2020 United States presidential election in Oklahoma

The 2020 United States presidential election in Oklahoma was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[2] Oklahoma voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Oklahoma has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College.[3]

2020 United States presidential election in Oklahoma

November 3, 2020
Turnout	51.5% 2.5 pp[1]
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden Party Republican Democratic Home state Florida Delaware Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris Electoral vote 7 0 Popular vote 1,020,280 503,890 Percentage 65.37% 32.29%
County Results Trump   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90–100%
President before election Donald Trump Republican Elected President Joe Biden Democratic

Trump easily carried Oklahoma on Election Day by a margin of 33.08%, down from 36.39 points in 2016. Oklahoma was one of two states where Trump won every county, the other being West Virginia. This also signaled the fifth consecutive election in which the Republican candidate carried every county in the state. In this election, Trump also became the first presidential candidate ever to win more than a million votes in Oklahoma.[4] Biden came within 3,326 votes of winning Oklahoma's most populous county Oklahoma County, however, and he won more than 40% of the vote in Oklahoma's second-most populous county Tulsa. No Democratic presidential candidate has won Oklahoma County since Lyndon B. Johnson in his 1964 landslide, or Tulsa County since Franklin D. Roosevelt in his 1936 landslide. However, these gains in urban Oklahoma were offset by continued falloff in southeast Oklahoma, where Biden underperformed even Hillary Clinton's dismal performance 4 years earlier in most counties.

Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Trump's strength in Oklahoma came from whites, with 71% support. Oklahoma, often termed the "Buckle of the Bible Belt", is a very religious state, with Trump capturing white Protestants by 78%.[5] Trump also exhibited considerable strength in the socially conservative but economically liberal area known as "Little Dixie", which historically votes Democratic at the local level, carrying Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district, which encompasses this region and its sizable conservative Native American population, by 54%.

Primary elections

The primary elections were held on Super Tuesday, March 3, 2020.

Republican primary

Donald Trump and Bill Weld were among the declared Republican candidates.

Trump won the state in a landslide victory against his five opponents.

2020 Oklahoma Republican primary[6][7]
Candidate	Popular vote		Delegates[8]
	Count	Percentage
Donald Trump	273,738	92.60%	43
Joe Walsh (withdrawn)	10,996	3.72%	0
Matthew Matern	3,810	1.29%	0
Bob Ely	3,294	1.11%	0
Rocky De La Fuente	2,466	0.83%	0
Zoltan Istvan	1,297	0.44%	0
Total	295,601	100%	43

Democratic primary

Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, and former Vice President Joe Biden were the major declared Democratic candidates.[9]

Popular vote share by county

  Biden—<30%

  Biden—30–40%

  Biden—40–50%

2020 Oklahoma Democratic presidential primary[10]

Candidate	Votes	%	Delegates[11]
Joe Biden	117,633	38.66	21
Bernie Sanders	77,425	25.45	13
Michael Bloomberg	42,270	13.89	2
Elizabeth Warren	40,732	13.39	1
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn†)	6,733	2.21	0
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn†)	5,115	1.68	0
Tulsi Gabbard	5,109	1.68	0
Tom Steyer (withdrawn†)	2,006	0.66	0
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)	1,997	0.66	0
Cory Booker (withdrawn)	1,530	0.50	0
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)	1,273	0.42	0
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)	1,158	0.38	0
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)	680	0.22	0
Julian Castro (withdrawn)	620	0.20	0
Total	304,281	100%	37

†Candidate withdrew after early voting started.

Libertarian nominee

• Jo Jorgensen, Psychology Senior Lecturer at Clemson University

General election

Independent candidates

Three unaffiliated candidates filed to be on the Oklahoma presidential ballot, all by paying a $35,000 fee. Green Party candidate Howie Hawkins has filed a lawsuit challenging the amount of the filing fee.[12]

• Jade Simmons, concert artist, speaker, and author[13]
• Brock Pierce, cryptocurrency entrepreneur and former child actor[14]
• Kanye West, musician[15]

Ballot order

Oklahoma determines ballot order by lot, with unaffiliated candidates listed below candidates of recognized parties. The drawing was held on July 16th, with the resulting order for political parties being Republican, Libertarian, Democrat.[16] The unaffiliated candidates for president will be listed in this order: Jade Simmons, Kanye West, Brock Pierce [17]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[18]	Safe R	September 10, 2020
Inside Elections[19]	Safe R	September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20]	Safe R	July 14, 2020
Politico[21]	Safe R	September 8, 2020
RCP[22]	Safe R	August 3, 2020
Niskanen[23]	Safe R	July 26, 2020
CNN[24]	Safe R	August 3, 2020
The Economist[25]	Safe R	September 2, 2020
CBS News[26]	Likely R	August 16, 2020
270towin[27]	Safe R	August 2, 2020
ABC News[28]	Safe R	July 31, 2020
NPR[29]	Likely R	August 3, 2020
NBC News[30]	Safe R	August 6, 2020
538[31]	Safe R	September 9, 2020

Graphical summary

Graph of opinion polls conducted. Trend lines represent local regressions.

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1]	Margin
270 to Win	September 17, 2020 – October 20, 2020	October 28, 2020	38.5%	58.5%	3.0%	Trump +20.0
FiveThirtyEight	until October 27, 2020	October 28, 2020	36.4%	58.3%	5.3%	Trump +21.9
Average			37.5%	58.4%	4.1%	Trump +20.9

Polls

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 2]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Jo Jorgensen Libertarian	Other	Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020	1,902 (LV)	± 3%	65%[lower-alpha 3]	35%	-	–	–
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Oct 1–28, 2020	3,191 (LV)	–	59%	40%	-	–	–
SoonerPoll/News 9/News on 6	Oct 15–20, 2020	5,466 (LV)	± 1.33%	59%	37%	1%	2%[lower-alpha 4]	2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Sep 1–30, 2020	1,174 (LV)	–	63%	35%	-	–	2%
Amber Integrated	Sep 17–20, 2020	500 (LV)	± 4.38%	55%	33%	1%	5%[lower-alpha 5]	6%
SoonerPoll/News9	Sep 2–8, 2020	486 (LV)	± 4.45%	60%	35%	-	1%[lower-alpha 6]	4%
SoonerPoll	Aug 13–31, 2020	379 (LV)	± 5.03%	60%	35%	-	2%[lower-alpha 7]	4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Aug 1–31, 2020	1,009 (LV)	–	64%	35%	-	–	2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Jul 1–31, 2020	1,410 (LV)	–	64%	34%	-	–	4%
DFM Research/Abby Broyles for US Senate[upper-alpha 1]	Jul 29–30, 2020	572 (LV)	± 4.1%	56%	36%	-	5%[lower-alpha 8]	3%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Jun 8–30, 2020	591 (LV)	–	61%	37%	-	–	1%
Amber Integrated	Jun 3–4, 2020	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	55%	36%	-	4%[lower-alpha 9]	5%
Amber Integrated	Mar 5–8, 2020	500 (LV)	± 4.4 %	57%	33%	-	4%	5%
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates/OK Sooner	Feb 10–13, 2020	500 (RV)	± 4.3%	62%	34%	-	–	4%

Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[lower-alpha 2] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Bernie Sanders (D) Other Undecided Amber Integrated Mar 5–8, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4 % 59% 30% 5% 5% Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates/OK Sooner Feb 10–13, 2020 500 (RV) ± 4.3% 63% 34% – 3% Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[lower-alpha 2] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Pete Buttigieg (D) Other Undecided Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates/OK Sooner Feb 10–13, 2020 500 (RV) ± 4.3% 61% 35% – 3%

Results

2020 United States presidential election in Oklahoma[32]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Donald Trump Mike Pence	1,020,280	65.37	+0.05%
	Democratic	Joe Biden Kamala Harris	503,890	32.29	+3.36%
	Libertarian	Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen	24,731	1.58	-4.17%
	Independent	Kanye West Michelle Tidball	5,597	0.36	N/A
	Independent	Jade Simmons Claudeliah Roze	3,654	0.23	N/A
	Independent	Brock Pierce Karla Ballard	2,547	0.16	N/A
Total votes			1,560,699	100.0

Results by county

County[32]	Trump	Trump %	Biden	Biden %	Others	Others %	Total
Adair	5,585	78.57%	1,387	19.51%	136	1.91%	7,108
Alfalfa	1,978	87.44%	232	10.26%	52	2.30%	2,262
Atoka	4,557	84.56%	765	14.20%	67	1.24%	5,389
Beaver	1,968	90.36%	190	8.72%	20	0.92%	2,178
Beckham	6,767	85.14%	1,048	13.19%	133	1.67%	7,948
Blaine	3,136	80.39%	688	17.64%	77	1.97%	3,901
Bryan	12,344	77.27%	3,323	20.80%	309	1.93%	15,976
Caddo	7,013	71.13%	2,670	27.08%	176	1.79%	9,859
Canadian	43,550	70.31%	16,742	27.03%	1,648	2.66%	61,940
Carter	14,699	75.46%	4,470	22.95%	310	1.59%	19,479
Cherokee	11,223	63.36%	6,027	34.02%	464	2.62%	17,714
Choctaw	4,698	80.56%	1,082	18.55%	52	0.89%	5,832
Cimarron	970	92.03%	70	6.64%	15	1.42%	1,054
Cleveland	66,677	55.67%	49,827	41.60%	3,274	2.73%	119,778
Coal	2,091	82.84%	374	14.82%	59	2.34%	2,524
Comanche	20,905	58.67%	13,747	38.58%	979	2.75%	35,631
Cotton	2,117	82.31%	393	15.28%	62	2.41%	2,572
Craig	4,686	77.69%	1,217	20.18%	129	2.14%	6,032
Creek	23,294	76.36%	6,577	21.56%	634	2.08%	30,505
Custer	8,060	75.39%	2,369	22.16%	262	2.45%	10,691
Delaware	13,557	78.61%	3,472	20.13%	216	1.25%	17,245
Dewey	2,124	90.04%	214	9.07%	21	0.89%	2,359
Ellis	1,688	90.12%	162	8.65%	23	1.23%	1,873
Garfield	16,970	75.66%	4,919	21.93%	541	2.41%	22,430
Garvin	8,878	81.29%	1,865	17.08%	179	1.64%	10,922
Grady	18,538	80.25%	4,144	17.94%	419	1.81%	23,101
Grant	1,916	86.07%	280	12.58%	30	1.35%	2,226
Greer	1,605	81.35%	328	16.62%	40	2.03%	1,973
Harmon	747	80.06%	177	18.97%	9	0.96%	933
Harper	1,327	89.24%	136	9.15%	24	1.61%	1,487
Haskell	4,165	83.07%	783	15.62%	76	1.52%	5,014
Hughes	3,875	79.78%	919	18.92%	63	1.30%	4,857
Jackson	6,392	77.75%	1,646	20.02%	183	2.23%	8,221
Jefferson	2,026	84.95%	319	13.38%	40	1.68%	2,385
Johnston	3,441	80.95%	738	17.36%	72	1.69%	4,251
Kay	12,834	74.40%	4,040	23.42%	375	2.17%	17,249
Kingfisher	5,521	85.40%	854	13.21%	90	1.39%	6,465
Kiowa	2,673	78.00%	699	20.40%	55	1.60%	3,427
Latimer	3,437	80.89%	762	17.93%	50	1.18%	4,249
Le Flore	15,213	80.90%	3,299	17.54%	293	1.56%	18,805
Lincoln	12,013	80.69%	2,609	17.52%	266	1.79%	14,888
Logan	15,608	72.35%	5,455	25.29%	511	2.37%	21,574
Love	3,305	81.08%	711	17.44%	60	1.47%	4,076
Major	3,084	88.95%	320	9.23%	63	1.82%	3,467
Marshall	4,891	80.66%	1,100	18.14%	73	1.20%	6,064
Mayes	12,749	76.68%	3,581	21.54%	296	1.78%	16,626
McClain	15,295	79.51%	3,582	18.62%	359	1.87%	19,236
McCurtain	9,485	82.72%	1,858	16.20%	124	1.08%	11,467
McIntosh	6,172	74.05%	2,031	24.37%	132	1.58%	8,335
Murray	4,612	78.25%	1,156	19.61%	126	2.14%	5,894
Muskogee	16,526	65.89%	8,027	32.00%	528	2.11%	25,081
Noble	3,821	77.38%	1,003	20.31%	114	2.31%	4,938
Nowata	3,610	82.21%	712	16.21%	69	1.57%	4,391
Okfuskee	3,058	75.73%	896	22.19%	84	2.08%	4,038
Oklahoma	145,050	49.21%	141,724	48.08%	7,966	2.70%	294,740
Okmulgee	9,668	67.55%	4,357	30.44%	288	2.01%	14,313
Osage	14,121	68.76%	6,002	29.22%	415	2.02%	20,538
Ottawa	8,545	74.71%	2,686	23.48%	207	1.81%	11,438
Pawnee	5,267	77.62%	1,363	20.09%	156	2.30%	6,786
Payne	17,813	60.09%	10,904	36.78%	926	3.12%	29,643
Pittsburg	13,851	77.28%	3,768	21.02%	305	1.70%	17,924
Pontotoc	10,805	70.53%	4,117	26.87%	398	2.60%	15,320
Pottawatomie	20,240	71.81%	7,275	25.81%	670	2.38%	28,185
Pushmataha	4,016	84.74%	668	14.10%	55	1.16%	4,739
Roger Mills	1,629	88.82%	168	9.16%	37	2.02%	1,834
Rogers	34,031	76.38%	9,589	21.52%	933	2.09%	44,553
Seminole	6,011	72.10%	2,150	25.79%	176	2.11%	8,337
Sequoyah	12,113	78.73%	3,035	19.73%	238	1.55%	15,386
Stephens	15,560	81.65%	3,154	16.55%	343	1.80%	19,057
Texas	4,505	81.60%	894	16.19%	122	2.21%	5,521
Tillman	2,076	76.66%	597	22.05%	35	1.29%	2,708
Tulsa	150,574	56.46%	108,996	40.87%	7,108	2.67%	266,678
Wagoner	26,165	74.04%	8,464	23.95%	709	2.01%	35,338
Washington	17,076	72.66%	5,790	24.64%	635	2.70%	23,501
Washita	4,086	85.53%	598	12.52%	93	1.95%	4,777
Woods	2,993	81.38%	591	16.07%	94	2.56%	3,678
Woodward	6,611	84.92%	1,005	12.91%	169	2.17%	7,785
All Counties	1,020,280	65.37%	503,890	32.29%	36,529	2.34%	1,560,699

By congressional district

District	Trump	Biden	Representative
1st	60.11%	37.31%	Kevin Hern
2nd	76.10%	22.15%	Markwayne Mullin
3rd	74.58%	23.15%	Frank Lucas
4th	65.23%	32.22%	Tom Cole
5th	51.56%	45.95%	Kendra Horn (116th Congress)
			Stephanie Bice (117th Congress)

Native American voters

Donald Trump's win in the 2nd congressional district, by a margin of 54%, was his biggest victory in the state's five congressional district. The 2nd district has the highest proportion of Native Americans in the state. While Joe Biden fared better with Native American voters in several other Western states, such as Nevada, Arizona, New Mexico, and Montana, Donald Trump carried the Native vote in Oklahoma decisively.

Electors

• Republican Party electors

Ronda Vuillemont-Smith, Lonnie Lu Anderson, Chris Martin, Steve Fair, Linda Huggard, A. J. Ferate, Carolyn McLarty[33]

• Libertarian Party electors

Erin Adams, Danny Chabino, Drew Cook, Kevin Hobbie, Rex Lawhorn, Jay Norton, Victoria Whitfield[34]

• Democratic Party electors

Judy Eason McIntyre, Eric Proctor, Jeff Berrong, Christine Byrd, Demetrios Bereolos, Pamela Iron, Shevonda Steward[35]

• Electors for Jade Simmons

Shanda Carter, Terrence Stephens, Hope Stephens, Elizabeth Stephens, Dakota Hooks, Phalanda Boyd, Quincy Boyd[36]

• Electors for Kanye West

April Anderson, Craig Alan Weygandt, Will Flanagan, Tom Krup, Megan Krup, Gretchen Schrupp, David Schrupp[37]

• Electors for Brock Pierce

Robert Murphy, Susan Darlene Murphy, Richard Prawdzienski, Jessy Artman, David Selinger, Shane Wayne Howell, Angela McCaslin[38]

Notes

1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
2. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
3. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
4. West (B) with 1%; Pierce (I) and Simmons (I) with 0%
5. Pierce (I), Simmons (I), West (B) and "refused" with 1%
6. West (B) with 1%; Pierce (I) and Simmons (I) with 0%
7. Would not vote with 2%
8. "Other candidate" with 5%
9. "Neither" with 3%; "refused" with 1%

Partisan clients

1. Poll sponsored by Broyles' campaign

See also

• United States presidential elections in Oklahoma
• 2020 United States presidential election
• 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2020 Libertarian Party presidential primaries
• 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2020 United States elections

References

1. "2020 November General Election Turnout Rates". United States Elections Project. Retrieved November 11, 2020.
2. Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
3. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
4. Casteel, Chris (November 15, 2020). "Trump's Oklahoma County squeaker, Horn's Grady County connection and 3 other things about the election". The Oklahoman. Retrieved December 9, 2020.
5. "Oklahoma Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 16, 2020.
6. "Candidate Information". Oklahoma State Election Board.
7. "Presidential Preferential Primary and Special Elections – March 3, 2020". OK Election Results. Oklahoma State Election Board. Retrieved March 25, 2020.
8. "Oklahoma Election Results 2020". PBS NewsHour. Retrieved March 26, 2020.
9. Taylor, Kate (February 9, 2019). "Elizabeth Warren Formally Announces 2020 Presidential Bid in Lawrence, Mass". The New York Times. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
10. "Presidential Preferential Primary and Special Elections – March 3, 2020". OK Election Results. Oklahoma State Election Board. Retrieved March 25, 2020.
11. "How Many Delegates Do The 2020 Democratic Presidential Candidates Have?". NPR.org. National Public Radio. Retrieved March 3, 2020.
12. http://ballot-access.org/2020/07/16/howie-hawkins-files-federal-lawsuit-against-amount-of-oklahoma-presidential-filing-fee/
13. https://www.ok.gov/elections/documents/Simmons,%20Jade_Statement%20of%20Candidacy.pdf
14. https://www.ok.gov/elections/documents/Pierce,%20Brock_Statement%20of%20Candidacy.pdf
15. https://www.ok.gov/elections/documents/West,%20Kanye_Statement%20of%20Candidacy.pdf
16. https://www.ok.gov/triton/modules/newsroom/newsroom_article.php?id=196&article_id=59980
17. https://mccarvillereport.com/archives/53255
18. "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
19. "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
20. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
21. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
22. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
23. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
24. David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
25. "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
26. "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
27. "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
28. "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
29. "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
30. "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
31. "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
32. "OK election results". Retrieved November 27, 2020.
33. https://www.ok.gov/elections/documents/Republican%20Certification%20Letter_Presidential%20Electors_072020_Redacted.pdf
34. https://www.ok.gov/elections/documents/Libertarian%20Certification%20Letter_Electors-President%20and%20Vice%20President_2020_Redacted.pdf
35. https://www.ok.gov/elections/documents/Democratic%20Certification%20Letter_Presidential%20Electors_072020_Redacted.pdf
36. https://www.ok.gov/elections/documents/Simmons,%20Jade_Statement%20of%20Candidacy.pdf
37. https://www.ok.gov/elections/documents/West,%20Kanye_Statement%20of%20Candidacy.pdf
38. https://www.ok.gov/elections/documents/Pierce,%20Brock_Statement%20of%20Candidacy.pdf

External links

• Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Oklahoma", Voting & Elections Toolkits
• "Oklahoma: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
• "League of Women Voters of Oklahoma". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
• Oklahoma at Ballotpedia