2020 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming

The 2020 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the U.S. Representative from Wyoming's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

2020 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming's at-large district

November 3, 2020
 
Nominee Liz Cheney Lynnette Grey Bull
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 185,732 66,576
Percentage 68.6% 24.6%

County Results

Cheney:      40–50%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90%

Grey Bull:      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Liz Cheney
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Liz Cheney
Republican

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Blake Stanley, rancher[2]

Endorsements

Liz Cheney
Organizations

Results

Results by county:
  Cheney—70–80%
  Cheney—60–70%
Republican primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Liz Cheney (incumbent) 78,870 73.46%
Republican Blake Stanley 28,039 26.12%
Republican Write-ins 454 0.42%
Total votes 107,363 100.0%

Democratic primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Carl Beach, international educator[6]
  • Carol Hafner, retired educator and progressive activist[7]

Declined

Results

Results by county:
  Grey Bull—70–80%
  Grey Bull—60–70%
  Grey Bull—50–60%
  Grey Bull—40–50%
Democratic primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Lynnette Grey Bull 14,153 60.03%
Democratic Carol Hafner 5,172 21.94%
Democratic Carl Beach 4,107 17.42%
Democratic Write-ins 144 0.61%
Total votes 23,576 100.0%

Endorsements

Lynnette Grey Bull

Federal officials

State officials

Organizations

General election

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Safe R October 2, 2020
Inside Elections[12] Safe R October 1, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe R October 1, 2020
Politico[14] Safe R September 8, 2020
Daily Kos[15] Safe R September 25, 2020
RCP[16] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[17] Safe R July 26, 2020
The Economist[18] Safe R October 2, 2020

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Liz
Cheney (R)
Lynette
Grey Bull (D)
Undecided
University of Wyoming October 8–28, 2020 614 (LV) ± 4% 58% 28%

Results

Wyoming's at-large congressional district, 2020[19]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Liz Cheney (incumbent) 185,732 68.56% +4.98%
Democratic Lynnette Grey Bull 66,576 24.58% -5.19%
Libertarian Richard Brubaker 10,154 3.75% +0.31%
Constitution Jeff Haggit 7,905 2.92% -0.10%
Write-in 525 0.19% ±0.00%
Total votes 270,892 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

  1. Rogers, Alex; Byrd, Haley (January 16, 2020). "Liz Cheney won't run for US Senate seat from Wyoming". CNN. Retrieved January 16, 2020.
  2. Pridgeon, Sarah (August 20, 2020). "The results are in..." The Sundance Times. Retrieved August 21, 2020.
  3. "2020 Candidates". Maggie's List. Retrieved February 27, 2020.
  4. "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming Primary Electionmary.xlsx" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved August 21, 2020.
  5. Barker, Alexis (June 3, 2020). "Neiman will run against Lindholm". News Letter Journal. Seeking the Democratic nomination are Carl Beach of Saratoga, Carol Hafner of Box Elder, South Dakota, and Lynette Greybull of Fort Washakie.
  6. Hirst, Greg (August 4, 2020). "RAWLINS NATIVE AND INTERNATIONAL EDUCATOR CARL BEACH VYING FOR DEM NOMINATION TO U.S. HOUSE". Oil City News. Retrieved August 21, 2020.
  7. Hirst, Greg (August 14, 2020). "U.S. HOUSE DEM CANDIDATE HAFNER RUNNING FOR A GREEN NEW DEAL, V.A. OVERHAUL, LEGAL CANNABIS". Oil City News. Retrieved August 21, 2020.
  8. Singiser, Steve. "Here's our ultimate Democratic wishlist for Senate in 2020. Who's on yours?". Daily Kos. Retrieved February 19, 2019.
  9. "VOTE GREY BULL – DEMOCRAT FOR US CONGRESS – TUESDAY AUGUST 18".
  10. "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club.
  11. "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
  12. "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
  13. "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
  14. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  15. "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
  16. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  17. "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
  18. "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. October 2, 2020. Retrieved October 2, 2020.
  19. "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming General Election - November 3, 2020" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved November 11, 2020.
Official campaign websites
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