2019 Castilian-Leonese regional election

The 2019 Castilian-Leonese regional election was held on Sunday, 26 May 2019, to elect the 10th Cortes of the autonomous community of Castile and León. All 81 seats in the Cortes were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain, as well as the 2019 European Parliament election.

2019 Castilian-Leonese regional election
26 May 2019
All 81 seats in the Cortes of Castile and León
41 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered2,114,811 1.7%
Turnout1,391,502 (65.8%)
1.1 pp
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Luis Tudanca Alfonso Fernández Mañueco Francisco Igea
Party PSOE PP Cs
Leader since 18 October 2014 1 April 2017 11 March 2019
Leader's seat Burgos Salamanca Valladolid
Last election 25 seats, 25.9% 42 seats, 37.7% 5 seats, 10.3%
Seats won 35 29 12
Seat change 10 13 7
Popular vote 479,916 433,905 205,855
Percentage 34.8% 31.5% 14.9%
Swing 8.9 pp 6.1 pp 4.6 pp
  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
Leader Pablo Fernández Jesús García-Conde Luis Mariano Santos
Party Podemos–Equo Vox UPL
Leader since 14 February 2015 10 May 2019 26 March 2015
Leader's seat León Valladolid León
Last election 10 seats, 12.1% 0 seats, 0.7% 1 seat, 1.4%
Seats won 2 1 1
Seat change 8 1 0
Popular vote 68,869 75,731 28,057
Percentage 5.0% 5.5% 2.0%
Swing 7.1 pp 4.8 pp 0.6 pp
  Seventh party
 
Leader José Ramón Budiño
Party XAV
Leader since January 2019
Leader's seat Ávila
Last election Did not contest
Seats won 1
Seat change 1
Popular vote 9,455
Percentage 0.7%
Swing New party
Constituency results map for the Cortes of Castile and León
President before election

Juan Vicente Herrera
PP

 Elected President

Alfonso Fernández Mañueco
PP

Overview

Electoral system

The Cortes of Castile and León were the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Castile and León, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Castilian-Leonese Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1]

Voting for the Cortes was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over eighteen, registered in Castile and León and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Castilian-Leonese people abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish: Voto rogado).[2] All members of the Cortes of Castile and León were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Parties not reaching the threshold were not taken into consideration for seat distribution. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Ávila, Burgos, León, Palencia, Salamanca, Segovia, Soria, Valladolid and Zamora, with each being allocated an initial minimum of three seats, as well as one additional member per each 45,000 inhabitants or fraction greater than 22,500.[1][3]

The use of the D'Hondt method might result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude.[4]

Election date

The term of the Cortes of Castile and León expired four years after the date of their previous election, unless they were dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of Castile and León (BOCYL), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 24 May 2015, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 24 May 2019. The election decree was required to be published in the BOCYL no later than 30 April 2019, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Cortes on Sunday, 23 June 2019.[1][3][5]

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Cortes of Castile and León and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Cortes were to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[1]

Campaign

Election debates
2019 Castilian-Leonese regional election debates
Date Organisers Moderator(s)     P  Present[lower-alpha 1]    S  Surrogate[lower-alpha 2]    NI  Not invited   A  Absent invitee 
PP PSOE Podemos Cs Audience Ref.
14 May RTVCyL Nati Melendre
Alejandra Abad		 P
Mañueco		 P
Tudanca		 P
Igea		 P
Fernández		 — [6]
21 May RTVCyL Nati Melendre
Alejandra Abad		 P
Mañueco		 P
Tudanca		 P
Igea		 P
Fernández		 — [7]

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll. When available, seat projections are also displayed below the voting estimates in a smaller font. 41 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Cortes of Castile and León (43 until 10 January 2018).

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

Results

Overall
← Summary of the 26 May 2019 Cortes of Castile and León election results
Parties and coalitions Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Total +/−
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) 479,91634.84+8.90 35+10
People's Party (PP) 433,90531.50–6.23 29–13
Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (Cs) 205,85514.94+4.67 12+7
Vox (Vox) 75,7315.50+4.82 1+1
We Can–Equo (Podemos–Equo) 68,8695.00–7.14 2–8
United Left–Anticapitalists (IU–Anticapitalistas–PCAS/TC–ALTER)1 31,5802.29–1.86 0–1
Leonese People's Union (UPL)2 28,0572.04+0.49 1±0
For Ávila (XAV) 9,4550.69New 1+1
Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) 8,6190.63+0.10 0±0
Sorian People's Platform (PPSO) 3,8950.28New 0±0
Coalition for El Bierzo (CB) 3,7250.27–0.10 0±0
Decide Now (Ahora Decide) 1,9110.14–0.03 0±0
Regionalist Party of El Bierzo (PRB) 1,6020.12+0.07 0±0
Regionalist Party of the Leonese Country (PREPAL) 1,4030.10±0.00 0±0
With You, We Are Democracy (Contigo) 1,2870.09New 0±0
Social Unity of Bierzo Electors (USE Bierzo) 1,2590.09New 0±0
Communist Party of the Workers of Spain (PCTE) 1,0010.07New 0±0
Regionalist Union of Castile and León (Unión Regionalista)3 9920.07+0.01 0±0
Democratic Centre Coalition (CCD)4 9250.07–0.87 0±0
Centered (centrados) 9200.07New 0±0
Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE–JONS) 6270.05–0.08 0±0
Ávila Free of Tolls (ÁvilaLP) 5520.04New 0±0
Grouped Rural Citizens (CRA) 4720.03–0.09 0±0
Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE) 2150.02–0.08 0±0
Tradition and Future (TyF) 1910.01New 0±0
For a Fairer World (PUM+J) 1480.01New 0±0
Blank ballots 14,5661.06–1.38
Total 1,377,678 81–3
Valid votes 1,377,67899.01+1.08
Invalid votes 13,8240.99–1.08
Votes cast / turnout 1,391,50265.80+1.13
Abstentions 723,30934.20–1.13
Registered voters 2,114,811
Sources[8][9]
Popular vote
PSOE
 
 34.84%
PP
 
 31.50%
Cs
 
 14.94%
Vox
 
 5.50%
Podemos–Equo
 
 5.00%
IU–Anticapitalists
 
 2.29%
UPL
 
 2.04%
XAV
 
 0.69%
Others
 
 2.16%
Blank ballots
 
 1.06%
Seats
PSOE
 
 43.21%
PP
 
 35.80%
Cs
 
 14.81%
Podemos–Equo
 
 2.47%
Vox
 
 1.23%
UPL
 
 1.23%
XAV
 
 1.23%

Distribution by constituency
Constituency PSOE PP Cs Vox Podemos UPL XAV
% S % S % S % S % S % S % S
Ávila 28.3 2 36.1 3 13.0 1 5.7 − 3.9 − 9.6 1
Burgos 37.0 5 28.1 3 17.3 2 6.1 − 7.2 1
León 35.2 6 27.4 4 11.0 1 4.2 − 5.5 1 10.2 1
Palencia 35.9 3 34.5 3 15.1 1 5.7 − 4.6 −
Salamanca 33.3 4 38.5 4 15.6 2 4.8 − 4.0 − 0.3 −
Segovia 33.8 3 33.5 2 16.4 1 5.6 − 5.3 −
Soria 40.7 3 27.6 2 11.3 − 4.3 − 5.1 −
Valladolid 34.7 6 29.5 5 17.7 3 6.9 1 4.7 −
Zamora 36.2 3 33.8 3 13.9 1 5.1 − 3.5 − 0.7 −
Total 34.8 35 31.5 29 14.9 12 5.5 1 5.0 2 2.0 1 0.7 1
Sources[8][9]

Aftermath
Further information: Fernández Mañueco Government
Investiture
Alfonso Fernández Mañueco (PP)
Ballot → 9 July 2019
Required majority → 41 out of 81 Y
41 / 81
38 / 81
2 / 81
Absentees
0 / 81
Sources[9][10]

Notes
  1. Denotes a main invitee attending the event.
  2. Denotes a main invitee not attending the event, sending a surrogate in their place.
  3. Within Unidas Podemos.

References
Opinion poll sources
  1. "#emojiPanel Castilla y León (24M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 24 May 2019.
  2. "#emojiPanel Castilla y León (23M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 23 May 2019.
  3. "#emojiPanel Castilla y León (22M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 22 May 2019.
  4. "#emojiPanel Castilla y León (21M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 21 May 2019.
  5. "El PSOE gana en Madrid, pero la suma de PP, Cs y Vox lo aleja de Sol". La Razón (in Spanish). 20 May 2019.
  6. "Resultados por comunidades. Encuesta mayo 2019" (PDF). La Razón (in Spanish). 20 May 2019.
  7. "Encuesta electoral: Ajustada batalla entre bloques el 26-M". La Razón (in Spanish). 20 May 2019.
  8. "El PP quedaría en manos de Ciudadanos para mantener su feudo de Castilla y León". El Mundo (in Spanish). 19 May 2019.
  9. "#emojiPanel Castilla y León (20M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 20 May 2019.
  10. "#electoPanel Castilla y León (18M): dura lucha entre PSOE y PP". Electomanía (in Spanish). 18 May 2019.
  11. "#electoPanel Castilla y León (15M): empate PSOE-PP en torno al 30%". Electomanía (in Spanish). 15 May 2019.
  12. "#electoPanel Castilla y León (12M): continúa la igualdad PSOE-PP". Electomanía (in Spanish). 12 May 2019.
  13. "#electoPanel Castilla y León (9M): Vox recupera peso a costa de PSOE y Ciudadanos". Electomanía (in Spanish). 9 May 2019.
  14. "#electoPanel Castilla y León (6M): empate técnico PSOE-PP". Electomanía (in Spanish). 6 May 2019.
  15. "Estimaciones de voto en Comunidades Autónomas y grandes ciudades (Estudio nº 3245. Marzo-abril 2019)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 9 May 2019.
  16. "ElectoPanel autonómico (12A): las mayorías siguen en el aire". Electomanía (in Spanish). 12 April 2019.
  17. "ElectoPanel autonómicas (3A): Ciudadanos decidirá el bloque ganador en la mayoría de CCAA". Electomanía (in Spanish). 3 April 2019.
  18. "ElectoPanel autonómico (27M). Semana de retrocesos para Vox". Electomanía (in Spanish). 27 March 2019.
  19. "ElectoPanel Autonómico (20M): 'Navarra Suma' (PP-Cs-UPN) no suma para recuperar el Gobierno Foral". Electomanía (in Spanish). 20 March 2019.
  20. "ElectoPanel autonómico 13M: el PSOE es el más votado, pero la derecha suma en la mayoría de CCAA". Electomanía (in Spanish). 13 March 2019.
  21. "ElectoPanel autonómico: la irrupción de Vox en casi todas las CCAA posibilitaría a la derecha gobernar la mayoría de ellas". Electomanía (in Spanish). 6 March 2019.
  22. "Sigma Dos- Escenario abierto ante el 26-M: el PP sumaría mayoría con Cs o Vox, aunque el PSOE tendría también una opción con los de Rivera". Ical (in Spanish). 21 February 2019.
  23. "ElectoPanel Castilla y León (I): Vox da el sorpasso a Ciudadanos y se coloca tercero. Podemos se hunde". Electomanía (in Spanish). 20 January 2019.
  24. "Un sondeo del PSOE pone patas arriba las futuras Cortes de Castilla y León". segoviaaldia.es (in Spanish). 17 January 2019.
  25. "Encuesta interna del PSOE para Castilla y León: desbarajuste absoluto". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 January 2019.
  26. "Fuerte sacudida al mapa político: El PP pierde diez u once escaños aunque se mantiene como primera fuerza y Cs triplica su representación". El Bierzo Digital (in Spanish). 12 July 2018.
  27. "Extrapolación ElectoPanel Castilla y León: El PP, lejos de la mayoría absoluta". Electomanía (in Spanish). 14 June 2018.
  28. "Estimación Marzo 2018. Castilla y León. Autonómicas 2019". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 1 April 2018.
  29. "CASTILLA Y LEÓN. Elecciones autonómicas. Sondeo SyM Consulting. Marzo 2018". Electograph (in Spanish). 1 April 2018.
Other
  1. "Ley Orgánica 14/2007, de 30 de noviembre, de reforma del Estatuto de Autonomía de Castilla y León". Organic Law No. 14 of 30 November 2007. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 15 September 2017.
  2. Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
  3. "Ley 3/1987, de 30 de marzo, Electoral de Castilla y León". Law No. 3 of 30 March 1987. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 15 September 2017.
  4. Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012). "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin. Archived from the original on 30 July 2017. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
  5. "Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General". Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 January 2020.
  6. Ortega, Rodrigo (14 May 2019). "Fernández Mañueco sale vivo del debate apoyado en el empleo creado". La Razón (in Spanish). Retrieved 1 February 2021.
  7. "Los debates electorales vuelven mañana a Castilla y León 24 años después". El Norte de Castilla (in Spanish). 13 May 2019. Retrieved 1 February 2021.
  8. "Cortes of Castile and León election results, 26 May 2019" (PDF). www.juntaelectoralcentral.es (in Spanish). Electoral Commission of Castile and León. 20 June 2019. Retrieved 20 June 2019.
  9. "Elecciones a Cortes de Castilla y León (1983 - 2019)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 15 August 2019.
  10. "Fernández Mañueco, proclamado presidente de la Junta con 29 votos del PP y 12 de Cs". El Norte de Castilla (in Spanish). 9 July 2019. Retrieved 9 July 2019.
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