2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the four U.S. Representatives from the state of Arkansas, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas

November 3, 2020
All 4 Arkansas seats to the United States House of Representatives
Party Republican Democratic Last election 4 0 Seats won 4 0 Seat change Popular vote 828,266 330,485 Percentage 70.23% 28.02% Swing 7.67% 7.17%

District 1

The 1st district encompasses northeastern Arkansas, taking in Jonesboro and West Memphis. The incumbent is Republican Rick Crawford, who was re-elected with 68.9% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Declared

• Rick Crawford, incumbent U.S. Representative[2]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[3]	Safe R	August 21, 2020
Inside Elections[4]	Safe R	August 21, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]	Safe R	July 23, 2020
Politico[6]	Safe R	July 6, 2020
Daily Kos[7]	Safe R	August 17, 2020
RCP[8]	Safe R	June 9, 2020
Niskanen[9]	Safe R	July 26, 2020

Results

Arkansas' 1st congressional district, 2020[10]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Rick Crawford (incumbent)	237,596	100.0
Total votes			237,596	100.0
	Republican hold

District 2

The 2nd district takes in Central Arkansas, including Little Rock and the surrounding exurbs. The incumbent is Republican French Hill, who was re-elected with 52.1% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Declared

• French Hill, incumbent U.S. Representative[2]

Declared

• Joyce Elliott, state senator[11]

Endorsements

Joyce Elliott

Former U.S. executive branch officials

• Barack Obama, former President of the United States (2009-2017, former Senator from Illinois (2005-2008)[12]
• Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States and 2020 Democratic nominee for President[13]

Federal politicians

• Kamala Harris, U.S. Senator from California (2017-present); 2020 vice presidential nominee[14]
• Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts (2013-present)[15]

Organizations

• Broader Representation Advocacy Team (BRAT-PAC)[16]
• The Collective PAC[17]
• Congressional Black Caucus[18]
• Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee[19]
• EMILY's List[20]
• Equality PAC[21]
• Higher Heights For America PAC[22]
• Human Rights Campaign[23]
• League of Conservation Voters Action Fund[24]
• NARAL Pro-Choice America[25]
• National Association of Social Workers[26]
• National Women's Political Caucus[27]
• The Network for Public Education Action[28]
• Peace Action[29]
• Planned Parenthood Action Fund[30]
• Sierra Club[31]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[3]	Tossup	November 2, 2020
Inside Elections[32]	Tossup	October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]	Lean R	October 15, 2020
Politico[6]	Lean R	September 9, 2020
Daily Kos[33]	Tossup	October 29, 2020
RCP[8]	Lean R	October 13, 2020
Niskanen[9]	Lean R	July 26, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	French Hill (R)	Joyce Elliott (D)	Other	Undecided
Change Research	October 29 – November 2, 2020	586 (LV)	± 4.5%	48%	48%	4%[lower-alpha 2]	1%
ALG Research (D)[upper-alpha 1]	October 16–21, 2020	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	47%	47%	–	–
Hendrix College	October 11–13, 2020	644 (LV)	± 4.9%	46%	46%	–	9%
ALG Research (D)[upper-alpha 1]	September 27–29, 2020	511 (LV)	± 4.4%	48%	48%	–	–
Brilliant Corners Research & Strategies (D)[upper-alpha 2]	September 10–16, 2020	605 (LV)	–	46%	48%	–	–
ALG Research (D)[upper-alpha 1]	September 9–13, 2020	511 (LV)[lower-alpha 3]	–	50%	46%	–	–
Hendrix College/TalkBusiness	September 4–9, 2020	698 (LV)	± 4.3%	48%	46%	–	7%
ALG Research (D)[upper-alpha 1]	June 18–24, 2020	511 (LV)[lower-alpha 3]	–	50%	43%	–	–

Results

Arkansas' 2nd congressional district, 2020[10]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	French Hill (incumbent)	184,093	55.4
	Democratic	Joyce Elliott	148,410	44.6
Total votes			332,503	100.0
	Republican hold

District 3

The 3rd district covers northwestern Arkansas, including Bentonville, Fayetteville, Springdale and Fort Smith. The incumbent is Republican Steve Womack, who was re-elected with 64.7% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Declared

• Steve Womack, incumbent U.S. Representative[2]

Declared

• Celeste Williams, nurse practitioner[34]

Declared

• Michael Kalagias (Libertarian), candidate for Arkansas's 3rd congressional district in 2018 and candidate for Arkansas House of Representatives in 2014 and 2016[2]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[3]	Safe R	August 21, 2020
Inside Elections[4]	Safe R	August 21, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]	Safe R	July 23, 2020
Politico[6]	Safe R	July 6, 2020
Daily Kos[7]	Safe R	August 17, 2020
RCP[8]	Safe R	June 9, 2020
Niskanen[9]	Safe R	July 26, 2020

Results

Arkansas' 3rd congressional district, 2020[10]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Steve Womack (incumbent)	214,960	64.3
	Democratic	Celeste Williams	106,325	31.8
	Libertarian	Michael Kalagias	12,977	3.9
Total votes			334,262	100.0
	Republican hold

District 4

The 4th district encompasses southwestern Arkansas, taking in Camden, Hope, Hot Springs, Magnolia, Pine Bluff, and Texarkana. The incumbent is Republican Bruce Westerman, who was re-elected with 66.7% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Declared

• Bruce Westerman, incumbent U.S. Representative[2]

Declared

• William Hanson, former law professor[35]

Declared

• Frank Gilbert (Libertarian), former mayor of Tull and former Grant County coroner[2]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[3]	Safe R	August 21, 2020
Inside Elections[4]	Safe R	August 21, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]	Safe R	July 23, 2020
Politico[6]	Safe R	July 6, 2020
Daily Kos[7]	Safe R	August 17, 2020
RCP[8]	Safe R	June 9, 2020
Niskanen[9]	Safe R	July 26, 2020

Results

Arkansas' 4th congressional district, 2020[10]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Bruce Westerman (incumbent)	191,617	69.7
	Democratic	William Hanson	75,750	27.5
	Libertarian	Frank Gilbert	7,668	2.8
Total votes			275,035	100.0
	Republican hold

See also

• 2020 Arkansas elections

Notes

1. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
2. "Don't recall" with 3%; Did not vote with 1%; Would not vote with 0%
3. Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight

Partisan clients

1. Poll sponsored by Elliott's campaign.
2. Poll sponsored by EMILY's List.

References

1. Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (November 7, 2018). "2018 House Popular Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 12, 2019.
2. "Arkansas Secretary of State". www.ark.org.
3. "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
4. "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
5. "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
6. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
7. "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
8. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
9. "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
10. "2020 General Election and Nonpartisan Judicial Runoff". Arkansas Secretary of State. Retrieved November 25, 2020.
11. "State Sen. Joyce Elliott to challenge Rep. French Hill in 2020 election". November 12, 2019. Retrieved November 12, 2019.
12. "First Wave of 2020 Endorsements". August 3, 2020.
13. Elliott, Joyce [@xjelliott] (September 16, 2020). "This election, let's choose unity over division.Thank you @JoeBiden for the endorsement" (Tweet). Retrieved September 20, 2020 – via Twitter.
14. "Kamala Harris Endorsements". May 9, 2020.
15. "Endorsements | Warren Democrats". elizabethwarren.com. Elizabeth Warren | Warren Democrats.
16. "2020 Candidates". BRAT-PAC.
17. "Candidates".
18. "| CBCPAC". www.cbcpac.org.
19. "Red to Blue". Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. Retrieved June 5, 2020.
20. Schriock, Stephanie (June 16, 2020). "EMILY's List Endorses Joyce Elliott in Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District". www.emilyslist.org. EMILY's List.
21. "Allies for Equality". Equality PAC. Retrieved January 9, 2021.
22. "Joyce Ann Elliott - Higher Heights For America PAC".
23. Acosta, Lucas (June 3, 2020). "Human Rights Campaign Announces Pro-Equality Endorsements". Human Rights Campaign.
24. Sittenfeld, Tiernan (July 15, 2020). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Joyce Elliott for Congress". League of Conservation Voters. LCV Action Fund.
25. "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Slate of Reproductive Freedom Champions for U.S. House of Representatives". NARAL Pro-Choice America. July 10, 2020.
26. "2020 PACE Endorsements". NASW.
27. "Endorsed Candidates". NWPC.
28. "Arkansas State Senator Joyce Elliott for U.S. House District 2". NPE Action.
29. "PeaceVoter 2020 Endorsements". Peace Action.
30. McGill Johnson, Alexis (May 20, 2020). "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorses Health Care Champions in Competitive Races". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org.
31. "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club.
32. "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 18, 2020.
33. "There are only so many ways to say that the GOP's ship is sinking, but we'll say it once more". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
34. "Democrat Celeste Williams Announces Bid For Womack's US House Seat In Arkansas". 5News Web. August 14, 2019. Retrieved August 16, 2019.
35. "Democrat announces campaign for south Arkansas US congress seat held by Republican". September 6, 2019. Retrieved September 6, 2019.

External links

• Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Arkansas", Voting & Elections Toolkits
• "Arkansas: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
• "League of Women Voters of Arkansas". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
• Arkansas at Ballotpedia

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

• Rick Crawford (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

• Joyce Elliott (D) for Congress
• French Hill (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates

• Michael Kalagias (L) for Congress
• Celeste Williams (D) for Congress
• Steve Womack (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates

• William Hanson (D) for Congress
• Bruce Westerman (R) for Congress