2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the two U.S. Representatives from the state of New Hampshire, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire
November 3, 2020
All 2 New Hampshire seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 2 0
Seats won 2 0
Seat change
Popular vote 413,469 353,650
Percentage 52.59% 44.98%
Swing 1.94% 1.36%
Elections in New Hampshire
Federal government
Presidential elections
United States Senate elections
United States House elections
State government
Gubernatorial elections
Executive Council elections
General Court elections
Senate elections
House elections
Manchester
Mayoral elections

District 1
See also: New Hampshire's 1st congressional district

The 1st district is based in southeastern New Hampshire, and includes Greater Manchester, the Seacoast and the Lakes Region. The incumbent is Democrat Chris Pappas, who was elected with 53.6% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Nominee
Endorsements
Chris Pappas
U.S. Presidents
Organizations

Primary results
Democratic primary results[6]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chris Pappas (incumbent) 70,643 100.0
Total votes 70,643 100.0
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Michael Callis[8]
  • Jeff Denaro[8]
  • Matt Mayberry, U.S. Air Force veteran and former Dover city councilor[9]
  • Kevin Rondeau[8]
Withdrawn
Declined

Endorsements

Matt Mowers
Federal officials
Organizations

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Matt Mayberry Matt Mowers Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire August 28 – September 1, 2020 323 (LV) – 17% 48% 0%[lower-alpha 2] 34%
Saint Anselm College August 15–17, 2020 261 (RV) ± 6.1% 12% 23% 8%[lower-alpha 3] 57%

Primary results
Republican primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Matt Mowers 41,100 59.4
Republican Matt Mayberry 18,479 26.7
Republican Kevin Rondeau 4,203 6.1
Republican Jeff Denaro 2,723 3.9
Republican Michael Callis 2,703 3.9
Total votes 69,208 100.0
Declared

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Likely D August 14, 2020
Inside Elections[19] Likely D August 7, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Likely D October 8, 2020
Politico[21] Lean D July 6, 2020
Daily Kos[22] Likely D October 26, 2020
RCP[23] Lean D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[24] Safe D July 26, 2020

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Chris
Pappas (D)		 Matt
Mowers (R)		 Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire October 24–28, 2020 451 (LV) ± 4.6% 48% 50% 2%[lower-alpha 4] 0%
Saint Anselm College October 23–26, 2020 560 (LV) ± 4.1% 49% 44% 2%[lower-alpha 5] 5%
University of New Hampshire October 9–12, 2020 477 (LV) ± 4.5% 53% 43% 1%[lower-alpha 6] 3%
Saint Anselm College October 1–4, 2020 595 (LV) ± 4% 49% 41% 3%[lower-alpha 7] 7%
University of New Hampshire September 24–28, 2020 504 (LV) ± 4.4% 56% 38% 2%[lower-alpha 8] 4%
University of New Hampshire August 28 – September 1, 2020 925 (LV) – 52% 34% 2%[lower-alpha 9] 12%
Hypothetical polling
with Matt Mayberry
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Chris
Pappas (D)		 Matt
Mayberry (R)		 Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire August 28 – September 1, 2020 926 (LV) – 52% 34% 2%[lower-alpha 9] 12%
Generic Democrat vs Generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Generic
Democrat		 Generic
Republican		 Other Undecided
Saint Anselm College June 13–16, 2020 567 (RV) ± 4.1% 48% 42% 2% 8%
Saint Anselm College April 23–27, 2020 442 (RV) ± 4.7% 49% 43% 1% 6%

Results
New Hampshire's 1st congressional district, 2020[25]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chris Pappas (incumbent) 205,606 51.32
Republican Matt Mowers 185,159 46.21
Libertarian Zachary Dumont 9,747 2.43
N/A Scatter 149 0.04
Total votes 400,661 100.0
Democratic hold

District 2
See also: New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district encompasses western and northern New Hampshire, and includes the cities of Nashua and Concord. The incumbent is Democrat Ann McLane Kuster, who was re-elected with 55.3% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Primary results
Democratic primary results[6]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ann McLane Kuster (incumbent) 71,358 92.8
Democratic Joseph Mirzoeff 5,500 7.2
Total votes 76,858 100.0
Nominee
  • Steve Negron, former state representative and nominee for New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district in 2018
Eliminated in primary

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Lynn Blankenbeker Steve Negron Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire August 28 – September 1, 2020 367 (LV) – 20% 50% 1%[lower-alpha 10] 29%
Saint Anselm College August 15–17, 2020 216 (RV) ± 6.7% 15% 37% 4%[lower-alpha 11] 44%

Primary results
Republican primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Steve Negron 30,503 48.3
Republican Lynne Blankenbeker 24,464 38.7
Republican Matthew Bjelobrk 4,381 6.9
Republican Eli Clemmer 3,850 6.1
Total votes 63,198 100.0

Endorsements
Ann McLane Kuster (D)
U.S. Presidents
Local officials
Organizations
Steve Negron (R)
U.S. Presidents
Organizations
Declared

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Safe D August 5, 2020
Inside Elections[19] Safe D August 7, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Likely D July 23, 2020
Politico[21] Likely D July 6, 2020
Daily Kos[22] Safe D July 21, 2020
RCP[23] Lean D October 24, 2020
Niskanen[24] Safe D July 26, 2020

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Ann
Kuster (D)		 Steve
Negron (R)		 Andrew
Olding (L)		 Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire October 24–28, 2020 451 (LV) ± 4.6% 51% 41% 7% 0%[lower-alpha 12] 1%
Saint Anselm College October 23–26, 2020 458 (LV) ± 4.6% 54% 39% 3% 1%[lower-alpha 13] 3%
University of New Hampshire October 9–12, 2020 410 (LV) ± 4.8% 49% 45% 2% 0%[lower-alpha 2] 3%
Saint Anselm College October 1–4, 2020 552 (LV) ± 4.1% 52% 38% 4% 2%[lower-alpha 14] 5%
University of New Hampshire September 24–28, 2020 463 (LV) ± 4.5% 48% 42% 5% 0%[lower-alpha 2] 5%
University of New Hampshire August 28 – September 1, 2020 917 (LV) – 52% 40% 2% 3%[lower-alpha 15] 4%
Hypothetical polling
with Lynne Blankenbeker
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Ann
Kuster (D)		 Lynne
Blankenbeker (R)		 Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire August 28 – September 1, 2020 920 (LV) – 52% 39% 5%[lower-alpha 16] 5%
Generic Democrat vs Generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Generic
Democrat		 Generic
Republican		 Other Undecided
Saint Anselm College Jun 13–16, 2020 505 (RV) ± 4.4% 44% 44% 3% 9%
Saint Anselm College Apr 23–27, 2020 378 (RV) ± 5% 47% 41% 5% 7%

Results
New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district, 2020[25]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ann McLane Kuster (incumbent) 207,863 53.91
Republican Steve Negron 168,491 43.70
Libertarian Andrew Olding 9,093 2.36
N/A Scatter 147 0.04
Total votes 385,594 100.0
Democratic hold

See also

Notes
  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. "Another candidate" with 0%
  3. "Someone else" with 8%
  4. Dumont (L) with 2%; "Other" with no voters
  5. Dumont (L) and "Someone else" with 1%
  6. Dumont (L) with 1%; "Another Candidate" with no voters
  7. Olding (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  8. Dumont (L) with 2%; "Another Candidate" with no voters
  9. Dumont (L) with 1%; "Another candidate" with 1%
  10. "Another candidate" with 1%
  11. "Someone else" with 4%
  12. "Other" with no voters
  13. "Someone else" with 1%
  14. "Someone else" with 2%
  15. "Another candidate" with 3%
  16. "Another candidate" with 3%; Olding (L) with 2%

References
  1. Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (November 7, 2018). "2018 House Popular Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
  2. "Second Wave of 2020 Endorsements". Medium.
  3. Sittenfeld, Tiernan (June 5, 2019). "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of 2020 Environmental Majority Makers". League of Conservation Voters. LCV Action Fund.
  4. Imse, Elliot (November 26, 2019). "Victory Fund Endorses 39 LGBTQ Candidates for 2019 and 2020". Retrieved March 25, 2020.
  5. "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club.
  6. "2020 State Primary Democratic State Primary". New Hampshire Department of State. Retrieved September 16, 2020.
  7. Sexton, Adam (August 26, 2020). "Republicans Mayberry, Mowers push for chance to unseat Pappas in First Congressional District". WMUR 9. Retrieved August 29, 2020.
  8. Markos, Mary (August 21, 2020). "2020 Voter's Guide: How to Cast a Ballot in New England During the Pandemic". New England Cable News. Retrieved August 29, 2020.
  9. DiStaso, John (December 5, 2019). "NH Primary Source: Republican Matt Mayberry says he'll run for 1st District US House seat". WMUR 9. Retrieved December 9, 2019.
  10. DiStaso, John (April 9, 2020). "NH Primary Source: Fowler ends US House campaign, endorses Mowers". WMUR. WMUR9.
  11. DiStaso, John (January 17, 2019). "NH Primary Source: Eddie Edwards is being urged to run again for US House". WMUR. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
  12. DiStaso, John (June 1, 2020). "US House Republican Leader Kevin McCarthy endorses Matt Mowers in 1st Congressional District race". WMUR.
  13. report, Staff. "Trump endorses Mowers in Republican primary". UnionLeader.com.
  14. DiStaso, John (June 12, 2020). "Trump gives 'Complete and Total Endorsement' to former appointee Mowers in 1st US House District". WMUR.
  15. "Tea Party Express Endorses Matt Mowers for Congress in New Hampshire". Insider NJ.
  16. "2020 State Primary Republican State Primary". New Hampshire Department of State. Retrieved September 16, 2020.
  17. DiStaso, John (August 27, 2020). "Libertarian Party says it has enough certified petitions for its candidates to appear on Nov. ballot". WMUR 9. Retrieved August 29, 2020.
  18. "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
  19. "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
  20. "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
  21. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  22. "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
  23. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  24. "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
  25. Gardner, William M. (November 19, 2020). "2020 General Election Results". New Hampshire Department of State. Retrieved November 22, 2020.
  26. "Home - Annie Kuster for Congress". www.kusterforcongress.com.
  27. Rooney, Jack (August 29, 2020). "Four Republicans seek Congressional seat in NH-2". Sentinel Source. Retrieved August 29, 2020.
  28. Steinhauser, Paul (October 10, 2019). "On the trail: Blankenbeker launches 2020 congressional bid, Gabbard accuses Dems of election rigging". Retrieved October 28, 2019.
  29. "Clemmer For NH". Clemmer For NH. Retrieved February 19, 2020.
  30. "Berlin 1-14-20". The Berlin Sun. Retrieved February 19, 2020.
  31. Merica, Dan (May 13, 2020). "Buttigieg highlights importance of local officials in first post-campaign endorsements". CNN. Retrieved May 14, 2020.
  32. "JStreetPAC Candidates". JStreetPAC.
  33. Sittenfeld, Tiernan (August 13, 2020). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Annie Kuster for Re-Election". League of Conservation Voters. LCV Action Fund.
  34. "2020 Endorsements". plannedparenthoodaction.org. Planned Parenthood Action Fund.
  35. Donald Trump [@realDonaldTrump] (October 31, 2020). "Steve Negron (@SteveNegronNH) will be a tireless advocate in Congress for the State of New Hampshire! An Air Force Veteran, he is Strong on the Economy, our Brave Law Enforcement and your Second Amendment. Steve has my Complete and Total Endorsement! #NH02 t.co/9Zq8LQXZkn" (Tweet). Archived from the original on November 6, 2020. Retrieved January 29, 2021 – via Twitter.
  36. "2020 Candidates". Maggie's List. Retrieved February 27, 2020.
Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
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