2016 United States presidential election in Georgia

The 2016 United States presidential election in Georgia was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Georgia voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Georgia has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

2016 United States presidential election in Georgia

November 8, 2016
Turnout	55.7%[1] 2.4 pp
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Party Republican Democratic Home state New York New York Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine Electoral vote 16 0 Popular vote 2,089,104 1,877,963 Percentage 50.44% 45.35%
County Results Trump   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90% Clinton   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%
President before election Barack Obama Democratic Elected President Donald Trump Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county.

Trump won Georgia by 5.1%, a lower margin compared to Mitt Romney's 7.82% in 2012 and even John McCain's 5.20% in 2008. Clinton received 45.35% of the vote, making this a state where she performed slightly worse than Barack Obama's 45.48% in 2012.[3] Nevertheless, Trump's reduced margin of victory also made Georgia one of eleven states (plus the District of Columbia) to vote more Democratic in 2016 than in 2012.[4] The Atlanta metropolitan area in particular shifted strongly Democratic compared to 2012, with Clinton becoming the first Democrat to win Henry County since 1980, and the first Democrat to win Gwinnett County and Cobb County since 1976, when Georgia native Jimmy Carter won all of the state's counties. This is the most recent election in which a Republican won Georgia's electoral votes, as this trend would be narrowly bucked by Joe Biden four years later.[5]

Background

The incumbent President of the United States, Barack Obama, a Democrat and former U.S. Senator from Illinois, was first elected president in the 2008 election, running with former Senator Joe Biden of Delaware. Defeating the Republican nominee, Senator John McCain of Arizona, with 52.9% of the popular vote and 68% of the electoral vote,[6][7] Obama succeeded two-term Republican President George W. Bush, the former Governor of Texas. Obama and Biden were reelected in the 2012 presidential election, defeating former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney with 51.1% of the popular vote and 61.7% of electoral votes.[8] Although Barack Obama's approval rating in the RealClearPolitics poll tracking average remained between 40 and 50% for most of his second term, it has experienced a surge in early 2016 and reached its highest point since 2012 during June of that year.[9][10] Analyst Nate Cohn has noted that a strong approval rating for Barack Obama would equate to a strong performance for the Democratic candidate, and vice versa.[11]

Following his second term, President Obama was not eligible for another reelection. In October 2015, Obama's running-mate and two-term Vice President Biden decided not to enter the race for the Democratic presidential nomination either.[12] With Obama and Biden's terms expiring on January 20, 2017, the electorate was asked to elect a new president, the 45th president and 48th vice president of the United States, respectively.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Results of the Democratic primary by county.

  Hillary Clinton

  Bernie Sanders

Four candidates appeared on the ballot:

• Bernie Sanders
• Hillary Clinton
• Martin O'Malley (withdrew)
• Michael Steinberg

 2016 Democratic Party's presidential nominating process in Georgia
– Summary of results –

Candidate	Popular vote		Estimated delegates
	Count	Percentage	Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Hillary Clinton	545,674	71.30%	73	11	84
Bernie Sanders	215,797	28.20%	29	0	29
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)	2,129	0.28%
Michael Steinberg	1,766	0.23%
Uncommitted	N/A		0	4	4
Total	765,366	100%	102	15	117
Source: The Green Papers

Republican primary

2016 Georgia Republican primary

March 1, 2016

Candidate Donald Trump Marco Rubio Ted Cruz Home state New York Florida Texas Delegate count 42 16 18   Candidate Ben Carson John Kasich Home state Maryland Ohio Delegate count 0 0

Georgia results by county   Donald Trump   Marco Rubio

The 76 Republican delegates from Georgia were allocated in this way. There were 42 delegates allocated by congressional district; if a candidate received a majority of votes or they were the only candidate to receive at least 20% of the vote in a congressional district, they would receive the districts 3 delegates. If not, the candidate who won the plurality of the vote in a congressional district would receive 2 delegates and the second-place finisher in the district would receive 1 delegate. There were also 34 at-large delegates; if a candidate got a majority of the vote or they were the only candidate to get the mandatory threshold to receive any delegates (begins at 20%, if no one gets at least 20%, then 15%, if no one gets 15%, then 10%), they would get all of the state's at-large delegates. If not, the delegates would be allocated proportionally among the candidates receiving at least the mandatory threshold.[13]

Georgia Republican primary, March 1, 2016
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Bound	Unbound	Total
Donald Trump	502,994	38.81%	42	0	42
Marco Rubio	316,836	24.45%	16	0	16
Ted Cruz	305,847	23.60%	18	0	18
Ben Carson	80,723	6.23%	0	0	0
John Kasich	72,508	5.59%	0	0	0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)	7,686	0.59%	0	0	0
Rand Paul (withdrawn)	2,910	0.22%	0	0	0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)	2,625	0.20%	0	0	0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)	1,486	0.11%	0	0	0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)	1,146	0.09%	0	0	0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)	539	0.04%	0	0	0
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn)	428	0.03%	0	0	0
George Pataki (withdrawn)	236	0.02%	0	0	0
Unprojected delegates:			0	0	0
Total:	1,295,964	100.00%	76	0	76
Source: The Green Papers

Green convention

On June 4, the Georgia Green Party held its state convention and presidential preference vote.[14]

Georgia Green Party Convention, June 4, 2016.
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	National delegates
Jill Stein	-	-	3
William Kreml	-	-	1
Sedinam Kinamo Christin Moyowasifza Curry	-	-	-
Kent Mesplay	-	-	-
Darryl Cherney	-	-	-
Total	-	-	4

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
ABC News[15]	Tossup	November 7, 2016
CNN[16]	Lean R	November 4, 2016
Cook Political Report[17]	Lean R	November 7, 2016
Electoral-vote.com[18]	Lean R	November 7, 2016
Los Angeles Times[19]	Lean R	November 6, 2016
NBC[20]	Tossup	November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics[21]	Tossup	November 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22]	Likely R	November 7, 2016

Polling

Throughout the campaign, Republican Donald Trump won the vast majority of pre-election polls. The average of the last three polls showed Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton 50% to 46%, which was accurate compared to the results.[23]

Statewide results

The voting age population was 7,168,068, of which 5,443,046, were registered to vote. Turnout for the presidential election was 4,146,825, which is 57.85% of the voting age population and 76.19% of registered voters.

Seventeen candidates received write-in votes, of which the large majority (13,017) went to Evan McMullin.

2016 United States presidential election in Georgia
Party		Candidate	Running mate	Votes	Percentage	Electoral votes
	Republican	Donald Trump	Mike Pence	2,089,104	50.44%	16
	Democratic	Hillary Clinton	Tim Kaine	1,877,963	45.35%	0
	Libertarian	Gary Johnson	William Weld	125,306	3.03%	0
	Independent (write-in votes)	Evan McMullin	Nathan Johnson	13,017	0.31%	0
	Others / Write-In Votes	-	-	41,314	0.99%	0
Totals				4,146,825	100.00%	16
Source: David Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections

By county

County	Clinton%	Clinton#	Trump%	Trump#	Others%	Others#	Total
Appling	20.47%	1,434	78.43%	5,494	1.10%	77	7,005
Atkinson	26.70%	697	71.95%	1,878	1.34%	35	2,610
Bacon	15.13%	608	83.70%	3,364	1.17%	47	4,019
Baker	45.14%	650	53.82%	775	1.04%	15	1,440
Baldwin	49.55%	7,970	47.85%	7,697	2.60%	419	16,086
Banks	9.84%	684	88.26%	6,134	1.90%	132	6,950
Barrow	22.82%	6,580	73.21%	21,108	3.96%	1,143	28,831
Bartow	20.89%	8,212	76.10%	29,911	3.01%	1,183	39,306
Ben Hill	35.42%	2,101	63.04%	3,739	1.53%	91	5,931
Berrien	15.90%	1,047	82.35%	5,422	1.75%	115	6,584
Bibb	59.07%	36,787	38.61%	24,043	2.32%	1,447	62,277
Bleckley	22.27%	1,101	75.24%	3,719	2.49%	123	4,943
Brantley	9.84%	619	88.48%	5,567	1.68%	106	6,292
Brooks	40.01%	2,528	58.58%	3,701	1.41%	89	6,318
Bryan	26.61%	4,014	69.80%	10,529	3.59%	542	15,085
Bulloch	36.68%	9,261	59.79%	15,097	3.53%	890	25,248
Burke	50.59%	4,731	48.03%	4,491	1.38%	129	9,351
Butts	27.08%	2,566	70.88%	6,717	2.05%	194	9,477
Calhoun	58.22%	1,179	40.99%	830	0.79%	16	2,025
Camden	31.43%	5,930	65.24%	12,310	3.33%	629	18,869
Candler	27.27%	1,026	70.79%	2,664	1.94%	73	3,763
Carroll	28.43%	12,464	68.50%	30,029	3.07%	1,346	43,839
Catoosa	17.98%	4,771	78.69%	20,876	3.32%	881	26,528
Charlton	25.04%	1,004	73.61%	2,951	1.35%	54	4,009
Chatham	55.87%	62,290	40.98%	45,688	3.14%	3,503	111,481
Chattahoochee	42.73%	594	54.03%	751	3.24%	45	1,390
Chattooga	19.55%	1,613	78.31%	6,462	2.14%	177	8,252
Cherokee	22.75%	25,231	72.73%	80,649	4.52%	5,015	110,895
Clarke	66.77%	29,603	28.68%	12,717	4.55%	2,019	44,339
Clay	54.84%	697	44.53%	566	0.63%	8	1,271
Clayton	84.55%	78,220	13.67%	12,645	1.78%	1,647	92,512
Clinch	28.03%	686	70.58%	1,727	1.39%	34	2,447
Cobb	48.89%	160,121	46.69%	152,912	4.42%	14,466	327,499
Coffee	29.42%	4,094	68.90%	9,588	1.67%	233	13,915
Colquitt	25.46%	3,463	72.77%	9,898	1.76%	240	13,601
Columbia	29.40%	18,887	67.07%	43,085	3.53%	2,270	64,242
Cook	29.02%	1,753	69.13%	4,176	1.85%	112	6,041
Coweta	27.03%	16,583	69.33%	42,533	3.64%	2,235	61,351
Crawford	27.53%	1,421	70.42%	3,635	2.05%	106	5,162
Crisp	37.77%	2,837	60.56%	4,549	1.68%	126	7,512
Dade	15.46%	965	80.92%	5,051	3.62%	226	6,242
Dawson	12.37%	1,448	84.59%	9,900	3.04%	356	11,704
Decatur	40.16%	4,124	58.62%	6,020	1.23%	126	10,270
DeKalb	80.44%	251,370	16.47%	51,468	3.09%	9,666	312,504
Dodge	26.28%	1,839	71.75%	5,021	1.97%	138	6,998
Dooly	48.51%	1,872	50.56%	1,951	0.93%	36	3,859
Dougherty	68.53%	23,311	30.08%	10,232	1.40%	475	34,018
Douglas	54.00%	31,005	43.22%	24,817	2.78%	1,594	57,416
Early	45.31%	2,168	53.33%	2,552	1.36%	65	4,785
Echols	13.27%	156	85.63%	1,007	1.11%	13	1,176
Effingham	20.73%	4,853	76.37%	17,874	2.90%	679	23,406
Elbert	31.86%	2,539	66.40%	5,292	1.74%	139	7,970
Emanuel	31.04%	2,435	68.01%	5,335	0.96%	75	7,845
Evans	31.37%	1,130	66.74%	2,404	1.89%	68	3,602
Fannin	16.33%	1,923	81.79%	9,632	1.89%	222	11,777
Fayette	38.53%	23,284	57.99%	35,048	3.48%	2,103	60,435
Floyd	26.66%	9,159	70.19%	24,114	3.16%	1,084	34,357
Forsyth	24.09%	23,462	71.71%	69,851	4.20%	4,091	97,404
Franklin	14.67%	1,243	83.24%	7,054	2.09%	177	8,474
Fulton	68.99%	297,051	27.35%	117,783	3.66%	15,765	430,599
Gilmer	15.43%	1,965	82.27%	10,477	2.30%	293	12,735
Glascock	9.93%	138	88.85%	1,235	1.22%	17	1,390
Glynn	34.52%	11,775	63.06%	21,512	2.42%	825	34,112
Gordon	16.85%	3,181	80.47%	15,191	2.69%	507	18,879
Grady	32.75%	3,013	65.79%	6,053	1.47%	135	9,201
Greene	36.19%	3,199	62.10%	5,490	1.71%	151	8,840
Gwinnett	51.02%	166,153	45.14%	146,989	3.84%	12,494	325,636
Habersham	15.39%	2,483	81.75%	13,190	2.86%	461	16,134
Hall	23.04%	16,180	73.67%	51,733	3.29%	2,307	70,220
Hancock	75.45%	2,701	23.55%	843	1.01%	36	3,580
Haralson	13.03%	1,475	84.64%	9,585	2.33%	264	11,324
Harris	24.91%	4,086	72.78%	11,936	2.31%	379	16,401
Hart	25.64%	2,585	72.28%	7,286	2.07%	209	10,080
Heard	17.67%	743	80.12%	3,370	2.21%	93	4,206
Henry	50.93%	50,057	46.52%	45,724	2.55%	2,505	98,286
Houston	37.75%	22,553	59.30%	35,430	2.95%	1,761	59,744
Irwin	24.31%	891	74.11%	2,716	1.58%	58	3,665
Jackson	16.57%	4,491	80.36%	21,784	3.08%	834	27,109
Jasper	25.64%	1,544	72.39%	4,360	1.98%	119	6,023
Jeff Davis	17.70%	901	80.61%	4,104	1.69%	86	5,091
Jefferson	54.95%	3,821	44.05%	3,063	1.01%	70	6,954
Jenkins	36.80%	1,123	62.09%	1,895	1.11%	34	3,052
Johnson	30.85%	1,136	68.41%	2,519	0.73%	27	3,682
Jones	31.62%	3,961	66.30%	8,305	2.08%	260	12,526
Lamar	29.92%	2,270	68.42%	5,190	1.66%	126	7,586
Lanier	28.15%	806	69.30%	1,984	2.55%	73	2,863
Laurens	34.67%	6,752	63.72%	12,411	1.61%	313	19,476
Lee	22.46%	3,170	75.42%	10,646	2.12%	299	14,115
Liberty	59.29%	9,556	38.06%	6,134	2.65%	427	16,117
Lincoln	31.03%	1,273	67.26%	2,759	1.71%	70	4,102
Long	33.03%	1,360	63.78%	2,626	3.18%	131	4,117
Lowndes	40.03%	15,064	57.50%	21,635	2.47%	929	37,628
Lumpkin	18.00%	2,220	77.99%	9,619	4.01%	495	12,334
Macon	63.10%	2,705	35.92%	1,540	0.98%	42	4,287
Madison	20.29%	2,425	76.97%	9,201	2.74%	328	11,954
Marion	38.11%	1,213	60.35%	1,921	1.54%	49	3,183
McDuffie	39.91%	3,699	58.61%	5,432	1.48%	137	9,268
McIntosh	39.01%	2,303	59.07%	3,487	1.91%	113	5,903
Meriwether	41.39%	3,804	56.82%	5,222	1.80%	165	9,191
Miller	24.49%	623	74.33%	1,891	1.18%	30	2,544
Mitchell	44.41%	3,493	54.41%	4,279	1.18%	93	7,865
Monroe	28.15%	3,571	69.61%	8,832	2.24%	284	12,687
Montgomery	23.78%	847	74.96%	2,670	1.26%	45	3,562
Morgan	28.21%	2,663	69.48%	6,559	2.31%	218	9,440
Murray	14.49%	1,800	83.23%	10,341	2.28%	283	12,424
Muscogee	58.04%	39,851	39.29%	26,976	2.67%	1,831	68,658
Newton	50.09%	21,943	47.74%	20,913	2.16%	947	43,803
Oconee	28.00%	5,581	67.36%	13,425	4.64%	925	19,931
Oglethorpe	27.51%	1,831	69.50%	4,625	2.99%	199	6,655
Paulding	27.88%	18,025	69.09%	44,662	3.02%	1,954	64,641
Peach	47.56%	5,100	50.48%	5,413	1.97%	211	10,724
Pickens	14.15%	1,979	83.32%	11,651	2.53%	354	13,984
Pierce	12.37%	903	86.35%	6,302	1.27%	93	7,298
Pike	14.28%	1,240	83.84%	7,278	1.88%	163	8,681
Polk	20.23%	2,867	77.73%	11,014	2.04%	289	14,170
Pulaski	30.68%	1,104	67.71%	2,437	1.61%	58	3,599
Putnam	29.12%	2,758	69.09%	6,544	1.79%	170	9,472
Quitman	44.16%	461	55.08%	575	0.77%	8	1,044
Rabun	18.16%	1,444	79.08%	6,287	2.75%	219	7,950
Randolph	55.16%	1,598	43.87%	1,271	0.97%	28	2,897
Richmond	65.01%	48,814	32.58%	24,461	2.41%	1,811	75,086
Rockdale	61.76%	23,255	35.79%	13,478	2.45%	923	37,656
Schley	21.01%	401	77.11%	1,472	1.89%	36	1,909
Screven	40.36%	2,300	57.99%	3,305	1.65%	94	5,699
Seminole	33.19%	1,189	65.47%	2,345	1.34%	48	3,582
Spalding	36.55%	9,357	61.12%	15,646	2.33%	597	25,600
Stephens	18.81%	1,837	78.70%	7,686	2.49%	243	9,766
Stewart	59.46%	1,222	39.17%	805	1.36%	28	2,055
Sumter	50.30%	5,520	48.08%	5,276	1.62%	178	10,974
Talbot	61.71%	2,002	36.87%	1,196	1.42%	46	3,244
Taliaferro	60.76%	545	38.91%	349	0.33%	3	897
Tattnall	24.41%	1,681	74.01%	5,096	1.58%	109	6,886
Taylor	38.06%	1,296	60.62%	2,064	1.32%	45	3,405
Telfair	34.60%	1,313	64.56%	2,450	0.84%	32	3,795
Terrell	54.22%	2,267	44.82%	1,874	0.96%	40	4,181
Thomas	38.12%	7,142	59.92%	11,228	1.96%	368	18,738
Tift	30.67%	4,347	67.61%	9,584	1.72%	244	14,175
Toombs	25.66%	2,338	72.60%	6,615	1.73%	158	9,111
Towns	17.96%	1,210	79.88%	5,383	2.17%	146	6,739
Treutlen	31.89%	862	66.93%	1,809	1.18%	32	2,703
Troup	37.32%	9,713	60.52%	15,750	2.16%	561	26,024
Turner	36.71%	1,246	61.73%	2,095	1.56%	53	3,394
Twiggs	48.59%	1,971	50.17%	2,035	1.23%	50	4,056
Union	16.30%	1,963	81.80%	9,852	1.90%	229	12,044
Upson	31.78%	3,475	66.69%	7,292	1.53%	167	10,934
Walker	17.59%	4,215	79.10%	18,950	3.30%	791	23,956
Walton	20.49%	8,292	76.91%	31,125	2.61%	1,055	40,472
Ware	28.29%	3,440	70.01%	8,513	1.69%	206	12,159
Warren	56.32%	1,314	42.48%	991	1.20%	28	2,333
Washington	49.72%	4,200	49.12%	4,149	1.16%	98	8,447
Wayne	19.65%	2,041	78.50%	8,153	1.85%	192	10,386
Webster	42.38%	473	56.45%	630	1.16%	13	1,116
Wheeler	30.73%	646	67.60%	1,421	1.67%	35	2,102
White	14.21%	1,674	82.84%	9,761	2.95%	348	11,783
Whitfield	26.11%	7,937	70.85%	21,537	3.04%	924	30,398
Wilcox	28.66%	852	70.50%	2,096	0.84%	25	2,973
Wilkes	41.28%	1,848	57.45%	2,572	1.27%	57	4,477
Wilkinson	44.27%	1,894	54.53%	2,333	1.19%	51	4,278
Worth	24.40%	2,020	74.30%	6,152	1.30%	108	8,280

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Baker (largest city: Newton)
• Dooly (largest city: Vienna)
• Early (largest city: Blakely)
• Peach (largest city: Fort Valley)
• Quitman (largest city: Georgetown)
• Twiggs (largest city: Jeffersonville)

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• Cobb (largest city: Marietta)
• Gwinnett (largest city: Peachtree Corners)
• Henry (largest city: Stockbridge)

By congressional district

Trump won 10 of 14 congressional districts.[24]

District	Trump	Clinton	Representative
1st	56%	41%	Buddy Carter
2nd	43%	55%	Sanford Bishop
3rd	64%	33%	Lynn Westmoreland
			Drew Ferguson
4th	22%	75%	Hank Johnson
5th	12%	85%	John Lewis
6th	48%	47%	Tom Price
7th	51%	45%	Rob Woodall
8th	63%	34%	Austin Scott
9th	78%	19%	Doug Collins
10th	61%	36%	Jody Hice
11th	60%	35%	Barry Loudermilk
12th	57%	41%	Rick W. Allen
13th	27%	71%	David Scott
14th	75%	22%	Tom Graves

See also

• 2016 Democratic Party presidential debates and forums
• 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2016 Republican Party presidential debates and forums
• 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries

References

1. ("Official 2016 Presidential General Election Results" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. December 2017. Retrieved December 19, 2020.) ("Voting and Registration in the Election of November 2016". United States Census Bureau. May 2017. Retrieved December 19, 2020.)
2. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved November 25, 2020.
3. "Georgia Election Results 2016 – The New York Times". Retrieved November 10, 2016.
4. "2016 Presidential General Election Data - National". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections. Retrieved May 11, 2019.
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External links

• RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process
• Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions
• Decision Desk Headquarter Results for Georgia