2020 United States presidential election in Wyoming

The 2020 United States presidential election in Wyoming was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states and the District of Columbia participated.[2] Wyoming voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump and running mate Vice President Mike Pence, against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Wyoming has three electoral votes in the Electoral College.[3] Trump, the Republican nominee and incumbent president of the United States, won the state's three electoral votes.

Main article: 2020 United States presidential election
2020 United States presidential election in Wyoming
November 3, 2020
Turnout62.6% 4.79 pp[1]
 
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris
Electoral vote 3 0
Popular vote 193,559 73,491
Percentage 69.94% 26.55%
County Results
President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

 Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elections in Wyoming
Federal government
President
U.S. Senate
U.S. House
State government
General elections
Gubernatorial elections
Secretary of State elections
Senate elections
House of Representatives elections

Trump routed Biden in Wyoming, with his 69.94% vote share there making it his strongest win in the election. He won the sparsely-populated state by a margin of 43.4%, down from his 45.77% four years earlier. Prior to the election, all news organizations declared Wyoming a safe red state, therefore justifying its status as one of the safest red states in the country, not being won by a Democrat since Lyndon B. Johnson's 1964 landslide victory.

Despite his loss, Biden scored a landslide win in Teton County, garnering a larger vote share in it than any nominee since 1984. He also narrowly flipped Albany County, anchored by the college town of Laramie, which had supported Obama in 2008 before returning to the Republican Party in 2012 and 2016, albeit by a narrow margin.[4] Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Trump's strength in Wyoming came from whites, who comprised 89% of the electorate, and from voters prioritizing energy policy, with 62% believing the government should focus on expanding production of fossil fuels such as oil, gas, or coal.[5]

Caucuses

Democratic caucuses
Further information: 2020 Wyoming Democratic caucuses

The Democratic caucuses were originally scheduled for April 4, 2020. On March 22, due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic, the Wyoming Democratic Party canceled in-person voting in favor of mail-in voting. The deadline was also extended to April 17.[6]

2020 Wyoming Democratic primary[7]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[8]
Joe Biden 10,912 72.2% 12
Bernie Sanders (suspended) 4,206 27.8% 2
Total 15,118 100% 14

Republican caucuses

The Republican state party convention was held in May to officially select the final delegates to the national convention.[9]

Libertarian nominee
  • Jo Jorgensen, Psychology Senior Lecturer at Clemson University

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Safe R November 3, 2020
Inside Elections[11] Safe R November 3, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe R November 3, 2020
Politico[13] Safe R November 3, 2020
RCP[14] Safe R November 3, 2020
Niskanen[15] Safe R November 3, 2020
CNN[16] Safe R November 3, 2020
The Economist[17] Safe R November 3, 2020
CBS News[18] Likely R November 3, 2020
270towin[19] Safe R November 3, 2020
ABC News[20] Safe R November 3, 2020
NPR[21] Likely R November 3, 2020
NBC News[22] Safe R November 3, 2020
538[23] Safe R November 3, 2020

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation		 Dates
updated		 Joe
Biden
Democratic		 Donald
Trump
Republican		 Other/
Undecided
[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
FiveThirtyEight October 28, 2020 29.7% 65.2% 5.1% Trump +35.5

Polls

Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump
Republican		 Joe
Biden
Democratic		 Jo
Jorgensen
Libertarian		 Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 367 (LV) ± 7% 66%[lower-alpha 3] 33% – – –
University of Wyoming Oct 8–28, 2020 614 (LV) ± 4% 59% 31% 5% – –
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 1–28, 2020 739 (LV) – 68% 31% – – –
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 1–30, 2020 236 (LV) – 65% 34% – – 1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Aug 1–31, 2020 211 (LV) – 74% 25% – – 1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jul 1–31, 2020 246 (LV) – 70% 28% – – 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jun 8–30, 2020 98 (LV) – 78% 22% – – 0%

Electoral slates

These slates of electors were nominated by each party in order to vote in the Electoral College should their candidate win the state:[24]

Donald Trump and
Mike Pence
Republican Party		 Joe Biden and
Kamala Harris
Democratic Party		 Jo Jorgensen and
Spike Cohen
Libertarian Party		 Don Blankenship and
William Mohr
Constitution Party		 Brock Pierce and
Karla Ballard
Independent
Marti Halverson
Doug Chamberlain
Karl Allred		 Kelly Tamblyn
Andrea Clifford
Milward Simpson		 Shawn Johnson
Jared Baldes
Richard Brubaker		 Cindy Haggett
Michael O'Brien
Nanette Hinck		 Luke Onderko
Joann Dawn Grisham
Elizabeth Batton

Results
2020 United States presidential election in Wyoming[25]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence 		193,559 69.94% +2.54%
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris		 73,491 26.55% +4.92%
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen		 5,768 2.08% -3.05%
Independent Brock Pierce
Karla Ballard		 2,208 0.80% N/A
Write-in 1,739 0.63% -2.04%
Total votes 276,765 100.00%

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Notes
  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size

See also

References
  1. "Wyoming Voter Registration and Voter Turnout Statistics" (PDF). sos.wyo.gov/. Retrieved November 11, 2020.
  2. Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  4. "County winners, 1836-2016". Google Docs. Retrieved November 20, 2020.
  5. "Wyoming Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 17, 2020.
  6. "Wyoming Democratic Caucus moves to only mail-in voting". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. March 22, 2020.
  7. "2020 Caucus Results". www.wyodems.org. Wyoming Democratic Party. Retrieved April 19, 2020.
  8. "Delegate Tracker". interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. Retrieved April 19, 2020.
  9. "Wyoming Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved February 21, 2020.
  10. "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  11. "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  12. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  13. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  14. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  15. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
  16. David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
  17. "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
  18. "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  19. "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  20. "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  21. "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
  22. "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
  23. "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  24. "2020 Presidential Electors Information" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved December 6, 2020.
  25. "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming General Election - November 3, 2020" (PDF). sos.wyo.gov/. Retrieved November 11, 2020.
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