2018 United States Senate election in Virginia
The 2018 United States Senate election in Virginia took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Virginia, concurrently with other elections to the U.S. Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic Senator Tim Kaine, who had been his party's nominee for Vice President two years earlier, was re-elected to a second term in office, winning this seat by the largest margin since 1988. The Republican Party of Virginia central committee voted to select the Republican nominee for Senate by a primary rather than a convention. Corey Stewart, chair of the Prince William Board of County Supervisors, won the Republican nomination on June 12, 2018, after defeating Delegate Nick Freitas and Christian minister E. W. Jackson.[1]
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Turnout | 59.14% | ||||||||||||||||
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County and Independent City Results Kaine: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Stewart: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Virginia |
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Democratic primary
Declared
- Tim Kaine, incumbent U.S. Senator, former governor, and Democratic nominee for vice president in 2016[2]
Republican primary
Declared
- Nick Freitas, state delegate[3]
- E. W. Jackson, pastor, attorney, veteran, candidate for the U.S Senate in 2012 and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2013[4]
- Corey Stewart, chairman of the Prince William Board of County Supervisors, candidate for lieutenant governor in 2013 and candidate for governor in 2017[5]
Failed to qualify
- Minerva Diaz, veteran, businesswoman, and Christian minister[6][7]
- Bert Mizusawa, former Deputy Undersecretary of the Army, retired U.S. Army Major General and candidate for VA-02 in 2010[8]
- Ivan Raiklin, veteran and businessman[9]
Declined
- Dave Brat, U.S. Representative[10][11][12]
- Eric Cantor, former Majority Leader of the United States House of Representatives[10]
- Barbara Comstock, U.S. Representative[10][11][12]
- Ken Cuccinelli, former attorney general and nominee for governor in 2013[10][11]
- Tom Davis, former U.S. Representative[10][11]
- Jim Gilmore, former governor, nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2008 and candidate for president in 2008 and 2016[13][12][14]
- Jimmie Massie, former state delegate[11][13][12]
- Pete Snyder, technology entrepreneur and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2013[10][13][12]
- Scott Taylor, U.S. Representative[12]
- Rob Wittman, U.S. Representative[10][15]
- Carly Fiorina, former CEO of Hewlett-Packard, nominee for the U.S. Senate from California in 2010 and candidate for president in 2016[16]
- Ed Gillespie, former chairman of the Republican National Committee, nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2014,[11] and nominee for governor in 2017
- Shak Hill, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014 (running for VA-10)[17]
- Laura Ingraham, talk radio host, author, and conservative political commentator (endorsed Corey Stewart)[18]
- Bob McDonnell, former governor of Virginia (endorsed Nick Freitas)[19][20]
- John Moore, University of Virginia law professor and former diplomat[21][22]
- Frank Wagner, state senator and candidate for governor in 2017[11]
Endorsements
- U.S. Senators
- Mike Lee (R-UT)[23]
- Rand Paul (R-KY), and 2016 U.S. presidential candidate[23]
- U.S. Representatives
- Ron Paul, former U.S. Representative (R-TX), candidate for president in 1988, 2008 and 2012[24]
- Paul Broun, former U.S. Representative (R-GA)[25]
- U.S. Governors
- Bob McDonnell (R-VA), former governor of Virginia[26]
- State senators
- Bryce Reeves, state senator and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2017[27]
- David Suetterlein, state senator[28]
- Bill DeSteph, state senator[29]
- Mark Obenshain, state senator and 2013 Republican nominee for Attorney General of Virginia[30]
- State delegates
- Todd Gilbert, Virginia House Majority Leader[31]
- Greg Habeeb, state delegate[32]
- Steve Landes, state delegate[33]
- Dave LaRock, state delegate[34]
- Brenda Pogge, state delegate
- Mike Webert, state delegate[35]
- Jason Miyares, state delegate[36]
- Rob Bell, state delegate and candidate for Attorney General of Virginia in 2013 and 2017.[37]
- Local Officials
- Jeremy McCleary, Mayor of Woodstock[38]
- Ron Meyer, Loudoun County Supervisor[39]
- Jon Russell, Member of the Culpeper town council[40]
- Susan Lascolette, Member of the Goochland County Board of Supervisors[40]
- Andrew Pullen, Member of the Fluvanna County School Board[41]
- Josh Thiel, Leesburg town councilmen[42]
- Notable Individuals
- Bishop Leon Benjamin, founder and senior pastor of New Life Harvest Church in Richmond[43]
- Cassandra Fairbanks, contributor to The Gateway Pundit[44]
- Hugh Hewitt, conservative talk radio host[45]
- Charlie Kirk, founder and executive director of Turning Point USA[46]
- Mark Lloyd, Virginia State Director - Trump for President[47]
- Cliff Maloney Jr., executive director of Young Americans for Liberty[48]
- Austin Petersen, Libertarian candidate for President of the United States in 2016 and candidate for U.S Senate in Missouri for 2018[49]
- Cabot Phillips, media director for Campus Reform[50]
- Scott Presler, political activist[51]
- Denver Riggleman, businessman, candidate for governor in 2017, and Republican nominee for VA-05 in 2018[31]
- Mike Rubino, Virginia Senior Adviser - Trump For President[47]
- Erich Reimer, financial host, conservative columnist, and television commentator[52]
- Kyle Kashuv, Parkland shooting survivor and conservative activist[53]
- Antonia Okafor, gun rights and campus carry activist[54]
- Kelley Paul, political consultant and activist[55]
- Richard Viguerie, conservative activist and chairman of ConservativeHQ.com[56]
- Party leadership
- Morton Blackwell, Republican National Committeeman for Virginia[57]
- Kishore Thota, chairman of the Young Republican Federation of Virginia[58]
- Organizations
- FreedomWorks[59]
- National Association for Gun Rights PAC[60]
- National Rifle Association (Political Victory Fund Only)[61]
- Republican Liberty Caucus[62]
- Students For Trump[63]
- Americans For Prosperity[64]
- News Publications
- Cabinet-level officials
- William G. Boykin, executive vice president at the Family Research Council, retired lieutenant general, former Deputy Undersecretary of Defense for Intelligence[68]
- Dr. Sebastian Gorka, former deputy assistant to President Donald Trump, military and intelligence analyst, FOX News Contributor
- U.S. governors
- Mike Huckabee, former governor of Arkansas[69]
- Statewide office holders
- Ken Blackwell, National Rifle Association Board Member, former Ohio Secretary of State, former Ohio State Treasurer, former mayor of Cincinnati, Ohio
- Local officials
- Suzy Kelly, Chesapeake city councilwoman, chairman of the Virginia Chamber of Commerce, CEO of Jo-Kell
- Notable individuals
- Rafael Cruz, pastor and father of Ted Cruz[70]
- Organizations
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Nick Freitas |
E. W. Jackson |
Corey Stewart |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Atlantic Media & Research (R-Stewart) | May 14–18, 2018 | 355 | ± 5.2% | 9% | 5% | 32% | – | – |
Christopher Newport University | February 5–28, 2018 | 422 | ± 2.5% | 6% | 7% | 16% | 5%[72] | 66% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Corey Stewart | 136,610 | 44.87% | |
Republican | Nick Freitas | 131,321 | 43.14% | |
Republican | Earl Jackson, Sr. | 36,508 | 11.99% | |
Total votes | 304,439 | 100% |
Third party candidates
- Matt Waters, director of development at Students For Liberty,[74] received the Libertarian Party nomination on March 10, 2018.[75][76] On June 28, 2018, he also received the endorsement of the Constitution Party of Virginia.[77]
- Winsome Sears, a Republican former state delegate, ran as a write-in candidate. [78]
General election
The election featured a match-up of two Minnesota-born Virginians: Republican Corey Stewart was born in Duluth, Minnesota, and Democrat Tim Kaine was born in Saint Paul, Minnesota.[79] All polls leading up to the election showed Kaine defeating Stewart by a wide margin.
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[80] | Safe D | September 28, 2018 |
Inside Elections[81] | Safe D | January 5, 2017 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[82] | Safe D | February 7, 2018 |
Fox News[83] | Likely D | July 9, 2018 |
CNN[84] | Safe D | July 12, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[85] | Safe D | August 14, 2018 |
Debates/Townhalls
Host network/sponsors |
Date | Link(s) | Participants | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tim Kaine (D) |
Corey Stewart (R) |
Matt Waters (L) | |||
PBS NewsHour/Virginia Bar Association | July 21, 2018 | Invited | Invited | — | |
Hampton University/Liberty University | September 20, 2018 | Invited | Invited | — | |
WRC-TV | September 26, 2018 | Invited | Invited | — | |
Liberty University | October 3, 2018 | Invited | Invited | — |
Endorsements
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, President of the United States[86]
- U.S. Representatives
- Virgil Goode, (VA-5) (former)[87]
- State officials
- Ken Cuccinelli, former Attorney General of Virginia[88]
- E.W. Jackson, former Republican nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Virginia[89]
- Notable individuals
- Laura Ingraham, talk radio host, author, and conservative political commentator[18]
- Jerry Falwell Jr., president of Liberty University[90]
- Maria Espinoza, founder of the Remembrance Project[91]
- Malik Obama, half-brother of former president Barack Obama[92]
- Former U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States[93]
- U.S. Senators
- Dick Durbin, U.S. Senator (D-IL) and Senate Minority Whip[94]
- Doug Jones, U.S. Senator (D-AL)[95]
- John Warner, former U.S. Senator (R-VA)[96]
- Mark Warner, U.S. Senator (D-VA)[97]
- U.S. Representatives
- Tom Perriello, (D-VA-5) (former)[98]
- Donald McEachin, (D-VA-4)[99]
- Don Beyer, (D-VA-8)[100]
- Gerry Connolly, (D-VA-11)[101]
- State officials
- Ralph Northam, Governor of Virginia[102]
- Justin Fairfax, Lieutenant Governor of Virginia[103]
- Terry McAuliffe, former governor of Virginia[104]
- Labor unions
- United Automobile Workers[105]
- United Mine Workers of America[106]
- Organizations
- Coalition to Stop Gun Violence[107]
- Council for a Livable World[108]
- Feminist Majority Political Action Committee [109]
- JStreet[110]
- League of Conservation Voters Action Fund[111]
- National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare[112]
- National Organization for Women[113]
- Natural Resources Defense Council Action Fund[114]
- Population Connection[115]
- Sierra Club Virginia Chapter[116]
- Local Officials
- Joe Walton, Libertarian nominee for VA-07 in 2018 and former chairman of the Powhatan County Board of Supervisors[117]
- Party Leadership
- Nicholas Sarwark, chairman of the Libertarian National Committee, candidate for Mayor of Phoenix in 2018[118]
- Bill Redpath, Libertarian National Committeeman, former treasurer and former chairman of the Libertarian National Committee[119]
- Carla Howell, political director of the Libertarian Party[119]
- Wes Benedict, executive director of the Libertarian National Committee[119]
- Notable Individuals
- Cliff Hyra, lawyer and Libertarian nominee for Governor of Virginia in 2017[120]
- Jon Utley, publisher of The American Conservative and son of Freda Utley[120]
- Dan McLaughlin, lawyer and columnist at National Review[121]
- Chris Rufer, founder of The Morning Star Company[119]
- Daniel McAdams, executive director of the Ron Paul Institute for Peace and Prosperity[122]
- Organizations
- Constitution Party of Virginia[123]
- Libertarian Youth Caucus[124]
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tim Kaine (D) |
Corey Stewart (R) |
Matt Waters (L) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Mary Washington/SSRS | September 4–9, 2018 | 512 LV | ± 5.8% | 52% | 36% | 5% | 0% | 4% |
704 RV | ± 5.0% | 51% | 33% | 5% | 1% | 7% | ||
801 A | ± 4.6% | 49% | 30% | 6% | 1% | 9% | ||
Cygnal/POOLHOUSE (R) | August 22–24, 2018 | 1,119 | ± 2.8% | 50% | 46% | – | – | 4% |
Roanoke College | August 12–19, 2018 | 512 | ± 4.3% | 51% | 34% | 4% | – | 11% |
Virginia Commonwealth University | July 10–30, 2018 | 757 | ± 3.6% | 49% | 26% | 5% | – | 20% |
Quinnipiac University | June 21–25, 2018 | 1,082 | ± 3.7% | 54% | 36% | – | 0% | 9% |
Roanoke College | May 20–30, 2018 | 555 | ± 4.2% | 44% | 33% | – | – | 23% |
Christopher Newport University | February 5–28, 2018 | 1,562 | ± 2.5% | 56% | 32% | – | 1% | 11% |
University of Mary Washington/PSRAI | September 5–12, 2017 | 562 LV | ± 5.2% | 53% | 36% | – | – | 7% |
867 RV | ± 4.1% | 54% | 39% | – | 1% | 4% |
Results
Senator Kaine was declared the victor as soon as the polls closed. His margin of victory was just about the same as what the polls indicated they would be.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Tim Kaine (incumbent) | 1,910,370 | 57.00% | +4.17% | |
Republican | Corey Stewart | 1,374,313 | 41.01% | -5.91% | |
Libertarian | Matt Waters | 61,565 | 1.84% | +1.84% | |
Write-in | 5,125 | 0.15% | N/A | ||
Total votes | 3,351,373 | 100% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold |
See also
- United States House of Representatives election in Virginia, 2018
References
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- Obenshain, Mark. "It's a real treat to have my friend and US Senate candidate @NickForVA in the Shenandoah Valley tonight. Nick Freitas will be a great Senator!". Twitter.
- "A state lawmaker gives Corey Stewart competition for GOP Senate nomination". March 9, 2018.
- Habeeb, Greg. "Lots of folks asking me who they should vote for in the @VA_GOP Primary next Tuesday. Honestly, this is an absolute no-brainer. @NickForVA is one of the best young candidates we've had in years and would make an amazing Senator". Twitter.
- Landes, Steve. "Vote Nick Freitas for U.S. Senate!". Twitter.
- "Delegate Dave LaRock on Twitter".
- "Delegate Mike Webert joins the Republican line-up supporting #Nick4Senate! #LibertyRising". Twitter.com. February 2, 2018.
- "Delegate Jason Miyares joins the long list of Republicans, like Senator Rand Paul and Virginia Senator Bryce Reeves, endorsing my run for U.S. Senate". Facebook.com. February 26, 2018.
- "U.S. Senate Candidate Nick Freitas Announces New Wave of Endorsements". Nick Freitas for U.S. Senate. May 17, 2018. Archived from the original on May 23, 2018. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
- "Our campaign is proud to announce an endorsement from Woodstock Mayor Jeremy D. McCleary. Thank you, Mayor! #Nick4Senate #LibertyRising". Twitter.com. January 16, 2018.
- Meyer, Ron. "Excited to join @RandPaul on Saturday to rally @NickForVA to victory for US Senate! #LibertyRising". Twitter.
- "Freitas announces U.S. Senate bid against Kaine". Culpeper Star-Exponent. December 11, 2017.
- "Exclusive: Freitas Receives New Endorsement Out Of Fluvanna County". rwmartinez.com. December 11, 2017.
- Thiel, Josh. "Proud to support @NickForVA for US Senate with Senator @RandPaul. #LibertyRising". Twitter.
- "I'm glad to announce that Bishop Leon Benjamin has endorsed my campaign for U.S. Senate. #LibertyRising #Nick4Senate". Twitter.com. February 12, 2018.
- Fairbanks, Cassandra. "Dear VA, please get rid of Tim Kaine by voting @NickForVA tomorrow instead of that other guy". Twitter.
- Hewitt, Hugh. "Voted for @NickForVA today. 9/11 vets and special forces to boot. Young and ready to take on Senator Kaine. Uphill race but a vet worth a vote if you haven't already been to the polls". Twitter.
- Kirk, Charlie. "He has my full support!". Twitter.
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- "Cliff Maloney Jr. on Twitter".
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- Phillips, Cabot. "If you're looking for a candidate to get excited about, @NickForVA is the one. He's an experienced, principled leader who will defend our conservative values in the Senate. I'm excited to support him!". Twitter.
- "#ThePersistence on Twitter".
- ""Virginia's GOP Senate Primary: Voting For Special Forces Veteran Nick Freitas And Respecting Those Who Sacrifice For Our Country"". The American Spectator. June 8, 2018.
- "Kyle Kashuv on Twitter". Twitter.
- Freitas, Nick. ""As a Second Amendment rights and women's empowerment activist, I only go out of my way to endorse candidates I truly believe will fight for us. Nick Freitas is that fighter. And I know he will fight for Virginia and our Second Amendment rights in Washington." - @antonia_okafor". Twitter.
- "Kelley Paul on Twitter".
- "Endorsement: Nick Freitas For U.S. Senator From Virginia". ConservativeHQ.com. June 11, 2018.
- "A state lawmaker gives Corey Stewart competition for GOP Senate nomination". Washington Post. March 9, 2018.
- "For The First Time Ever, A Majority Of Virginia's Young Republicans Federation Members Endorse GOP Primary Candidate, Nick Freitas". April 25, 2018. Archived from the original on April 28, 2018. Retrieved April 27, 2018.
- "FreedomWorks for America Endorses Nick Freitas in the Virginia Senate Race". FreedomWorks. April 10, 2018. Archived from the original on April 11, 2018. Retrieved April 11, 2018.
- "The National Association for Gun Rights PAC has endorsed my race for U.S. Senate because they know I'm the only candidate with a proven record of fighting back the gun-grabbing Left. #LibertyRising". Twitter.
- "Stewart Snubbed: NRA endorses Nick Freitas in U.S. Senate primary race". InsideNoVA. May 10, 2018.
- "The Republican Liberty Caucus Endorses Nick Freitas". Republican Liberty Caucus. May 4, 2018.
- "Students For Trump on Twitter".
- "Americans for Prosperity endorses Nick Freitas in Virginia Senate GOP primary". Washington Times. June 5, 2018.
- "Sun Gazette endorsement: Freitas is only viable choice for Arlington GOP". Insidenova.com. May 31, 2018.
- "The Reagan Battalion on Twitter".
- "Rand Paul Stumps For Nick Freitas In Virginia". 71 Republic. Archived from the original on December 16, 2018. Retrieved February 23, 2019.
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- "E.W. Jackson". facebook.com.
- "FRC Action PAC Announces Endorsement of E.W. Jackson to U.S. Congress". Family Research Council Action PAC. May 15, 2018.
- Ivan Raiklin* 1%, Other 4%. *Failed to qualify.
- "2018 June Republican Primary". Results.elections.virginia.gov. Retrieved June 23, 2018.
- "Waters to Seek Nomination for US Senate". Standard News Wire. February 21, 2018. Retrieved March 10, 2018.
- "Virginia Libertarians Nominate Candidate for U.S. Senate". Bearing Drift. March 11, 2018.
- "Waters for US Senate Turns in Over 14,000 Signatures" (Press release). Matt Waters Campaign.
- "Constitution Party of Virginia Endorses Matt Waters for US Senate" (PDF) (Press release). Archived from the original (PDF) on August 31, 2018. Retrieved September 25, 2018.
- "Former GOP state delegate wants Republicans to write in her name for US Senate instead of voting for Corey Stewart".
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- Trump, Donald. "Congratulations to Corey Stewart for his great victory for Senator from Virginia. Now he runs against a total stiff, Tim Kaine, who is weak on crime and borders, and wants to raise your taxes through the roof. Don't underestimate Corey, a major chance of winning!". Twitter.
- "Former Congressman Virgil Goode is here in support of Corey Stewart". Twitter.
- "With Corey Stewart atop the ticket, Virginia Republicans are in turmoil".
- "Bishop E W Jackson". facebook.com. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
- Stewart, Corey. "Pleased to announce @JerryFalwellJr's support. He was instrumental in electing @realDonaldTrump. Falwell's endorsement is proof positive conservative Republicans will take back Virginia in 2018". Twitter.com. Retrieved December 10, 2017.
- "Corey Stewart". facebook.com.
- "Malik Obama on Twitter". Retrieved November 6, 2018.
- Wexton, Jennifer. "Look who surprised our volunteers in #VA10 this afternoon – thank you so much @BarackObama for inspiring our team with just one day to go!". Twitter.
- "WI, FL & VA-Sen: Sen. Dick Durbin (D. IL) Helps These Democrats Keep Up The Resistance". Daily Kos. October 30, 2017.
- Jones, Doug. "Louise and I were honored to host my friend and colleague @timkaine at our home last night. Tim is a true public servant and a strong, steady leader we need to keep in the Senate!". Twitter.
- "Former GOP Senator John Warner crosses party lines, endorses Kaine for Senate". Retrieved November 6, 2018.
- Warner, Mark. ".@TimKaine is a uniter not a divider. He's a heck of a Senator, and I'm proud to call him my friend. Let's go out there and get him re-elected". Twitter.
- Perriello, Tom. "Feeling @timkaine 2018 after that crushing debate yesterday! #TK4VA". Twitter.
- McEachin, Donald. "I hope to see @Vangie4Congress, @ElaineLuriaVA, @LeslieCockburn, @JenniferForVA, @SpanbergerVA07, @flacc4congress, & @JenniferWexton join @timkaine, @markwarnerva, @ElectConnolly, @BobbyScott4VA3, @DonBeyerVA and me in Congress! #BlueWave". Twitter.
- Beyer, Don. "We must reelect @timkaine". Twitter.
- Connolly, Gerry. "Looking forward to another great campaign alongside my friend @timkaine". Twitter.
- Northam, Ralph. "Virginians are looking for leaders with a moral compass—that's my friend @timkaine all the way. He speaks to the best in us, his opponent speaks to the worst. I'm ready to work hard to send him back to the Senate— are you ready to join us?". Twitter.
- Fairfax, Justin. "#BlueWave2018! Virginia, let's re-elect @timkaine, @BobbyScott4VA3, @Donald_McEachin, & @ElectConnolly — & elect @Vangie4Congress, @ElaineLuriaVA, @LeslieCockburn, @JenniferForVA, @SpanbergerVA07, @flacc4congress, & @JenniferWexton. #WeRiseTogether". Twitter.
- McAuliffe, Terry. ".@timkaine is a great Senator and an even better man. @DSMcAuliffe and I will be with Tim and Anne every step of the way. Game on!". Twitter.
- "Virginia – Official UAW Endorsements". uawendorsements.org. United Automobile Workers.
- Roberts, Cecil (May 24, 2018). "UMWA endorses Kaine for reelection to U.S. Senate - UMWA". UMWA. United Mine Workers of America National Council of the Coal Miners Political Action Committee.
- Patrick, Andrew (May 8, 2018). "Coalition to Stop Gun Violence Endorses Kaine for Re-Election". The Coalition to Stop Gun Violence.
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- "MattWaters.com". facebook.com.
- "Jason Schultz (L) on Twitter".
- "Browse Receipts - FEC.gov". FEC.gov.
- "Browse Receipts - FEC.gov". FEC.gov.
- "Dan McLaughlin on Twitter". Retrieved November 6, 2018.
- "Daniel McAdams on Twitter". Retrieved November 6, 2018.
- "CPV Jun 28th 2018 Press Release.pdf".
- "Libertarian Youth Caucus". facebook.com. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
- "2018 November General". Elections.virginia.gov/. Retrieved February 23, 2019.
External links
- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at Center for Responsive Politics
- Official campaign websites