4% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 0.9% | 3.7% | 6.6% |
London
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Lab | Con | Lib Dem | Green | UKIP | Change UK | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | - | 48.1% | 32.0% | 14.9% | 3.1% | – | – | 1.4% | 0.5% | 16.1% |
YouGov (MRP) | 4-10 Dec 2019 | 47% | 31% | 15% | 3% | – | – | 2% | 1% | 16% | |
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London | 28 Nov–2 Dec 2019 | 1,019 | 47% | 30% | 15% | 4% | – | – | 3% | 1% | 17% |
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London | 30 Oct–4 Nov 2019 | 1,175 | 39% | 29% | 19% | 5% | 0% | — | 6% | — | 10% |
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London | 7–10 May 2019 | 1,015 | 35% | 23% | 21% | 7% | 0% | 2% | 10% | 1% | 12% |
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London | 3–6 Dec 2018 | 1,020 | 49% | 33% | 11% | 3% | 3% | – | – | 1% | 16% |
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London | 3–7 Sep 2018 | 1,218 | 48% | 26% | 15% | 5% | 4% | – | – | 2% | 22% |
Lewisham East by-election[10] | |||||||||||
2018 London local elections[20] | |||||||||||
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London | 20–24 Apr 2018 | 1,099 | 52% | 31% | 10% | 3% | 2% | – | – | 1% | 21% |
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London | 12–15 Feb 2018 | 1,155 | 53% | 33% | 8% | 3% | 2% | – | – | 0% | 20% |
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London | 25–29 Sep 2017 | 1,044 | 55% | 30% | 8% | 2% | 3% | – | – | 1% | 25% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 54.5% | 33.1% | 8.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | – | – | 0.5% | 21.4% |
North East England
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Lab | Con | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 42.6% | 38.3% | 6.9% | 0.1% | 2.3% | 7.9% | 1.7% | 4.3% |
YouGov (MRP) | 4–10 Dec 2019 | 44% | 35% | 7% | – | 2% | 10% | 1% | 9% | |
Survation/Daily Mail | 21–22 Nov 2019 | 248 | 42% | 30% | 11% | – | 4% | 13% | – | 12% |
YouGov | 17–28 Oct 2019 | 523 | 32% | 26% | 15% | 1% | 7% | 19% | 1% | 6% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 55.6% | 34.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.3% | – | 0.2% | 21.1% |
North West England
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Lab | Con | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 46.4% | 37.6% | 7.9% | 0.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 8.8% |
YouGov (MRP) | 4–10 Dec 2019 | 44% | 36% | 8% | – | 3% | 6% | 2% | 8% | |
Survation/Daily Mail | 21–22 Nov 2019 | 681 | 39% | 37% | 11% | – | 3% | 8% | 1% | 2% |
YouGov | 17–28 Oct 2019 | 1,269 | 30% | 33% | 17% | 1% | 5% | 14% | 0% | 3% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 55.0% | 36.3% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | – | 0.3% | 18.7% |
Yorkshire and the Humber
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Lab | Con | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 38.8% | 43.0% | 8.0% | 0.0% | 2.2% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 4.8% |
YouGov (MRP) | 4–10 Dec 2019 | 40% | 40% | 8% | – | 2% | 7% | 2% | Tie | |
Survation/Daily Mail | 21–22 Nov 2019 | 434 | 39% | 38% | 13% | – | 3% | 7% | 1% | 1% |
YouGov | 17–28 Oct 2019 | 1,036 | 29% | 34% | 16% | 0% | 7% | 14% | 1% | 5% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 49.1% | 40.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | – | 1.4% | 8.5% |
East Midlands
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 54.9% | 31.8% | 7.8% | 0.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 23.1% |
YouGov (MRP) | 4–10 Dec 2019 | 51% | 34% | 8% | – | 2% | 2% | 2% | 17% | |
Survation/Daily Mail | 21–22 Nov 2019 | 464 | 49% | 31% | 13% | – | 3% | 3% | 1% | 18% |
YouGov | 17–28 Oct 2019 | 896 | 45% | 22% | 15% | 0% | 6% | 12% | 1% | 23% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 50.8% | 40.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | – | 0.6% | 10.3% |
West Midlands
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 53.5% | 33.9% | 7.9% | 0.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 19.6% |
YouGov (MRP) | 4–10 Dec 2019 | 49% | 36% | 9% | – | 3% | 2% | 1% | 13% | |
Survation/Daily Mail | 21–22 Nov 2019 | 507 | 41% | 34% | 15% | – | 4% | 5% | 2% | 7% |
YouGov | 17–28 Oct 2019 | 1,017 | 43% | 23% | 14% | 0% | 7% | 12% | 1% | 20% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 49.1% | 42.6% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | – | 0.5% | 6.5% |
East of England
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 57.2% | 24.5% | 13.4% | 0.0% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 32.7% |
YouGov (MRP) | 4–10 Dec 2019 | 54% | 27% | 14% | – | 3% | 1% | 2% | 27% | |
YouGov | 17–28 Oct 2019 | 1,107 | 45% | 17% | 18% | 0% | 5% | 14% | 0% | 27% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 54.7% | 32.8% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | – | 0.2% | 21.9% |
South East England
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | UKIP | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 54.2% | 22.1% | 18.3% | 3.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 32.1% |
YouGov (MRP) | 4–10 Dec 2019 | 51% | 24% | 19% | 4% | – | – | 2% | 27% | |
YouGov | 17–28 Oct 2019 | 1,592 | 41% | 16% | 23% | 6% | 0% | 12% | 0% | 18% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 54.8% | 28.6% | 10.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | – | 0.8% | 26.2% |
South West England
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | UKIP | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 52.9% | 23.3% | 18.1% | 3.7% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 29.6% |
YouGov (MRP) | 4–10 Dec 2019 | 50% | 25% | 19% | 3% | – | – | 2% | 25% | |
YouGov | 17–28 Oct 2019 | 1,172 | 41% | 17% | 21% | 7% | 0% | 13% | 1% | 20% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 51.5% | 29.1% | 14.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | – | 1.1% | 22.4% |
Multiple constituencies
Number Cruncher Politics polled adults living in the 60 English marginal constituencies with a Labour or Conservative majority of less than five per cent. 2017 results are for the same 60 seats.
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | UKIP | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Number Cruncher Politics/Shelter | 1–19 Sep 2018 | 1,247 | 40% | 42% | 10% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 2% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 46% | 44% | 7% | 1% | 2% | – | 2% |
Constituency polling
Note that where the client is a political party, constituency level polling may be particularly susceptible to publication bias.[34]
Gedling
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Lab | Con | Lib Dem | Green | Brexit | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 44.1% | 45.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
Survation/The Economist | 4 Nov 2019 | 409 | 42% | 37% | 6% | 1% | 13% | 5% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 51.9% | 42.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | – | 9.1% |
Cambridge
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Lab | Lib Dem | Con | Green | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 48.0% | 30.0% | 15.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 17.9% |
Survation/Liberal Democrats | 16–17 Oct 2019 | 417 | 30% | 39% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 1% | 9% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 51.9% | 29.3% | 16.3% | 2.2% | N/A | 0.2% | 22.6% |
South Cambridgeshire
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 46.3% | 11.7% | 42.0% | — | — | — | 4.3% |
Survation/Liberal Democrats | 4–5 Nov 2019 | 410 | 36% | 12% | 40% | 4% | 7% | 0% | 4% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 51.8% | 27.2% | 18.6% | 2.3% | — | — | 24.6% |
South East Cambridgeshire
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 50.0% | 16.3% | 32.1% | — | 1.6% | 17.9% |
Survation/Liberal Democrats | 25–28 Oct 2019 | 408 | 42% | 16% | 31% | 8% | 4% | 11% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 53.3% | 27.7% | 19.0% | – | — | 25.6% |
South West Hertfordshire
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | Gauke | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 49.6% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 2.4% | 26.0% | — | 23.5% |
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner | 22–26 Nov 2019 | 405 | 50% | 17% | 13% | 2% | 16% | 2% | 33% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 57.9% | 25.7% | 11.7% | 2.6% | N/A | 2.1 | 32.2% |
Carshalton and Wallington
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Lib Dem | Con | Lab | Brexit | Green | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 41.1% | 42.4% | 12.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% |
Datapraxis/YouGov | 4–22 Nov 2019 | TBA | 42.8% | 41.2% | 9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | – | 1.6% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 41% | 38.3% | 18.4% | – | 1.3% | – | 2.7% |
Chelsea and Fulham
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | AWP | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 49.9% | 23.2% | 25.9% | 1.1% | – | 24.0% |
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner | 14–21 Nov 2019 | 502 | 48% | 24% | 25% | – | 3% | 23% |
Datapraxis/YouGov | 4–22 Nov 2019 | TBA | 41.6% | 21.4% | 34.4% | – | 0% | 7.2% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 52.6% | 33.2% | 11.0% | – | 3.1% | 19.4% |
Chingford and Woodford Green
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 48.5% | 45.9% | 5.7% | — | 2.6% |
Datapraxis/YouGov | 4 Nov–5 Dec 2019 | 700–800 | 46% | 44.4% | 9.6% | 0% | 1.6% |
Datapraxis/YouGov | 4–22 Nov 2019 | 350–400 | 46.6% | 42.4% | 11% | – | 4.2% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 49.1% | 43.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 5.2% |
Cities of London and Westminster
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 39.9% | 27.2% | 30.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 9.3% |
Deltapoll/Datapraxis | 3–8 Dec 2019 | 502 | 44% | 26% | 28% | 1% | 1% | 16% |
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner | 14–21 Nov 2019 | 500 | 39% | 26% | 33% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
YouGov/Datapraxis | 4–22 Nov 2019 | TBA | 38.8% | 25.7% | 29.9% | 4% | 1.5% | 8.9% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 46.6% | 38.4% | 11.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 8.1% |
Finchley and Golders Green
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 43.8% | 24.2% | 31.9% | – | – | – | 11.9% |
Deltapoll/Datapraxis/ | 3–6 Dec 2019 | 500 | 46% | 19% | 34% | 0% | – | 1% | 12% |
Watermelon/The Jewish Chronicle | TBA | 507 | 37% | 18% | 31% | – | – | 13% | 6% |
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner | 7–12 Nov 2019 | 500 | 46% | 19% | 32% | 0% | – | 3% | 14% |
YouGov/Datapraxis | 4–22 Nov 2019 | TBA | 42.4% | 25.1% | 32.5% | – | – | 0% | 9.9% |
Survation/Liberal Democrats | 2 Oct 2019 | 400 | 29% | 25% | 41% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 12% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 47.0% | 43.8% | 6.6% | 1.8% | – | – | 3.2% |
Hendon
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 48.8% | 41.1% | 8.4% | 1.7% | – | 7.7% |
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner | 14–21 Nov 2019 | 501 | 51% | 33% | 12% | 1% | 3% | 14% |
Datapraxis/YouGov | 4–22 Nov 2019 | 350–400 | 46.6% | 32.3% | 18% | 3% | – | 14.3% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 48.0% | 46.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% |
Kensington
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Lab | Con | Lib Dem | Green | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 38.0% | 38.3% | 21.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
Deltapoll/Datapraxis | 4–8 Dec 2019 | 502 | 29% | 39% | 26% | – | – | 4% | 10% |
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner | 7–13 Nov 2019 | 501 | 27% | 36% | 33% | – | – | 3% | 3% |
YouGov/Datapraxis | 4–22 Nov 2019 | TBA | 30.1% | 34.4% | 27.7% | – | – | 7.7% | 4.3% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 42.2% | 42.2% | 12.2% | 2.0% | – | 3.4% | 0.05% |
Putney
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 35.7% | 45.1% | 16.9% | 2.2% | N/A | 9.4% |
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner | 26 Nov–1 Dec 2019 | 501 | 38% | 35% | 24% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
Datapraxis/YouGov | 4 Nov–5 Dec 2019 | 700–800 | 37.9% | 34.7% | 23.5% | 3.8% | 0% | 3.2% |
Datapraxis/YouGov | 4–22 Nov 2019 | 350–400 | 37.7% | 29.3% | 28.4% | 4.6% | – | 8.4% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 44.1% | 40.8% | 11.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 3.3% |
Richmond Park
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lib Dem | Lab | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 41.2% | 53.1% | 5.2% | 0.5% | 11.9% |
Datapraxis/YouGov | 4–22 Nov 2019 | TBA | 35.6% | 56% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 20.4% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 45.1% | 45.1% | 9.1% | 0.7% | 0.01% |
Wimbledon
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 38.4% | 23.7% | 37.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% |
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner | 7–13 Nov 2019 | 500 | 38% | 23% | 36% | 3% | 2% |
Datapraxis/YouGov | 4–22 Nov 2019 | TBA | 37.4% | 24.7% | 34.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 46.5% | 35.6% | 14.5% | 3.5% | 11.5% |
Berwick-upon-Tweed
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 56.9% | 21.6% | 18.2% | 3.3% | 35.3% |
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner | 22–26 Nov 2019 | 500 | 60% | 17% | 21% | 2% | 39% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 52.5% | 24.6% | 21.1% | 1.9% | 27.9% |
Stockton South
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Lab | Con | UKIP | Lib Dem | Green | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 41.1% | 50.7% | – | 4.3% | – | 4.0% | – | 9.6% |
Survation | 9 Dec 2019 | TBA | 43% | 46% | – | 3% | – | 7% | – | 3.0% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 48.5% | 41.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | – | – | 1.6% |
Southport
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 47.6% | 39.0% | 13.5% | – | 8.6% |
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner | 2–6 Dec 2019 | 500 | 43% | 35% | 22% | – | 7% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 38.7% | 32.6% | 26.4% | 2.4% | 6.1% |
Workington
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Lab | Con | Lib Dem | Green | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 39.2% | 49.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 10.1% |
Survation | 30–31 Oct 2019 | 506 | 34% | 45% | 5% | 2% | 13% | 2% | 11% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 51.1% | 41.7% | 2.7% | – | – | 4.4% | 9.4% |
Beaconsfield
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Grieve | Green | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 56.1% | 9.9% | – | 29.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 27.1% |
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner | 21–26 Nov 2019 | 500 | 53% | 7% | – | 35% | – | 5% | 18% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 65.3% | 21.4% | 7.9% | – | 2.5% | 2.9% | 43.9% |
Esher and Walton
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 49.4% | 4.5% | 45.0% | – | – | 1.3% | 4.3% |
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner | 21–26 Nov 2019 | 396 | 46% | 9% | 41% | – | – | 4% | 5% |
Survation/Liberal Democrats | 30 Oct–4 Nov 2019 | 406 | 45% | 11% | 36% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 9% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 58.6% | 19.7% | 17.3% | 1.8% | – | 2.5% | 38.9% |
Guildford
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lib Dem | Lab | Milton | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 44.9% | 39.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 0.8% | 5.7% |
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner | 21–26 Nov 2019 | 500 | 40% | 41% | 11% | 7% | 1% | 1% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 54.6% | 23.9% | 19.0% | – | 2.6% | 30.7% |
Portsmouth South
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Lab | Con | Lib Dem | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 48.6% | 37.3% | 11.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 11.3% |
Deltapoll | 22–27 Nov 2019 | 500 | 46% | 38% | 11% | 2% | 2% | 8% |
Survation/Liberal Democrats | 28–29 Oct 2019 | 406 | 24% | 27% | 30% | 14% | 6% | 3% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 41.0% | 37.6% | 17.3% | – | 4.1% | 3.5% |
Reading West
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 48.2% | 40.1% | 8.9% | 2.5% | – | – | 8.1% |
Survation | 7–8 Nov 2019 | 410 | 50% | 26% | 13% | 3% | 7% | 0% | 24% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 48.9% | 43.3% | 5.9% | 1.9% | – | – | 5.6% |
Wokingham
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 49.6% | 10.4% | 37.7% | 2.2% | — | 0.1% | 11.9% |
Survation/Liberal Democrats | 31 Oct—4 Nov 2019 | 406 | 42% | 12% | 38% | 3% | 5% | — | 4% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 56.6% | 25.1% | 15.9% | 2.3% | — | — | 24.6% |
Bath
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Lib Dem | Con | Lab | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 54.5% | 30.9% | 12.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 23.5% |
Survation/Bath Labour | 7–14 Sep 2017 | 555 | 46% | 32% | 17% | 5% | – | 14% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 47.3% | 35.8% | 14.7% | 2.3% | – | 11.5% |
North East Somerset
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 50.4% | 24.2% | 22.1% | 2.5% | – | 0.8% | 26.1% |
Survation/Liberal Democrats | 16–17 Oct 2019 | 405 | 44% | 14% | 28% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 16% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 53.6% | 34.7% | 8.3% | 2.3% | – | 1.1% | 18.9% |
Wrexham
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Lab | Con | Lib Dem | Plaid Cymru | Brexit | Green | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 39.0% | 45.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 6.3% |
Survation/The Economist | 27–30 Nov 2019 | 405 | 29% | 44% | 5% | 10% | 9% | – | 15% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 48.9% | 43.7% | 2.5% | 5.0% | – | – | 5.2% |
Warwick and Leamington
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Lab | Con | Lib Dem | Green | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 43.8% | 42.3% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% [lower-alpha 10] | 1.5% |
Survation/The Economist | 21–23 Nov 2019 | 413 | 39% | 40% | 10% | – | 6% | 4% | 1% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 46.7% | 44.4% | 5.2% | 2.2% | – | 1.7% [lower-alpha 11] | 2.3% |
Great Grimsby
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Lab | Con | Lib Dem | Green | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 32.7% | 54.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 7.2% | 0.5% | 22.2% |
Survation/The Economist | 14–15 Nov 2019 | 401 | 31% | 44% | 4% | 3% | 17% | 1% | 13% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 49.4% | 42.2% | 2.7% | – | – | 5.7% | 7.2% |
See also
- Leadership approval opinion polling for the 2019 United Kingdom general election
- Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election
- Opinion polling for the next National Assembly for Wales election
- Opinion polling for the next Scottish Parliament election
- Opinion polling for the next Northern Ireland Assembly election
- Opinion polling on the United Kingdom's membership of the European Union (2016–present)
- Opinion polling for the 2019 European Parliament election in the United Kingdom
- List of United Kingdom by-elections (2010–present)
Notes
- This poll does not feature constituency prompting.
- Question specified an election taking place in October
- Including the Democratic Unionist Party and Sinn Féin with 1%
- Including the British National Party with 1%
- Including the Women's Equality Party with 1%
- Including Alliance, Democratic Unionist Party, Social Democratic and Labour Party and Sinn Féin with 1%
- Including the Democratic Unionist Party with 2%
- A significant number of MPs changed parties during the 2017–2019 Parliament.
- Including 1% for Traditional Unionist Voice, 1% for People Before Profit and 3% for Sylvia Hermon.
- Independent with 0.3%; SDP with 0.1%
- UKIP with 1.5%; rejected ballots with 0.2%
References
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