Next Extremaduran regional election

The next Extremaduran regional election will be held no later than Sunday, 25 June 2023, to elect the 11th Assembly of the autonomous community of Extremadura. All 65 seats in the Assembly will be up for election.

Next Extremaduran regional election

No later than 25 June 2023
All 65 seats in the Assembly of Extremadura 33 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Leader Guillermo Fernández Vara José Antonio Monago Cayetano Polo Party PSOE PP Cs Leader since 20 September 2006 8 November 2008 9 March 2019 Leader's seat Badajoz Badajoz Cáceres Last election 34 seats, 46.8% 20 seats, 27.5% 7 seats, 11.1% Current seats 34 20 7 Seats needed In majority 13 26   Leader Irene de Miguel Party Podemos–IU–eX–Equo Leader since 27 November 2018 Leader's seat Cáceres Last election 4 seats, 7.2% Current seats 4 Seats needed 29
Incumbent President Guillermo Fernández Vara PSOE

Overview

Electoral system

The Assembly of Extremadura is the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Extremadura, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Extremaduran Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1]

Voting for the Assembly is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over eighteen, registered in Extremadura and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Extremadurans abroad are required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish: Voto rogado).[2] The 65 members of the Assembly of Extremadura are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of five percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Parties not reaching the threshold are not taken into consideration for seat distribution. Alternatively, parties failing to reach the threshold in one of the constituencies are also entitled to enter the seat distribution as long as they run candidates in both districts and reach five percent regionally. Seats are allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Badajoz and Cáceres, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 20 seats and the remaining 25 being distributed in proportion to their populations.[1][3]

Election date

The term of the Assembly of Extremadura expires four years after the date of its previous election, unless it is dissolved earlier. The election decree shall be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Journal of Extremadura (DOE), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 26 May 2019, which means that the legislature's term will expire on 26 May 2023. The election decree must be published in the DOE no later than 2 May 2023, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Assembly on Sunday, 25 June 2023.[1][3][4]

The president has the prerogative to dissolve the Assembly of Extremadura and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence is in process and that dissolution does not occur before one year has elapsed since the previous one. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Assembly shall be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[1]

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll. When available, seat projections are also displayed below the voting estimates in a smaller font. 33 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Extremadura.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout						Lead
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 1][p 2]	1 Apr–15 May 2020	?	?	46.8 33	31.6 22	6.1 3	7.3 4	5.4 3	15.2
SyM Consulting[p 3][p 4]	7–9 May 2020	1,496	71.8	44.9 32	28.2 17/18	7.8 4/5	7.0 5/6	9.5 5/6	16.7
November 2019 general election	10 Nov 2019	N/A	67.2	38.3 27	26.0 17	7.6 5	9.1 5	16.8 11	12.3
2019 regional election	26 May 2019	N/A	69.3	46.8 34	27.5 20	11.1 7	7.2 4	4.7 0	19.3

References

Opinion poll sources

1. "EP (17My): Extremadura – Vara mantiene la absoluta. Bajón de Cs, entra Vox". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 May 2020.
2. "MacroPanel Autonómico (17My): 8 gobiernos para PSOE+, 8 para PP+ y 3 para otros+". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 May 2020.
3. "Estimación Mayo 2020. Extremadura. Autonómicas 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 18 May 2020.
4. "EXTREMADURA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 18/05/2020: UNIDAS POR EXTREMADURA 7,0% (5/6), PSOE 44,9% (32), Cs 7,8% (4/5), PP 28,2% (17/18), VOX 9,5% (5/6)". Electograph (in Spanish). 18 May 2020.

Other

1. "Ley Orgánica 1/2011, de 28 de enero, de reforma del Estatuto de Autonomía de la Comunidad Autónoma de Extremadura". Organic Law No. 1 of 28 January 2011. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 17 March 2017.
2. Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
3. "Ley 2/1987, de 16 de marzo, de Elecciones a la Asamblea de Extremadura". Law No. 2 of 16 March 1987. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 17 March 2017.
4. "Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General". Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 January 2020.