2019 Melilla Assembly election

The 2019 Melilla Assembly election was held on Sunday, 26 May 2019, to elect the 7th Assembly of the Autonomous City of Melilla. All 25 seats in the Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in at least seven autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain, as well as the 2019 European Parliament election.

2019 Melilla Assembly election

26 May 2019
All 25 seats in the Assembly of Melilla 13 seats needed for a majority
Registered	59,355 2.9%[1]
Turnout	34,393 (57.9%) 1.8 pp
Leader Juan José Imbroda Mustafa Aberchán Gloria Rojas Party PP CpM PSOE Leader since 20 July 2000 2 October 1995 24 November 2014 Last election 13 seats, 48.1%[lower-alpha 1] 7 seats, 26.4% 3 seats, 12.6% Seats won 10 8 4 Seat change 3 1 1 Popular vote 12,943 10,472 4,928 Percentage 37.8% 30.6% 14.4% Swing 10.3 pp 4.2 pp 1.8 pp   Leader Jesús Delgado Aboy Eduardo de Castro Party Vox Cs Leader since 15 July 2018 23 February 2015 Last election Did not contest 2 seats, 6.8% Seats won 2 1 Seat change 2 1 Popular vote 2,655 1,897 Percentage 7.8% 5.6% Swing New party 1.2 pp
Mayor-President before election Juan José Imbroda PP Elected Mayor-President Eduardo de Castro Cs

Electoral system

The Assembly of Melilla is the top-tier administrative and governing body of the autonomous city of Melilla. Voting for the Assembly is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over eighteen, registered and residing in the municipality of Melilla and in full enjoyment of their political rights, as well as resident non-national European citizens and those whose country of origin allows Spanish nationals to vote in their own elections by virtue of a treaty.[2][3][4]

The 25 members of the Assembly of Melilla are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of 5 percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied. Parties not reaching the threshold are not taken into consideration for seat distribution.[2][3][4]

The Mayor-President is indirectly elected by the plenary assembly. A legal clause requires that mayoral candidates earn the vote of an absolute majority of members, or else the candidate of the most-voted party in the assembly shall be automatically appointed to the post. In case of a tie, a toss-up would determine the appointee.[4]

The electoral law provides that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors are allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors are required to secure the signature of a determined amount of the electors registered in Melilla. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.[2][3]

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll. When available, seat projections are also displayed below the voting estimates in a smaller font. 13 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Melilla.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout					PPL					Lead
2019 Assembly election	26 May 2019	N/A	63.4	37.8 10	30.6 8	14.4 4	5.6 1	[lower-alpha 2]	[lower-alpha 3]	0.2 0	7.8 2	1.2 0	7.2
April 2019 general election	28 Apr 2019	N/A	63.0	23.9 7	20.4 5	20.7 6	12.9 3	[lower-alpha 2]	[lower-alpha 3]	–	16.9 4	3.8 0	3.5
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 1]	22 Feb–7 Apr 2019	?	?	21.7 6	34.0 9	16.3 4	9.4 2	[lower-alpha 2]	[lower-alpha 3]	–	16.0 4	1.0 0	12.3
SyM Consulting[p 2]	4–5 Apr 2019	756	54.9	23.7 6/7	30.9 8/9	13.8 4	9.3 2	[lower-alpha 2]	–	–	16.6 4	–	7.2
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 3]	22 Feb–31 Mar 2019	?	?	20.6 5	35.0 10	16.0 4	9.2 2	[lower-alpha 2]	[lower-alpha 3]	–	16.7 4	1.0 0	14.4
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 4]	22 Feb–24 Mar 2019	?	?	20.9 6	34.8 9	16.5 4	8.5 2	[lower-alpha 2]	[lower-alpha 3]	–	16.6 4	1.0 0	13.9
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 5]	22 Feb–17 Mar 2019	?	?	20.3 5	34.8 9	15.8 4	7.2 2	[lower-alpha 2]	[lower-alpha 3]	–	19.7 5	1.0 0	14.5
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 6]	22 Feb–10 Mar 2019	?	?	20.0 5	34.8 9	15.6 4	7.5 2	[lower-alpha 2]	[lower-alpha 3]	–	19.5 5	1.0 0	14.8
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 7]	22 Feb–3 Mar 2019	?	?	19.9 5	35.0 9	15.2 4	7.7 2	[lower-alpha 2]	[lower-alpha 3]	–	19.7 5	0.9 0	15.1
SyM Consulting[p 8][p 9]	1–2 Feb 2019	464	55.8	23.4 6/7	33.2 9	14.4 3/4	6.1 1	[lower-alpha 2]	–	–	18.2 5	–	9.8
SyM Consulting[p 10]	11 Jan 2019	?	?	20.9 5/6	36.1 10	9.3 2	10.6 2/3	[lower-alpha 2]	–	–	18.6 5	–	15.2
SyM Consulting[p 11]	7–9 Sep 2018	506	59.2	36.5 10	31.9 8/9	13.2 3	13.5 3/4	[lower-alpha 2]	0.9 0	–	–	–	4.6
SyM Consulting[p 12]	24–26 Apr 2018	521	57.2	32.2 9	31.6 8/9	12.9 3	17.5 4/5	[lower-alpha 2]	2.0 0	–	–	–	0.6
SyM Consulting[p 13][p 14]	8–9 Jan 2018	491	58.0	32.8 8/9	30.6 8/9	12.3 2/3	18.4 4/5	[lower-alpha 2]	2.1 0	–	–	–	2.2
SyM Consulting[p 15]	13–14 Jun 2017	531	60.4	39.9 11	30.7 8/9	10.2 2/3	12.2 3	[lower-alpha 2]	3.1 0	–	–	–	9.2
SyM Consulting[p 16][p 17][p 18]	14–15 Mar 2017	535	67.5	38.1 10/11	28.0 8	9.7 2/3	10.6 2/3	[lower-alpha 2]	3.7 0	0.6 0	–	–	10.1
SyM Consulting[p 19][p 20][p 21]	10–11 Jan 2017	546	64.8	37.6 10	27.6 8	8.5 2	10.7 3	[lower-alpha 2]	8.0 2	2.7 0	–	–	10.0
2016 general election	26 Jun 2016	N/A	47.6	49.9 13	–	25.1 7	12.4 3	–	[lower-alpha 3]	0.5 0	–	9.8 2	24.8
2015 general election	20 Dec 2015	N/A	49.4	43.9 12	–	24.6 6	15.5 4	–	11.4 3	0.9 0	–	–	19.3
2015 Assembly election	24 May 2015	N/A	56.1	42.7 12	26.4 7	12.6 3	6.8 2	5.4 1	2.6 0	1.1 0	–	–	16.3

Results

← Summary of the 26 May 2019 Assembly of Melilla election results →

Parties and coalitions		Popular vote			Seats
		Votes	%	±pp	Total	+/−
	People's Party (PP)^1	12,943	37.84	–10.31	10	–3
	Coalition for Melilla (CpM)	10,472	30.62	+4.21	8	+1
	Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)	4,928	14.41	+1.82	4	+1
	Vox (Vox)	2,655	7.76	New	2	+2
	Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (Cs)	1,897	5.55	–1.20	1	–1
	Forward Melilla (Adelante Melilla)	667	1.95	New	0	±0
	United We Can–United Left (Podemos–IU)^2	408	1.19	–2.20	0	±0
	Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD)	77	0.23	–0.87	0	±0
Blank ballots		158	0.46	–0.52
Total		34,205			25	±0
Valid votes		34,205	99.45	+0.68
Invalid votes		188	0.55	–0.68
Votes cast / turnout		34,393	57.94	+1.79
Abstentions		24,962	42.06	–1.79
Registered voters		59,355
Sources[5][6]

Popular vote PP   37.84% CpM   30.62% PSOE   14.41% Vox   7.76% Cs   5.55% Adelante Melilla   1.95% Podemos–IU   1.19% UPyD   0.23% Blank ballots   0.00%

Seats PP   40.00% CpM   32.00% PSOE   16.00% Vox   8.00% Cs   4.00%

Aftermath

Investiture
Ballot →		15 June 2019
Required majority →		13 out of 25
	Eduardo de Castro (Cs) • Cs (1) • CpM (8) • PSOE (4)	13 / 25
	Juan José Imbroda (PP) • PP (10) • Vox (2)	12 / 25
	Blank ballots	0 / 33
	Absentees	0 / 33
Sources[7]

Notes

1. Aggregated data for PP and PPL in the 2015 election.
2. Within PP.
3. Within Unidas Podemos.

References

Opinion poll sources

1. "ElectoPanel municipal (12A): muchas ciudades pendientes de un concejal". Electomanía (in Spanish). 12 April 2019.
2. "Estimación oleada Enero 2019 Melilla. Autonómicas 2019". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 18 April 2019.
3. "ElectoPanel municipales (4A): Madrid en Pie no consigue entrar en el Ayuntamiento". Electomanía (in Spanish). 4 April 2019.
4. "ElectoPanel Municipales (28M). Mayorías ajustadas en varias ciudades". Electomanía (in Spanish). 28 March 2019.
5. "ElectoPanel para municipales (21M): situación estable en la última semana". Electomanía (in Spanish). 21 March 2019.
6. "ElectoPanel grandes áreas metropolitanas 14M: la izquierda resiste en Valencia, Madrid se le escapa a Carmena". Electomanía (in Spanish). 14 March 2019.
7. "ElectoPanel municipal: distintas mayorías posibles y mucha igualdad en varias ciudades". Electomanía (in Spanish). 7 March 2019.
8. "#encuesta #elecciones en #Melilla. #BCM #Febrero2019". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 9 February 2019.
9. "Estimación oleada Enero 2019 Melilla. Autonómicas 2019". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 9 February 2019.
10. "Una encuesta sobre las elecciones de mayo en Melilla da una unos resultados sorprendentes". Melilla Hoy (in Spanish). 11 January 2019.
11. "Estimación oleada Septiembre 2018. Melilla. Autonómicas Mayo 2019". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 24 September 2018.
12. "Estimación oleada Abril 2018. Melilla. Autonómicas Mayo 2019". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 2 May 2018.
13. "Estimación oleada Enero 2018. Melilla. Autonómicas Mayo 2019". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 13 February 2018.
14. "MELILLA. Elecciones autonómicas. Sondeo SyM Consulting, Febrero 2018". Electograph (in Spanish). 13 February 2018.
15. "Estimación oleada Junio 2017. Melilla. Autonómicas Mayo 2019". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 19 June 2017.
16. "Al PP se le resiste la mayoría absoluta". La Luz de Melilla (in Spanish). 23 March 2017.
17. "Estimación oleada Marzo 2017. Melilla. Autonómicas Mayo 2019". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 24 March 2017.
18. "MELILLA, Marzo 2017. Sondeo SyM Consulting". Electograph (in Spanish). 24 March 2017.
19. "El pacto PP-PPL resta y arrastra a los populares hasta los 10 escaños". La Luz de Melilla (in Spanish). 8 February 2017.
20. "Estimación oleada Enero 2017. Melilla. Autonómicas Mayo 2019". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 8 February 2017.
21. "MELILLA, Enero 2017. Sondeo SyM Consulting". Electograph (in Spanish). 8 February 2017.

Other

1. "Elecciones municipales, autonómicas y al Parlamento Europeo de 26 de mayo de 2019" (PDF). ine.es (in Spanish). Retrieved 12 April 2019.
2. "General Electoral System Organic Law of 1985". Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985. Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved 8 April 2018.
3. "Representation of the people Institutional Act". juntaelectoralcentral.es. Central Electoral Commission. Retrieved 16 June 2017.
4. "Statute of Autonomy of Melilla of 1995". Law No. 2 of 13 March 1995. Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved 7 April 2018.
5. "Local election results, 26 May 2019, in Toledo, Valencia, Valladolid, Zamora, Zaragoza, Ceuta and Melilla provinces" (PDF). Central Electoral Commission (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 September 2019.
6. "Electoral Results Consultation. Municipal. May 2019. City of Melilla". Ministry of the Interior (in Spanish). Retrieved 1 November 2020.
7. "El único diputado de Cs investido presidente de Melilla al grito de "traidor"". Moncloa. 15 June 2019. Retrieved 11 July 2019.