2020 United States presidential election in Michigan

The 2020 United States presidential election in Michigan was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[2] Michigan voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Michigan has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[3]

2020 United States presidential election in Michigan

November 3, 2020
Turnout	71% [1]
Nominee Joe Biden Donald Trump Party Democratic Republican Home state Delaware Florida Running mate Kamala Harris Mike Pence Electoral vote 16 0 Popular vote 2,804,040 2,649,852 Percentage 50.62% 47.84%
County Results Biden   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80% Trump   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%
President before election Donald Trump Republican Elected President Joe Biden Democratic

In 2016, Trump became the first Republican to carry Michigan since 1988, when George H. W. Bush scored a decisive nationwide win against Michael Dukakis.[4] Throughout the campaign, Biden touted his work on the auto bailout in manufacturing towns outside Detroit. Appearing with United Auto Workers, Biden presented a new proposal to penalize American companies for moving manufacturing and service jobs overseas and then selling their products back in the United States.[5] Polls of Michigan throughout the campaign generally indicated a clear Biden lead. Prior to election day, 15 of the 16 news organizations considered that Biden was likely to win the state, or a lean blue state.

Biden ultimately carried Michigan by a 2.78% margin. Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Biden's strength in Michigan came from union households, who composed 21% of the electorate and supported Biden by 56%–42%. Biden was also able to boost minority turnout, consequently winning 93% of African American voters.[6] Many voters were also concerned with the COVID-19 pandemic, which has hit The Great Lakes State hard; 52% of voters felt the pandemic was not under control at all, and these voters broke for Biden by 82%–16%. Trump massively outperformed his polling average in the state once again, but it was not enough to win the state.

Biden flipped the counties of Leelanau, Kent, and Saginaw and became the first Democrat since Woodrow Wilson to win the presidency without winning Bay County and Gogebic County. With Ohio, Florida, and Iowa voting for the losing candidate in this election, Michigan is tied for the longest perfect streak with Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, neither of which have backed the losing candidate since after 2004, when all three backed Democratic nominee John Kerry, but incumbent President George W. Bush was re-elected.

Primary elections

The primary elections were on March 10, 2020.

Republican primary

Incumbent United States President Donald Trump was challenged by three candidates: former governor Mark Sanford of South Carolina, former congressman Joe Walsh of Illinois, and former governor Bill Weld of Massachusetts. Sanford and Walsh both withdrew prior to the primary. Michigan is the only primary state where Sanford's name remained on the ballot.[7]

2020 Michigan Republican primary[8]

Candidate	Votes	%	Estimated delegates
Donald Trump	640,552	93.7%	73
Uncommitted	32,743	4.8%
Bill Weld	6,099	0.9%
Mark Sanford (withdrawn)	4,258	0.6%
Joe Walsh (withdrawn)	4,067	0.6%
Total	683,431	100%	73

Democratic primary

Bernie Sanders and former Vice President Joe Biden were the two major declared Democratic candidates.[9]

2020 Michigan Democratic presidential primary[10]

Candidate	Votes	%	Delegates
Joe Biden	840,360	52.93	73
Bernie Sanders	576,926	36.34	52
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn†)	73,464	4.63
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn†)	26,148	1.65
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn†)	22,462	1.41
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn†)	11,018	0.69
Tulsi Gabbard	9,461	0.60
Andrew Yang (withdrawn†)	2,380	0.15
Tom Steyer (withdrawn†)	1,732	0.11
Michael Bennet (withdrawn†)	1,536	0.10
Cory Booker (withdrawn)	840	0.05
Joe Sestak (withdrawn)	757	0.05
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)	719	0.05
John Delaney (withdrawn†)	464	0.03
Julian Castro (withdrawn)	306	0.02
Uncommitted	19,106	1.20
Total	1,587,679	100%	125

†Candidate withdrew after early voting started.

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Princeton Electoral Consortium[11]	Likely D (flip)	November 3, 2020
The Cook Political Report[12]	Lean D (flip)	November 3, 2020
Inside Elections[13]	Lean D (flip)	November 3, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14]	Lean D (flip)	November 3, 2020
Politico[15]	Lean D (flip)	November 3, 2020
RCP[16]	Tossup	November 3, 2020
Niskanen[17]	Likely D (flip)	November 3, 2020
CNN[18]	Lean D (flip)	November 3, 2020
The Economist[19]	Likely D (flip)	November 3, 2020
CBS News[20]	Lean D (flip)	November 3, 2020
270towin[21]	Lean D (flip)	November 3, 2020
ABC News[22]	Lean D (flip)	November 3, 2020
NPR[23]	Lean D (flip)	November 3, 2020
NBC News[24]	Lean D (flip)	November 3, 2020
538[25]	Safe D (flip)	November 3, 2020
JHK Forecasts[26]	Safe D (flip)	November 3, 2020

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1]	Margin
270 to Win	October 22 – November 2, 2020	November 3, 2020	49.9%	44.4%	5.7%	Biden +5.5
Real Clear Politics	October 29 – November 1, 2020	November 3, 2020	50.0%	45.8%	4.2%	Biden +4.2
FiveThirtyEight	until November 1, 2020	November 3, 2020	51.2%	43.2%	5.6%	Biden +7.9
Average			50.4%	44.5%	5.1%	Biden +5.9

2020 polls

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 2]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Jo Jorgensen Libertarian	Howie Hawkins Green	Other	Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Oct 20 – Nov 2	4,549 (LV)	± 2%	46%[lower-alpha 3]	52%	-	-	–	–
Research Co.	Oct 31 – Nov 1	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	43%	50%	-	-	2%[lower-alpha 4]	5%
Change Research/CNBC	Oct 29 – Nov 1	383 (LV)	± 5.01%	44%	51%	3%	1%	–	1%
Swayable	Oct 27 – Nov 1	413 (LV)	± 6.5%	45%	54%	1%	0%	–	–
Ipsos/Reuters	Oct 27 – Nov 1	654 (LV)	± 4.4%	43%[lower-alpha 5]	53%	1%	0%	2%[lower-alpha 6]	–
				42%[lower-alpha 7]	52%	-	-	3%[lower-alpha 8]	3%
				45%[lower-alpha 9]	53%	-	-	2%[lower-alpha 10]	–
Trafalgar Group	Oct 30–31	1,033 (LV)	± 2.97%	48%	46%	2%	-	1%	3%
AtlasIntel	Oct 30–31	686 (LV)	± 4%	46%	48%	-	-	6%	–
Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness[upper-alpha 1]	Oct 30–31	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	47%	49%	2%	-	–	3%
Morning Consult	Oct 22–31	1,736 (LV)	± 2.0%	44.5%	52%	-	-	–	–
Emerson College	Oct 29–30	700 (LV)	± 3.4%	45%[lower-alpha 11]	52%	-	-	3%[lower-alpha 12]	–
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan[upper-alpha 2]	Oct 29–30	745 (V)	± 3.6%	44%	54%	1%	0%	–	1%
Targoz Market Research/PollSmart	Oct 25–30	993 (LV)	–	39%	53%	-	-	8%[lower-alpha 13]	–
CNN/SSRS	Oct 23–30	907 (LV)	± 3.8%	41%	53%	2%	1%	1%[lower-alpha 14]	2%
Mitchell Research (R)/MIRS	Oct 29	817 (LV)	± 3.43%	45%	52%	1%	1%	0%[lower-alpha 15]	0%
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ	Oct 27–29	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	44%[lower-alpha 5]	51%	-	-	3%	2%
				42%[lower-alpha 16]	53%	-	-	3%	2%
				45%[lower-alpha 17]	50%	-	-	3%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	Oct 26–29	1,212 (LV)	–	41%	54%	1%	0%	1%	4%
EPIC-MRA	Oct 25–28	600 (LV)	± 4%	41%	48%	-	-	5%[lower-alpha 18]	6%[lower-alpha 19]
Trafalgar Group	Oct 25–28	1,058 (LV)	± 2.93%	49%	47%	2%	-	1%[lower-alpha 20]	1%
Kiaer Research	Oct 21–28	669 (LV)	± 5.6%	41%	54%	-	-	2%[lower-alpha 21]	4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Oct 1–28, 2020	7,541 (LV)	–	45%	53%	-	-	–	–
Mitchell Research (R)/MIRS	Oct 25–27	759 (LV)	± 3.56%	42%	52%	3%	0%	0%[lower-alpha 22]	2%
Swayable	Oct 23–26, 2020	394 (LV)	± 6.7%	40%	59%	2%	0%	–	–
Siena College/NYT Upshot	Oct 23–26	856 (LV)	± 3.8%	41%	49%	2%	1%	0%[lower-alpha 23]	6%[lower-alpha 24]
Ipsos/Reuters	Oct 20–26	652 (LV)	± 4.4%	43%[lower-alpha 5]	53%	1%	0%	2%[lower-alpha 25]	–
				43%[lower-alpha 26]	52%	-	-	3%[lower-alpha 27]	3%
Wick Surveys	Oct 24–25	1,000 (LV)	± 3.1%	48%	48%	-	-	–	–
Glengariff Group/Detroit News	Oct 23–25	600 (LV)	± 4%	42%	49%	-	-	2%[lower-alpha 28]	4%
ABC/Washington Post	Oct 20–25	789 (LV)	± 4%	44%	51%	3%	0%	0%[lower-alpha 29]	1%
Gravis Marketing	Oct 24	679 (LV)	± 3.8%	42%	55%	-	-	–	3%
Public Policy Polling/American Bridge PAC[upper-alpha 3]	Oct 21–22	804 (V)	–	43%	50%	-	-	–	6%
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison	Oct 13–21	681 (LV)	± 4.2%	42%	52%	-	-	5%[lower-alpha 30]	–
Citizen Data	Oct 17–20	1,000 (LV)	± 3.1%	41%	50%	1%	0%	1%	7%
Fox News	Oct 17–20	1,032 (LV)	± 3.0%	40%	52%	3%	0%	2%[lower-alpha 31]	3%
Ipsos/Reuters	Oct 14–20	686 (LV)	± 4.3%	44%[lower-alpha 5]	52%	2%	0%	2%[lower-alpha 32]	–
				44%[lower-alpha 33]	51%	-	-	3%[lower-alpha 34]	2%
Morning Consult	Oct 11–20	1,717 (LV)	± 2.4%	44%	52%	-	-	–	–
Change Research/CNBC	Oct 16–19	718 (LV)[lower-alpha 35]	–	44%	51%	-	-	–	–
EPIC-MRA	Oct 15–19	600 (LV)	± 4%	39%	48%	-	-	5%[lower-alpha 36]	8%[lower-alpha 37]
Mitchell Research (R)/MIRS	Oct 18	900 (LV)	± 3.27%	41%	51%	3%	1%	1%[lower-alpha 38]	3%
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC[upper-alpha 4]	Oct 15–18	1,034 (LV)	± 2.97%	47%	45%	3%	2%	2%[lower-alpha 39]	2%
Data For Progress	Oct 15–18	830 (LV)	± 3.4%	45%	50%	2%	0%	–	3%
Zia Poll/Painter Communications/MIRS News	Oct 11–18	2,851 (LV)	± 2.5%	49%	45%	-	-	2%	3%
HarrisX/The Hill	Oct 12–15	1,289 (LV)	–	43%	54%	-	-	–	–
Trafalgar Group	Oct 11–14	1,025 (LV)	± 2.97%	47%	46%	3%	2%	2%[lower-alpha 40]	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	Oct 10–13	972 (LV)	–	42%[lower-alpha 35]	51%	1%	0%	–	–
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ	Oct 8–13	800 (LV)	–	42%[lower-alpha 5]	48%	2%	1%	1%	5%
				39%[lower-alpha 41]	51%	2%	1%	1%	5%
				44%[lower-alpha 42]	46%	2%	1%	1%	5%
Ipsos/Reuters	Oct 7–13	620 (LV)	± 4.5%	44%[lower-alpha 5]	51%	2%	1%	2%[lower-alpha 43]	–
				43%[lower-alpha 44]	51%	-	-	3%[lower-alpha 45]	2%
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press	Oct 8–12	600 (LV)	± 4%	39%	48%	-	-	4%[lower-alpha 46]	9%[lower-alpha 47]
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[upper-alpha 5]	Oct 8–11	543 (LV)	± 4.6%	43%	52%	-	-	4%[lower-alpha 48]	2%
Siena College/NYT Upshot	Oct 6–11	614 (LV)	± 4.6%	40%	48%	1%	1%	1%[lower-alpha 49]	8%[lower-alpha 50]
Morning Consult	Oct 2–11	1,710 (LV)	± 2.4%	44%	51%	-	-	–	–
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	Oct 9–10	827 (LV)	–	41%[lower-alpha 35]	51%	2%	1%	–	–
YouGov/CBS	Oct 6–9	1,190 (LV)	± 3.3%	46%	52%	-	-	2%[lower-alpha 51]	0%
Baldwin Wallace University	Sep 30 – Oct 8	1,134 (LV)	± 3.2%	43%	50%	1%	1%	0%[lower-alpha 52]	4%
Emerson College	Oct 6–7	716 (LV)	± 3.6%	43%[lower-alpha 53]	54%	-	-	2%[lower-alpha 54]	–
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	Oct 4–6	700 (LV)	± 3.7%	42%	50%	1%	0%	1%[lower-alpha 55]	6%
Opinion Insight/American Action Forum[upper-alpha 6]	Oct 3–6	800 (LV)	± 3.46%	44%[lower-alpha 56]	52%	-	-	2%	3%
Ipsos/Reuters	Sep 29 – Oct 6	709 (LV)	± 4.2%	43%	51%	-	-	2%[lower-alpha 57]	3%
Change Research/CNBC	Oct 2–4	676 (LV)	–	43%	51%	-	-	–	–
Glengariff Group/Detroit News	Sep 30 – Oct 3	600 (LV)	± 4%	39%	48%	-	-	5%[lower-alpha 58]	7%
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan[upper-alpha 2]	Sep 30 – Oct 1	746 (V)	–	44%	50%	2%	1%	–	3%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Sep 1–30	3,297 (LV)	–	44%	53%	-	-	–	3%
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC[upper-alpha 4]	Sep 26–28	1,042 (LV)	± 2.95%	47%	49%	2%	0%	1%[lower-alpha 59]	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	Sep 23–26	785 (LV)	± 3.5%	42%	51%	1%	0%	0%[lower-alpha 60]	6%
Marist College/NBC	Sep 19–23	799 (LV)	± 4.3%	44%	52%	-	-	1%	3%
ALG Research/Committee to Protect Medicare[upper-alpha 7]	Sep 17–23	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	44%	52%	-	-	–	–
Trafalgar Group	Sep 20–22	1,015 (LV)	± 2.99%	46.7%	46.0%	2.1%	0.8%	1.2%[lower-alpha 61]	3.2%
Baldwin Wallace University	Sep 9–22	1,001 (LV)	± 3.6%	42%	50%	1%	0%	1%[lower-alpha 62]	6%
YouGov/UW-Madison Elections Research Center/Wisconsin State Journal	Sep 10–21	641 (LV)	–	45%	51%	-	-	–	–
Change Research/CNBC	Sep 18–20	568 (LV)	–	43%	51%	-	-	–	–
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign[upper-alpha 8]	Sep 17–19	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	45%	50%	-	-	–	–
Data for Progress (D)	Sep 14–19	455 (LV)	± 4.6%	42%[lower-alpha 5]	48%	1%	0%	–	9%
				44%[lower-alpha 63]	50%	-	-	–	6%
MRG	Sep 14–19	600 (LV)	± 4%	41%	46%	-	-	8%[lower-alpha 64]	5%
Ipsos/Reuters	Sep 11–16	637 (LV)	± 4.4%	44%	49%	-	-	2%[lower-alpha 65]	4%
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[upper-alpha 5]	Sep 11–15	517 (RV)	–	42%	53%	-	-	3%[lower-alpha 66]	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	Sep 12–14	930 (LV)	± 3.21%	39%	49%	2%	1%	0%[lower-alpha 67]	9%
EPIC-MRA	Sep 10–15	600 (LV)	± 4%	40%	48%	-	-	5%[lower-alpha 68]	7%[lower-alpha 69]
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP	Aug 28 – Sep 8	1,600 (LV)	± 2.5%	43%	50%	-	-	1%[lower-alpha 70]	5%
Morning Consult	Aug 29 – Sep 7	1,455 (LV)	± (2%–4%)	42%[lower-alpha 71]	52%	-	-	–	–
Change Research/CNBC	Sep 4–6	876 (LV)	–	43%	49%	-	-	7%[lower-alpha 72]	–
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports	Sep 2–3	1,000 (LV)	± 3%	44%[lower-alpha 73]	53%	-	-	3%[lower-alpha 74]	–
Glengariff Group	Sep 1–3	600 (LV)	± 4%	42%	47%	-	-	4%[lower-alpha 75]	7%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	Aug 30 – Sep 3	967 (LV)	± 3.15%	40%	51%	1%	0%	1%[lower-alpha 76]	7%
Opinion Insight/American Action Forum[upper-alpha 6]	Aug 30 – Sep 2	802 (LV)	± 3.46%	44%[lower-alpha 77]	51%	2%	1%	0%[lower-alpha 78]	3%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Aug 1–31	2,962 (LV)	–	48%	49%	-	-	–	3%
Morning Consult	Aug 21–30	1,424 (LV)	± (2%–4%)	42%	52%	-	-	–	–
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan[upper-alpha 2]	Aug 28–29	897 (V)	–	44%	48%	3%	1%	–	3%
Change Research/CNBC	Aug 21–23	809 (LV)	–	44%	50%	-	-	–	–
Trafalgar Group	Aug 14–23	1,048 (LV)	± 2.98%	47%	45%	3%	-	1%[lower-alpha 79]	4%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies	Aug 16–19	812 (LV)	–	38%	50%	1%	1%	1%[lower-alpha 80]	9%
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[upper-alpha 5]	Aug 13–17	631 (RV)	–	46%	49%	-	-	3%[lower-alpha 81]	1%
Morning Consult	Aug 7–16	1,212 (LV)	± (2%–4%)	44%	50%	-	-	–	–
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[upper-alpha 4]	Aug 11–15	600 (LV)	–	41%	52%	-	-	–	7%
Change Research/CNBC	Aug 7–9	413 (LV)	–	43%	48%	-	-	–	–
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison	Jul 27 – Aug 6	761 (RV)	± 5.1%	43%	47%	-	-	5%[lower-alpha 82]	6%
GQR Research/Unite the Country PAC[upper-alpha 9]	Jul 30 – Aug 4	1,245 (LV)	–	43%	52%	-	-	–	–
David Binder Research	Jul 30–31	200 (LV)	–	41%	51%	-	-	–	–
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Jul 1–31	3,083 (LV)	–	48%	49%	-	-	–	2%
EPIC-MRA	Jul 25–30	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	40%	51%	3%	-	-	6%
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan[upper-alpha 2]	Jul 28–29	876 (V)	–	43%	49%	-	-	6%[lower-alpha 83]	3%
Change Research/CNBC	Jul 24–26	413 (LV)	–	42%	46%	-	-	–	–
Morning Consult	Jul 17–26	1,320 (LV)	± 2.7%	42%	52%	-	-	–	–
YouGov/CBS	Jul 21–24	1,156 (LV)	± 3.4%	42%	48%	-	-	2%[lower-alpha 84]	7%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	Jul 19–24	811 (LV)	–	37%	49%	1%	1%	2%[lower-alpha 85]	10%
CNN/SSRS	Jul 18–24	927 (RV)	± 3.8%	40%	52%	-	-	5%[lower-alpha 86]	2%
Gravis Marketing	Jul 22	754 (RV)	± 3.6%	42%	51%	-	-	–	7%
Fox News	Jul 18–20	756 (RV)	± 3.5%	40%	49%	-	-	4%[lower-alpha 87]	7%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[upper-alpha 4]	Jul 13–16	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	41%	53%	-	-	–	7%
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[upper-alpha 10]	Jul 11–16	600 (LV)	± 3.7%	50%	45%	-	-	–	5%
Change Research/CNBC	Jul 10–12	824 (LV)	–	42%	48%	-	-	–	–
Public Policy Polling/Giffords (D)[upper-alpha 11]	Jul 9–10	1,041 (V)	± 3.2%	44%	51%	-	-	–	5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Jun 8–30	1,238 (LV)	–	46%	51%	-	-	–	3%
Change Research/CNBC	Jun 26–28	699 (LV)[lower-alpha 35]	–	43%	48%	-	-	–	–
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan (D)[upper-alpha 2]	Jun 26–27	1,237 (V)	–	44%	50%	-	-	5%[lower-alpha 88]	1%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R)	Jun 17–20	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	38%	56%	-	-	2%[lower-alpha 89]	7%
Trafalgar Group	Jun 16–18	1,101 (LV)	± 2.95%	45%	46%	-	-	5%[lower-alpha 90]	4%
NYT Upshot/Siena College	Jun 8–17	610 (RV)	± 4.3%	36%	47%	-	-	8%[lower-alpha 91]	9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	Jun 14–16	826 (LV)	± 3.41%	36%	47%	2%	1%	2%[lower-alpha 92]	12%
TargetPoint	Jun 11–16	1,000 (A)	–	33%	49%	-	-	4%[lower-alpha 93]	14%
Change Research/CNBC	Jun 12–14	353 (LV)[lower-alpha 35]	–	45%	47%	-	-	3%[lower-alpha 94]	–
TIPP/American Greatness PAC[upper-alpha 1]	Jun 9–12	859 (LV)	–	38%	51%	-	-	4%[lower-alpha 95]	7%
Kiaer Research	May 31 – Jun 7	543 (LV)	± 6.4%	35%	50%	-	-	6%[lower-alpha 96]	8%
EPIC-MRA	May 31 – Jun 4	600 (LV)	± 4%	39%	55%	-	-	–	–
EPIC-MRA	May 30 – Jun 3	600 (LV)	± 4%	41%	53%	-	-	–	6%[lower-alpha 97]
Change Research/CNBC	May 29–31	620 (LV)[lower-alpha 35]	–	46%	48%	-	-	3%	3%
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan[upper-alpha 2]	May 29–30	1,582 (V)	± 2.5%	44%	50%	-	-	4%[lower-alpha 98]	2%
Morning Consult	May 17–26	1,325 (LV)	–	42%	50%	-	-	–	–
Public Policy Polling/Protect Our Care[upper-alpha 12]	May 18–19	1,234 (V)	± 2.8%	45%	51%	-	-	–	5%
Change Research/Crooked Media	May 11–17	3,070 (LV)	–	46%	49%	-	-	–	–
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	May 10–14	970 (LV)	± 3.2%	39%	47%	-	-	3%[lower-alpha 99]	11%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R)	May 1–5	600 (LV)	± 3%	42%	50%	-	-	–	8%
Public Policy Polling[upper-alpha 13]	Apr 28–29	1,270 (V)	–	42%	50%	-	-	–	8%
Public Policy Polling[upper-alpha 14]	Apr 20–21	1,277 (RV)	–	44%	51%	-	-	–	5%
Fox News	Apr 18–21	801 (RV)	± 3.5%	41%	49%	-	-	3%	6%
Ipsos/Reuters	Apr 15–20	612 (RV)	± 5.0%	38%	46%	-	-	–	–
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R)	Apr 9–11	600 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	49%	-	-	–	–
Hart Research/CAP Action[upper-alpha 15]	Apr 6–8	303 (RV)	–	41%	50%	-	-	4%	5%
Public Policy Polling	Mar 31 – Apr 1	1,019 (RV)	± 3.1%	45%	48%	-	-	–	7%
SPRY Strategies	Mar 30 – Apr 1	602 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	46%	-	-	–	8%
Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes	Mar 17–25	997 (RV)	± 3.7%	42%	47%	-	-	–	11%
Change Research	Mar 21–23	510 (LV)	–	47%	48%	-	-	5%
Marketing Resource Group	Mar 16–20	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	41%	44%	-	-	9%[lower-alpha 100]	6%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R)	Mar 12–16	600 (RV)	–	44%	50%	-	-	–	–
AtlasIntel	Mar 7–9	1,100 (RV)	± 3.0%	46%	44%	-	-	10%	–
YouGov/Yahoo News	Mar 6–8	566 (RV)	–	41%	45%	-	-	6%[lower-alpha 101]	7%
Monmouth University	Mar 5–8	977 (RV)	± 3.1%	41%	48%	-	-	2%	9%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus	Mar 5–7	550 (RV)	± 5.3%	46%	44%	-	-	–	–
YouGov	Feb 11–20	1,249 (RV)	± 4.0%	43%	47%	-	-	–	–
Quinnipiac University	Feb 12–18	845 (RV)	± 3.4%	43%	47%	-	-	6%[lower-alpha 102]	3%
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute	Feb 6–18	500 (RV)	–	43%	43%	-	-	–	14%
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press	Jan 9–12	600 (LV)	± 4%	44%	50%	-	-	–	6%
Glengariff Group Inc.	Jan 3–7	600 (LV)	± 4%	43%	50%	-	-	–	5%

2017–2019 polls

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 2]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other	Undecided
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus	Dec 3–5, 2019	551 (LV)	± 4.3%	46%	41%	8% [lower-alpha 103]	5% [lower-alpha 104]
Emerson College	Oct 31 – Nov 3, 2019	1,051 (RV)	± 3.0%	44%	56%	–	–
NYT Upshot/Siena College	Oct 13–25, 2019	501 (LV)	± 5.1%	44%	45%	–	–
Target Insyght	Sep 24–26, 2019	800 (LV)	–	35%	54%	–	–
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus	Sep 7–9, 2019	529 (LV)	± 4.0%	41%	42%	17%	–
EPIC-MRA	Aug 17–21, 2019	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	41%	51%	–	8%
Climate Nexus	Jul 14–17, 2019	820 (RV)	± 4.0%	36%	49%	5%[lower-alpha 105]	10%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus	Jun 11–13, 2019	587 (LV)	± 4.2%	43%	46%	11%	–
EPIC-MRA	Jun 8–12, 2019	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	41%	52%	–	7%
Glengariff Group	May 28–30, 2019	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	41%	53%	–	4%
WPA Intelligence	Apr 27–30, 2019	200 (LV)	± 6.9%	42%	45%	–	12%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus	Mar 19–21, 2019	530 (LV)	± 4.5%	46%	45%	4%	–
Emerson College	Mar 7–10, 2019	743 (RV)	± 3.5%	46%	54%	–	–
Glengariff Group	Jan 24–26, 2019	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	40%	53%	–	5%
EPIC-MRA	Apr 28–30, 2018	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	39%	52%	–	9%
Zogby Analytics	Sep 2017	800 (V)	–	35%	52%	–	13%

Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[lower-alpha 2] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Michael Bloomberg (D) Other Undecided Quinnipiac University Feb 12–18, 2020 845 (RV) ±3.4% 42% 47% 7%[lower-alpha 106] 4% Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute Feb 6–18, 2020 500 (RV) – 41% 46% – 13% EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press Jan 9–12, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 42% 49% – 9% Glengariff Group Inc. Jan 3–7, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 41% 47% – 10% Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Dec 3–5, 2019 551 (LV) ± 4.3% 48% 37% 8% [lower-alpha 107] 7% [lower-alpha 108] Donald Trump vs. Cory Booker Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[lower-alpha 2] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Cory Booker (D) Other Undecided Climate Nexus Jul 14–17, 2019 820 (RV) ± 4.0% 37% 39% 7%[lower-alpha 109] 16% Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[lower-alpha 2] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Pete Buttigieg (D) Other Undecided YouGov Feb 11–20, 2020 1,249 (RV) ±4.0% 41% 47% – – Quinnipiac University Feb 12–18, 2020 845 (RV) ±3.4% 44% 45% 8%[lower-alpha 110] 3% Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute Feb 6–18, 2020 500 (RV) – 40% 44% – 15% EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press Jan 9–12, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 43% 47% – 10% Glengariff Group Inc. Jan 3–7, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 43% 45% – 10% Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Dec 3–5, 2019 551 (LV) ± 4.3% 48% 37% 8% [lower-alpha 111] 6% [lower-alpha 112] Climate Nexus Jul 14–17, 2019 820 (RV) ± 4.0% 37% 39% 7%[lower-alpha 113] 16% Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jun 11–13, 2019 587 (LV) ± 4.2% 44% 40% 16% – Glengariff Group May 28–30, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 47% – 11% Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[lower-alpha 2] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Kamala Harris (D) Other Undecided EPIC-MRA Aug 17–21, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 46% – 11% Climate Nexus Jul 14–17, 2019 820 (RV) ± 4.0% 38% 41% 6%[lower-alpha 114] 14% Glengariff Group May 28–30, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 47% – 9% Emerson College Mar 7–10, 2019 743 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 51% – – Glengariff Group Jan 24–26, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 47% – 10% Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[lower-alpha 2] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Amy Klobuchar (D) Other Undecided YouGov Feb 11–20, 2020 1,249 (RV) ± 4.0% 41% 44% – – Quinnipiac University Feb 12–18, 2020 845 (RV) ± 3.4% 44% 45% 6%[lower-alpha 115] 4% Emerson College Mar 7–10, 2019 743 (RV) ± 3.5% 47% 53% – – Donald Trump vs. Beto O'Rourke Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[lower-alpha 2] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Beto O'Rourke (D) Other Undecided Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Mar 19–21, 2019 530 (LV) ± 4.5% 48% 39% 8% – Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[lower-alpha 2] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Bernie Sanders (D) Other Undecided Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes Mar 17–25, 2020 997 (RV) ± 3.7% 42% 45% – 13% Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) Mar 12–16, 2020 600 (RV) – 44% 49% – – AtlasIntel Mar 7–9, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 46% 11% – YouGov/Yahoo News Mar 6–8, 2020 566 (RV) – 42% 43% 7%[lower-alpha 116] 8% Monmouth University Mar 5–8, 2020 977 (RV) ± 3.1% 41% 46% 2% 9% Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Mar 5–7, 2020 550 (RV) ± 5.3% 48% 41% – – YouGov Feb 11–20, 2020 1,249 (RV) ± 4.0% 41% 48% – – Quinnipiac University Feb 12–18, 2020 845 (RV) ± 3.4% 43% 48% 7%[lower-alpha 117] 3% Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute Feb 6–18, 2020 500 (RV) – 42% 46% – 12% EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press Jan 9–12, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 45% 50% – 5% Glengariff Group Inc. Jan 3–7, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 45% 49% – 5% Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Dec 3–5, 2019 551 (LV) ± 4.3% 48% 42% 6% [lower-alpha 118] 5% [lower-alpha 119] Emerson College Oct 31 – Nov 3, 2019 1,051 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 57% – – NYT Upshot/Siena College Oct 13–25, 2019 501 (LV) ± 5.1% 42% 46% – – Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Sep 7–9, 2019 529 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 40% 17% – EPIC-MRA Aug 17–21, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 48% – 8% Climate Nexus Jul 14–17, 2019 820 (RV) ± 4.0% 38% 47% 4%[lower-alpha 120] 11% Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jun 11–13, 2019 587 (LV) ± 4.2% 44% 44% 12% – Glengariff Group May 28–30, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 53% – 5% Tulchin Research (D)[upper-alpha 16] Apr 14–18, 2019 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 41% 52% – – Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Mar 19–21, 2019 530 (LV) ± 4.5% 46% 45% 6% – Emerson College Mar 7–10, 2019 743 (RV) ± 3.5% 47% 52% – – Glengariff Group Jan 24–26, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 52% – 6% Zogby Analytics Sep 2017 800 (V) – 36% 54% – 10% Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[lower-alpha 2] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Elizabeth Warren (D) Other Undecided YouGov Feb 11–20, 2020 1,249 (RV) ±4.0% 43% 46% – – Quinnipiac University Feb 12–18, 2020 845 (RV) ±3.4% 43% 45% 7%[lower-alpha 121] 4% EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press Jan 9–12, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 45% 48% – 7% Glengariff Group Inc. Jan 3–7, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 44% 46% – 8% Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Dec 3–5, 2019 551 (LV) ± 4.3% 47% 38% 8% [lower-alpha 122] 6% [lower-alpha 123] Emerson College Oct 31 – Nov 3, 2019 1,051 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 54% – – NYT Upshot/Siena College Oct 13–25, 2019 501 (LV) ± 5.1% 45% 40% – – Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Sep 7–9, 2019 529 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 41% 17% – EPIC-MRA Aug 17–21, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 49% – 8% Climate Nexus Jul 14–17, 2019 820 (RV) ± 4.0% 38% 44% 6%[lower-alpha 124] 12% Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jun 11–13, 2019 587 (LV) ± 4.2% 43% 41% 16% – Glengariff Group May 28–30, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 47% – 9% Emerson College Mar 7–10, 2019 743 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 51% – – Glengariff Group Jan 24–26, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 46% – 10% Zogby Analytics Sep 2017 800 (V) – 37% 46% – 17% Zogby Analytics Aug 17–23, 2017 803 (LV) ± 3.5% 35% 51% – 14%

Hypothetical polling

with Donald Trump, Joe Biden, and Justin Amash Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[lower-alpha 2] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Joe Biden (D) Justin Amash (L) Undecided Glengariff Group May 28–30, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 39% 45% 10% 6% with Donald Trump, Joe Biden, and Howard Schultz Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[lower-alpha 2] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Joe Biden (D) Howard Schultz (I) Undecided Emerson College Mar 7–10, 2019 743 (RV) ± 3.5% 44% 52% 4% – with Donald Trump, Bernie Sanders, and Howard Schultz Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[lower-alpha 2] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Bernie Sanders (D) Howard Schultz (I) Undecided Emerson College Mar 7–10, 2019 743 (RV) ± 3.5% 45% 49% 6% – with Donald Trump and Generic Democrat Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[lower-alpha 2] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Generic Democrat (D) Undecided Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University Mar 17–25, 2020 997 (RV) ± 3.7% 43.2%[lower-alpha 125] 54.0% 2.9%[lower-alpha 126] Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute Feb 6–18, 2020 500 (RV) – 38% 50% 11% Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University Jan 8-20, 2020 1,023 (RV) ± 3.1% 36.4%[lower-alpha 127] 50.3% 13.3% KFF/Cook Political Report Sep 23 – Oct 15, 2019 767 (RV) ± 4% 27% 39% 25% with Donald Trump and Generic Opponent Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[lower-alpha 2] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Generic Opponent Undecided EPIC-MRA Jul 25 - 30, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 37% 49%[lower-alpha 128] 14% EPIC-MRA May 31 – Jun 4, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 33% 51%[lower-alpha 129] 13%[lower-alpha 130] EPIC-MRA May 30 – Jun 3, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 38% 51%[lower-alpha 131] 8%[lower-alpha 132] EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press Jan 9–12, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 34% 44%[lower-alpha 133] 22%[lower-alpha 134] EPIC-MRA Jun 8–12, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4% 32% 45%[lower-alpha 135] 23%[lower-alpha 136] EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press Mar 3–7, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4% 31% 49%[lower-alpha 137] 20%[lower-alpha 138] Glengariff Group/WDIV/Detroit News Jan 24–26, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4% 31% 53% 15%[lower-alpha 139]

General election results

2020 United States presidential election in Michigan[27][28]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Joe Biden Kamala Harris	2,804,040	50.62%	+3.35%
	Republican	Donald Trump Mike Pence	2,649,852	47.84%	+0.34%
	Libertarian	Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen	60,381	1.09%	-2.50%
	Green	Howie Hawkins Angela Walker	13,718	0.25%	-0.82%
	Taxpayers	Don Blankenship William Mohr	7,235	0.13%	N/A
	Natural Law	Rocky De La Fuente Darcy Richardson	2,986	0.05%	N/A
	Write-in	Brian T. Carroll	963	0.02%	+0.01%
	Write-in	Jade Simmons	89	<0.01%	N/A
	Write-in	Tom Hoefling	32	<0.01%	N/A
	Write-in		6	<0.01%	N/A
Total votes			5,539,302	100.00%

By congressional district

Trump won 8 out of the 14 congressional districts in Michigan.

District	Trump	Biden	Representative
1st	58%	40%	Jack Bergman
2nd	55%	43%	Bill Huizenga
3rd	51%	47%	Justin Amash
			Peter Meijer
4th	61%	37%	John Moolenaar
5th	47%	51%	Dan Kildee
6th	51%	47%	Fred Upton
7th	57%	42%	Tim Walberg
8th	50%	49%	Elissa Slotkin
9th	43%	56%	Andy Levin
10th	64%	34%	Paul Mitchell
			Lisa McClain
11th	47%	52%	Haley Stevens
12th	34%	64%	Debbie Dingell
13th	20%	79%	Rashida Tlaib
14th	20%	80%	Brenda Lawrence

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• Leelanau (largest municipality: Greilickville)
• Kent (largest municipality: Grand Rapids)
• Saginaw (largest municipality: Saginaw)

Jeremy W. Peters of The New York Times wrote that "high Detroit turnout" was a crucial factor aiding Biden.[29] African-Americans in Detroit were a major demographic contributing to Joe Biden winning that state.[30] Trump received 12,600 votes in Detroit proper, an increase from the previous election's 7,700. Biden saw increases from 2016 in Oakland and Washtenaw counties.[31]

In Oakland County Joe Biden won 433,982 votes, making up 56.36% of the votes. The municipalities in Oakland County that majority voted for Biden versus Trump included Bloomfield Township, Farmington Hills, Madison Heights, Novi, Rochester Hills, Southfield and Troy.[32]

The number of unbalanced votes in Wayne County for 2020 was below the same number for 2016.[33] On November 23, 2020, Michigan certified the results 3–0, with Norm Shinkle abstaining.[34]

Analysis

Michigan was generally seen as one of the most critical states of the 2020 election; the state boasts a highly prized 16 electoral votes, and had been part of the blue wall since Bill Clinton won the state in 1992. It was key to Trump's surprise victory in 2016, and the Biden campaign paid heavy attention to the state throughout the campaign, looking to avoid a repeat of Hillary Clinton's collapse in the northern industrial states.[35][36]

Biden would carry the state by about 2.8% points; while Biden ran well behind Barack Obama in his two campaigns, his margin of victory was in-line for a Democratic candidate, only performing slightly worse than John Kerry's 3.4% margin in 2004, and Al Gore's 5.2% margin in 2000, reflecting some of the steady demographic shifts in the state. Many undecided/third-party voters that had been lost by Clinton appeared to return to the Democratic column, giving Biden enough votes to carry the state.[37]

While Michigan returned to the Democratic column with a fairly sizable margin, the state's internal politics shifted rather dramatically. Trump performed strongly with white voters without a college degree, winning this group by 17 points, and this group made up about 51% of Michigan's electorate, cementing the white-working-class shift to the GOP; with men, this was even more convincing, as Trump carried white men without a college degree by 30 points. On the other hand, there was a significant suburban shift towards the Democrats; for example, Ottawa County, a suburban county outside of Grand Rapids, has traditionally been a GOP-stronghold in the state; Biden cut into Trump's margins here, and Trump carried this county by less than 60%.[38] Trump held Macomb County, which famously helped him clinch Michigan in 2016, but carried it by only 8 points, 3 points fewer than in 2016.[39]

Other demographic patterns remained the same. Biden won 93% of African-American voters in the state; consequently, Biden improved from Clinton's performance in Wayne County, home of Detroit.[40] Biden's performance among black voters would carry on in other parts of the state; Biden was able to match Clinton's performance in Genesee County,[41] and flipped back Saginaw County.[42]

Finally, Biden performed strongly with Michigan's different religious groups; Biden was able to improve from Clinton in the vote share with Evangelical Michiganders. More importantly, Biden performed strongly with white Catholics, who make up a large portion of Michigan's electorate.[43]

Aftermath

On November 5, a state judge in Michigan dismissed the Trump campaign's lawsuit requesting a pause in vote-counting to allow access to observers, as the judge noted that vote-counting had already finished in Michigan.[44] That judge also noted the official complaint did not state "why", "when, where, or by whom" an election observer was allegedly blocked from observing ballot-counting in Michigan.[45]

In Antrim County, Michigan, human error led to a miscount of an unofficial tally of votes for the presidential candidates. The error was caused by a worker using different kinds of ballots when setting up ballot scanners and result-reporting systems, therefore mismatched results were produced. The errors were spotted and rectified, thus the unofficial tally was changed from a Biden victory in the county to a Trump victory.[46]

Despite pressure from the Trump campaign to hand the decision over the state's presidential electors to the Michigan State Legislature, which would have been an unprecedented maneuver in state history, the statewide results were certified in favor of the Biden/Harris ticket on November 23, with one Republican member of the Michigan Board of State Canvassers abstaining.[47]

See also

• United States presidential elections in Michigan
• 2020 Michigan elections
• 2020 United States presidential election
• 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2020 United States elections

Notes

Partisan clients

1. The Center for American Greatness is a pro-Trump organization
2. Progress Michigan is a non-profit that primarily supports Democratic candidates
3. The American Bridge PAC exclusively supports Democratic candidates
4. The Restoration PAC is a 501 non-profit which supports Donald Trump's 2020 presidential campaign
5. Rust Belt Rising is affiliated with the Democratic Party
6. The American Action Forum is a 501 organisation which usually supports Republican candidates
7. The Committee to Protect Medicare is a PAC with a history of buying ads arguing against the reelection of Trump
8. The Human Rights Campaign endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
9. Unite the Country PAC has endorsed Biden's presidential campaign
10. This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501(c)(4) organization that supports the Republican Party.
11. Poll sponsored by Giffords, whose head - Gabby Giffords - had endorsed Biden prior to the sampling period
12. Protect Our Care is a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation
13. Poll sponsored by Progress Michigan, the Michigan branch of Progress Now, a progressive advocacy organisation
14. Poll sponsored by Protect Our Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation
15. CAP Action is a political advocacy group that exclusively supports Democratic candidates
16. Poll sponsored by the Sanders campaign

Voter samples and additional candidates

1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
2. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
3. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
4. "Someone else" with 2%
5. Standard VI response
6. "Some other candidate" with 2%; West (B) and would not vote with 0%
7. If only Biden, Trump and "some other candidate" were available
8. "Some other candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 0%
9. Results considering those who lean towards a given candidate among those initially predisposed towards abstention, indecision or a candidate besides Biden or Trump in the response section immediately above
10. "Some other candidate" with 2%
11. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
12. "Someone else" with 3%
13. "Not sure/Someone else/Undecided" with 8%
14. "None of these" with 1%; "Other" with 0%
15. "Someone else" with no voters
16. Results generated with high Democratic turnout model
17. Results generated with high Republican turnout model
18. "Third party" with 5%
19. Includes "Refused"
20. "Someone else" with 1%
21. "Other/third party" with 2%
22. "Someone else" with 0%
23. "Someone else" and would not vote with 0%
24. Includes "Refused"
25. "Some other candidate" with 2%; West (B) and would not vote with 0%
26. If only Biden, Trump and "Some other candidate" were available
27. "Some other candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 0%
28. "Third party" with 2%
29. "Other" and "None of these" with 0%; would not vote with no voters
30. Includes Undecided
31. "Other" with 2%; would not vote with no voters
32. "Some other candidate" with 2%; West (B) and would not vote with 0%
33. If only Biden, Trump and "Some other candidate" were available
34. "Some other candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 0%
35. Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
36. "Third party candidate" with 5%
37. Includes "Refused"
38. "Someone else" with 1%
39. "Someone else" with 2%
40. "Someone else" with 2%
41. Results generated with high Democratic turnout model
42. Results generated with high Republican turnout model
43. "Some other candidate" and West (B) with 1%; would not vote with 0%
44. If only Biden, Trump and "Some other candidate" were available
45. "Some other candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 0%
46. "Third party candidate" with 4%
47. Includes "Refused"
48. "Someone else" with 4%
49. "Someone else" with 1%; would not vote with 0%
50. Includes "Refused"
51. "Other third party" with 2%
52. "Another candidate" with 0%
53. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
54. "Someone else" with 2%
55. "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 1%
56. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
57. "Some other candidate" with 2%; would not vote with 0%
58. "Refused" with 3%; "Third Party" with 2%
59. "Someone else" with 1%
60. "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 0%
61. "Someone else" with 1.2%
62. "Another candidate" with 1%
63. If only Trump and Biden were candidates
64. "Someone else" with 7%; "Refused" with 1%; would not vote with 0%
65. "Some other candidate" with 2%; would not vote with 0%
66. "Someone else" with 3%
67. "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 0%
68. "Third party candidate" with 5%
69. Includes "Refused"
70. Would not vote with 1%
71. Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
72. "Other/not sure" with 7%
73. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
74. "Some other candidate" with 3%
75. "Refused" with 3%; "Third party" with 1%
76. "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 1%
77. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
78. Would not vote with 0%
79. "Another party candidate" with 1%
80. "Another third party/write-in" 1%
81. "Someone else" with 3%
82. "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
83. "Third party" with 6%
84. "Someone else/third party" with 2%; would not vote with 0%
85. "Another Third Party/Write-In" with 2%
86. "Other" with 1%; "Neither" with 4%
87. "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
88. "Would vote third party" with 5%
89. "Refused" with 2%
90. "Third party candidate" with 5%
91. Would not vote with 5%; "Another candidate" with 3%
92. "other" with 2%
93. "Refused/no answer" with 4%
94. "Libertarian Party candidate/Green Party candidate" with 3%
95. "Other" with 4%; "prefer not to answer" with 0%
96. "A different candidate" with 6%
97. Includes "refused"
98. "Third party" with 4%
99. "Third party/write-in" with 3%
100. "Someone else" with 6%; "Refused" and would not vote with 1%
101. "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
102. "Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 4%
103. A third party candidate with 5%; would not vote with 3%
104. Includes "refused"
105. Would not vote with 5%
106. "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 4%
107. A third party candidate with 5%; would not vote with 3%
108. Includes "refused"
109. Would not vote with 7%
110. "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 5%
111. A third party candidate with 4%; would not vote with 4%
112. Includes "refused"
113. Would not vote with 7%
114. Would not vote with 6%
115. "Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 4%
116. "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 2%
117. "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 4%
118. A third party candidate with 4%; would not vote with 2%
119. Includes "refused"
120. Would not vote with 4%
121. "Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 5%
122. A third party candidate with 3%; would not vote with 5%
123. Includes "refused"
124. Would not vote with 6%
125. Figures for each candidate in this poll include undecided voters who were reported to lean towards that candidate at the time of polling.
126. "It depends on who the Democrats nominate" with 1.9%; "unsure" with 1%
127. Figures for each candidate in this poll include undecided voters who were reported to lean towards that candidate at the time of polling.
128. Listed as "Would vote to replace Trump"
129. Listed as "Would vote to replace Trump"
130. Listed as "would consider voting for someone other than Trump"
131. Listed as "Would vote to replace Trump"
132. Listed as "would consider voting for someone other than Trump"
133. Listed as "Would vote to replace Trump"
134. 19% listed as "would consider voting for someone other than Trump"; 3% as "undecided/refused"
135. "Vote to replace Trump" with 45%
136. "Consider voting for someone else" with 19%; "Undecided/refused" with 4%
137. "Vote to replace Trump" with 49%
138. "Consider voting for someone else" with 16%; "Don't know/refused" with 4%
139. "Depends on who the Democratic nominee is" with 15%

References

1. "Record 5.5M voted in Michigan; highest percentage in decades". Associated Press. November 5, 2020.
2. Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
3. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
4. Shepard, Steven. "Michigan certifies Trump as winner". POLITICO. Retrieved November 10, 2020.
5. Coleman, Justine (September 9, 2020). "Biden unveils plan to penalize companies that offshore jobs ahead of Michigan visit". TheHill. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
6. "Michigan Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
7. "Michigan Will Keep Mark Sanford's Name on the Republican Presidential Primary Unless he Sends in a Withdrawal Letter | Ballot Access News".
8. "2020 Michigan Election Results". Michigan Secretary of State. April 30, 2020. Retrieved November 12, 2020.
9. Taylor, Kate (February 9, 2019). "Elizabeth Warren Formally Announces 2020 Presidential Bid in Lawrence, Mass". The New York Times. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
10. "2020 Michigan Election Results". Michigan Secretary of State. Retrieved June 11, 2020.
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17. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
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30. Warikoo, Niraj (November 6, 2020). "Black voters in Detroit key for Joe Biden and Gary Peters' victories, advocates say". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved November 11, 2020.
31. Garrison, Joey (November 13, 2020). "Donald Trump keeps baselessly claiming voter fraud in cities. But suburbs actually lost him the election". USA Today. Retrieved November 13, 2020.
32. Bartkowiak, Dave Jr. (November 10, 2020). "How Detroit's Oakland County suburbs voted in 2020 presidential election". Click on Detroit. Retrieved November 24, 2020.
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Further reading

• David Weigel; Lauren Tierney (August 9, 2020), "The six political states of Michigan", Washingtonpost.com, archived from the original on August 31, 2020. (Describes 2016 political geography of Detroit; Detroit suburbs; the Middle; the Thumb; the West; Upper Peninsula and North)
• Summary: State Laws on Presidential Electors (PDF), Washington DC: National Association of Secretaries of State, August 2020, Michigan
• David Wasserman (October 6, 2020), "The 10 Bellwether Counties That Show How Trump Is in Serious Trouble", Nytimes.com. (Describes bellwether Kent County, Michigan)
• Jennifer Steinhauer (October 17, 2020), "In Kalamazoo, Old High School Classmates Reckon With a Divided Country", New York Times

External links

• "League of Women Voters of Michigan". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
• Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Michigan", Voting & Elections Toolkits
• "Michigan: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
• Michigan at Ballotpedia