2022 United States gubernatorial elections
The 2022 United States gubernatorial elections will be held on November 8, 2022, in 36 states and three territories. In addition, special elections may take place (depending on state law) if other gubernatorial seats are vacated.
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39 governorships 36 states; 3 territories | |||||||||||||
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Democratic incumbent Term-limited or retiring Democrat Republican incumbent Term-limited or retiring Republican No election |
As most governors serve four year terms, the last regular gubernatorial elections for all but two of the seats took place in 2018. The governors of New Hampshire and Vermont, each of whom serve two year terms, ran in the 2020 elections. The 2022 gubernatorial elections will take place concurrently with several other federal, state, and local elections.
Election predictions
Several sites and individuals published predictions of competitive seats. These predictions looked at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan leanings of the state (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assigned ratings to each seat, with the rating indicating the predicted advantage that a party has in winning that seat.
Most election predictors use:
- "tossup": no advantage
- "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
- "lean": slight advantage
- "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
- "safe": near-certain chance of victory
State | PVI[1] | Incumbent[2] | Last race |
Cook February 1, 2021[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|
Alabama | R+14 | Kay Ivey | 59.5% R | Solid R |
Alaska | R+9 | Mike Dunleavy | 51.4% R | Solid R |
Arizona | R+5 | Doug Ducey (term-limited) | 56.0% R | Tossup |
Arkansas | R+15 | Asa Hutchinson (term-limited) | 65.3% R | Solid R |
California | D+12 | Gavin Newsom | 61.9% D | Solid D |
Colorado | D+1 | Jared Polis | 53.4% D | Solid D |
Connecticut | D+6 | Ned Lamont | 49.4% D | Solid D |
Florida | R+2 | Ron DeSantis | 49.6% R | Lean R |
Georgia | R+5 | Brian Kemp | 50.2% R | Lean R |
Hawaii | D+18 | David Ige (term-limited) | 62.7% D | Solid D |
Idaho | R+19 | Brad Little | 59.8% R | Solid R |
Illinois | D+7 | J. B. Pritzker | 54.5% D | Solid D |
Iowa | R+3 | Kim Reynolds | 50.3% R | Likely R |
Kansas | R+13 | Laura Kelly | 48.0% D | Lean D |
Maine | D+3 | Janet Mills | 50.9% D | Likely D |
Maryland | D+12 | Larry Hogan (term-limited) | 55.3% D | Tossup |
Massachusetts | D+12 | Charlie Baker | 66.9% R | Solid R |
Michigan | D+1 | Gretchen Whitmer | 53.3% D | Lean D |
Minnesota | D+1 | Tim Walz | 53.8% D | Likely D |
Nebraska | R+14 | Pete Ricketts (term-limited) | 59.0% R | Solid R |
Nevada | D+1 | Steve Sisolak | 49.4% D | Likely D |
New Hampshire | D+1 | Chris Sununu | 65.1% R | Solid R |
New Mexico | D+3 | Michelle Lujan Grisham | 57.2% D | Solid D |
New York | D+12 | Andrew Cuomo | 59.6% D | Solid D |
Ohio | R+3 | Mike DeWine | 50.4% R | Likely R |
Oklahoma | R+20 | Kevin Stitt | 54.3% R | Solid R |
Oregon | D+5 | Kate Brown (term-limited) | 50.1% D | Solid D |
Pennsylvania | EVEN | Tom Wolf (term-limited) | 57.8% D | Tossup |
Rhode Island | D+10 | Gina Raimondo (term-limited) | 52.6% D | Solid D |
South Carolina | R+8 | Henry McMaster | 54.0% R | Solid R |
South Dakota | R+14 | Kristi Noem | 51.0% R | Solid R |
Tennessee | R+14 | Bill Lee | 59.6% R | Solid R |
Texas | R+8 | Greg Abbott | 55.8% R | Likely R |
Vermont | D+15 | Phil Scott | 68.4% R | Solid R |
Wisconsin | EVEN | Tony Evers | 49.5% D | Lean D |
Wyoming | R+25 | Mark Gordon | 67.1% R | Solid R |
Race summary
State | Governor | Party | First elected | Last race | Status | Candidates |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alabama | Kay Ivey | Republican | 2017[lower-alpha 1] | 59.5% R | Eligible |
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Alaska | Mike Dunleavy | Republican | 2018 | 51.4% R | Eligible |
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Arizona | Doug Ducey | Republican | 2014 | 56.0% R | Term-limited |
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Arkansas | Asa Hutchinson | Republican | 2014 | 65.3% R | Term-limited |
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California | Gavin Newsom | Democratic | 2018 | 61.9% D | Eligible |
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Colorado | Jared Polis | Democratic | 2018 | 53.4% D | Eligible |
|
Connecticut | Ned Lamont | Democratic | 2018 | 49.4% D | Eligible |
|
Florida | Ron DeSantis | Republican | 2018 | 49.6% R | Eligible | |
Georgia | Brian Kemp | Republican | 2018 | 50.2% R | Running |
|
Hawaii | David Ige | Democratic | 2014 | 62.7% D | Term-limited |
|
Idaho | Brad Little | Republican | 2018 | 59.8% R | Eligible |
|
Illinois | J. B. Pritzker | Democratic | 2018 | 54.5% D | Eligible |
|
Iowa | Kim Reynolds | Republican | 2017[lower-alpha 2] | 50.3% R | Eligible |
|
Kansas | Laura Kelly | Democratic | 2018 | 48.0% D | Running |
|
Maine | Janet Mills | Democratic | 2018 | 50.9% D | Eligible |
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Maryland | Larry Hogan | Republican | 2014 | 55.4% R | Term-limited |
|
Massachusetts | Charlie Baker | Republican | 2014 | 66.6% R | Eligible |
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Michigan | Gretchen Whitmer | Democratic | 2018 | 53.3% D | Eligible |
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Minnesota | Tim Walz | DFL | 2018 | 53.8% D | Eligible |
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Nebraska | Pete Ricketts | Republican | 2014 | 59.0% R | Term-limited | |
Nevada | Steve Sisolak | Democratic | 2018 | 49.4% D | Eligible |
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New Hampshire | Chris Sununu | Republican | 2016 | 65.1% R | Eligible |
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New Mexico | Michelle Lujan Grisham | Democratic | 2018 | 57.2% D | Eligible |
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New York | Andrew Cuomo | Democratic | 2010 | 59.6% D | Running |
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Ohio | Mike DeWine | Republican | 2018 | 50.4% R | Running |
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Oklahoma | Kevin Stitt | Republican | 2018 | 54.3% R | Eligible | |
Oregon | Kate Brown | Democratic | 2015[lower-alpha 3] | 50.1% D | Term-limited |
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Pennsylvania | Tom Wolf | Democratic | 2014 | 57.8% D | Term-limited |
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Rhode Island | Gina Raimondo | Democratic | 2014[lower-alpha 4] | 52.6% D | Term-limited |
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South Carolina | Henry McMaster | Republican | 2017[lower-alpha 5] | 54.0% R | Running |
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South Dakota | Kristi Noem | Republican | 2018 | 51.0% R | Running |
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Tennessee | Bill Lee | Republican | 2018 | 59.6% R | Running | |
Texas | Greg Abbott | Republican | 2014 | 55.8% R | Running |
|
Vermont | Phil Scott | Republican | 2016 | 68.5% R | Eligible |
|
Wisconsin | Tony Evers | Democratic | 2018 | 49.5% D | Eligible | |
Wyoming | Mark Gordon | Republican | 2018 | 67.1% R | Eligible |
|
Republican incumbents eligible for re-election
Kay Ivey (Alabama)
Governor Kay Ivey took office on April 10, 2017 upon the resignation of Robert J. Bentley and was elected to a full term at her own right in 2018 with 59.5% of the vote. She is eligible to run for re-election for a second full term, but has not yet stated whether she will do so. Opelika, Alabama, pastor Dean Odle has announced he will seek the Republican nomination for Governor.[43]
Mike Dunleavy (Alaska)
Governor Mike Dunleavy was elected in 2018 with 51.4% of the vote. He is eligible to run for re-election, but has not yet stated whether he will do so.
Ron DeSantis (Florida)
Governor Ron DeSantis was elected in 2018 with 49.6% of the vote. He is eligible to run for re-election, and is expected to do so after hinting towards a 2022 re-election campaign on Fox News in early January of 2021. Former mayor of Tallahassee and Democratic nominee for governor in 2018 Andrew Gillum will not run against DeSantis again, after stating on March 16, 2020, he would enter rehabilitation, citing struggles with alcohol after narrowly losing the 2018 Florida gubernatorial race.[44][45] Florida commissioner of agriculture Nikki Fried is a potential Democratic candidate.[46]
Brian Kemp (Georgia)
Governor Brian Kemp was elected in 2018 with 50.2% of the vote. He is running for re-election.[47]
Kemp may face a primary challenge from former U.S. Representative Doug Collins.[48]
Potential Democratic candidates include former minority leader of the Georgia House of Representatives and Democratic nominee for governor in 2018 Stacey Abrams,[49] and former Atlanta Mayor Kasim Reed.[50]
Brad Little (Idaho)
Governor Brad Little was elected in 2018 with 59.8% of the vote. He is eligible to run for re-election, but has not yet stated whether he will do so.
Kim Reynolds (Iowa)
Governor Kim Reynolds took office on May 24, 2017, upon the resignation of Terry Branstad and was elected to a full term at her own right in 2018 with 50.3% of the vote. She is eligible to run for re-election for a second full term, but has not yet stated whether she will do so.
Potential Democratic candidates include Iowa State Auditor Rob Sand.[51]
Charlie Baker (Massachusetts)
Governor Charlie Baker was re-elected to a second term in 2018 with 66.6% of the vote. Because Massachusetts does not have gubernatorial term limits in its Constitution, he is eligible to run for re-election for a third term, but has not yet stated whether he will do so.
Chris Sununu (New Hampshire)
Governor Chris Sununu was re-elected in 2020 with 65.1% of the vote. He is eligible to run for re-election for a fourth term, but has not yet stated whether he will do so. There is a possibility that Sununu will run for the U.S. Senate.
Corey Lewandowski, a former advisor to President Donald Trump is considering running for Governor regardless of Sununu's intentions.[52]
Mike DeWine (Ohio)
Governor Mike DeWine was elected in 2018 with 50.4% of the vote. He is eligible to run for re-election, but has not yet stated whether he will do so.
DeWine may face a primary challenge from his right due to his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic in Ohio, and his policies on gun control.[53] Former Ohio House of Representatives Speaker Larry Householder was reportedly considering a campaign before he was indicted on federal bribery charges.[54][55]
Potential Democratic candidates include Cincinnati Mayor John Cranley,[56] Ohio Democratic Party Chairman David Pepper, U.S. Representative and 2020 presidential candidate Tim Ryan, Ohio House of Representatives Minority Leader Emilia Sykes,[57] and Dayton Mayor Nan Whaley.[58][53]
Kevin Stitt (Oklahoma)
Governor Kevin Stitt was elected in 2018 with 54.3% of the vote. He is eligible to run for re-election, but has not yet stated whether he will do so. Former State Senator and physician Ervin Yen has filed paperwork to challenge Stitt should the governor decide to run for reelection.[59]
Henry McMaster (South Carolina)
Governor Henry McMaster took office on January 24, 2017, upon the resignation of Nikki Haley and was elected to a full term at his own right in 2018 with 54% of the vote. He is running for re-election for a second full term.[38]
Kristi Noem (South Dakota)
Governor Kristi Noem was elected in 2018 with 51% of the vote. She is running for re-election.
Bill Lee (Tennessee)
Governor Bill Lee was elected in 2018 with 59.6% of the vote. He is eligible to run for re-election, and in September of 2020 announced his intent to do so.
Greg Abbott (Texas)
Governor Greg Abbott was re-elected to a second term in 2018 with 55.8% of the vote. Because Texas does not have gubernatorial term limits in its Constitution, he is eligible to run for re-election for a third term, and has announced he will do so.[41] Comedian and talk show host Chad Prather is a potential Republican candidate.[60] Former 2020 presidential, former U.S. representative, and Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018 Beto O'Rourke is a potential Democratic candidate. Former United States secretary of housing and urban development, and former mayor of San Antonio Julián Castro[61] is also a potential Democratic candidate as well.[49]
Phil Scott (Vermont)
Governor Phil Scott was re-elected in 2020 with 68.5% of the vote. He is eligible to run for re-election for a fourth term, but has not yet stated whether he will do so.
Mark Gordon (Wyoming)
Governor Mark Gordon was elected in 2018 with 67.1% of the vote. He is eligible to run for re-election, but has not yet stated whether he will do so.
Retiring and term-limited Republican incumbents
Doug Ducey (Arizona)
Governor Doug Ducey was re-elected to a second term in 2018 with 56% of the vote. He will be term-limited by the Arizona Constitution in 2022 and cannot seek election as governor until 2026.
Potential Republican candidates include Attorney General of Arizona Mark Brnovich,[64] U.S Representative David Schweikert,[65] and State Treasurer of Arizona Kimberly Yee.[66]
Democratic Secretary of State of Arizona Katie Hobbs has said that she's seriously considering a campaign, and has given a decision timetable of early 2021. Other potential Democratic candidates include Arizona House Minority Leader Charlene Fernandez, and U.S Representative Greg Stanton.[67]
Asa Hutchinson (Arkansas)
Governor Asa Hutchinson was re-elected to a second term in 2018 with 65.3% of the vote. He will be term-limited by the Arkansas Constitution in 2022 and cannot seek re-election for a third term. Lieutenant Governor Tim Griffin, former White House Press Secretary and the daughter of former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee Sarah Huckabee Sanders, and Attorney General Leslie Rutledge have announced campaigns.[68][69]
Larry Hogan (Maryland)
Governor Larry Hogan was re-elected to a second term in 2018 with 55.4% of the vote. He will be term-limited by the Maryland Constitution in 2022 and cannot seek election as governor until 2026.
Pete Ricketts (Nebraska)
Governor Pete Ricketts was re-elected to a second term in 2018 with 59% of the vote. He will be term-limited by the Nebraska Constitution in 2022 and cannot seek election as governor until 2026.
Democratic incumbents eligible for re-election
Gavin Newsom (California)
Governor Gavin Newsom was elected in 2018 with 61.9% of the vote. He is eligible to run for re-election, but has not yet stated whether he will do so.
Jared Polis (Colorado)
Governor Jared Polis was elected in 2018 with 53.4% of the vote. He is eligible to run for re-election, but has not yet stated whether he will do so.
Ned Lamont (Connecticut)
Governor Ned Lamont was elected in 2018 with 49.4% of the vote. He is eligible to run for re-election, but has not yet stated whether he will do so. Republican nominee for governor in 2018 Bob Stefanowski may run against Lamont again.[70]
J. B. Pritzker (Illinois)
Governor J. B. Pritzker was elected in 2018 with 54.5% of the vote. He is eligible to run for re-election, but has not yet stated whether he will do so.
Laura Kelly (Kansas)
Governor Laura Kelly was elected in 2018 with 48% of the vote. She plans to run for re-election.[71]
Janet Mills (Maine)
Governor Janet Mills was elected in 2018 with 50.9% of the vote. She is eligible to run for re-election, but has not yet stated whether she will do so. Former Republican governor Paul LePage has announced that he will run again.[72]
Gretchen Whitmer (Michigan)
Governor Gretchen Whitmer was elected in 2018 with 53.3% of the vote. She is eligible to run for re-election, but has not yet stated whether she will do so.
Tim Walz (Minnesota)
Governor Tim Walz was elected in 2018 with 53.8% of the vote. He is eligible to run for re-election, but has not yet stated whether he will do so.
Steve Sisolak (Nevada)
Governor Steve Sisolak was elected in 2018 with 49.4% of the vote. He is eligible to run for re-election, but has not yet stated whether he will do so.
Michelle Lujan Grisham (New Mexico)
Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham was elected in 2018 with 57.2% of the vote. She is eligible to run for re-election, but has not yet stated whether she will do so.
Andrew Cuomo (New York)
Governor Andrew Cuomo was re-elected to a third term in 2018 with 59.6% of the vote. Because New York does not have gubernatorial term limits in its Constitution, he is eligible to run for re-election for a fourth term. On May 28, 2019, Cuomo announced that he would run for re-election for a fourth term in 2022.[33][73]
Tony Evers (Wisconsin)
Governor Tony Evers was elected in 2018 with 49.5% of the vote. He is eligible to run for re-election, but has not yet stated whether he will do so.
Lou Leon Guerrero (Guam)
Governor Lou Leon Guerrero was elected in 2018 with 50.8% of the vote. She is eligible to run for reelection.
Albert Bryan (U.S. Virgin Islands)
Governor Albert Bryan was elected in 2018 with 54.5% of the vote. He is eligible to run for reelection.
Retiring and term-limited Democratic incumbents
David Ige (Hawaii)
Governor David Ige was re-elected to a second term in 2018 with 62.7% of the vote. He will be term-limited from the Hawaii Constitution in 2022 and cannot seek re-election for a third consecutive term.
Kate Brown (Oregon)
Governor Kate Brown took office on February 18, 2015 upon the resignation of John Kitzhaber. She was subsequently elected in the gubernatorial special election in 2016 and was re-elected to a full term in 2018 with 50.1% of the vote. She will be term-limited by the Oregon Constitution in 2022 and cannot seek re-election for another full term until 2026.
Tom Wolf (Pennsylvania)
Governor Tom Wolf was re-elected to a second term in 2018 with 57.8% of the vote. He will be term-limited from the Pennsylvania Constitution in 2022 and will therefore be unable to seek re-election for a third consecutive term. Potential Democratic candidates include former state treasurer Joe Torsella, state attorney general Josh Shapiro and Philadelphia mayor Jim Kenney.[74] Lieutenant Governor John Fetterman is also expected to seek statewide or federal office in 2022.[75][76]
Gina Raimondo (Rhode Island)
Governor Gina Raimondo was re-elected to a second term in 2018 with 52.6% of the vote. She will be term-limited from the Rhode Island Constitution in 2022 and cannot seek re-election for a third consecutive term. She was selected by Joe Biden to serve as the Secretary of Commerce and pending confirmation, will be seated at some point after January 20, 2021.
Notes
- Kay Ivey took office in 2017 after her predecessor (Robert J. Bentley) resigned. She was subsequently elected in the 2018 Alabama gubernatorial election.
- Kim Reynolds took office in 2017 after her predecessor (Terry Branstad) resigned. She was subsequently elected in the 2018 Iowa gubernatorial election.
- Kate Brown took office in 2015 after her predecessor (John Kitzhaber) resigned. She was subsequently elected in the 2016 Oregon gubernatorial special election.
- If confirmed by the Senate to be the new Secretary of Commerce in the Biden Administration, Raimondo will leave her post as governor.
- Henry McMaster took office in 2017 after his predecessor (Nikki Haley) resigned. He was subsequently elected in the 2018 South Carolina gubernatorial election.
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Fetterman is widely expected to run for Senate again...