2016 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania Republican primary, April 26, 2016
	Source: The Green Papers

2016 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania
	November 8, 2016
	November 8, 2016
Trump 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%	Clinton 40–50% 50–60% 80–90%
President before election; Barack Obama; Democratic	Elected President ; Donald Trump; Republican

The 2016 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania took place on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States elections in which all 50 states and the District of Columbia participated. Pennsylvania voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote.

Treemap of the popular vote by county.

On April 26, 2016, in the presidential primaries, voters selected the Democratic, Republican, and Green parties' respective nominees for president. Pennsylvania is a closed primary state, meaning voters must have been previously registered with a particular political party in order to vote for one of that parties' candidates, to participate in their respective party primary.[1] The Republican party candidate was Donald Trump, who won Pennsylvania by 44,292 votes out of more than 6,000,000 cast, a difference of 0.72% and the narrowest margin in a presidential election for the state in 176 years, since 1840 when William Henry Harrison defeated Martin Van Buren by just 0.12%.

Prior to the election, Pennsylvania was expected to be close as polling showed the results within the margin of error, but many election experts viewed that Clinton had an edge.[2][3] However, on Election Day, Pennsylvania swung to Donald Trump. Trump carried 56 of the state's 67 counties, predominantly rural or suburban counties, while Clinton carried much of the Philadelphia metropolitan area as well as other cities including Pittsburgh, Harrisburg and Scranton. Nonetheless, some areas of traditional Democratic strength such as Luzerne County, where Wilkes-Barre is located, saw swings in margins of up to 25% toward Donald Trump, making him the first Republican candidate for president to win Pennsylvania since George H. W. Bush in 1988. 2016 would also be the first presidential election in which Pennsylvania voted to the right of the nation since 1948. Pennsylvania's vote for Donald Trump marked the fall of the Democratic Blue Wall, a block of over 240 electoral votes that voted solidly Democratic from 1992 to 2012.

Pennsylvania was one of the eleven states to have voted twice for Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996 which Hillary Clinton lost in 2016. Although Wisconsin eventually delivered the Trump victory, when the Clinton campaign learned that they had lost Pennsylvania they then knew that they had lost the election.[4] Trump became the first Republican ever to win the White House without carrying Chester County, and the first Republican to win Pennsylvania without carrying any of Philadelphia's suburban counties.

Primaries

Democratic primary

Results of the Democratic primary by county.

Hillary Clinton

Bernie Sanders

Pennsylvania Democratic primary, April 26, 2016
Candidate	Popular vote		Estimated delegates
Candidate	Count	Percentage	Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Hillary Clinton	935,107	55.61%	106	20	126
Bernie Sanders	731,881	43.53%	83	0	83
Rocky De La Fuente	14,439	0.86%	0	0	0
Total	1,681,427	100%	189	20	209
Source: The Green Papers, Pennsylvania State Elections Official Results

Republican primary

Republican primary results by county.

Donald Trump

Green Party

Pennsylvania held a series of caucuses throughout April, culminating with a meeting on April 30 in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, where delegates were assigned.[5][6]

Democratic National Convention

From July 25 to July 28, 2016, Philadelphia hosted the 2016 Democratic National Convention. It was held at the Wells Fargo Center with ancillary meetings at the Pennsylvania Convention Center. Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton was elected as the party's nominee for president by a 59.67% majority of delegates present at the convention roll call, defeating primary rival Senator Bernie Sanders, who received 39.16% of votes from delegates, and becoming the first female candidate to be formally nominated by a major national party as a presidential candidate in the United States. Her running mate, Senator Tim Kaine, the junior United States Senator from Virginia was chosen by delegates as the party's nominee for vice president by acclamation.

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
CNN[7]	Lean D	November 4, 2016
Cook Political Report[8]	Lean D	November 7, 2016
Electoral-vote.com[9]	Lean D	November 6, 2016
NBC[10]	Lean D	November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics[11]	Tossup	November 6, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12]	Lean D	November 7, 2016

Statewide results

2016 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania
Party		Candidate	Running mate	Votes	Percentage	Electoral votes
	Republican	Donald Trump	Mike Pence	2,970,733	48.18%	20
	Democratic	Hillary Clinton	Tim Kaine	2,926,441	47.46%	0
	Libertarian	Gary Johnson	William Weld	146,715	2.38%	0
	Green	Jill Stein	Ajamu Baraka	49,941	0.81%	0
	Constitution	Darrell Castle	Scott Bradley	21,572	0.35%	0
	Independent (write-in)	Evan McMullin	Mindy Finn	6,472	0.10%	0
	Democratic (write-in)	Bernie Sanders	None	6,060	0.10%	0
	Republican (write-in)	John Kasich	None	302	0.00%	0
	Independent (write-in)	Lynn Kahn	Kathy Monahan	3	0.00%	0
Totals				6,165,478	100.00%	20
Voter turnout (Voting age population)						60.27%
Source: Federal Election Commission

By congressional district

Trump won 12 of 18 congressional districts, including the 17th district which elected a Democrat.[13]

District	Trump	Clinton	Representative
1	18%	80%	Bob Brady
2	8%	90%	Chaka Fattah
2	8%	90%	Dwight Evans
3	61%	35%	Mike Kelly
4	59%	37%	Scott Perry
5	62%	34%	Glenn Thompson
6	48%	48%	Ryan Costello
7	47%	49%	Patrick Meehan
8	48%	48%	Mike Fitzpatrick
8	48%	48%	Brian Fitzpatrick
9	70%	27%	Bill Shuster
10	66%	30%	Tom Marino
11	60%	36%	Lou Barletta
12	59%	38%	Keith Rothfus
13	32%	65%	Brendan Boyle
14	31%	66%	Mike Doyle
15	52%	44%	Charlie Dent
16	51%	44%	Joe Pitts
16	51%	44%	Lloyd Smucker
17	53%	43%	Matt Cartwright
18	58%	39%	Tim Murphy

By county

County[14]	Donald John Trump Republican		Hillary Rodham Clinton Democratic		Gary Earl Johnson Libertarian		Jill Ellen Stein Green		Darrell Lane Castle Constitution		Margin		Total votes cast
County[14]	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	Total votes cast
Adams	31,423	66.17%	14,219	29.94%	1,251	2.63%	405	0.85%	191	0.40%	17,204	36.23%	47,489
Allegheny	259,480	39.91%	367,617	56.55%	16,102	2.48%	5,097	0.78%	1,818	0.28%	-108,137	-16.63%	650,114
Armstrong	23,484	74.27%	7,178	22.70%	685	2.17%	141	0.45%	130	0.41%	16,306	51.57%	31,618
Beaver	48,167	57.64%	32,531	38.93%	2,022	2.42%	496	0.59%	355	0.42%	15,636	18.71%	83,571
Bedford	19,552	82.72%	3,645	15.42%	260	1.10%	102	0.43%	78	0.33%	15,907	67.30%	23,637
Berks	96,626	52.78%	78,437	42.85%	5,247	2.87%	1,974	1.08%	781	0.43%	18,189	9.94%	183,065
Blair	39,135	71.27%	13,958	25.42%	1,256	2.29%	338	0.62%	222	0.40%	25,177	45.85%	54,909
Bradford	18,141	70.57%	6,369	24.77%	893	3.47%	137	0.53%	168	0.65%	11,772	45.79%	25,708
Bucks	164,361	47.74%	167,060	48.52%	8,556	2.49%	3,121	0.91%	1,199	0.35%	-2,699	-0.78%	344,297
Butler	64,428	66.37%	28,584	29.45%	3,062	3.15%	615	0.63%	382	0.39%	35,844	36.93%	97,071
Cambria	42,258	67.00%	18,867	29.91%	1,270	2.01%	413	0.65%	264	0.42%	23,391	37.09%	63,072
Cameron	1,589	72.69%	531	24.29%	53	2.42%	6	0.27%	7	0.32%	1,058	48.40%	2,186
Carbon	18,743	65.13%	8,936	31.05%	691	2.40%	265	0.92%	141	0.49%	9,807	34.08%	28,776
Centre	35,274	46.32%	37,088	48.71%	2,644	3.47%	798	1.05%	344	0.45%	-1,814	-2.38%	76,148
Chester	116,114	43.20%	141,682	52.71%	7,930	2.95%	2,247	0.84%	827	0.31%	-25,568	-9.51%	268,800
Clarion	12,576	71.72%	4,273	24.37%	469	2.67%	115	0.66%	102	0.58%	8,303	47.35%	17,535
Clearfield	24,932	72.75%	8,200	23.93%	776	2.26%	220	0.64%	143	0.42%	16,732	48.82%	34,271
Clinton	10,022	65.10%	4,744	30.82%	470	3.05%	121	0.79%	37	0.24%	5,278	34.29%	15,394
Columbia	18,004	63.78%	8,934	31.65%	883	3.13%	265	0.94%	142	0.50%	9,070	32.13%	28,228
Crawford	24,987	66.65%	10,971	29.26%	1,046	2.79%	271	0.72%	217	0.58%	14,016	37.38%	37,492
Cumberland	69,076	56.80%	47,085	38.72%	3,975	3.27%	939	0.77%	542	0.45%	21,991	18.08%	121,617
Dauphin	60,863	46.51%	64,706	49.44%	3,498	2.67%	1,177	0.90%	628	0.48%	-3,843	-2.94%	130,872
Delaware	110,667	37.18%	177,402	59.60%	5,992	2.01%	2,588	0.87%	985	0.33%	-66,735	-22.42%	297,634
Elk	10,025	69.49%	3,853	26.71%	401	2.78%	79	0.55%	68	0.47%	6,172	42.78%	14,426
Erie	60,069	48.57%	58,112	46.99%	3,871	3.13%	1,139	0.92%	488	0.39%	1,957	1.58%	123,679
Fayette	34,590	64.33%	17,946	33.38%	853	1.59%	232	0.43%	146	0.27%	16,644	30.96%	53,767
Forest	1,683	70.10%	626	26.07%	60	2.50%	19	0.79%	13	0.54%	1,057	44.02%	2,401
Franklin	49,768	71.37%	17,465	25.05%	1,712	2.46%	450	0.65%	336	0.48%	32,303	46.33%	69,731
Fulton	5,694	84.09%	912	13.47%	93	1.37%	37	0.55%	35	0.52%	4,782	70.62%	6,771
Greene	10,849	68.82%	4,482	28.43%	284	1.80%	83	0.53%	66	0.42%	6,367	40.39%	15,764
Huntingdon	14,494	73.55%	4,539	23.03%	425	2.16%	96	0.49%	152	0.77%	9,955	50.52%	19,706
Indiana	24,888	65.89%	11,528	30.52%	936	2.48%	220	0.58%	198	0.52%	13,360	35.37%	37,770
Jefferson	15,192	78.00%	3,650	18.74%	432	2.22%	110	0.56%	94	0.48%	11,542	59.26%	19,478
Juniata	8,273	79.14%	1,821	17.42%	201	1.92%	71	0.68%	88	0.84%	6,452	61.72%	10,454
Lackawanna	48,384	46.77%	51,983	50.25%	1,935	1.87%	896	0.87%	258	0.25%	-3,599	-3.48%	103,456
Lancaster	137,914	57.20%	91,093	37.78%	8,555	3.55%	2,021	0.84%	1,529	0.63%	46,821	19.42%	241,112
Lawrence	25,428	62.40%	14,009	34.38%	870	2.13%	248	0.61%	198	0.49%	11,419	28.02%	40,753
Lebanon	40,525	65.53%	18,953	30.65%	1,647	2.66%	422	0.68%	298	0.48%	21,572	34.88%	61,845
Lehigh	73,690	45.77%	81,324	50.51%	4,027	2.50%	1,402	0.87%	550	0.34%	-7,634	-4.74%	160,993
Luzerne	78,688	58.29%	52,451	38.86%	2,339	1.73%	1,178	0.87%	327	0.24%	26,237	19.44%	134,983
Lycoming	35,627	70.46%	13,020	25.75%	1,311	2.59%	384	0.76%	223	0.44%	22,607	44.71%	50,565
Mckean	11,635	71.40%	4,025	24.70%	408	2.50%	151	0.93%	77	0.47%	7,610	46.70%	16,296
Mercer	31,544	60.30%	18,733	35.81%	1,370	2.62%	415	0.79%	247	0.47%	12,811	24.49%	52,309
Mifflin	14,094	75.77%	3,877	20.84%	476	2.56%	80	0.43%	74	0.40%	10,217	54.93%	18,601
Monroe	33,386	47.86%	33,918	48.63%	1,502	2.15%	758	1.09%	188	0.27%	-532	-0.76%	69,752
Montgomery	162,731	37.44%	256,082	58.91%	10,934	2.52%	3,704	0.85%	1,236	0.28%	-93,351	-21.48%	434,687
Montour	5,288	61.80%	2,857	33.39%	287	3.35%	73	0.85%	51	0.60%	2,431	28.41%	8,556
Northampton	71,736	49.98%	66,272	46.18%	3,690	2.57%	1,371	0.96%	450	0.31%	5,464	3.81%	143,519
Northumberland	25,427	69.43%	9,788	26.73%	931	2.54%	296	0.81%	180	0.49%	15,639	42.70%	36,622
Perry	15,616	73.81%	4,632	21.89%	619	2.93%	163	0.77%	128	0.60%	10,984	51.91%	21,158
Philadelphia	108,748	15.37%	584,025	82.53%	7,115	1.01%	6,679	0.94%	1,064	0.15%	-475,277	-67.16%	707,631
Pike	16,056	61.51%	9,256	35.46%	492	1.88%	226	0.87%	71	0.27%	6,800	26.05%	26,101
Potter	6,251	80.31%	1,302	16.73%	165	2.12%	35	0.45%	31	0.40%	4,949	63.58%	7,784
Schuylkill	44,001	69.99%	16,770	26.67%	1,414	2.25%	449	0.71%	235	0.37%	27,231	43.31%	62,869
Snyder	11,725	71.66%	4,002	24.46%	455	2.78%	111	0.68%	70	0.43%	7,723	47.20%	16,363
Somerset	27,379	76.54%	7,376	20.62%	678	1.90%	166	0.46%	174	0.49%	20,003	55.92%	35,773
Sullivan	2,291	73.05%	750	23.92%	65	2.07%	14	0.45%	16	0.51%	1,541	49.14%	3,136
Susquehanna	12,891	68.34%	5,123	27.16%	568	3.01%	192	1.02%	89	0.47%	7,768	41.18%	18,863
Tioga	13,614	74.29%	3,901	21.29%	548	2.99%	139	0.76%	123	0.67%	9,713	53.00%	18,325
Union	10,622	60.81%	6,180	35.38%	450	2.58%	143	0.82%	73	0.42%	4,442	25.43%	17,468
Venango	16,021	68.62%	6,309	27.02%	733	3.14%	149	0.64%	136	0.58%	9,712	41.60%	23,348
Warren	12,477	67.68%	5,145	27.91%	549	2.98%	130	0.71%	133	0.72%	7,332	39.77%	18,434
Washington	61,386	60.51%	36,322	35.80%	2,643	2.61%	733	0.72%	366	0.36%	25,064	24.71%	101,450
Wayne	16,244	67.63%	7,008	29.18%	466	1.94%	206	0.86%	94	0.39%	9,236	38.45%	24,018
Westmoreland	116,522	64.01%	59,669	32.78%	4,367	2.40%	936	0.51%	557	0.31%	56,853	31.23%	182,051
Wyoming	8,837	67.23%	3,811	28.99%	323	2.46%	116	0.88%	57	0.43%	5,026	38.24%	13,144
York	128,528	62.40%	68,524	33.27%	6,484	3.15%	1,568	0.76%	882	0.43%	60,004	29.13%	205,986
Totals	2,970,733	48.58%	2,926,441	47.85%	146,715	2.40%	49,941	0.82%	21,572	0.35%	44,292	0.72%	6,115,402

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Erie (largest city: Erie)
Luzerne (largest city: Wilkes-Barre)
Northampton (largest city: Bethlehem)

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Chester (largest borough: West Chester)

References

"About Voting and Elections". Votespa.com. 2015-05-19. Retrieved 2016-04-10.
"Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein". realclearpolitics.com. 2016-11-05.
"Clinton Has Solid Lead in Electoral College; Trump's Winning Map Is Unclear". The New York Times. 2016-11-06. Retrieved 2018-10-30. The final nonpartisan live interview polls there show Mrs. Clinton ahead by a comfortable margin of four to six points. The state will probably be close, but it's quite clear that she has the edge.
Burstein, Nanette (Director) (March 6, 2020). Episode 4 - Be Our Champion, Go Away (Documentary). Hillary. Hulu.
"2016 PA Green Party Caucus Information and Schedule". Pennsylvania Green Party. 2016-04-09. Retrieved 2016-04-10.
"#Greens, join us in caucusing and voting for our GP of PA Presidential Candidates in April". Pennsylvania Green Party. 2016-04-09. Retrieved 2016-04-10.
Chalian, David (4 November 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". CNN. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
"2016 Electoral Scorecard". The Cook Political Report. 7 November 2016. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
"2016 Predicted Electoral Map". Electoral-vote.com. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
Todd, Chuck (7 November 2016). "NBC's final battleground map shows a lead for Clinton". NBC News. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
"2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
Sabato, Larry (7 November 2016). "The Crystal Ball's 2016 Electoral College ratings". University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
"Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index". The Cook Political Report.
"Pennsylvania Elections – County Breakdown Results". electionreturns.pa.gov. November 8, 2016. Retrieved December 28, 2019.

External links

This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.

[1] "About Voting and Elections". Votespa.com. 2015-05-19. Retrieved 2016-04-10.

[2] "Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein". realclearpolitics.com. 2016-11-05.

[3] "Clinton Has Solid Lead in Electoral College; Trump's Winning Map Is Unclear". The New York Times. 2016-11-06. Retrieved 2018-10-30. The final nonpartisan live interview polls there show Mrs. Clinton ahead by a comfortable margin of four to six points. The state will probably be close, but it's quite clear that she has the edge.

[4] Burstein, Nanette (Director) (March 6, 2020). Episode 4 - Be Our Champion, Go Away (Documentary). Hillary. Hulu.

[5] "2016 PA Green Party Caucus Information and Schedule". Pennsylvania Green Party. 2016-04-09. Retrieved 2016-04-10.

[6] "#Greens, join us in caucusing and voting for our GP of PA Presidential Candidates in April". Pennsylvania Green Party. 2016-04-09. Retrieved 2016-04-10.

[7] Chalian, David (4 November 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". CNN. Retrieved 10 February 2019.

[8] "2016 Electoral Scorecard". The Cook Political Report. 7 November 2016. Retrieved 10 February 2019.

[9] "2016 Predicted Electoral Map". Electoral-vote.com. Retrieved 10 February 2019.

[10] Todd, Chuck (7 November 2016). "NBC's final battleground map shows a lead for Clinton". NBC News. Retrieved 10 February 2019.

[11] "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved 10 February 2019.

[12] Sabato, Larry (7 November 2016). "The Crystal Ball's 2016 Electoral College ratings". University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved 10 February 2019.

[13] "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index". The Cook Political Report.

[14] "Pennsylvania Elections – County Breakdown Results". electionreturns.pa.gov. November 8, 2016. Retrieved December 28, 2019.

Pennsylvania Green Party presidential caucuses, April 17, 2016
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	National delegates
Jill Stein	-	-	8
William Kreml	-	-	1
Sedinam Kinamo Christin Moyowasifza Curry	-	-	-
Darryl Cherney	-	-	-
Kent Mesplay	-	-	-
Total	-	100.00%	9