2014 United States Senate election in Oregon
The 2014 United States Senate election in Oregon took place on November 4, 2014 to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Oregon, concurrently with the election of the Governor of Oregon, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
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 County results Merkley: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Wehby: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Oregon |
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Incumbent Democratic Senator Jeff Merkley successfully ran for reelection to a second term, winning by almost 20 percentage points, despite it being a national midterm Republican wave.[1] Primary elections were held on May 20, 2014. Merkley easily won the Democratic nomination, while the Republicans nominated pediatric neurosurgeon Monica Wehby. Initially, the race was considered potentially competitive, but Wehby's campaign collapsed after she faced multiple allegations of stalking and harassment from former partners, and was found to have plagiarized portions of her campaign website.[2]
Background
Democrat Jeff Merkley, the Speaker of the Oregon House of Representatives, had narrowly defeated two-term Republican incumbent Gordon H. Smith with 49% of the vote in 2008.
Democratic primary
Declared
- William Bryk, attorney from New York and perennial candidate[3]
- Pavel Goberman, fitness instructor and perennial candidate[4]
- Jeff Merkley, incumbent Senator[1]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jeff Merkley (incumbent) | 277,120 | 92.04% | |
| Democratic | William Bryk | 11,330 | 3.76% | |
| Democratic | Pavel Goberman | 8,436 | 2.81% | |
| write-ins | 4,194 | 1.39% | ||
| Total votes | 301,080 | 100.00% | ||
Republican primary
Results by county:
Monica Wehby
Jason Conger
Declared
- Mark Callahan, information technology consultant and perennial candidate[6]
- Jason Conger, state representative[7]
- Tim Crawley, attorney[8]
- Jo Rae Perkins, former Chairwoman of the Linn County Republican Party and candidate for Mayor of Albany in 2010[6]
- Monica Wehby, pediatric neurosurgeon[9]
Withdrew
- Sam Carpenter, businessman[10]
Declined
- Bruce Hanna, state representative[11]
- Rick Miller, owner and founder of Avamere[12]
- Gordon H. Smith, former U.S. Senator[13]
- Greg Walden, U.S. Representative and Chairman of the National Republican Congressional Committee[14]
Endorsements
Jason Conger
- Individuals
- Rick Santorum, former U.S. Representative and former U.S. Senator (R-PA) and candidate for president in 2012[15]
- Organizations
- Newspapers
Monica Wehby
- Individuals
- Ben Carson, retired surgeon and conservative activist
- Newt Gingrich, former Speaker of the United States House of Representatives[18]
- Mitt Romney, former governor of Massachusetts and nominee for President in 2012[19]
- Newspapers
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mark Callahan |
Jason Conger |
Tim Crawley |
Jo Rae Perkins |
Monica Wehby |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benenson Strategy Group | April 14–17, 2014 | 410 | ± ? | — | 24% | — | — | 22% | 55% |
| Wenzel Strategies | May 1–4, 2014 | 607 | ± ? | 4% | 22.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 42.9% | 25.5% |
| Public Opinion Strategies | May 12–13, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.38% | 2% | 24% | 2% | 2% | 41% | 26% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Monica Wehby | 134,627 | 49.96% | |
| Republican | Jason Conger | 101,401 | 37.63% | |
| Republican | Mark Callahan | 18,220 | 6.76% | |
| Republican | Jo Rae Perkins | 7,602 | 2.82% | |
| Republican | Tim Crawley | 6,566 | 2.44% | |
| write-ins | 1,027 | 0.39% | ||
| Total votes | 266,438 | 100.00% | ||
Independents
The filing deadline for independent candidates is August 26, 2014. In order to qualify, a candidate must submit 17,893 signatures of registered voters or obtain signatures from at least 1,000 electors at a valid assembly of electors.[21]
Declared
- Karl King, massage therapist[22]
General election
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 14, 2014
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[23] | Likely D | November 3, 2014 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Likely D | November 3, 2014 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[25] | Likely D | November 3, 2014 |
| Real Clear Politics[26] | Likely D | November 3, 2014 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jeff Merkley (D) |
Monica Wehby (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Polling | April 1–2, 2014 | 670 | ± 3.91% | 46% | 34% | — | 20% |
| Benenson Strategy Group | April 14–17, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 52% | 32% | — | 16% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 21–22, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 47% | 37% | 5% | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 22–27, 2014 | 956 | ± 3.2% | 50% | 36% | — | 15% |
| The Tarrance Group* | June 1–3, 2014 | 615 | ± 4.1% | 41% | 39% | 9%[27] | 11% |
| SurveyUSA | June 5–9, 2014 | 560 | ± 4.2% | 50% | 32% | 9% | 9% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | July 5–24, 2014 | 2,088 | ± 2.6% | 53% | 39% | 1% | 7% |
| SurveyUSA | August 1–5, 2014 | 564 | ± 4.2% | 52% | 33% | 7% | 9% |
| Moore Information^ | August 5–9, 2014 | 500 | ± 4% | 47% | 38% | — | 16% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | August 18 – September 2, 2014 | 1,541 | ± 4% | 51% | 39% | 1% | 9% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 2–3, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 48% | 35% | 5% | 12% |
| Polling Company/WomanTrend | September 9–11, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 42% | 34% | 7%[28] | 14% |
| SurveyUSA | September 22–24, 2014 | 568 | ± 4.2% | 52% | 32% | 8% | 8% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | September 20 – October 1, 2014 | 1,508 | ± 3% | 52% | 39% | 1% | 8% |
| DHM Research | October 2014 | ? | ± 4.3% | 47% | 26% | 6% | 19% |
| SurveyUSA | October 16–19, 2014 | 561 | ± 4.2% | 53% | 32% | 7% | 8% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 1,421 | ± 4% | 51% | 39% | 1% | 9% |
| SurveyUSA | October 23–27, 2014 | 552 | ± 4.3% | 53% | 32% | 8% | 6% |
| Elway Research | October 26–27, 2014 | 403 | ± 5% | 49% | 30% | 3%[29] | 18% |
- ^ Internal poll for Dennis Richardson campaign
- * Internal poll for Monica Wehby campaign
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jeff Merkley (incumbent) | 814,537 | 55.73% | +6.83% | |
| Republican | Monica Wehby | 538,847 | 36.87% | -8.68% | |
| Libertarian | Mike Monchalin | 44,916 | 3.07% | N/A | |
| Pacific Green | Christina Jean Lugo | 32,434 | 2.22% | N/A | |
| Constitution | James E. Leuenberger | 24,212 | 1.66% | -3.58% | |
| n/a | Write-ins | 6,672 | 0.45% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 1,461,618 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
See also
References
- Pope, Charles (April 16, 2012). "Oregon's Jeff Merkley raises money early to fight Senate opponents in 2014". The Oregonian. Retrieved December 12, 2012.
- Staver, Anna (November 4, 2014). "Sen. Jeff Merkley decisively defeats Monica Wehby". Statesman Journal.
- Jaquiss, Nigel (March 6, 2014). "New Yorker Files to Run Against Merkley In May Primary". Willamette Week. Retrieved March 12, 2014.
- Joanna Evoniuk and Scott Reynolds (September 13, 2013). "Four Challenge Merkley's U.S. Senate Seat For 2014 Election". Lane Today. Retrieved October 11, 2013.
- "May 20, 2014 Primary Election Abstract of Votes: United States Senator" (PDF). Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved June 26, 2014.
- McInally, Mike (August 16, 2013). "Jo Rae Perkins of Albany announces bid for U.S. Senate". Albany Democrat-Herald. Retrieved August 19, 2013.
- Mapes, Jeff (October 10, 2013). "Jason Conger sets U.S. Senate announcement for Tuesday in Oregon City and Bend". Oregon Live. Retrieved October 14, 2013.
- Mapes, Jeff (November 4, 2013). "GOP hits Jeff Merkley on Obamacare as new Republican enters Senate race: Oregon politics today". The Oregonian. Retrieved November 4, 2013.
- Gaston, Christian (October 29, 2013). "Portland doctor Monica Wehby will seek to unseat Democrat Jeff Merkley". The Oregonian. Retrieved October 30, 2013.
- Mapes, Jeff (November 4, 2013). "Sam Carpenter drops out of GOP primary for U.S. Senate race in favor of Jason Conger". The Oregonian. Retrieved November 4, 2013.
- "Bruce Hanna decides not to run for re-election -- or, for now, another seat: Oregon politics today". Oregon Live. September 20, 2013.
- Mapes, Jeff (November 29, 2012). "Is Senate GOP trying to recruit a challenger to Jeff Merkley through news media?". The Oregonian. Retrieved December 12, 2012.
- "Gordon Smith finds happiness in private sector, has no plans to seek office". Oregon Live. August 6, 2012.
- "Republicans Pick Walden as New NRCC Chairman". Roll Call. November 14, 2012.
- "Rick Santorum endorses Jason Conger, praising his opposition to gay marriage and abortion". Oregon Live. May 14, 2014. Retrieved May 15, 2014.
- "U.S. Senate Jason Conger Republican Primary". Willamette Week. April 30, 2014. Archived from the original on May 2, 2014. Retrieved May 2, 2014.
- "Conger best Republican to take on Merkley". Statesman Journal. May 10, 2014. Retrieved May 15, 2014.
- "Newt Gingrich provides Monica Wehby with another out-of-state endorsement in Senate race". OregonLive.com. April 29, 2014. Retrieved July 26, 2014.
- "Mitt Romney joins national GOP figures in endorsing Monica Wehby in Oregon Senate race". OregonLive.com. Retrieved July 26, 2014.
- "Oregon's Republicans should vote for Monica Wehby: Editorial endorsement". April 26, 2014. Retrieved May 2, 2014.
- "Ballot access requirements for political candidates in Oregon". Ballotpedia. Retrieved March 12, 2014.
- Reynolds, Scott (January 31, 2014). "U.S. Senate Candidate Profile: Karl King". Lane Today. Retrieved March 12, 2014.
- "2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- "2014 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- "2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- Karl King (I) 5%, Mike Montchalin (L) 4%
- Christina Lugo (G) 4%, Mike Montchalin (L) 3%
- Christina Lugo (G) 1%, Mike Montchalin (L) 2%
- "November 4, 2014, General Election, Official Abstract of Votes: US Senator" (PDF). Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved December 6, 2014.
External links
- Official campaign websites (Archived)
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