2022 United States Senate election in Florida

The 2022 United States Senate election in Florida will be held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Florida. Incumbent Republican Senator Marco Rubio has announced that he will run for reelection to a third term.[1]

2022 United States Senate election in Florida

November 8, 2022

Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator Marco Rubio Republican

Republican primary

Declared

• Jake Loubriel, Florida National Guardsman[2]
• Marco Rubio, incumbent U.S. Senator[1]

Potential

• Brian Mast, U.S. representative for Florida's 18th congressional district[3]
• Ivanka Trump, former advisor to the President[4][5]
• Michael Waltz, U.S. representative for Florida's 6th congressional district[3]

Declined

• Pam Bondi, former Florida Attorney General[6]
• Matt Gaetz, U.S. representative for Florida's 1st congressional district[3][7]
• Roger Stone, political consultant[8]

Democratic primary

Declared

• Edward Abud, businessman[9]
• Shantele Bennett, financial advisor and candidate for mayor of Orlando in 2019[10]
• Allen Ellison, policy consultant and nominee for Florida's 17th congressional district in 2018 and 2020[11]
• Josue Larose, perennial candidate[12]
• Joshua Weil, teacher[13]

Publicly expressing interest

• Alan Grayson, former U.S. representative for Florida's 9th congressional district[14]

Potential

• Charlie Crist, U.S. representative for Florida's 13th congressional district, former Republican governor of Florida, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010, and nominee for governor in 2014[15]
• Val Demings, U.S. representative for Florida's 10th congressional district[16][17]
• Ted Deutch, U.S. representative for Florida's 22nd congressional district[17]
• Anna Eskamani, state representative[18]
• Nikki Fried, Florida Commissioner of Agriculture[19]
• Gwen Graham, former U.S. representative for Florida's 2nd congressional district and candidate for governor of Florida in 2018[19]
• Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, former U.S. representative for Florida's 26th congressional district[20]
• Stephanie Murphy, U.S. representative for Florida's 7th congressional district[21]
• Jason Pizzo, state senator[21]

Independent and third party candidates

Declared

• Carlos Barberena, digital marketing consultant[22]
• Grace Granda, business consultant[23]

Potential

• David Jolly, former U.S. representative for Florida's 13th congressional district[24]

Declined

• John Morgan, attorney and medical marijuana advocate[17]
• Joe Scarborough, MSNBC host and former U.S. representative for Florida's 1st congressional district[25]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[26]	Likely R	January 25, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[27]	Likely R	January 28, 2021
Inside Elections[28]	Battleground	January 25, 2021

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[lower-alpha 1] Margin of error Marco Rubio (R) Generic Democrat Undecided Data For Progress[upper-alpha 1] September 15–22, 2020 620 (LV) ± 3.9% 42% 43% 15%

Notes

1. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear

Partisan clients

1. Poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund.

References

1. "Sen. Marco Rubio will run for reelection in 2022". The Floridian. November 9, 2020. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
2. "STATEMENT OF CANDIDACY" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. January 13, 2021. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
3. Manjarres, Javier (November 4, 2019). "Succeeding Marco Rubio in 2022". The Floridian. Retrieved September 22, 2020.
4. "Speculation swirls over Ivanka Trump's potential run for US Senate in Florida". The Guardian. December 13, 2020. Retrieved December 13, 2020.
5. "'I like Ivanka': Marco Rubio sweats over rumoured Trump Senate challenge". The Guardian. January 25, 2021. Retrieved January 25, 2021.
6. Manjarres, Javier (February 6, 2021). "Ivanka Trump, Pam Bondi will not challenge Rubio in 2022 · The Floridian". The Floridian. Retrieved February 7, 2021.
7. Contorno, Steve (January 19, 2021). "Matt Gaetz won't challenge Marco Rubio in 2022, he says". Tampa Bay Times. Retrieved January 19, 2021.
8. Smiley, David (December 17, 2020). "Marco Rubio may face a Florida primary challenge in 2022. Here's why". Tampa Bay Times. Retrieved December 19, 2020.
9. "STATEMENT OF CANDIDACY" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. January 14, 2021. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
10. "Candidate Tracking system – Florida Division of Elections – Department of State". Florida Department of State. Retrieved October 1, 2020.
11. "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1474139". docquery.fec.gov. Retrieved January 5, 2021.
12. "Candidate Tracking system – Florida Division of Elections – Department of State". dos.elections.myflorida.com. Retrieved October 1, 2020.
13. "Candidate Tracking system – Florida Division of Elections – Department of State". Florida Department of State. Retrieved December 10, 2020.
14. Marc Caputo [@MarcACaputo] (January 26, 2021). "Progressive firebrand & former US Rep. @AlanGrayson is making calls about running against Republican US Sen. @marcorubio "Repeal Rubio. That's all I have to say," Grayson told me when I reached out. Grayson ran for Sen in 2016 but lost in the primary to Rep Patrick Murphy" (Tweet). Retrieved January 27, 2021 – via Twitter.
15. Gunzburger, Ron. "Politics1 - Online Guide to Florida Elections, Candidates & Politics". www.politics1.com. Retrieved November 12, 2020.
16. DJ 6 Minutes (June 10, 2020). "If Passed Over By Biden, Val Demings Could Challenge Republican Rubio In Florida Senate Race In 2022". WMBT. Retrieved September 14, 2020.
17. Smiley, Dave (November 10, 2020). "Florida's 2022 elections are already shaping up. Here's who is (and may be) running". Miami Herald. Retrieved November 20, 2020.
18. Powers, Scott (July 29, 2019). "Anna Eskamani registers higher-office campaign websites—just in case". Archived from the original on March 10, 2020. Retrieved April 2, 2020.
19. Burlew, Jeff (November 20, 2018). "Gwen Graham could be statewide contender again, in four long years". Tallahassee Democrat. Retrieved September 14, 2020.
20. Man, Anthony (January 2, 2021). "2020 is over, but South Florida top political developments will reverberate long into the future". Sun Sentinel. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
21. Contorno, Steve (July 19, 2020). "As Ron DeSantis slips in Florida polls, Democratic challengers for governor are starting to emerge". Tampa Bay Times. Retrieved September 14, 2020.
22. "FLORIDA". PoliticsOne. September 16, 2020. Retrieved September 22, 2020.
23. "GRANDA, GRACE - Candidate overview".
24. https://floridapolitics.com/archives/352242-former-u-s-rep-david-jolly-hints-at-possible-run-for-governor-or-u-s-senate
25. Caputo, Marc (January 28, 2021). "'What Democrat beats that guy?': Top Dems flinch from Rubio challenge". POLITICO. Retrieved February 4, 2021.
26. "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
27. "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
28. "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.

External links

Official campaign websites

• Carlos Barberena (I) for Senate
• Allen Ellison (D) for Senate
• Marco Rubio (R) for Senate
• Joshua Weil (D) for Senate