2007 Valencian regional election

The 2007 Valencian regional election was held on Sunday, 27 May 2007, to elect the 7th Corts of the Valencian Community. All 99 seats in the Corts were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

2007 Valencian regional election

27 May 2007
All 99 seats in the Corts Valencianes 50 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered	3,491,365 2.0%
Turnout	2,448,830 (70.1%) 1.4 pp
Leader Francisco Camps Joan Ignasi Pla Glòria Marcos Party PP PSPV–PSOE Compromís PV Leader since 10 July 2002 24 September 2000 26 January 2007 Leader's seat Valencia Valencia Valencia Last election 48 seats, 47.2% 35 seats, 36.0% 6 seats, 11.0%[lower-alpha 1] Seats won 54 38 7 Seat change 6 3 1 Popular vote 1,277,458 838,987 195,116 Percentage 52.5% 34.5% 8.0% Swing 5.3 pp 1.5 pp 3.0 pp
Constituency results map for the Corts Valencianes
President before election Francisco Camps PP Elected President Francisco Camps PP

As in the three previous elections, the People's Party (PP) won with an increased absolute majority of seats, as well as winning an absolute majority of votes - the first time since 1983 that this had been achieved. The PP increased its vote share by more than 5% and gained 6 of the additional 10 seats.

The Valencian Nationalist Bloc (BNV) which in the previous election had remained 0.3% short of the 5% threshold, formed an electoral alliance with United Left (IU) under the name Commitment for the Valencian Country (CPV). This combined list, which also included smaller Green and left-wing groups, saw BNV gain its first seat representation in the Courts, though the combined vote for both IU and BNV was considerably lesser than both had polled separately in 2003, with the coalition only gaining one seat overall. The Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSPV-PSOE) gained 3 seats despite decreasing its vote share by 1 point.

Overview

Electoral system

The Corts Valencianes were the devolved, unicameral legislature of the Valencian autonomous community, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Valencian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a President of the Government.[1] Voting for the Corts was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over eighteen, registered in the Valencian Community and in full enjoyment of their political rights.

The 99 members of the Corts Valencianes were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of 5 percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied regionally. Parties not reaching the threshold were not taken into consideration for seat distribution. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Alicante, Castellón and Valencia. Each constituency was entitled to an initial minimum of 20 seats, with the remaining 39 allocated among the constituencies in proportion to their populations on the condition that the seat to population ratio in any given province did not exceed three times that of any other.[1][2]

The electoral law provided that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors were allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors were required to secure the signature of at least 1 percent of the electors registered in the constituency for which they sought election. Electors were barred from signing for more than one list of candidates. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.[2][3][4]

Election date

The term of the Corts Valencianes expired four years after the date of their previous election. Elections to the Corts were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 25 May 2003, setting the election date for the Corts on Sunday, 27 May 2007.[1][2][3][4]

The Corts Valencianes could not be dissolved before the date of expiry of parliament. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional President within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Corts were to be automatically dissolved and a snap election called.[1]

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll. When available, seat projections are also displayed below the voting estimates in a smaller font. 50 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Corts Valencianes (45 until 11 April 2006).

Color key:

  Exit poll

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout			EUPV			CV	CPV	Lead
2007 regional election	27 May 2007	N/A	70.1	52.5 54	34.5 38	[lower-alpha 2]	[lower-alpha 2]	0.9 0	0.7 0	8.0 7	18.0
Ipsos/RTVE[p 1]	27 May 2007	?	?	? 50/53	? 37/40	[lower-alpha 2]	[lower-alpha 2]	–	–	? 7/9	?
UV/FSP[p 2][p 3]	18 May 2007	?	?	? 45/49	? 41/45	[lower-alpha 2]	[lower-alpha 2]	–	–	? 8/10	?
Opina/El País[p 4][p 5]	14–17 May 2007	?	?	50.0 51/52	38.0 39	[lower-alpha 2]	[lower-alpha 2]	–	–	9.5 8/9	12.0
Grup Marest/Levante-EMV[p 6][p 7]	10–16 May 2007	2,000	73.3	44.5 48	37.6 40	[lower-alpha 2]	[lower-alpha 2]	2.2 0	2.6 0	11.5 11	6.9
Celeste-Tel/Terra[p 8][p 9]	9–15 May 2007	?	?	48.8 52/53	37.1 38/39	[lower-alpha 2]	[lower-alpha 2]	–	–	8.4 8/9	11.7
Opina/Cadena SER[p 10][p 11][p 12]	13 May 2007	1,000	?	51.6 54	37.5 38	[lower-alpha 2]	[lower-alpha 2]	–	0.6 0	8.6 7	14.1
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[p 13]	10 May 2007	?	?	? 50/52	? 37/39	[lower-alpha 2]	[lower-alpha 2]	–	–	? 9/10	?
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 14][p 15][p 16]	27 Apr–8 May 2007	900	?	49.4 50/53	36.8 38/41	[lower-alpha 2]	[lower-alpha 2]	–	–	8.9 8	12.6
Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 17]	2–7 May 2007	800	?	50.5 52/54	35.1 35/37	[lower-alpha 2]	[lower-alpha 2]	2.2 0	–	10.4 9/11	15.4
CIS[p 18][p 19]	9 Apr–6 May 2007	1,797	?	49.8 53	36.0 38	[lower-alpha 2]	[lower-alpha 2]	3.3 0	–	8.2 8	13.8
PP[p 20]	8 Apr 2007	1,200	?	? 55/57	? 35/36	[lower-alpha 2]	[lower-alpha 2]	–	–	? 7/8	?
Grup Marest/Levante-EMV[p 21]	28 Mar–5 Apr 2007	2,000	73.3	45.2 49	37.4 39	[lower-alpha 2]	[lower-alpha 2]	2.0 0	2.0 0	12.2 11	7.8
Metroscopia/ABC[p 22]	12 Feb 2007	?	70	51.4 55	34.7 36	[lower-alpha 2]	[lower-alpha 2]	–	–	8.4 8	16.7
PP[p 23][p 24]	12–20 Jan 2007	1,200	?	50.2 55	34.9 36	[lower-alpha 2]	[lower-alpha 2]	–	–	10.6 8	15.3
Grup Marest/Levante-EMV[p 25][p 26]	2–17 Jan 2007	2,000	72.0	44.7 46 42	38.2 41 37	[lower-alpha 2]	[lower-alpha 2]	1.5 0 0	–	12.6 12 10	6.5
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 27][p 28][p 29]	16–24 Nov 2006	?	?	49.1 53/56 48/50	35.3 37/40 34/36	6.6 6 5	4.1 0 0	–	–	–	13.8
PP[p 30]	23 Nov 2006	?	?	50.0	35.0	–	–	–	–	–	15.0
Opina/El País[p 31][p 32]	2–3 Oct 2006	1,200	?	49.3	36.4	7.0	4.5	1.5	–	–	12.9
PSPV[p 33][p 34]	18–25 Sep 2006	2,000	75	46.6 47/48	40.5 42/44	[lower-alpha 2]	[lower-alpha 2]	–	–	8.6 8/9	6.1
			75	46.1 49/50	39.4 44/45	5.9 5	4.8 0	–	–	–	6.7
Astel/PP[p 35][p 36]	8–13 Sep 2006	1,014	73	49.8 55	35.4 38	6.9 6	4.5 0	2.1 0	–	–	14.4
PSPV[p 37][p 38]	13 Jul 2006	?	?	47.0	36.0	–	–	–	–	–	11.0
Grup Marest/Levante-EMV[p 39]	23 May–1 Jun 2006	2,000	?	45.4 48	38.9 41	[lower-alpha 2]	[lower-alpha 2]	1.4 0	–	11.3 10	6.5
			?	45.4 50	38.9 43	6.4 6	4.9 0	1.4 0	–	–	6.5
Opimarco/PSPV[p 40]	24 Apr–10 May 2006	750	?	46.6 49	39.6 41	[lower-alpha 2]	[lower-alpha 2]	1.6 0	–	10.1 9	7.0
			?	46.6 51	39.6 43	5.5 5	4.6 0	1.6 0	–	–	7.0
Betaconsulting/PP[p 41][p 42]	28 Mar–8 Apr 2006	1,000	73	49.6 55	36.0 38	6.6 6	3.7 0	–	–	–	13.6
KMC/El Boletín[p 43]	6 Mar 2006	?	?	49.2	36.5	5.5	3.3	1.3	1.7	–	12.7
Opimarco/PSPV[p 44]	1–15 Dec 2005	750	?	46.7 48/49	38.3 41/43	[lower-alpha 2]	[lower-alpha 2]	2.2	–	10.0 9/10	8.4
			?	46.7 49/50	38.3 43/44	5.6 6	4.4 0	2.2 0	–	–	8.4
KMC/El Boletín[p 45]	21 Nov 2005	?	?	49.4	35.0	6.9	2.9	3.6	2.2	–	14.4
PP[p 46]	17 Nov 2005	?	?	? 51	? 32	? 6	–	–	–	–	?
Opina/El País[p 32][p 47]	9 Oct 2005	?	?	48.0	36.6	6.5	3.2	1.5	–	–	11.4
PP[p 48][p 49]	12 Mar 2005	?	?	? 49	? 36	? 4	–	–	–	–	?
2004 EP election	13 Jun 2004	N/A	50.5	49.7 48	42.2 41	3.3 0	1.1 0	0.5 0	–	–	7.5
2004 general election	14 Mar 2004	N/A	77.7	46.8 47	42.4 42	4.7 0	1.5 0	–	–	–	4.4
2003 regional election	25 May 2003	N/A	71.5	47.2 48	36.0 35	6.4 6	4.7 0	3.0 0	–	–	11.2

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 27 May 2007 Corts Valencianes election results →

Parties and coalitions		Popular vote			Seats
		Votes	%	±pp	Total	+/−
	People's Party (PP)	1,277,458	52.52	+5.35	54	+6
	Socialist Party of the Valencian Country (PSPV–PSOE)	838,987	34.49	–1.47	38	+3
	Commitment for the Valencian Country (Compromís PV)^1	195,116	8.02	–3.02	7	+1
	Valencian Union–The Eco-pacifist Greens (UV–LVEP)	22,789	0.94	–2.04	0	±0
	Valencian Coalition (CVa)	17,331	0.71	New	0	±0
	Republican Left of the Valencian Country (ERPV)	11,686	0.48	+0.17	0	±0
	Social Democratic Party (PSD)	10,187	0.42	New	0	±0
	Spain 2000 (E–2000)	5,934	0.24	+0.13	0	±0
	Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE)	4,088	0.17	+0.01	0	±0
	United for Valencia (UxV)	2,559	0.11	New	0	±0
	Authentic Phalanx (FA)	2,493	0.10	±0.00	0	±0
	Humanist Party (PH)	2,039	0.08	–0.03	0	±0
	Movement for People's Unity–Republicans (MUP–R)	1,531	0.06	New	0	±0
	Liberal Centre (CL)	1,511	0.06	New	0	±0
	Renewal Liberal Centre (CLR)	1,461	0.06	New	0	±0
	Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE–JONS)	1,018	0.04	New	0	±0
	Liberal Democratic Centre (CDL)	785	0.03	New	0	±0
	National Democracy (DN)	706	0.03	±0.00	0	±0
	Liberal Centrist Union (UCL)	427	0.02	New	0	±0
Blank ballots		34,348	1.41	–0.14
Total		2,432,454			99	+10
Valid votes		2,432,454	99.33	–0.02
Invalid votes		16,376	0.67	+0.02
Votes cast / turnout		2,448,830	70.14	–1.37
Abstentions		1,042,535	29.86	+1.37
Registered voters		3,491,365
Sources[5][6][7][8]

Popular vote PP   52.52% PSPV–PSOE   34.49% Compromís PV   8.02% Others   3.56% Blank ballots   1.41%

Seats PP   54.54% PSPV–PSOE   38.38% Compromís PV   7.07%

Distribution by constituency

Constituency	PP		PSPV		CPV
	%	S	%	S	%	S
Alicante	51.8	19	36.6	14	6.8	2
Castellón	49.3	12	38.0	10	7.8	2
Valencia	53.6	23	32.5	14	8.8	3
Total	52.5	54	34.5	38	8.0	7
Sources[7][8]

Aftermath

Investiture Francisco Camps (PP)
Ballot →		25 June 2007
Required majority →		50 out of 99
	Yes • PP (54)	54 / 99
	No • PSPV (37) • Compromís PV (7)	44 / 99
	Abstentions	0 / 99
	Absentees	0 / 99
Sources[8]

Notes

1. Aggregated data for Entesa and BNV–EV in the 2003 election.
2. Within CPV.

References

Opinion poll sources

1. "Sólo Navarra y Baleares podrían cambiar de gobierno, según el sondeo de RTVE y FORTA". Europa Press (in Spanish). 27 May 2007.
2. "Una enquesta encarregada per una fundació afí al PSPV apunta que el PP perdrà la majoria absoluta a les Corts". VilaWeb (in Catalan). 18 May 2007.
3. "El PP pierde la mayoría absoluta según un sondeo de la Universitat". El País (in Spanish). 19 May 2007.
4. "Rajoy saca peor nota que Zapatero en los bastiones electorales del PP". El País (in Spanish). 20 May 2007.
5. "Camps consolida la hegemonía del PP en la Comunidad Valenciana". El País (in Spanish). 20 May 2007.
6. "El PP perdería la mayoría absoluta y el PSPV podría gobernar con el respaldo de Compromís". Levante-EMV (in Spanish). 20 May 2007.
7. "El PP pierde la mayoría absoluta y podría gobernar un tripartito". Levante-EMV (in Spanish). 20 May 2007.
8. "Vuelco electoral en Navarra, Baleares y Canarias y aplastante victoria del PP en Madrid". Terra (in Spanish). 17 May 2007.
9. "Encuestas autonómicas". Celeste-Tel (in Spanish). 17 May 2007.
10. "El PP de Francisco Camps reforzaría su mayoría en la Comunidad Valenciana". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 15 May 2007.
11. "Pulsómetro 15/05/2007. Valencia y Vitoria". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 15 May 2007.
12. "El 'Pulsómetro' de la SER da la mayoría absoluta al PP en Cortes". El País (in Spanish). 16 May 2007.
13. "El PP revalidaría su mayoría en Valencia". prnoticias (in Spanish). 10 May 2007.
14. "Sondeo de Sigma Dos: El PP renovaría siete autonomías y podría perder dos". El Mundo (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
15. "Una foto 'congelada' en la mayoría del PP". El Mundo (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
16. "Elecciones 27-M / Sondeo El Mundo-Sigma Dos". El Mundo (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
17. "El PP valenciano revalidaría su mayoría". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 13 May 2007.
18. "Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas, 2007. Comunidad Valenciana (Estudio nº 2694. Abril-Mayo 2007)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 11 May 2007.
19. "La aritmética juega en contra del PSOE sólo en las islas Canarias". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
20. "Una encuesta del PP otorga a Camps una mayoría más amplia que la lograda en 2003". ABC (in Spanish). 8 April 2007.
21. "El cambio político en la Comunidad Valenciana, más cerca". Levante-EMV (in Spanish). 22 April 2007.
22. "Camps revalidaría hoy la mayoría absoluta en Valencia con 17 puntos de ventaja sobre el PSOE". ABC (in Spanish). 12 February 2007.
23. "La última encuesta del PP revela que lograría mayoría absoluta y el PSPV perdería votos". ABC (in Spanish). 27 January 2007.
24. "Camps aumenta su mayoría, según un sondeo". ABC (in Spanish). 27 January 2007.
25. "El PSPV podría gobernar con EU y el Bloc al quedar el PP a 4 escaños de la mayoría absoluta". Levante-EMV (in Spanish). 21 January 2007.
26. "Un escenario de cambio". Levante-EMV (in Spanish). 21 January 2007.
27. "El PP y el PSOE mantendrán sus gobiernos autonómicos, aunque los socialistas bajan". El Mundo (in Spanish). 27 November 2006.
28. "Camps refuerza su mayoría y su peso". El Mundo (in Spanish). 27 November 2006.
29. "El voto en las comunidades. Elecciones autonómicas 2007" (PDF). El Mundo (in Spanish). 27 November 2006.
30. "El estancamiento de Pla abre la brecha con el PP sobre intención de voto". ABC (in Spanish). 23 November 2006.
31. "El PP aventaja en 12,9 puntos al PSPV". El País (in Spanish). 8 October 2006.
32. "Informe encuesta. Comunidad Valenciana. Octubre 2006" (PDF). Instituto Opina (in Spanish). 8 October 2006.
33. "Una encuesta de los socialistas concluye que el PP pierde votos". El País (in Spanish). 2 October 2006.
34. "La última encuesta del PSPV refleja que los socialistas gobernarían en 2007 con ayuda de EU". ABC (in Spanish). 2 October 2006.
35. "El PP revalidaría su mayoría absoluta en pleno debate sobre la moción y haría inútil un tripartito". ABC (in Spanish). 17 September 2006.
36. "El PP mantiene paralizados los plenos en las Cortes en espera de la censura socialista". El País (in Spanish). 19 September 2006.
37. "Un sondeo del PSOE otorga al PP una ventaja de once puntos en la Comunidad Valenciana". ABC (in Spanish). 17 July 2006.
38. "Pla revela un sondeo propio que otorgaría al PP el 47% de los votos en 2007 frente al 36% del PSPV". ABC (in Spanish). 17 July 2006.
39. "Una encuesta del PSPV reduce su distancia del PP a siete puntos". Racó Català (in Catalan). 5 June 2006.
40. "Una encuesta del PSPV reduce su distancia del PP a siete puntos". El País (in Spanish). 9 June 2006.
41. "Una encuesta otorga siete escaños más al PP-CV, que amplía la mayoría absoluta lograda en 2003". ABC (in Spanish). 30 April 2006.
42. "El PP pregunta sobre corrupción en un sondeo demoscópico". El País (in Spanish). 30 April 2006.
43. "Las encuestas aumentan la brecha en la intención de voto favorable al PP". ABC (in Spanish). 7 March 2006.
44. "El PSPV filtra una encuesta para presionar a EU con un pacto preelectoral con el Bloc". ABC (in Spanish). 24 January 2006.
45. "Los votantes de centro huyen de Pla y se trasvasan a Camps, según las encuestas". ABC (in Spanish). 22 November 2005.
46. "El PP valenciano aventaja al PSOE en 17,5 puntos en intención de voto directo". ABC (in Spanish). 17 November 2005.
47. "El PP aventaja en 11,4 puntos al PSPV". El País (in Spanish). 9 October 2005.
48. "Camps volvería a lograr la mayoría absoluta, según un sondeo del PP". El País (in Spanish). 13 March 2005.
49. "El PP de Camps ganaría un diputado más y lograría mayoría absoluta de haber elecciones". ABC (in Spanish). 13 March 2005.

Other

1. "Statute of Autonomy of the Valencian Community of 1982". Organic Law No. 1 of 1 July 1982. Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved 17 March 2017.
2. "Valencian Electoral Law of 1987". Law No. 2 of 31 March 1987. Official Journal of the Valencian Community (in Spanish). Retrieved 17 March 2017.
3. "General Electoral System Organic Law of 1985". Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985. Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved 28 December 2016.
4. "Representation of the people Institutional Act". www.juntaelectoralcentral.es. Central Electoral Commission. Retrieved 16 June 2017.
5. "Corts Valencianes election, 2007". www.datoselecciones.com (in Spanish). Election Data. Retrieved 30 September 2017.
6. "Electoral Results. Electoral Data - Regional Election: 2007". www.cortsvalencianes.es (in Spanish). Valencian Government. Retrieved 29 November 2019.
7. "Corts Valencianes election results, 27 May 2007" (PDF). www.juntaelectoralcentral.es (in Spanish). Electoral Commission of the Valencian Community. 7 June 2007. Retrieved 30 September 2017.
8. "Eleccions a les Corts Valencianes (1983 - 2019)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 September 2017.