Opinion polling on Scottish independence

This page lists public opinion polls that have been conducted in relation to the issue of Scottish independence. A referendum on the subject was held on 18 September 2014.

2014 referendum

Many opinion polls were conducted about Scottish independence before the referendum and then during the campaign.[1][2][3][4][5][6][7] Professor John Curtice stated in January 2012 that polling had shown support for independence at between 32% and 38% of the Scottish population.[8] This had fallen somewhat since the SNP were first elected to become the Scottish Government in 2007.[8] The research also showed, however, that the proportion of the population strongly opposed to independence had also declined.[8] Curtice stated in April 2014 that support for independence had increased since December 2013, although there was disagreement between the polling companies as to the true state of public opinion.[9] Polls in the run-up to the referendum vote showed a closing of the gap, with one poll giving the Yes campaign a 51–49 lead. In the referendum, on 18 September 2014, Scotland voted against independence by 55.3% to 44.7%, with an overall turnout of 84.6%.[10][11]

Post-referendum polling

Since the referendum in September 2014, opinion polls have asked how people would vote in a hypothetical second referendum. These polls have been carried out since six weeks after the referendum.[12] Twenty-five opinion polls were conducted in the year after the referendum, with seventeen of them having "No" as the predominant answer, seven having "Yes", and one having an equal proportion of respondents for each opinion.[13] During the period of 18 September 2015 to 18 September 2016 a further twenty-four opinion polls were conducted, of which twenty had "No" as the predominant answer while four had "Yes" as the predominant answer.[14] From 18 September 2016 to 18 September 2017 twenty-six polls were conducted with twenty-five returning "No" as the most popular answer and only one returning "Yes" as the most popular answer.[15]

"No" continued to show a lead in opinion polls until July 2019, when one poll by Lord Ashcroft showed a narrow majority for "Yes".[16] Professor John Curtice said after this poll was released that there had recently been a swing towards "Yes", and that this was concentrated among people who had voted to "Remain" in the 2016 Brexit referendum.[16] This trend continued into January 2020, when three polls put "Yes" support at between 50% and 52% (excluding undecideds).[17] During the spring there was essentially equal support for the two options, however from June onwards polling showed a consistent lead for "Yes".[18] In October 2020, "Yes" received its highest ever rating when an Ipsos MORI poll for STV News showed 58% of respondents in support of independence.[18][19]

The run of polls showing a "Yes" lead continued into January 2021, although the average support for Yes was down by two percentage points compared to polls by the same companies in late 2020.[20]

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Should Scotland be an independent country?			Lead	Notes
			Yes	No	Undecided
19–22 Jan 2021	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,206	49%	44%	7%	5%
14 Jan 2021	Richard Leonard resigns as leader of Scottish Labour
11–13 Jan 2021	Survation/Scot Goes Pop	1,020	45%	43%	12%	2%
8–13 Jan 2021	Savanta ComRes/The Scotsman	1,016	51%	38%	10%	13%
31 Dec 2020	The post-Brexit transition period ends
11–15 Dec 2020	Savanta ComRes/The Scotsman	1,013	52%	38%	10%	14%
2–7 Dec 2020	Survation	1,018	44%	42%	14%	2%
20–26 Nov 2020	Ipsos MORI/STV	1,006	51%	41%	8%	10%
5–11 Nov 2020	Panelbase/Scot Goes Pop	1,020	51%	40%	8%	11%
6–10 Nov 2020	YouGov	1,089	43%	42%	10%	1%
28 Oct–3 Nov 2020	Survation	1,071	47%	40%	13%	7%
2–9 Oct 2020	Ipsos MORI/STV	1,045	52%	39%	9%	13%
9 Oct 2020	Savanta ComRes	1,003	47%	42%	11%	5%
25 Sep–5 Oct 2020	Survation/Progress Scotland	2,093	49%	42%	9%	7%	Non-standard question[notes 1]
17–21 Sep 2020	JL Partners	1,016	51%	40%	7%	11%	JL Partners is not a member of the British Polling Council
2–7 Sep 2020	Survation	1,018	46%	40%	13%	6%
12–18 Aug 2020	Panelbase/Business for Scotland	1,011	51%	42%	7%	9%
6–13 Aug 2020	Savanta ComRes	1,008	49%	42%	9%	7%
6–10 Aug 2020	YouGov/The Times	1,142	45%	40%	9%	5%
5 Aug 2020	Douglas Ross becomes leader of the Scottish Conservatives
30 Jun–3 Jul 2020	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,026	50%	43%	7%	7%
15–19 Jun 2020	Panelbase/Business for Scotland	1,070	50%	43%	7%	7%
1–5 Jun 2020	Panelbase/Scot Goes Pop	1,022	48%	45%	8%	3%
1–5 May 2020	Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland	1,086	46%	46%	7%	Tied
24–26 Mar 2020	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,023	46%	47%	7%	1%
14 Feb 2020	Jackson Carlaw becomes leader of the Scottish Conservatives
7–14 Feb 2020	YouGov/Hanbury	2,587	45%	46%	8%	1%	Excludes 16 and 17 year olds. Non-standard question[notes 2]
31 Jan 2020	The United Kingdom leaves the European Union
28–31 Jan 2020	Panelbase/Scot Goes Pop	1,016	49%	46%	6%	3%
22–27 Jan 2020	YouGov	1,039	43%	42%	10%	1%
20–22 Jan 2020	Survation/Progress Scotland	1,019	45%	45%	10%	Tied
12 Dec 2019	2019 United Kingdom general election
10–11 Dec 2019	Survation/The Courier	1,012	46%	47%	7%	1%
3–6 Dec 2019	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,020	44%	50%	6%	6%
3–6 Dec 2019	YouGov/The Times	1,008	38%	48%	12%	10%
19–25 Nov 2019	Ipsos MORI/STV	1,046	48%	48%	4%	Tied
20–22 Nov 2019	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,009	45%	47%	7%	2%
9–11 Oct 2019	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,003	46%	47%	7%	1%
30 Sep–9 Oct 2019	Survation/Progress Scotland	2,032	40%	51%	9%	11%	Non-standard question[notes 3]
30 Aug–3 Sep 2019	YouGov/The Times	1,059	43%	44%	13%	1%
29 Aug 2019	Ruth Davidson resigns as leader of the Scottish Conservatives
30 Jul–2 Aug 2019	Lord Ashcroft	1,019	46%	43%	12%	3%	Lord Ashcroft is not a member of the British Polling Council Excludes 16 and 17 year-olds
24 Jul 2019	Boris Johnson becomes the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom
18–20 Jun 2019	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,024	46%	48%	6%	2%
24 May 2019	Theresa May announces her resignation as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom
23 May 2019	2019 European Parliament election
14–17 May 2019	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,021	45%	49%	6%	4%
24–26 Apr 2019	YouGov/The Times	1,029	44%	45%	11%	1%
18–24 Apr 2019	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,018	44%	49%	7%	5%
15–21 Mar 2019	Survation/Progress Scotland	2,041	35%	56%	8%	21%	Non-standard question[notes 4]
30 Nov–5 Dec 2018	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,028	45%	51%	4%	6%
2–7 Nov 2018	Panelbase/Constitutional Commission	1,050	43%	52%	5%	9%
18–21 Oct 2018	Survation/Daily Record	1,017	41%	51%	7%	10%
3–5 Oct 2018	Survation/Scottish National Party	1,013	41%	49%	8%	8%
28 Sep–4 Oct 2018	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,024	41%	52%	7%	11%
28 Sep–2 Oct 2018	Survation/Sunday Post	1,036	43%	49%	8%	6%
24–29 Aug 2018	Deltapoll/OFOC & Best for Britain	1,022	45%	47%	8%	2%	Non-standard question[notes 5]
5–10 Jul 2018	Survation/Daily Record	1,002	41%	47%	12%	6%	Excludes 16 and 17 year-olds
8–13 Jun 2018	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,021	41%	53%	6%	12%
1–5 Jun 2018	YouGov/The Times	1,075	41%	50%	6%	9%
30 May–5 Jun 2018	YouGov/Future of England	1,052	41%	47%	12%	6%	Non-standard question[notes 6] Excludes 16 and 17 year-olds
23–28 Mar 2018	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,037	41%	53%	6%	12%
5–11 Mar 2018	Ipsos MORI/STV	1,050	46%	50%	4%	4%	Excludes 16 and 17 year-olds
24–28 Jan 2018	Survation/Daily Record	1,029	42%	50%	8%	8%
12–16 Jan 2018	YouGov/The Times	1,002	37%	50%	10%	13%	Excludes 16 and 17 year-olds
1–5 Dec 2017	Survation/Sunday Post	1,006	42%	49%	8%	7%
27–30 Nov 2017	Survation/Daily Record	1,017	42%	48%	10%	6%
2–5 Oct 2017	YouGov/The Times	1,135	39%	50%	7%	11%	Excludes 16 and 17 year-olds
8–12 Sep 2017	Survation/Scottish Daily Mail	1,016	42%	49%	9%	7%
31 Aug–7 Sep 2017	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,021	40%	53%	6%	13%
9–13 Jun 2017	Survation/Daily Record	1,037	39%	53%	7%	14%
8 Jun 2017	2017 United Kingdom general election
6–7 Jun 2017	Survation/Daily Record	1,001	36%	56%	7%	20%
2–7 Jun 2017	Panelbase	1,106	41%	53%	6%	12%
1–5 Jun 2017	YouGov/The Times	1,093	38%	50%	8%	12%	Excludes 16 and 17 year-olds
31 May–2 Jun 2017	Survation/Sunday Post	1,024	42%	50%	8%	8%
22–27 May 2017	Ipsos MORI/STV	1,016	45%	51%	3%	6%	Excludes 16 and 17 year-olds
15–18 May 2017	YouGov/The Times	1,032	39%	49%	8%	10%	Excludes 16 and 17 year-olds
4 May 2017	2017 Scottish local elections
24–27 Apr 2017	YouGov/The Times	1,017	40%	49%	8%	9%	Excludes 16 and 17 year-olds
18–21 Apr 2017	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,029	43%	52%	5%	9%
18–21 Apr 2017	Survation/Sunday Post	1,018	43%	48%	9%	5%	Excludes 16 and 17 year-olds
7–11 Apr 2017	BMG/Herald	1,041	43%	45%	12%	2%
29 Mar–11 Apr 2017	Kantar	1,060	37%	55%	8%	18%
13–17 Mar 2017	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,008	42%	53%	5%	11%
9–14 Mar 2017	YouGov/The Times	1,028	37%	48%	11%	11%	Excludes 16 and 17 year-olds
8–13 Mar 2017	Survation/Scottish Daily Mail	1,019	43%	48%	9%	5%
13 Mar 2017	Nicola Sturgeon announces the intention to seek approval for a Section 30 order enabling an independence referendum
24 Feb–6 Mar 2017	Ipsos MORI/STV	1,029	47%	46%	6%	1%
23–27 Feb 2017	BMG/Herald	1,009	41%	44%	15%	3%
7–13 Feb 2017	Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland	1,028	44%	51%	6%	7%
26–31 Jan 2017	BMG/Herald	1,067	43%	45%	10%	2%
20–26 Jan 2017	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,020	43%	51%	7%	8%
9–16 Dec 2016	BMG/Herald	1,002	40%	47%	13%	7%
29 Aug–16 Dec 2016	YouGov	3,166	39%	47%	11%	8%	Excludes 16 and 17 year-olds
24–29 Nov 2016	YouGov/The Times	1,134	38%	49%	13%	11%
9–15 Sep 2016	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,024	44%	50%	7%	6%
5–11 Sep 2016	Ipsos MORI/STV	1,000	45%	50%	5%	5%
5–10 Sep 2016	Survation	1,073	42%	48%	10%	6%
10 Aug–4 Sep 2016	TNS	1,047	41%	47%	12%	6%
29–31 Aug 2016	YouGov/The Times	1,039	40%	46%	13%	6%	Excludes 16 and 17 year-olds
20–25 Jul 2016	YouGov	1,005	40%	45%	14%	5%	Excludes 16 and 17 year-olds
13 Jul 2016	Theresa May becomes the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom
24–28 Jun 2016	Survation/Scottish Daily Mail	1,055	47%	41%	12%	6%
25–26 Jun 2016	Panelbase/Sunday Times	626	47%	44%	8%	3%
25 Jun 2016	Survation/Daily Record	1,002	48%	41%	9%	7%
24 Jun 2016	David Cameron announces his resignation as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom
23 Jun 2016	2016 EU membership referendum.
5 May 2016	2016 Scottish Parliament election.
2–4 May 2016	YouGov/The Times	1,445	41%	48%	12%	7%
23–28 Apr 2016	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,074	44%	49%	6%	5%
15–20 Apr 2016	Survation/Daily Record	1,005	44%	47%	9%	3%
6–15 Apr 2016	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,021	45%	51%	5%	6%
7–11 Apr 2016	YouGov/The Times	1,012	41%	49%	10%	8%
10–17 Mar 2016	Survation/Daily Record	1,051	44%	47%	9%	3%
7–9 Mar 2016	YouGov/The Times	1,070	40%	47%	12%	7%
25–29 Feb 2016	Survation/Scottish Daily Mail	1,022	44%	49%	7%	5%
11–16 Feb 2016	Survation/Daily Record	1,006	42%	48%	9%	6%
1–7 Feb 2016	Ipsos MORI/STV	1,000	49%	45%	5%	4%
1–4 Feb 2016	YouGov/The Times	1,022	43%	51%	7%	8%
8–14 Jan 2016	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,053	44%	50%	7%	6%
8–12 Jan 2016	Survation/Daily Record	1,029	45%	47%	8%	2%
6–13 Nov 2015	Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland	1,074	47%	49%	5%	2%
9–13 Oct 2015	YouGov/The Times	1,026	45%	49%	6%	4%
7–10 Sep 2015	Survation/Scottish Daily Mail	1,010	45%	46%	9%	1%
7–10 Sep 2015	YouGov/The Times	1,110	45%	49%	6%	4%
4–10 Sep 2015	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,005	45%	51%	3%	6%
12 Aug–1 Sep 2015	TNS	1,023	47%	42%	11%	5%
24–30 Aug 2015	Ipsos MORI/STV	1,002	53%	44%	3%	9%
3–7 July 2015	Survation/Scottish Daily Mail	1,084	43%	47%	10%	4%
26 Jun–3 Jul 2015	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,002	45%	50%	5%	5%
19–21 May 2015	YouGov/Sunday Post	1,108	44%	49%	7%	5%
7 May 2015	2015 United Kingdom general election.
3–6 May 2015	Survation/Daily Record	1,660	44%	47%	9%	3%
29 Apr–1 May 2015	YouGov/Sunday Times	1,162	43%	49%	8%	6%
22–27 Apr 2015	Survation/Daily Record	1,015	46%	47%	7%	1%
20–23 Apr 2015	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,044	45%	48%	7%	3%
8–9 Apr 2015	YouGov/The Times	1,056	46%	49%	6%	3%
13–19 Mar 2015	ICM/Guardian	1,002	41%	48%	11%	7%
12–17 Mar 2015	Survation/Daily Record	1,027	45%	43%	11%	2%
10–12 Mar 2015	YouGov/The Times	1,049	45%	48%	8%	3%
12–17 Feb 2015	Survation/Daily Record	1,011	43%	47%	10%	4%
29 Jan–2 Feb 2015	YouGov/The Times	1,001	49%	44%	7%	5%
9–11 Dec 2014	Survation/Daily Record	1,001	48%	48%	4%	Tied
9–11 Dec 2014	YouGov/The Sun	1,081	48%	45%	6%	3%
27 Nov 2014	Release of Smith Commission report.
19 Nov 2014	Nicola Sturgeon becomes First Minister of Scotland.
6–13 Nov 2014	Survation/Daily Record	1,001	44%	49%	7%	5%
30 Oct–5 Nov 2014	Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland	982	46%	45%	8%	1%
27–30 Oct 2014	YouGov/The Times	1,078	49%	45%	6%	4%
18 September 2014	2014 Scottish independence referendum results	3,623,344	44.7%	55.3%		10.6%

Remain / Leave question

Instead of using the question posed in the 2014 referendum ("Should Scotland be an independent country?"), some polls have adopted the remain / leave formulation that was used in the 2016 Brexit referendum. In the context of Scottish independence, this generally means that the question would be asked in the fashion of "Should Scotland remain in the United Kingdom or leave the United Kingdom?". The use of this format has been criticised by Scottish nationalists; SNP depute leader Keith Brown said in September 2019 that it was "a deliberate bid to confuse independence with Brexit".[21]

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Should Scotland remain in the United Kingdom or leave the United Kingdom?			Lead	Notes
			Leave	Remain	Undecided
10–12 Sep 2020	Survation/Scotland in Union	1,008	37%	47%	11%	10%
12–16 Sep 2019	Survation/Scotland in Union	1,003	38%	55%	9%	17%
18–23 Apr 2019	Survation/Scotland in Union	1,012	36%	56%	7%	20%
9–13 Nov 2018	Survation/Scotland in Union	1,013	36%	55%	9%	19%
28 Sep–4 Oct 2016	BMG/Herald	1,010	39%	47%	15%	8%
18 September 2014	2014 Scottish independence referendum results	3,623,344	44.7%	55.3%		10.6%

Three-option polling

Prior to the Scottish independence referendum in 2014, some three option opinion polls were conducted, giving respondents the option of full independence, some (undefined) form of increased devolution and the status quo. One poll of this type has been conducted since the EU membership referendum.

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Independence	Devolution Max	Status Quo	Undecided	Ref.
24-28 Jan 2018	Survation/Scottish Independence Referendum Party	32%	15%	36%	17%	[22]

Historical polling

Two-way polling

Respondents were asked "In a referendum on independence for Scotland, how would you vote?", with the options "I agree that Scotland should become an independent country" and "I do not agree that Scotland should become an independent country". These polls indicated the following levels of support for Scotland to be an independent country each year:[23][24]

Year	Agree	Disagree	Lead
2009	40%	52%	12%
2007	39.5%	45%	5.5%
2006	51%	39%	12%
2001	45%	49%	4%
2000	47%	43%	4%
1999	43.5%	46%	2.5%
1998	52%	39.5%	12.5%

Three-way polling

During the late 1970s and 1980s, MORI conducted opinion polls on whether Scots wanted full independence, devolution or the status quo. During this period, devolution was the preferred option in each opinion poll, although support for independence increased.

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Independence	Devolution	Status Quo	Undecided
5 Apr 1978	MORI	20%	52%	25%	4%
March 1979	MORI	14%	42%	35%	9%
3 May 1979	1979 United Kingdom general election
February 1981	MORI	25%	46%	30%	0%
May 1981	MORI	25%	50%	25%	0%
September 1981	MORI	23%	47%	31%	0%
November 1981	MORI	22%	47%	26%	5%
February 1982	MORI	23%	53%	19%	5%
April 1982	MORI	22%	45%	27%	6%
November 1982	MORI	22%	47%	26%	5%
March 1983	MORI	23%	48%	26%	2%
4 Jun 1983	MORI	23%	51%	22%	4%
9 Jun 1983	1983 United Kingdom general election
29 Feb-1 Mar 1984	MORI	25%	45%	27%	3%
24-25 Feb 1986	MORI	33%	47%	14%	6%
6-7 Mar 1987	MORI	32%	50%	15%	3%
May 1987	MORI	29%	41%	25%	5%
11 Jun 1987	1987 United Kingdom general election
April 1988	MORI	35%	42%	20%	3%

Four-way polling

Between 1988 and 1995, MORI polled voters on independence giving four opinions: independence inside the European Economic Community (European Union after 1992), independence outside the organisation, devolution and the status quo.

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Independence outside the EEC	Independence inside the EEC	Devolution	Status Quo	Undecided
1-3 Dec 1988	MORI	10%	24%	46%	16%	4%
25-28 Feb 1989	MORI	11%	24%	42%	20%	3%
1-2 Jun 1989	MORI	12%	22%	49%	15%	2%
11-13 Sep 1989	MORI	9%	27%	44%	18%	2%
22-28 Feb 1990	MORI	10%	24%	44%	19%	3%
15-20 May 1990	MORI	8%	29%	45%	16%	2%
14-18 Jun 1990	MORI	10%	28%	43%	17%	2%
19-22 Jul 1990	MORI	10%	27%	44%	16%	3%
16-20 Aug 1990	MORI	7%	31%	44%	16%	2%
19-23 Sep 1990	MORI	9%	28%	44%	17%	2%
18-22 Oct 1990	MORI	9%	30%	44%	15%	2%
15-18 Nov 1990	MORI	9%	28%	45%	17%	1%
29 Nov 1990	Margaret Thatcher resigns as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom
5-10 Dec 1990	MORI	7%	25%	49%	17%	2%
17-20 Jan 1991	MORI	7%	28%	42%	21%	2%
21-24 Feb 1991	MORI	10%	23%	45%	20%	2%
21-24 Mar 1991	MORI	8%	27%	42%	21%	2%
7-25 Mar 1991	MORI	9%	23%	51%	16%	1%
18-20 Apr 1991	MORI	9%	28%	42%	19%	2%
23-27 May 1991	MORI	7%	26%	45%	19%	3%
20-24 Jun 1991	MORI	8%	26%	47%	17%	2%
18-22 Jul 1991	MORI	8%	28%	43%	18%	3%
22-26 Aug 1991	MORI	9%	26%	47%	17%	1%
19-23 Sep 1991	MORI	9%	26%	45%	17%	3%
17-21 Oct 1991	MORI	9%	28%	46%	15%	2%
21-25 Nov 1991	MORI	8%	26%	47%	16%	3%
12-16 Dec 1991	MORI	9%	31%	40%	17%	3%
16-20 Jan 1992	MORI	9%	31%	42%	15%	3%
20-24 Feb 1992	MORI	7%	29%	37%	23%	-
12 Mar 1992	MORI	8%	26%	42%	20%	-
19 Mar 1992	MORI	8%	26%	42%	23%	-
26 Mar 1992	MORI	7%	27%	44%	20%	-
2 Apr 1992	MORI	6%	22%	45%	23%	-
9 Apr 1992	1992 United Kingdom general election
23-27 Apr 1992	MORI	5%	22%	47%	25%	1%
21-25 May 1992	MORI	5%	23%	48%	21%	3%
18-22 Jun 1992	MORI	5%	29%	40%	23%	3%
23-27 Jul 1992	MORI	7%	28%	41%	21%	3%
21 Apr-8 May 1995	MORI	9%	20%	52%	17%	2%

Scottish Social Attitudes Survey

Since devolution, the annual Scottish Social Attitudes Survey has contained a question on independence.

Respondents are asked Which of these statements comes closest to your view?

1. Scotland should become independent, separate from the UK and the European Union
2. Scotland should become independent, separate from the UK but part of the European Union
3. Scotland should remain part of the UK, with its own elected parliament which has some taxation powers
4. Scotland should remain part of the UK, with its own elected parliament which has no taxation powers
5. Scotland should remain part of the UK without an elected parliament.

A report released in 2017, entitled From Indyref1 to Indyref2? The State of Nationalism in Scotland, detailed the previous responses from this survey by grouping options one and two as "independence", options three and four as "devolution" and option five as "No Parliament".

Year	Polling organisation/client	Independence	Devolution	No Parliament
1999	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	27%	59%	10%
2000	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	30%	55%	12%
2001	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	27%	59%	9%
2002	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	30%	52%	13%
2003	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	26%	56%	13%
2004	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	32%	45%	17%
2005	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	35%	44%	14%
2006	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	30%	54%	14%
2007	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	24%	62%	9%
2009	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	28%	56%	8%
2010	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	23%	61%	10%
2011	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	32%	58%	6%
2012	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	23%	61%	11%
2013	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	29%	55%	9%
2014	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	33%	50%	7%
2015	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	39%	49%	6%
2016	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	46%	42%	8%
2017	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	45%	41%	8%
2019	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	51%	36%	7%

Within the rest of the United Kingdom

British Social Attitudes Survey

The British Social Attitudes Survey has asked voters in England how Scotland should be governed, since the 1997 British Election Study. It has always found a plurality in favour of devolution, with majorities in favour between 1997 and 2003 and again in 2017. Since 2011, when the Scottish National Party won a majority in the Scottish Parliament, there has always been one in five people in England in favour of Scottish independence.

Year	Polling organisation/client	Independence	Devolution	No Parliament
1997	British Election Study	14%	55%	23%
1999	British Social Attitudes Survey	21%	57%	14%
2000	British Social Attitudes Survey	19%	52%	17%
2001	British Social Attitudes Survey	19%	60%	11%
2002	British Social Attitudes Survey	19%	52%	15%
2003	British Social Attitudes Survey	17%	58%	13%
2007	British Social Attitudes Survey	19%	48%	18%
2011	British Social Attitudes Survey	26%	44%	19%
2012	British Social Attitudes Survey	25%	43%	23%
2013	British Social Attitudes Survey	20%	49%	18%
2015	British Social Attitudes Survey	23%	49%	20%
2017	British Social Attitudes Survey	22%	55%	15%

Notes

1. Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means ‘I completely oppose Scotland becoming an independent country’ and 10 means ‘I completely support Scotland becoming an independent country’ what number would you consider yourself to be?". Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to No and Yes here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided.
2. Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "If another Scottish Independence Referendum were held today, how would you vote?" "Yes to an independent Scotland", "No to an independent Scotland", "I will not vote" and "I am not registered to vote" were the options given.
3. Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means ‘I completely support Scotland staying part of the UK’ and 10 means ‘I completely support Scotland becoming independent’ what number would you consider yourself to be?". Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to No and Yes here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided.
4. Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means ‘I completely support Scotland becoming independent’ and 10 means ‘I completely support Scotland staying part of the UK’ what number would you consider yourself to be?". Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided.
5. Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "In a referendum on independence for Scotland held tomorrow, how would you vote?" and given the options of "For Scotland to become an independent country" and "For Scotland to remain as part of the United Kingdom", which have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively.
6. Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "Do you agree that Scotland should become an independent country?" and given the options of "Yes" and "No".

References

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External links

• What Scotland Thinks