2018 United States Senate election in Minnesota

The 2018 United States Senate election in Minnesota took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a United States Senator from Minnesota. Incumbent Democratic–Farmer–Labor U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar was reelected in a landslide. This election was held alongside a special election for Minnesota's other Senate seat, which was held by Al Franken until he resigned in January 2018. U.S. House elections, a gubernatorial election, State House elections, and other elections were also held.

Not to be confused with 2018 United States Senate special election in Minnesota.
2018 United States Senate election in Minnesota
November 6, 2018
Turnout63.89%
 
Nominee Amy Klobuchar Jim Newberger
Party Democratic (DFL) Republican
Popular vote 1,566,174 940,437
Percentage 60.3% 36.2%
Results by county

Klobuchar:      40-50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

Newberger:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
Precinct Results


Klobuchar:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90%      90-100%
Tie:      
Newberger:      20-30%      30-40%      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90%      90-100%

No Vote:      
U.S. senator before election

Amy Klobuchar
Democratic (DFL)

 Elected U.S. Senator

Amy Klobuchar
Democratic (DFL)

Elections in Minnesota
General elections
Federal elections
Presidential elections
Senate elections
House of Representatives
State executive elections
Gubernatorial elections
Lieutenant gubernatorial elections
Secretary of State elections
State Auditor elections
Attorney General elections
State legislative elections
Senate elections
House of Representatives elections
Special elections
Ballot questions
2012
Minneapolis
General elections
Mayoral elections
City Council elections
Saint Paul
Mayoral elections

The candidate filing deadline was June 5, 2018, and the primary election was held on August 14, 2018.[1]

Democratic-Farmer-Labor primary

Nominated

Eliminated in primary
  • Steve Carlson[3]
  • Stephen A. Emery[3]
  • David R. Groves[3]
  • Leonard J. Richards[3]

Endorsements
Amy Klobuchar
Organizations

Results
Results by county
Results by congressional district
Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party primary results[13]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic (DFL) Amy Klobuchar (incumbent) 557,306 95.70%
Democratic (DFL) Steve Carlson 9,934 1.71%
Democratic (DFL) Stephen Emery 7,047 1.21%
Democratic (DFL) David Groves 4,511 0.77%
Democratic (DFL) Leonard Richards 3,552 0.61%
Total votes 582,350 100%

Republican primary

Nominated

Eliminated in primary
  • Merrill Anderson,[3] Past Candidate (Mayor of Minneapolis), Past Candidate (Governor of Minnesota)
  • Rae Hart Anderson[3]
  • Rocky De La Fuente, 2016 Reform Party Presidential Nominee and perennial candidate[3]

Declined

Endorsements
Jim Newberger
State Legislators
  • Senator Andrew Matthews, SD15, Vice Chair, Energy and Utilities Committee.
  • Senator Dave Brown, SD15, Retired
  • Senator Bruce Anderson, SD 29
  • Senator Julie Rosen, SD23, Finance Committee Chair.
  • Senator Bill Ingebrigsten, SD 8, Chair of the Environment and Natural Resources Finance Committee.
  • Senator Dan Hall, SD 56, Chair of the Local Government Finance Committee
  • Representative Joyce Peppin, 34A, Majority Leader
  • Representative Ron Kresha, 9B, Majority Whip.
  • Representative Patrick Garofalo, 58B, Chair of the Growth and Energy Affordibility Committee.
  • Representative Bob Gunther, 23A, Chair of the Legacy Committee,
  • Representative Steve Drazkowski, 21B, Chair of the Property Tax Committee.
  • Representative Paul Anderson, 12B, Chair of the Agriculture Policy Committee.
  • Representative Dan Fabian, 1A, Chair of the Environment and Natural Resources Committee.
  • Representative Sondra Erickson, 15A, Chair of the Education Innovation Policy Committee.
  • Representative Tony Albright, 55B, Vice Chair of the Health and Human Services Finance Committee.
  • Representative Jerry Hertaus, 33A, Vice Chair of the Property Tax Committee.
  • Representative Jeff Backer, 12A, Vice Chair of the Agriculture Policy Committee.
  • Representative Cindy Pugh, 33B, Vice Chair of the Government Operations and Elections Committee.
  • Representative Mark Uglem, 36A, Vice Chair of the Capital Investment Committee.
  • Representative Marion O'Neill, 29B, Chair of Employee Relations Sub Committee
  • Representative Peggy Bennett, 27A, Vice Chair of the Education Finance Committee.
  • Representative Dale Lueck, 10B, Vice Chair of the Mining, Forestry and Tourism SubCommittee.
  • Representative Dennis Smith, 34B, Vice Chair of the Civil Law and Data Practices Committee.
  • Representative Josh Heintzeman, 10A, Vice Chair of the Environment and Natural Resources Committee.
  • Representative Duane Quam, 25A
  • Representative Sandy Layman, 5B
  • Representative Jeff Howe, 13A.
  • Representative Nick Zerwas, 30A.
  • Representative Bob Loonan, 55A.
  • Representative Steve Green, 2B.
  • Representative John Poston, 9A.
  • Representative Tony Jurgens, 54B.
  • Representative Cal Bahr, 31B.
  • Representative Roz Peterson, 56B
  • Representative Glenn Gruenhagen, 18B
  • Representative Kathy Lohmer, 39B
  • Representative Anne Neu, 32B
  • Representative Eric Lucero, 30B
  • Representative Drew Christensen, 56A
Individuals
Organizations
  • Chinese American Alliance Action[19]
Newspapers

Results
Results by county
Results by congressional district
Republican Party primary results[13]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jim Newberger 201,531 69.50%
Republican Merrill Anderson 45,492 15.69%
Republican Rae Hart Anderson 25,883 8.93%
Republican Roque "Rocky" de la Fuente 17,051 5.88%
Total votes 289,957 100%

Minor parties and independents

Candidates

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[23] Safe D September 28, 2018
Inside Elections[24] Safe D December 7, 2017
Sabato's Crystal Ball[25] Safe D December 7, 2017
Fox News[26] Likely D July 9, 2018
CNN[27] Safe D July 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics[28] Safe D August 14, 2018

Debates

On August 24, MPR News hosted a debate between Amy Klobuchar and Jim Newberger at the Minnesota State Fair.[29]

Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of October 17, 2018
Candidate (party) Total receipts Total disbursements Cash on hand
Amy Klobuchar (D) $10,139,499 $7,700,359 $5,086,325
Jim Newberger (R) $210,846 $191,815 $19,030
Source: Federal Election Commission[30]

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Amy
Klobuchar (D)		 Jim
Newberger (R)		 Paula
Overby (G)		 Dennis
Schuller (LMN)		 Other Undecided
Change Research November 2–4, 2018 953 – 55% 40% 2% 3% – –
Research Co. November 1–3, 2018 450 ± 4.6% 53% 33% – – 2% 12%
SurveyUSA October 29–31, 2018 600 ± 5.3% 57% 34% – – 1% 7%
St. Cloud State University October 15–30, 2018 420 – 54% 28% – – –
Mason-Dixon October 15–17, 2018 800 ± 3.5% 56% 33% 2% 2% – 8%
Change Research October 12–13, 2018 1,413 – 50% 41% 2% 5% – 2%
Marist College September 30 – October 4, 2018 637 LV ± 4.9% 60% 32% 4% – <1% 4%
63% 33% – – <1% 4%
860 RV ± 4.2% 59% 32% 5% – <1% 5%
62% 33% – – <1% 5%
Mason-Dixon September 10–12, 2018 800 ± 3.5% 60% 30% 1% 3% – 6%
SurveyUSA September 6–8, 2018 574 ± 4.9% 53% 38% – – 2% 8%
Suffolk University August 17–20, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 54% 34% 1% 1% – 11%
Emerson College August 8–11, 2018 500 ± 4.6% 50% 26% – – – 24%
BK Strategies June 24–25, 2018 1,574 ± 2.5% 57% 37% – – – 6%

Results

Klobuchar won the election by a margin of 24.10%. She carried a clear majority of the state's 87 counties, won every congressional district, and had the biggest statewide margin of any statewide candidate in Minnesota in 2018. Klobuchar ran up huge margins in the state's population centers and trounced Newberger in the counties encompassing the Minneapolis-St. Paul area. As in her 2012 victory, she also won many rural counties. Klobuchar was sworn in for a third term on January 3, 2019.

Results by congressional district
United States Senate election in Minnesota, 2018[31]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic (DFL) Amy Klobuchar (incumbent) 1,566,174 60.31% -4.92%
Republican Jim Newberger 940,437 36.21% +5.68%
Legal Marijuana Now Dennis Schuller 66,236 2.55% N/A
Green Paula Overby 23,101 0.89% N/A
Write-in 931 0.04% N/A
Total votes 2,596,879 100.00% N/A
Democratic (DFL) hold

Voter demographics
Edison Research exit poll
Demographic subgroup Klobuchar Newberger No
Answer		 % of
Voters
Gender
Men 54 45 1 46
Women 67 32 1 54
Age
18–24 years old 79 19 2 6
25–29 years old 60 39 1 5
30–39 years old 63 35 2 12
40–49 years old 57 42 1 13
50–64 years old 61 38 1 29
65 and older 60 39 1 35
Race
White 59 40 1 89
Black 86 12 2 5
Latino N/A N/A N/A 3
Asian N/A N/A N/A 2
Other N/A N/A N/A 2
Race by gender
White men 52 47 1 40
White women 65 34 1 49
Black men N/A N/A N/A 3
Black women N/A N/A N/A 2
Latino men N/A N/A N/A 1
Latino women N/A N/A N/A 1
Others N/A N/A N/A 4
Education
High school or less 59 40 1 17
Some college education 55 43 2 23
Associate degree 54 44 2 17
Bachelor's degree 66 34 N/A 26
Advanced degree 75 25 N/A 16
Education and race
White college graduates 68 31 1 38
White no college degree 53 46 1 51
Non-white college graduates 79 20 1 4
Non-white no college degree 82 17 1 7
Whites by education and gender
White women with college degrees 74 25 1 21
White women without college degrees 59 40 1 28
White men with college degrees 61 39 N/A 17
White men without college degrees 46 53 1 23
Non-whites 80 18 2 11
Income
Under $30,000 67 28 5 14
$30,000–49,999 63 35 2 20
$50,000–99,999 55 44 1 36
$100,000–199,999 64 36 N/A 23
Over $200,000 N/A N/A N/A 7
Party ID
Democrats 98 2 N/A 39
Republicans 18 81 1 32
Independents 62 36 2 29
Party by gender
Democratic men 96 4 N/A 14
Democratic women 99 1 N/A 25
Republican men 16 84 N/A 15
Republican women 20 78 2 17
Independent men 56 42 2 16
Independent women 69 29 2 13
Ideology
Liberals 96 3 1 27
Moderates 76 23 1 39
Conservatives 17 82 1 33
Marital status
Married 55 44 1 67
Unmarried 69 28 3 33
Gender by marital status
Married men 51 47 2 31
Married women 58 42 N/A 36
Unmarried men 59 38 3 15
Unmarried women 79 19 2 18
First-time midterm election voter
Yes 59 40 1 13
No 64 35 1 87
Most important issue facing the country
Health care 78 20 2 50
Immigration 29 70 1 22
Economy 37 62 1 18
Gun policy N/A N/A N/A 7
Area type
Urban 73 26 1 40
Suburban 58 41 1 32
Rural 49 49 2 28
Source: CNN[32]

See also

References
  1. "United States Senate election in Minnesota, 2018 - Ballotpedia". Retrieved March 3, 2017.
  2. Sherry, Allison (December 25, 2016). "Klobuchar will run again for Senate, rules herself out for governor's race". Star Tribune. Retrieved December 26, 2016.
  3. "Candidate Filings". candidates.sos.state.mn.us. Retrieved 2018-06-08.
  4. "Our Candidates - CWA Political". CWA Political.
  5. "EMILY's List Endorses Nine Democratic Women Senators for Re-Election in 2018". EMILY's List. February 10, 2017. Retrieved February 13, 2017.
  6. Tiffany Muller (July 6, 2017). "End Citizens United Endorses Senator Amy Klobuchar for Re-election". End Citizens United.
  7. "Amy Klobuchar – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org.
  8. "Endorsements - League of Conservation Voters".
  9. NCPSSM. "Candidates We Endorse and Support". Retrieved 18 December 2018.
  10. "NRDC Action Fund announces first wave of 2018 Senate endorsements". www.nrdcactionfund.org. January 5, 2018.
  11. "Population Connection Action Fund Endorsements". Population Connection.
  12. "Minnesota – Official UAW Endorsements". uawendorsements.org. United Automobile Workers.
  13. "Minnesota 2018 Primary Election Results". Minnesota Secretary of State. Retrieved 28 May 2019.
  14. Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (August 5, 2017). "Challenger emerges to run against U.S. Sen. Amy Klobuchar — GOP state Rep. Jim Newberger". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved August 5, 2017.
  15. "GOP endorses Housley, Newberger for U.S. Senate". Retrieved 29 August 2018.
  16. "Pawlenty won't run for Senate in Minnesota". Retrieved 29 August 2018.
  18. Lindell, Mike (31 October 2018). "My friend @NewbergerJim will be one of the best US Senators ever!pic.twitter.com/gZCkRCQ1nw". Retrieved 18 December 2018.
  19. "CAA Endorsing James Newberger For US Senate". Jim Newberger for US Senate.
  20. "Our View / Endorsement: Newberger already focused on Klobuchar". Duluth News Tribune. July 24, 2018.
  21. McMullen, Maureen (November 11, 2017). "Transgender candidate announces U.S. Senate campaign in Minn., seeking Green Party endorsement". Duluth News Tribune. Retrieved January 25, 2018.
  22. Golden, Erin (June 16, 2018). "Legal pot advocates join Minnesota races for state, federal offices". Star Tribune. Retrieved June 17, 2018.
  23. "2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved December 7, 2017.
  24. "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved December 7, 2017.
  25. "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved December 7, 2017.
  26. "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Retrieved July 10, 2018.
  27. "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  28. "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved August 14, 2018.
  29. Pugmire, Tim. "Sen. Amy Klobuchar and state Rep. Jim Newberger debate at the State Fair". Retrieved 29 August 2018.
  30. "Campaign finance data". Retrieved October 31, 2018.
  31. "Minnesota Secretary Of State - 2018 General Election Results". www.sos.state.mn.us. Retrieved 18 December 2018.
  32. "Minnesota Senate election exit poll". CNN. Retrieved November 20, 2018.
Official campaign websites
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