2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the eight U.S. Representatives from the state of Minnesota, one from each of its congressional districts. Primary elections were held in six districts on August 11. The elections coincided with the 2020 United States presidential election as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and other state and local elections.

Not to be confused with 2020 Minnesota House of Representatives election.
2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota
November 3, 2020
All 8 Minnesota seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Democratic (DFL) Republican
Last election 5 3
Seats won 4 4
Seat change 1 1
Popular vote 1,554,373 1,474,820
Percentage 48.67% 46.18%
Swing 6.46% 2.5%
Elections in Minnesota
General elections
Federal elections
Presidential elections
Senate elections
House of Representatives
State executive elections
Gubernatorial elections
Lieutenant gubernatorial elections
Secretary of State elections
State Auditor elections
Attorney General elections
State legislative elections
Senate elections
House of Representatives elections
Special elections
Ballot questions
2012
Minneapolis
General elections
Mayoral elections
City Council elections
Saint Paul
Mayoral elections

Due to changing political alignments, the Republican Party flipped the 7th district, which was held by 15-term incumbent Democrat Collin Peterson. This marked the first time since the 1944 election that Republicans won every district in Minnesota outside the Twin Cities metropolitan area, after Democrats had done the same just four years prior. This subsequently erased the slim Democratic majority in the state congressional delegation and gave both political parties a tied 4–4 delegation.[1]

District 1
See also: Minnesota's 1st congressional district

The 1st district stretches across southern Minnesota from its borders with South Dakota to Wisconsin, and includes the cities of Rochester, Mankato, Winona, Austin, Owatonna, Albert Lea, New Ulm, and Worthington. The incumbent was Republican Jim Hagedorn, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.1% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Nominee
Nominee
Withdrawn
Endorsements
Dan Feehan
U.S. Presidents

U.S. Representatives

Labor unions

Organizations

Nominee

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Tossup October 21, 2020
Inside Elections[21] Tilt D (flip) October 29, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Lean D (flip) November 2, 2020
Politico[23] Tossup October 11, 2020
Daily Kos[24] Lean R July 21, 2020
RCP[25] Lean R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[26] Lean R July 26, 2020

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Jim
Hagedorn (R)		 Dan
Feehan (D)		 Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 1] September 10–11, 2020 885 (V) ± 3.3% 41% 41% 18%[lower-alpha 2]
RMG Research July 31 – August 7, 2020 500 (RV) ±  4.5% 41% 38% 22%[lower-alpha 3]
Victoria Research & Consulting (D)[upper-alpha 2] July 19–23, 2020 511 (LV) ±  4.4% 46% 48% 6%[lower-alpha 4]
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D)[upper-alpha 3] June 9–13, 2020 601 (LV) ±  4.1% 42% 43% 15%
Harper Polling (R)[upper-alpha 4] March 10–12, 2020 406 (LV) ±  4.9% 49% 33% 18%
Hypothetical polling
with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Generic
Republican		 Generic
Democrat		 Other/
Undecided
Victoria Research & Consulting (D)[upper-alpha 2] July 19–23, 2020 511 (LV) ±  4.4% 44% 49% 8%[lower-alpha 5]

Results
Minnesota's 1st congressional district, 2020[27]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jim Hagedorn (incumbent) 179,234 48.6
Democratic (DFL) Dan Feehan 167,890 45.5
Grassroots Bill Rood 21,448 5.8
Write-in 284 0.1
Total votes 368,856 100.0
Republican hold

District 2
See also: Minnesota's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district is based in the south Twin Cities area. The incumbent was Democrat Angie Craig, who defeated incumbent Republican Jason Lewis with 52.7% of the vote in 2018.[2]

After Legal Marijuana Now Party candidate Adam Charles Weeks died on September 21, 2020, Minnesota Secretary of State Steve Simon announced that, pursuant to state law, the votes in the November election would not be counted and that a special election would take place on February 9, 2021.[28][29] A judge later ruled that the election would take place on November 3, as originally planned.[30] Although Republicans appealed the decision, it stood after the United States Supreme Court refused to hear the appeal.[31]

A month after Weeks's death, and a week before the November 3 election, a friend of Weeks publicized a voicemail recording in which Weeks says that Republican donors offered him $15,000 to mount a campaign in order to siphon votes away from Craig. Jeff Schuette, Minnesota Republican Party chair for the Second District, denied involvement in the offer to fund Weeks's campaign.[31]

Nominee
Endorsements
Angie Craig
U.S. Presidents
State officials
Organizations
Nominee
Withdrawn
  • Regina Barr, former state representative
  • Erika Cashin, U.S. Air Force veteran
  • Edward Moritz
  • Rick Olson, former Michigan state representative
  • Phillip Parrish, U.S. Naval Intelligence Officer
  • Kerry Zeiler
Declined
Endorsements
Regina Barr
Organizations

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Likely D October 21, 2020
Inside Elections[21] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Likely D July 2, 2020
Politico[23] Lean D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[24] Likely D June 3, 2020
RCP[25] Lean D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[26] Likely D June 7, 2020

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Angie
Craig (D)		 Tyler
Kistner (R)		 Adam
Weeks (LMN)		 Undecided
Normington, Petts & Associates (D)[upper-alpha 5] October 12–14, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 53% 35% 4% –
Harper Polling (R)[upper-alpha 6] July 6–8, 2020 401 (LV) – 45% 36% 6% –
Hypothetical polling
with Generic Democrat and Generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Generic
Democrat		 Generic
Republican		 Undecided
Harper Polling (R)[upper-alpha 6] July 6–8, 2020 401 (LV) – 44% 44% –

Results
Minnesota's 2nd congressional district, 2020[27]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic (DFL) Angie Craig (incumbent) 204,534 48.2
Republican Tyler Kistner 194,954 45.9
Legal Marijuana Now Adam Charles Weeks 24,751 5.8
Write-in 273 0.1
Total votes 424,512 100.0
Democratic (DFL) hold

District 3
See also: Minnesota's 3rd congressional district

The 3rd district encompasses the western suburbs of the Twin Cities, including Brooklyn Park, Coon Rapids to the northeast, Bloomington to the south, and Eden Prairie, Edina, Maple Grove, Plymouth, Minnetonka, and Wayzata to the west. The incumbent was Democrat Dean Phillips, who defeated incumbent Republican Erik Paulsen with 55.6% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Primary results
Democratic primary results[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic (DFL) Dean Phillips (incumbent) 73,011 90.7
Democratic (DFL) Cole Young 7,443 9.3
Total votes 80,454 100.0
Nominee
  • Kendall Qualls, businessman[44]
Eliminated in primary

Primary results
Republican primary results[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kendall Qualls 25,405 75.9
Republican Leslie Davis 8,060 24.1
Total votes 33,465 100.0

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Safe D July 17, 2020
Inside Elections[21] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[23] Likely D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[24] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[25] Safe D October 24, 2020
Niskanen[26] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results
Minnesota's 3rd congressional district, 2020[27]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic (DFL) Dean Phillips (incumbent) 246,666 55.6
Republican Kendall Qualls 196,625 44.3
Write-in 312 0.1
Total votes 443,603 100.0
Democratic (DFL) hold

District 4
See also: Minnesota's 4th congressional district

The 4th district encompasses the Saint Paul half of the Twin Cities metro area, including Ramsey County and parts of Washington County. The incumbent was Democrat Betty McCollum, who was reelected with 66.0% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Alberder Gillespie[46]
  • Tiffini Flynn Forslund[46]
  • Reid Rossell[46]
  • David Sandbeck, activist [47]

Primary results
Democratic primary results[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic (DFL) Betty McCollum (incumbent) 80,048 84.0
Democratic (DFL) Alberder Gillespie 6,327 6.6
Democratic (DFL) Tiffini Flynd Forslund 4,312 4.5
Democratic (DFL) David Sandbeck 3,425 3.6
Democratic (DFL) Reid Rossell 1,154 1.2
Total votes 95,266 100.0
Nominee
  • Gene Rechtzigel, farmer[48]
Eliminated in primary
  • Sia Lo, former deputy city attorney[49]

Primary results
Republican primary results[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Gene Rechtzigel 9,182 50.9
Republican Sia Lo 8,866 49.1
Total votes 18,048 100.0
Nominee
  • Susan Sindt, LMN candidate for Minnesota's 4th congressional district in 2016 and 2018[46]

Primary results
Grassroots-Legalize Cannabis primary results[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Grassroots Susan Sindt 618 100.0
Total votes 618 100.0

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[21] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[23] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[24] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[25] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[26] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results
Minnesota's 4th congressional district, 2020[27]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic (DFL) Betty McCollum (incumbent) 245,813 63.2
Republican Gene Rechtzigel 112,730 29.0
Grassroots Susan Sindt 29,537 7.6
Write-in 1,034 0.3
Total votes 389,114 100.0
Democratic (DFL) hold

District 5
See also: Minnesota's 5th congressional district

The 5th district encompasses eastern Hennepin County, including all of Minneapolis and the cities of St. Louis Park, Richfield, Crystal, Robbinsdale, Golden Valley, New Hope, and Fridley. The incumbent was Democrat Ilhan Omar, who was elected with 78.0% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Antone Melton-Meaux, attorney[50]
  • Daniel Patrick McCarthy[51]
  • John Mason, activist[52]
  • Les Lester, author and teacher[53]

Withdrawn
  • Ervan Katari Miller[54]
  • Leila Shukri Adan (endorsed Melton-Meaux) [55]
  • Haji Yussuf [56] (endorsed Omar)[57]
Endorsements
Antone Melton-Meaux
Federal officials
State officials
Individuals
Newspapers and Media
Ilhan Omar
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State officials
Local Officials
Organizations
Labor unions
Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Ilhan
Omar		 Antone
Melton-Meaux		 Other/
Undecided
Change Research[upper-alpha 7] July 7–9, 2020 509 (LV) ±  4.3% 66% 29% 5%[lower-alpha 6]
Primary results
Democratic primary results[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ilhan Omar (incumbent) 103,535 58.2
Democratic Antone Melton-Meaux 68,524 38.5
Democratic John Mason 2,721 1.5
Democratic Daniel Patrick McCarthy 1,901 1.1
Democratic Les Lester 1,267 0.7
Total votes 172,457 100.0
Nominee
  • Lacy Johnson, former IT consultant[90]
Eliminated in primary
  • Dalia al-Aqidi, journalist[91]
  • Danielle Stella, teacher[92]

Primary results
Republican primary results[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Lacy Johnson 9,188 76.6
Republican Danielle Stella 2,236 18.7
Republican Dalia al-Aqidi 568 4.7
Total votes 11,992 100.0
Nominee

Primary results
Legal Marijuana Now primary results[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Legal Marijuana Now Michael Moore 940 100.0
Total votes 940 100.0

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[21] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[23] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[24] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[25] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[26] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results
Minnesota's 5th congressional district, 2020[27]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic (DFL) Ilhan Omar (incumbent) 255,924 64.3
Republican Lacy Johnson 102,878 25.8
Legal Marijuana Now Michael Moore 37,979 9.5
Write-in 1,448 0.4
Total votes 398,229 100.0
Democratic (DFL) hold

District 6
See also: Minnesota's 6th congressional district

The 6th district encompasses the northern suburbs and exurbs of Minneapolis, including all of Benton, Sherburne, and Wright counties and parts of Anoka, Carver, Stearns, and Washington counties. The incumbent was Republican Tom Emmer, who was reelected with 61.1% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Patrick Munro, candidate for Minnesota's 6th congressional district in 2016 and 2018[94]

Primary results
Republican primary results[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tom Emmer (incumbent) 30,654 87.2
Republican Patrick Munro 4,518 12.8
Total votes 35,172 100.0
Nominee
  • Tawnja Zahradka, broadcaster and former Ms. Minnesota-America[95]

Primary results
Democratic primary results[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic (DFL) Tawnja Zahradka 29,445 100.0
Total votes 29,445 100.0

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[21] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[23] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[24] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[25] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[26] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results
Minnesota's 6th congressional district, 2020[27]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tom Emmer (incumbent) 270,901 65.7
Democratic (DFL) Tawnja Zahradka 140,853 34.2
Write-in 553 0.1
Total votes 412,307 100.0
Republican hold

District 7
See also: Minnesota's 7th congressional district

The 7th district covers all but the southern end of rural western Minnesota, and includes the cities of Moorhead, Fergus Falls, Alexandria and Willmar. The incumbent was Democrat Collin Peterson, who was reelected with 52.1% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Stephen A. Emery, sales representative[97]
  • Alycia Gruenhagen[98]
Endorsements
Collin Peterson
U.S. Senators
  • Joe Manchin, U.S. Senator from West Virginia and former Governor of West Virginia[99]
U.S. Representatives
State officials
Organizations
Individuals

Primary results
Democratic primary results[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic (DFL) Collin Peterson (incumbent) 26,925 75.6
Democratic (DFL) Alycia Gruenhagen 5,956 16.7
Democratic (DFL) Stephen Emery 2,734 7.7
Total votes 35,615 100.0
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Noel Collis, gastroenterologist[102]
  • Dave Hughes, U.S. Air Force veteran and nominee for Minnesota's 7th congressional district in 2016 and 2018[103]
  • William Louwagie, farmer[104]
  • Jayesun Sherman, former teacher and former youth pastor[105]
Withdrawn
  • Joel Novak, U.S. Army veteran[106]
Declined
Endorsements
Michelle Fischbach
U.S. Presidents
Organizations

Primary results
Republican primary results[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Michelle Fischbach 26,359 58.8
Republican Dave Hughes 9,948 22.2
Republican Noel Collis 6,747 15.1
Republican William Louwagie 989 2.2
Republican Jayesun Sherman 757 1.7
Total votes 44,800 100.0
Nominee
  • Rae Hart Anderson, Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018[98]
Eliminated in primary
  • Kevin "NeNe" Shores[98]

Primary results
Grassroots-Legalize Cannabis primary results[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Grassroots Rae Hart Anderson 215 67.4
Grassroots Kevin Shores 104 32.6
Total votes 319 100.0
Nominee

Primary results
Legal Marijuana Now primary results[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Legal Marijuana Now Slater Johnson 592 100.0
Total votes 592 100.0

Debates

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Tossup July 16, 2020
Inside Elections[21] Tossup October 16, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Lean R (flip) November 2, 2020
Politico[23] Tossup July 6, 2020
Daily Kos[24] Lean R (flip) November 2, 2020
RCP[25] Tossup June 9, 2020
Niskanen[26] Lean D July 26, 2020

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Collin
Peterson (D)		 Michelle
Fischbach (R)		 Undecided
Tarrance Group (R)[upper-alpha 8] August 2–5, 2020 413 (RV) ±  4.9% 42% 52% 6%

Results
Minnesota's 7th congressional district, 2020[27]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Michelle Fischbach 194,066 53.4
Democratic (DFL) Collin Peterson (incumbent) 144,840 39.8
Legal Marijuana Now Slater Johnson 17,710 4.9
Grassroots Rae Hart Anderson 6,499 1.8
Write-in 362 0.1
Total votes 363,477 100.0
Republican gain from Democratic (DFL)

District 8
See also: Minnesota's 8th congressional district

The 8th district is based in the Iron Range and home to the city of Duluth. The incumbent was Republican Pete Stauber, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.7% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Harry Robb Welty, former teacher[112]

Primary results
Republican primary results[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Pete Stauber (incumbent) 39,060 93.7
Republican Harry Robb Welty 2,606 6.3
Total votes 41,666 100.0
Nominee
  • Quinn Nystrom, diabetes issues advocate and former Baxter city councilwoman[113]
Withdrawn
Declined
Endorsements
Quinn Nystrom
Federal Politicians
Organizations

Primary results
Democratic primary results[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic (DFL) Quinn Nystrom 46,050 100.0
Total votes 46,050 100.0
Nominee

Primary results
Grassroots-Legalize Cannabis primary results[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Grassroots Judith Schwartzbacker 540 100.0
Total votes 540 100.0

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Safe R August 14, 2020
Inside Elections[21] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[23] Likely R July 6, 2020
Daily Kos[24] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[25] Likely R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[26] Likely R June 7, 2020

Results
Minnesota's 8th congressional district, 2020[27]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Pete Stauber (incumbent) 223,432 56.7
Democratic (DFL) Quinn Nystrom 147,853 37.6
Grassroots Judith Schwartzbacker 22,190 5.6
Write-in 236 0.1
Total votes 393,711 100.0
Republican hold

See also

Notes
  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Undecided with 18%
  3. Undecided with 22%
  4. "Other/Neither" with 1%, Undecided with 5%
  5. "Other/Neither" with 2%, "Not sure/Refused" with 6%
  6. "Other" with 3% and Undecided with 2%
Partisan clients
  1. Poll sponsored by End Citizens United, which has endorsed Feehan prior to this poll's sampling period.
  2. Poll sponsored by House Majority PAC.
  3. Poll sponsored by Feehan's campaign
  4. Poll sponsored by Hagedorn's campaign
  5. Poll sponsored by Craig's campaign
  6. This poll is sponsored by Kistner's Campaign
  7. Poll conducted for Ilhan Omar.
  8. Poll conducted for the CLF.

References
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