2016 United States Senate election in Nevada
The 2016 United States Senate election in Nevada was held November 8, 2016 to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Nevada, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The state primary election was held June 14, 2016.[1]
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 County results Cortez Masto: 50–60% Heck: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Nevada |
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| None of These Candidates |
Incumbent Democratic Senator Harry Reid, the Senate Minority Leader, initially said he would seek re-election to a sixth term, but announced on March 26, 2015, that he would retire instead.[2][3]
Democratic former State Attorney General Catherine Cortez Masto defeated Republican U.S. Representative Joe Heck in the general election on November 8, 2016. Heck won sixteen out of the state's seventeen counties and equivalents. Cortez Masto won only Clark County; however, since the county comprises nearly three-quarters of the state's population, she defeated Heck statewide by almost 27,000 votes.
Democratic Party primary
Declared
- Catherine Cortez Masto, former Nevada Attorney General[4]
- Bobby Mahendra[5]
- Liddo Susan O'Briant, instructional assistant[5]
- Allen Rheinhart, Black Lives Matter activist and candidate for governor in 2014[5]
Declined
- Shelley Berkley, former U.S. Representative and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012[6][7][8]
- Lucy Flores, former state assemblywoman and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2014 (lost primary for NV-04)[9][10]
- Steven Horsford, former U.S. Representative[7]
- John Lee, Mayor of North Las Vegas, former state senator and candidate for NV-04 in 2012[7]
- Kate Marshall, former state treasurer of Nevada, nominee for Nevada's 2nd congressional district in 2011 and nominee for Secretary of State of Nevada in 2014[9][11]
- Ross Miller, former secretary of state of Nevada and nominee for Nevada Attorney General in 2014[12]
- Harry Reid, incumbent U.S. Senator[2]
- Rory Reid, former Clark County Commissioner, nominee for governor in 2010 and son of U.S. Senator Harry Reid[7][8]
- Steve Sisolak, chairman of the Clark County Commission[8]
- Dina Titus, U.S. Representative and nominee for Governor of Nevada in 2006 (running for re-election)[13][14]
Democratic endorsements
Catherine Cortez Masto
- U.S. Presidents
- U.S. Vice Presidents
- U.S. Cabinet members and Cabinet-level officials
- Hillary Clinton, 67th United States Secretary of State, 2008 presidential candidate and 2016 presidential nominee[17]
- U.S. Senators
- Sherrod Brown, Ohio[18]
- Barbara Boxer, California[19]
- Richard Bryan, Nevada (former; also former governor of Nevada)[11]
- Kirsten Gillibrand, New York[20]
- Gary Peters, Michigan[21]
- Harry Reid, Nevada[22]
- Bernie Sanders, Vermont and 2016 presidential candidate[23]
- Elizabeth Warren, Massachusetts[24]
- Statewide Officials
- Frankie Sue Del Papa, former attorney general of Nevada and former secretary of state of Nevada[11]
- Kate Marshall, former state treasurer of Nevada, nominee for Nevada's 2nd congressional district in 2011 and nominee for Secretary of State of Nevada in 2014[11]
- Ross Miller, former secretary of state of Nevada and nominee for Nevada Attorney General in 2014[12]
- State Legislators
- Barbara Buckley, former Speaker of the Nevada Assembly[11]
- Organizations
- Bend the Arc Jewish Action PAC[25]
- Daily Kos[26]
- Democracy for America[27]
- Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee[28]
- EMILY's List[29]
- Human Rights Campaign [30]
- League of Conservation Voters[31]
- Nevada Association of Public Safety Officers, Peace Officers Research of Nevada, the Fraternal Order of Police and the Southern Nevada Conference of Police and Sheriffs[32]
- Planned Parenthood[33]
- NRDC Action Fund[34]
Results
Results by county:
Cortez Masto—80–90%
Cortez Masto—70–80%
Cortez Masto—60–70%
Cortez Masto—50–60%
Cortez Masto—<40%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Catherine Cortez Masto | 81,944 | 81.0% | |
| Democratic | Allen Rheinhart | 5,645 | 6.0% | |
| Democratic | None of these candidates | 5,498 | 5.0% | |
| Democratic | Liddo Susan O'Briant | 4,834 | 5.0% | |
| Democratic | Bobby Mahendra | 3,760 | 3.0% | |
| Total votes | 101,681 | 100.0% | ||
Republican Party primary
Declared
- Sharron Angle, former state assemblywoman, nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and candidate for NV-02 in 2006[35]
- D'Nese Davis, artist and teacher[5]
- Eddie Hamilton, retired auto executive and perennial candidate[5][36]
- Joe Heck, U.S. Representative[37]
- Thomas "Sad Tom" Heck, retired air force officer[5][38]
- Robert Leeds, author, retired Merchant Marine and perennial candidate[5]
- Carlo "Mazunga" Poliak, retired sanitation worker and perennial candidate[5]
- Juston Preble, sales consultant[5]
- Bill Tarbell, retired minister and candidate for governor in 2014[5]
Withdrawn
Declined
- Mark Amodei, U.S. Representative (running for re-election)[41][42]
- Greg Brower, state senator and former United States Attorney for the District of Nevada[43]
- Barbara Cegavske, Secretary of State of Nevada, former state senator and candidate for NV-04 in 2012[43]
- Heidi Gansert, former state assemblywoman and former chief of staff to Governor Brian Sandoval[44][45]
- Cresent Hardy, U.S. Representative (lost re-election to NV-04)[46]
- Steve Hill, executive director of the Nevada Governor's Office of Economic Development[6]
- Mark Hutchison, Lieutenant Governor of Nevada and former state senator[41][47][48]
- Ron Knecht, Nevada State Controller, former regent of the University of Nevada, Reno and former state assemblyman[43]
- Brian Krolicki, former lieutenant governor of Nevada[49]
- Adam Laxalt, Nevada Attorney General[43]
- Michael Roberson, Majority Leader of the Nevada Senate (running for NV-03)[47][50]
- Wayne Allyn Root, former member of the Libertarian National Committee and Libertarian Party nominee for Vice President of the United States in 2008[51][52]
- Brian Sandoval, Governor of Nevada[53][54]
- Dan Schwartz, state treasurer and candidate for NV-04 in 2012[43]
Endorsements
Joe Heck
- U.S. Presidents
- U.S. Senators
- Dean Heller, Nevada[56]
- Mitch McConnell, Kentucky and Senate Majority Leader[57]
- U.S. Representatives
- Mark Amodei, Nevada[56]
- Cresent Hardy, Nevada[56]
- Mayors
- Carolyn Goodman, Las Vegas[58]
- Individuals
- John R. Bolton, former United States Ambassador to the United Nations[59]
- Carly Fiorina, former CEO of Hewlett-Packard, 2010 nominee for Senate in California and 2016 presidential candidate[60]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joe Heck |
Sharron Angle |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Opinion Strategies | March 28–30, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.38% | 67% | 11% | 3% | 17% |
Results
Results by county:
Heck—70–80%
Heck—60–70%
Heck—50–60%
Heck—40–50%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Joe Heck | 74,517 | 65.0% | |
| Republican | Sharron Angle | 26,142 | 23.0% | |
| Republican | None of these candidates | 3,902 | 3.0% | |
| Republican | Thomas Heck | 3,570 | 3.0% | |
| Republican | Eddie Hamilton | 2,507 | 2.0% | |
| Republican | D'Nese Davis | 1,937 | 1.8% | |
| Republican | Bill Tarbell | 1,179 | 1.0% | |
| Republican | Robert Leeds | 662 | 0.6% | |
| Republican | Juston Preble | 582 | 0.5% | |
| Republican | Carlo Poliak | 279 | 0.2% | |
| Total votes | 114,827 | 100.0% | ||
Independent American Party primary
Declared
- Tom Jones, retired businessman and perennial candidate[61]
Libertarian Party primary
Declined
- Dennis Hof, owner of the Moonlite Bunny Ranch (running for the State Senate)[62][63]
Independents
General election
Debates
| Dates | Location | Cortez Masto | Heck | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 14, 2016 | North Las Vegas, Nevada | Participant | Participant | Full debate - C-SPAN |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[66] | Tossup | September 30, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[67] | Lean D | November 7, 2016 |
| Inside Elections[68] | Tossup | September 30, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[69] | Lean D | November 7, 2016 |
| Real Clear Politics[70] | Tossup | October 1, 2016 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Catherine Cortez Masto (D) |
Joe Heck (R) |
Other | None of these candidates |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey | November 1–7, 2016 | 1,207 | ± 4.6% | 50% | 45% | — | — | 5% |
| Gravis Marketing | November 3–6, 2016 | 1,158 | ± 2.9% | 49% | 43% | — | — | 8% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 31–November 6, 2016 | 1,124 | ± 4.6% | 49% | 46% | — | — | 5% |
| Emerson College | November 4–5, 2016 | 600 | ± 3.9% | 48% | 47% | 3% | — | 1% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 28–November 3, 2016 | 1,016 | ± 4.6% | 49% | 46% | — | — | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 27–November 2, 2016 | 937 | ± 4.6% | 48% | 47% | — | — | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 31–November 1, 2016 | 688 | ± 3.7% | 47% | 44% | — | — | 9% |
| JMC Analytics & Polling (R)/8 News NOW | October 28–November 1, 2016 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 43% | 1% | 3% | 7% |
| 45% | 43% | 1% | 4% | 6% | ||||
| The Times Picayune/Lucid | October 28–November 1, 2016 | 892 | ± 3.0% | 47% | 41% | — | — | 13% |
| CNN/ORC | October 27–November 1, 2016 | 790 LV | ± 3.5% | 47% | 49% | — | 3% | 1% |
| 860 RV | 47% | 48% | — | 4% | 1% | |||
| SurveyMonkey | October 26–November 1, 2016 | 994 | ± 4.6% | 47% | 47% | — | — | 6% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 25–31, 2016 | 1,010 | ± 4.6% | 47% | 47% | — | — | 6% |
| Emerson College | October 26–27, 2016 | 550 | ± 4.1% | 44% | 48% | 3% | — | 6% |
| Breitbart/Gravis Marketing | October 25, 2016 | 875 | ± 3.3% | 50% | 44% | — | — | 6% |
| NBC/WSJ/Marist | October 20–24, 2016 | 707 LV | ± 3.7% | 42% | 49% | 4% | — | 5% |
| 985 RV | ± 3.1% | 42% | 47% | 4% | — | 6% | ||
| Bendixen & Amandi International/Las Vegas Review-Journal | October 20–23, 2016 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 45% | 44% | 2% | — | 9% |
| KTNV/Rasmussen | October 20–22, 2016 | 826 | ± 3.5% | 43% | 41% | 7% | — | 8% |
| Monmouth University | October 14–17, 2016 | 413 | ± 4.8% | 42% | 45% | 4% | 5% | 4% |
| Washington Post/SurveyMonkey | October 8–16, 2016 | 884 | ± 0.5% | 47% | 48% | — | — | 5% |
| CNN/ORC | October 10–15, 2016 | 698 LV | ± 3.5% | 52% | 45% | — | 2% | 1% |
| 862 RV | 50% | 44% | — | 4% | 2% | |||
| CBS News/YouGov | October 12–14, 2016 | 996 | ± 4.5% | 39% | 39% | 4% | — | 18% |
| JMC Analytics & Polling (R)/8 News NOW | October 10–13, 2016 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 41% | 36% | 6% | 5% | 14% |
| 40% | 35% | 6% | 4% | 16% | ||||
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | October 11–12, 2016 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 44% | 47% | — | 2% | 5% |
| Clarity Campaign Labs - End Citizens United | October 10–11, 2016 | 1,010 | ± 3.1% | 44% | 41% | 8% | — | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 10–11, 2016 | 986 | ± 3.1% | 43% | 39% | — | — | 18% |
| Emerson College | October 2–4, 2016 | 700 | ± 3.6% | 41% | 45% | 7% | — | 7% |
| Hart Research Associates | September 27–October 2, 2016 | 700 | ± 3.2% | 46% | 47% | — | — | 7% |
| Bendixen & Amandi International/Las Vegas Review-Journal | September 27–29, 2016 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 45% | 47% | — | — | 8% |
| Suffolk University | September 27–29, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 35% | 38% | 2% | 4% | 18% |
| FOX News | September 18–20, 2016 | 704 LV | ± 3.5% | 36% | 43% | 7% | 5% | 8% |
| 805 RV | 34% | 41% | 7% | 8% | 10% | |||
| Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps | September 10–19, 2016 | 400 | ± 4.0% | 41% | 47% | 1% | — | 11% |
| KTNV/Rasmussen | September 16–18, 2016 | 800 | ± 4.0% | 40% | 44% | 6% | — | 11% |
| Insights West | September 12–14, 2016 | 398 | ± 4.9% | 39% | 43% | 4% | — | 14% |
| Monmouth University | September 11–13, 2016 | 406 | ± 4.9% | 43% | 46% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - End Citizens United | September 6–8, 2016 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 49% | 47% | — | — | 4% |
| NBC/WSJ/Marist | September 6–8, 2016 | 627 LV | ± 3.9% | 45% | 47% | 1% | — | 7% |
| 915 RV | ± 3.2% | 46% | 45% | 1% | — | 8% | ||
| Public Policy Polling | September 6–7, 2016 | 815 | ± 3.4% | 42% | 41% | — | — | 16% |
| Suffolk University | August 15–17, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 37% | 37% | 3% | 6% | 14% |
| CBS News/YouGov | August 2–5, 2016 | 993 | ± 4.6% | 35% | 38% | 4% | — | 23% |
| KTNV/Rasmussen | July 29–31, 2016 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 41% | 42% | 6% | — | 11% |
| KTNV/Rasmussen | July 22–24, 2016 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 37% | 46% | 5% | — | 12% |
| Monmouth University | July 7–10, 2016 | 408 | ± 4.9% | 40% | 42% | 5% | 6% | 7% |
| Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps | June 11–20, 2016 | 300 | ± 5.7% | 41% | 46% | — | — | 13% |
| Gravis Marketing | May 24–25, 2016 | 1,637 | ± 2.0% | 45% | 43% | — | — | 12% |
| Gravis Marketing | February 14–15, 2016 | 1,366 | ± 3.0% | 41% | 44% | — | — | 15% |
| Gravis Marketing | December 23–27, 2015 | 909 | ± 3.0% | 37% | 47% | — | — | 16% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 15, 2015 | 677 | ± 3.8% | 42% | 41% | — | — | 17% |
Results
Cortez Masto won her bid to succeed Harry Reid 47.07-44.70, or by 2.37%, running 0.01% better than Hillary Clinton.[71]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Catherine Cortez Masto | 521,994 | 47.10% | -3.19% | |
| Republican | Joe Heck | 495,079 | 44.67% | +0.12% | |
| n/a | None of these Candidates | 42,257 | 3.81% | +1.56% | |
| Independent American | Tom Jones | 17,128 | 1.55% | +1.11% | |
| Independent | Thomas Sawyer | 14,208 | 1.28% | N/A | |
| Independent | Tony Gumina | 10,740 | 0.97% | N/A | |
| Independent | Jarrod Williams | 6,888 | 0.62% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 1,108,294 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
By county
| County[72] | Catherine Cortez Matso
Democratic |
Joe Heck
Republican |
None of these Candidates | Tom Jones
Independent American |
Thomas Sawyer
Independent |
Tony Gumina
Independent |
Jarrod Williams
Independent |
Margin | Total votes cast | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Carson City | 9,741 | 13,027 | 895 | ||||||||||||||
| Churchill | 2,240 | 7,711 | 352 | ||||||||||||||
| Clark | 386,179 | 303,734 | 29,849 | ||||||||||||||
| Douglas | 8,410 | 17,587 | 767 | ||||||||||||||
| Elko | 3,199 | 13,462 | 723 | ||||||||||||||
| Esmeralda | 66 | 312 | 13 | ||||||||||||||
| Eureka | 88 | 692 | 29 | ||||||||||||||
| Humboldt | 1,406 | 4,397 | 235 | ||||||||||||||
| Lander | 417 | 1,704 | 113 | ||||||||||||||
| Lincoln | 315 | 1,609 | 91 | ||||||||||||||
| Lyon | 6,323 | 15,231 | 780 | ||||||||||||||
| Mineral | 627 | 1,141 | 89 | ||||||||||||||
| Nye | 5,253 | 11,611 | 929 | ||||||||||||||
| Pershing | 466 | 1,286 | 77 | ||||||||||||||
| Storey | 791 | 1,551 | 83 | ||||||||||||||
| Washoe | 95,750 | 97,433 | 7,064 | ||||||||||||||
| White Pine | 723 | 2,591 | 168 | ||||||||||||||
| Totals | 521,994 | 47.10% | 495,079 | 44.67% | 42,257 | 3.81% | 17,128 | 1.55% | 14,208 | 1.28% | 10,740 | 0.97% | 6,888 | 0.62% | 26,915 | 2.43% | 1,108,294 |
See also
References
- "NEVADA ELECTION CALENDAR".
- Meredith Shiner (August 7, 2012). "Nevada: Harry Reid to Retire … in 2016?". Roll Call. Retrieved March 22, 2015.
- Dann, Carrie (March 27, 2015). "Harry Reid Says He's Not Running for Re-Election in 2016". NBC News. Retrieved March 27, 2015.
- DelReal, Jose A. "Catherine Cortez Masto announces bid to succeed Harry Reid in the Senate". The Washington Post. Retrieved April 8, 2015.
- Richardson, Seth A. (March 18, 2016). "UPDATE: 18, including Angle, file for Reid Senate seat, 3 Dems hope to challenge Amodei". Reno Gazette-Journal. Retrieved March 19, 2016.
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- "Titus will not seek Reid's U.S. Senate seat in 2016". KSNV. May 26, 2015. Archived from the original on May 27, 2015. Retrieved May 26, 2015.
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Clinton also praised U.S. Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., who is retiring, and encouraged supporters to vote for Catherine Cortez Masto, the Democratic candidate running for the open seat against U.S. Rep. Joe Heck, R-Nev.
- "NV, PA, NC & OH-Sen: Sen. Sherrod Brown (D. OH) helps these climate hawks take on the Kochs". Daily Kos. September 14, 2016. Retrieved November 3, 2016.
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- "Tom Jones for United States Senate".
- Morris, Chris (July 7, 2015). "Bunny Ranch owner Dennis Hof considers US Senate run". CNBC. Retrieved July 7, 2015.
- Clemons, Martin (January 8, 2016). "Brothel owner Hof to run for Nevada State Senate seat". KSNV. Archived from the original on January 15, 2016. Retrieved January 8, 2016.
- "2016 Master Statewide Certified List of Candidates". Nevada Secretary of State. Retrieved November 6, 2016.
- "Socialist Party Campaign Clearinghouse".
- "2016 Senate Race Ratings for September 30, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 30, 2016.
- "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 27, 2016.
- "2016 Senate Ratings (September 30, 2016)". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 1, 2016.
- "Election Outlook: 2016 Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved September 24, 2016.
- "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 1, 2016.
- Cegavske, Barbara (November 10, 2016). "U.S. Senate". Nevada Secretary of State Barbara K. Cegavske.
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External links
- Official campaign websites (Archived)
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